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2015 Jan 1, 3:15pm   1,383 views  9 comments

by indigenous   follow (1)  

Gasoline prices are on the verge of crashing down to below $2 a gallon. The price of oil may dip below $50 a barrel.

Even with renewed demand from a global economic resurgence, energy prices continue to fall. The U.S. has suddenly become the world's largest combined producer of oil and natural gas.

That fact — along with a desire to weaken hostile Iran and Russia — has prompted the oil-rich Gulf sheikdoms to keep pumping oil even as the price falls. In their game of petro-chicken, the desperate sheiks hope that either their poorer enemies will run out of cash or that fracking in the U.S. will become unprofitable and cease.

Everyone seems to have forgotten about “peak oil” — the catchphrase of the new millennium.
The world in general, and the United States in particular, supposedly had already burned more oil than was left under the Earth. Under President Barack Obama, gasoline prices had soared. When he entered office in January 2009, gas prices averaged around $1.60 per gallon. Four years later, by spring of 2013, gas prices had climbed beyond $3.50 a gallon.

The Obama administration never much worried about high energy costs. During the 2008 campaign, Obama promised that “under my plan . . . electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket.” Shutting down coal plants and using higher-priced but cleaner natural gas would pave the way for an even pricier mandated wind and solar generation.

In the vice-presidential debates of 2008, Joe Biden mocked Sarah Palin for the supposedly mindless campaign mantra of “Drill, baby, drill.” Biden intoned that “it will take ten years for one drop of oil to come out of any of the wells that are going to be drilled.”

The energy secretary-designate, the professorial Steven Chu, in 2008 had unwisely voiced a widely held but wisely unspoken progressive belief that “somehow we have to figure out how to boost the price of gasoline to the levels in Europe” — or about $9 a gallon.

Just two years ago, when up for reelection, Obama reminded Americans, “We can't just drill our way to lower gas prices.”

Obama ridiculed the Republican idea of lowering gas to $2 a gallon through new oil-recovery techniques. “They're already dusting off their three-point plans for $2 gas,” Obama mocked. “I'll save you the suspense: Step one is drill, step two is drill, and step three is keep drilling.”

Such easy rhetoric was backed by action — or lack of it. The Keystone XL pipeline was put on permanent hold. New fracking leases on federal lands were postponed. Huge areas of oil- and gas-rich federal lands were put off limits. Some blue states stopped fracking. Money poured into solar schemes like Solyndra.

Decreased use of expensive energy was deemed desirable. Cash-strapped commuters would be forced to drive less, thereby advancing the noble cause of curbing supposed man-made global warming. Federal subsidies flowed for high-speed rail. Wind, solar, and other alternate energies could at last become competitive. Cap-and-trade legislation looked as if it might sail through Congress.

Unfortunately for the Obama administration, the new age of sky-high oil prices proved an economic disaster. The natural cycle of recovery never quite followed the end of the recession in mid 2009, as U.S. budget and trade deficits soared.

Abroad, all the wrong countries were empowered as never before.

The late Hugo Chávez used his oil windfall in Venezuela to subsidize subversion throughout Latin America. Petrodollar-rich Russian president Vladimir Putin charted a confident anti-American foreign policy.

Iran used its growing riches to step up progress toward producing a nuclear bomb while upping subsidies to terrorist organizations such as Hezbollah.

Then, finally, oil and gas prices plunged owing to the “drill, baby, drill,” can-do attitude of the private sector. Americans should thank the U.S. oilman — from the drillers in the field to the engineers behind the scenes — who did the impossible. They vastly increased the supply of what was supposedly a permanently declining resource, and thereby helped to crash prices.

Oilmen, not the government, returned hundreds of billions of dollars to American consumers. They, not Ivy League experts and Wall Street grandees, kick-started the economy where federal subsidies had failed to. They, not the policies of the Obama administration or the rhetoric of Secretary of State John Kerry, weakened our enemies.

Almost everything Obama tried for six years in an effort to rev the economy — from near-zero interest rates and $1 trillion annual budget deficits to Obamacare and vast increases in entitlements — has failed. His foreign-policy stances of resets and leading from behind led to chaos and emboldened enemies.

