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What Stock Market Investments Are You Making in 2016?


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2016 Jun 6, 12:35pm   44,343 views  216 comments

by BayArea   ➕follow (1)   💰tip   ignore  

Hi guys,

I'm looking over my portfolio this week (both 401K retirement and personal brokerage account) and looking ahead at what to invest in during 2016.

I see that the market correction that we had in late Jan - early Feb '16 is behind us and once again the Dow, Nasdaq, and the S&P500 are near historical high levels. As a result, I'm going to pull some of the money I have here and continue to watch the fed.

I see precious metals (gold, silver, platinum) have been surging since Feb but still significantly below their 1yr and 2yr highs. Depending on where you believe oil is going, some are arguing it's a bargain right now too but oil isn't likely to do much in the short term. Long term treasury bonds had a strong year. Healthcare & Financial sectors haven't performed too well in the past year but Utilities & Telecom sectors have brought modest returns.

I'm interested in getting into a discussion regarding patrick.net's hot picks are for 2016 and where are people are putting their money in terms of market investment today.

Now that Bay Area home prices have surpassed a level that's attractive to most investors, some of us are looking at other investment options.

#investing

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111   _   2016 Aug 15, 1:38pm  

I had TOL stop loss too but it was very tight, I tried to get Strat to follow it if I remember right

112   _   2016 Aug 16, 9:40am  

BayArea says

2016

What about ATEN now, I am letting this one ride out, I didn't think we could see a break out in 2016 but it's starting to go recently ... This is a high risk play here and I wouldn't add any new dollars into the name now, but the chart looks interesting now

113   Strategist   2016 Aug 16, 9:43am  

Logan Mohtashami says

I had TOL stop loss too but it was very tight, I tried to get Strat to follow it if I remember right

I remember. Get back in.

114   _   2016 Aug 16, 9:46am  

Strategist says

I remember. Get back in.

At 25 maybe but KBH was at $10 when we talked about here and now at $15.62 that was the best builder play for 2016 .. builders are good channel trades in this cycle

115   Strategist   2016 Aug 16, 9:48am  

Logan Mohtashami says

Strategist says

I remember. Get back in.

At 25 maybe but KBH was at $10 when we talked about here and now at $15.62 that was the best builder play for 2016 .. builders are good channel trades in this cycle

It's $29 right now. Not likely to hit $25

116   _   2016 Aug 16, 9:52am  

Strategist says

It's $29 right now. Not likely to hit $25

Not worth the risk right here for TOL .. I picked on it last year for being over valued when it was in the 30's... last year the builders just had way too expectations, now... everyone is in line with more real expectations

117   _   2016 Aug 16, 5:27pm  

Strategist says

Strategist says

This is the most bullish chart I can say about the builders, that maybe... maybe ... they get that they have to build smaller homes!

118   _   2016 Aug 16, 6:24pm  

Ironman says

Or build apartments

That is a terrible chart formation

Here is a better one

119   _   2016 Aug 16, 6:25pm  

Multi-family starts are down 0.6% year-to-date, and single-family starts are up 10.6% year-to-date.

120   Strategist   2016 Aug 16, 6:36pm  

Ironman says

Logan Mohtashami says

about the builders, that maybe... maybe ... they get that they have to build smaller homes!

Or build apartments

The free markets will decide what to build based on profitability.

121   _   2016 Aug 17, 9:51am  

ATEN up another 5% since I asked about what you guys thought of it this week... no takers?

122   _   2016 Aug 18, 7:51am  

ATEN up double digits this week alone... So no one here can't accuse me of never giving stock picks anymore ;-)

123   BayArea   2016 Aug 18, 10:31am  

ATEN... up 30% in last month and 50% in last 3mo.

Why jump in now? What news am I not aware of?

124   _   2016 Aug 18, 10:39am  

BayArea says

Why jump in now? What news am I not aware of?

This was a 2017 Play for me, I didn't think it would have broken out like this in 2016..

Only reason I got this stock on radar was making fun of it with Jim Cramer calling it a one of the worst IPO's ever, but as price play only, I took it on a spec play

$11-$13 level to sell... But ... 2017 not this year

So the reports are in line, nothing big news there... but technically speaking... just on the charts, it looks like something traders would push once it broke over 8

That is the only reason I can come up with or this company is play

IPO price I think was $15 and this sucker collapsed right after

To me it's only technical here

Hence why I asked what you guys thought

125   _   2016 Aug 18, 10:41am  

This company isn't easy to value 600 million market cap is still small compared to the big boys ... but a pushed IPO for sure, like many IPO's it's been a bust but at $4-$6 bucks looked interesting for a spec play only

126   _   2016 Aug 19, 12:54pm  

In any case ATEN up again another 4% that makes it a near 15% this week alone since Monday

But will unload some shares in the $11 dollar range

127   BayArea   2016 Aug 23, 3:11pm  

Logan, Im not sure I want any part of ATEN.

ARLP 6.5% today?

128   BayArea   2016 Aug 24, 8:48am  

Logan, any ideas what the major homebuilder companies are?

