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An Astonishing and Persistent Denial of Economic Reality


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2014 May 3, 10:56pm   12,805 views  69 comments

by smaulgld   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  

The 1st Quarter 2014 GDP Number

15:27-18:20 The first quarter GDP was up just 0.1% in the first quarter and the weather was blamed for the poor economic performance. Cold weather can't derail an entire economy. Recent tornados in the south may also be blamed for a lack of 2nd quarter GDP growth, although Keynesians might argue that tornados might lead to economic growth as homes will need to be rebuilt. Discussion of the Fed and media spin on the poor numbers:

From CNBC:

"Yet the Fed statement did not reflect substantial concerns and in fact agreed with consensus from economists who believe the slowdown will be short-lived and growth will accelerate."

From the FOMC statement:

"Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that growth in economic activity has picked up recently, after having slowed sharply during the winter in part because of adverse weather conditions."

Even though initial jobless claims are up, home sales are down, twenty percent of homes have no one employed , homeownership rates are down, there is a rise in food stamp usage, mortgage applications are down and new home construction is down, the media persists on peddling an economic "recovery" story.

From Reuters:

"U.S. consumer spending recorded its largest increase in more than four and a half years in March, cementing views the economy ended a dismal first-quarter on solid footing."

Podcast notes:

http://smaulgld.com/astonishing-persistent-denial-economic-reality/

http://www.youtube.com/embed/xtvKeivGjrs&feature=youtu.be

#housing

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64   Bubbabeefcake   2014 May 6, 12:14pm  

smaulgld says

Facebooksux says

Also:

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/05/merrill-q1-gdp-now-tracking-negative-04.html

And calculated risk blog is a Krugmanite Obama water carrying blog

Spot on....they sold their souls to the Devil

65   Blurtman   2014 May 6, 12:18pm  

smaulgld says

Facebooksux says

Also:

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/05/merrill-q1-gdp-now-tracking-negative-04.html

And calculated risk blog is a Krugmanite Obama water carrying blog

Agreed! The blog got it wrong on the labor force participation rate, and continues to pretend that Moody's and Standard and Poor's ratings are A-OK, as if nothing happened. Ignores financial fraud and acts as if nothing happened. A toadie for the RE and financial industries.

66   smaulgld   2014 May 7, 7:15am  

Case in point: Yellen today

The economy paused in Q1 but clearer skies ahead!

http://www.forbes.com/sites/samanthasharf/2014/05/07/yellen-economy-paused-in-q1-but-clearer-skies-ahead/

“I see that pause as mostly reflecting transitory factors, including the effects of the unusually cold and snowy winter weather,”

“With the harsh winter behind us, many recent indicators suggest that a rebound in spending and production is already under way, putting the overall economy on track for solid growth in the current quarter.”

67   indigenous   2014 May 7, 9:26am  

New talking head but the same old horseshit.

68   smaulgld   2014 May 7, 9:39am  

indigenous says

New talking head but the same old horseshit.

The weather lady

69   indigenous   2014 May 7, 9:51am  

smaulgld says

The weather lady

At least the weather lady is hot.

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