Yet the United States economy is slowly recovering with cheap energy. Consumers have more money. Industries are returning to U.S. soil.

Abroad, spendthrift oil producers such as hostile Iran, Russia, and Venezuela are nearly broke. Friendly rivals such as Japan and the European Union can't compete with the U.S. energy edge.

What Obama once ridiculed is now saving him from himself — after he had championed policies that nearly destroyed him.

The Greeks had a word for it: irony.

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/395584/ironies-oil-victor-davis-hanson

#politics

Comments 1 - 9 of 9        Search these comments

1   indigenous   2015 Jan 1, 10:32pm  

This is a normal part of the business cycle, to call this the fault of the oilmen is absurd.

There is no damage to the economy, the US now produces as much oil as Saudi Arabia, what damage.

The only damage comes when the government steps in to bailout companies that should be gone.

Peak anything changes with technology, I have listened to Chris Martenson talk about this for years, but the fact is technology changes this as it has with fracking.

Maybe you are talking about damage to the environment but much of that is exaggerated certainly regarding flaming water which existed before fracking was used. But with the Al Gores stirring the pot it is hard to tell facts from rhetoric.

I don't know what defense spending has to do with this article, but it is certainly one of the worst cases of cronyism. One side benefit to fracking might be from less subsidy money going to ADM for ethanol.

2   Y   2015 Jan 1, 11:11pm  

This has always been the long term strategy of the USA, passed down from president to president, from way back in the 60's...
Hold on to our resources, and milk the world dry.
Use theirs. Save ours.
The time would come when nuclear equipped warmongering countries dis-respective of sovereign borders, locked into their overzealous budgets of a worldwide booming oil industry, would need to be stopped without initiating nuclear holecaust.
Thus, America has unleashed the weapon of the millenium which will bring the tsar wannabes to their smirnifian encrusted knees: Fracking.

Economic warfare can be devastating.

indigenous says

I don't know what defense spending has to do with this article,

3   Y   2015 Jan 1, 11:13pm  

Why else would we have had our blood and treasure tied up for decades in the sandy dunes of the middle east?
It's time to cash in on the dividends...

4   indigenous   2015 Jan 1, 11:15pm  

SoftShell says

Why else would we have had our blood and treasure tied up for decades in the sandy dunes of the middle east?

It's time to cash in on the dividends...

It seems to me the overarching reason is to keep the defense contractors gainfully employed?

5   Y   2015 Jan 1, 11:16pm  

2015 will bring about a russian peoples revolt the likes which putin has never dreamed about.

6   Y   2015 Jan 1, 11:21pm  

I think that's an economic side benefit to the ultra-long term strategy...not guaranteed, but it happened...

What if the arab states just rolled over for us, like in the olden days? No al queida, no 9/11, No war. What if they just stood their with their hands out and collected land use royalties? It seems religion got in the way...

indigenous says

SoftShell says

Why else would we have had our blood and treasure tied up for decades in the sandy dunes of the middle east?


It's time to cash in on the dividends...

It seems to me the overarching reason is to keep the defense contractors gainfully employed?

7   indigenous   2015 Jan 1, 11:22pm  

SoftShell says

2015 will bring about a russian peoples revolt the likes which putin has never dreamed about.

How many of the Russian people actually see any of the oil money?

8   indigenous   2015 Jan 1, 11:25pm  

SoftShell says

What if the arab states just rolled over for us, like in the olden days?

When ever there is conflict you have to look for the pot stirrers. Every war that the US has gotten involved in for the past 100 years has been provoked. Would Al-Qaeda or ISIS exist if they were not trained by the US, can goat herders learn how to used high tech equipment on their own?

9   indigenous   2015 Jan 2, 12:56am  

anonymous says

So Dubya and Dick's foray into Iraq was provoked by what or were they to busy stirring

Yup

anonymous says

The original article talks about the dire condition of the spendthrift oil producers but cleverly inserts a key word "hostile" before them so whatever this country spends ridiculous amounts on (F-35 etc) is fine and dandy. Right ?

Sarcasm, the F-35 is a boondoggle.

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