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2014 Aug 2, 3:19pm   811 views  0 comments

by ttsmyf   follow (0)  

"The Public Be Suckered” is (1) these histories,
and (2) keeping them out of sight.
(See latest magnitudes, and
earlier extremes, in table at end.)


SUMMARY
This page shows multiple track records of collective economic foolhardiness by the USA people. These pasts are nearly never shown to the people by the powers that be. This allows ignorance instead of learning, and it enables further fooling of the people.

First two charts Stocks and homes are assets priced in US$ -- so, their soundly shown price histories are inflation-adjusted ("real"). But such are seldom seen, because: Well apparent therein are our nation's serial, massive mispricings. Recently and unprecedentedly, both have been contemporaneously far above extrapolated history.

Third chart Contemporary with the preceding have been (1) the downward drift of the personal saving rate for three decades (11%→3%), and (2) the accompanying doubling, over two decades, of the household debt/income ratio after 25 years in the narrow range 0.51 - 0.60. "More consumption now!!"

Fourth chart The preceding two traces of annual data each broke trend after 2007, coinciding with a huge jump in U.S. governments' debt, shown here. "Recent debt jump is 2/3 of that for World War II".


Asset price histories that look like cocaine intoxications:


(And a recent Dow day is here.)

Longtime overconsuming:

Recent debt jump is 2/3 of that for World War II:

http://www.showrealhist.com/RD_RJShomes_PSav.html
http://www.showrealhist.com/debtGDP_whys.html

The MEDIA KNOW HOW:
Wall St. Journal
NY Times 8/2006


The Public Be Suckered, Magnitudes (Data are avgs for calendar yr/qtr/mo shown)
Ought
Ought Recent To Have
Latest → To Be* Change Extreme → Been* Change
Real 67.7 54 20% drop 100 54 46% drop
Homes 2014Q1 2006Q1
price
Real 105.7 50 53% drop 100 40 60% drop
Dow 6/2014 1/2000
price
Personal 4% 11% Tripling 3% 11% Quadrup-
Saving 2013 2007 ling
Debt/ 0.92 0.56 39% drop 1.13 0.56 50% drop
Income 2013 2009
Debt/ 1.0 0.6 40% drop 1.0 0.6 40% drop
GDP 2013 2014
was 0.6 0.6 NONE!
in 2007
*From extra-
polated histories
(First 2 URLs above)

OBSERVATION Of the 11 data in the table, only one equalled its target,
or was even close: federal Debt/GDP = 0.6 in 2007. Now it is 1.0, and
needing a 40% drop to reach 0.6 target. Monumental USA penalty, earned!

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