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The Democratic Convention will be contested


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2016 May 18, 8:33am   16,820 views  47 comments

by Dan8267   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  

Half (27) of Kentucky's delegates go to Hillary and half go to Bernie. Bernie did pick up a few more delegates in Oregon (28 to 24), but not enough to put a dent in Hillary's lead.

However, Hillary will have to get 616 of the remaining 946 pledged delegates, 65%, to avoid a contested convention and that is highly unlikely to happen. Bernie has no chance of getting the 895 available pledged delegates, 95%, needed for him to get the nomination before the convention. So there is most likely going to be a contested convention in which the superdelegates, who are not obligated to vote for any particular candidate regardless of popularity, are going to decide the nominee.

I think the superdelegates are going to back Clinton, but I'd like to be wrong on this. The only hope I see for Bernie at this point is that the superdelegates might realize that Bernie brings a hell of a lot of independent votes that will either stay home or vote for Trump and that Trump has a good chance of beating Clinton in the general election, but no hope of beating Bernie.

Just remember, if Trump becomes president, you can blame Hillary.

#politics #Trumpghazi

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47   Dan8267   2016 May 21, 12:36pm  

neplusultra57 says

Dan8267 says

I know full well the dangers of a Trump presidency.

http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2016/05/donald-trump-and-supreme-court

Another reason to demand the superdelegates choose Bernie. All those independents who could not vote in closed primaries aren't going to vote for Hillary. The superdelegates should do their sole job, which is to choose the will of the people in the general election over the will of the much smaller group of people who can and choose to vote in the primary. That's the only purpose of even having superdelegates.

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