129   _   2016 Sep 23, 6:23am  

BayArea says

Logan, Im not sure I want any part of ATEN.

Well, When we first talked about ATEN it was in the 5's low 6's I believe

Much different at $10.50 now

MASI just hit $60 all time high

TWTR at $22.20 now finally being sold

GPRO is over $16 now

BayArea says

Logan, any ideas what the major homebuilder companies are?

As you know when I went on CNBC last year I was very bearish on TOL near $38 and all the builders before the correction actually happened, but in Jan, TOL the builder was back to 2013 pricing, that was the time to get in... even TOL

But ... KBH was the only call builder I said here when it was at $10 but that is now at $15.77

LEN, DHI, are the better builders, Jan was really the time in to get in, builders have been better trades than investment, even now TOL is no where near $38 when I said to be cautious

https://loganmohtashami.com/2016/09/20/housing-starts-roof-being-tested/

130   anonymous   2016 Oct 3, 8:03pm  

Logan - what's new...haven't been reading here ...too busy

Anyone got any thoughts on AAPL?

131   anonymous   2016 Oct 3, 8:34pm  

Or WFC?

Wells has taken a beating. Moreso recently with the scandal. But it's not going anywhere and the dividend is decent

132   BayArea   2016 Oct 3, 8:37pm  

I don't know but ARLP keeps a smile on my face lately

133   _   2016 Oct 3, 9:32pm  

SubOink says

Logan - what's new...haven't been reading here ...too busy

WTW - This stock had the greatest short covering rally I have ever seen in my life
TWTR - This was another good call, badly loved and very much hated
GPRO - This trade is going as plan, dumped some at $14 letting the rest ride to $18
MASI - Number 1 stock I hold, trade, invest ... all time high roughly now
UNXL - Awesome trade this year
ATEN - looking to dump some over $11
Z - out

HP still have small position

DB, stop loss on that one out

No new ideas as of now

134   Rew   2016 Oct 3, 10:12pm  

SubOink says

Anyone got any thoughts on AAPL?

Unless you have a position and are holding for the dividends, I'd sell and find smaller nimbler fish. The 5 year chart should speak volumes for this former darling. Wish we could "Make Apple Great Again" ... but I don't think the company will do that for awhile. Likely topping in their business cycle before they begin to trim down, burn, and then re-invent themselves again from the ashes. I expect we see real outwards signs of that matured/peaked business cycle in 1-2 years.

My 2 cents ... and full disclosure, I sold a large position in AAPL recently.

135   RealEstateIsBetterThanStocks   2016 Oct 3, 10:15pm  

still holding CVX and NOV i bought a year ago. oil re-bounce!

i have also been buying Apple when it goes under $100.

136   curious2   2016 Oct 4, 1:12am  

Mark D says

still holding CVX and NOV i bought a year ago.

And they're both down since you bought them, so you're still an anti-semitic, racist loser.

137   RealEstateIsBetterThanStocks   2016 Oct 5, 2:39am  

curious2 says

Mark D says

still holding CVX and NOV i bought a year ago.

And they're both down since you bought them, so you're still an anti-semitic, racist loser.

what is your broke ass doing in an investment thread anyways.

why don't you go play where the dumb & poor hang out.

138   curious2   2016 Oct 5, 2:43am  

Mark D says

curious2 says

Mark D says

still holding CVX and NOV i bought a year ago.

And they're both down since you bought them, so you're still an anti-semitic, racist loser.

How many shares of CVX and NOV did you buy?

139   anonymous   2016 Oct 5, 7:36am  

Logan Mohtashami says

SubOink says

Logan - what's new...haven't been reading here ...too busy

WTW - This stock had the greatest short covering rally I have ever seen in my life

TWTR - This was another good call, badly loved and very much hated

GPRO - This trade is going as plan, dumped some at $14 letting the rest ride to $18

MASI - Number 1 stock I hold, trade, invest ... all time high roughly now

UNXL - Awesome trade this year

ATEN - looking to dump some over $11

Z - out

HP still have small position

DB, stop loss on that one out

No new ideas as of now

Thanks for sharing! Hope all else is well too...

I can't believe these home prices - when I bought in 2011 everyone here made jokes like..."hurry or you will be priced out.."
Crazy thing is, I couldn't afford to buy my own house now and would indeed be priced out.

140   _   2016 Oct 5, 7:49am  

SubOink says

Anyone got any thoughts on AAPL?

Apple at $92 looked like a solid support area, now play up to $120... not a good risk/reward play here

141   _   2016 Oct 5, 8:07am  

Did take 28% off the TWTR trade today, just to hedge the bets if the buy out turns off bad...

142   anonymous   2016 Oct 5, 4:51pm  

Yeah, I have options on APPLE, bought them at 3.5 and didn't take my profit at $6.50, now we are back to $4...I am counting on thanksgiving and xmas - 117 is all I need

The recent iOS10 is awesome. Best OS upgrade ever. Phone is way faster and super snappy. That is the old phone. The new one screams...new watch is cool too.

143   anonymous   2016 Oct 12, 11:22am  

Booyah!! Go AAPL!

144   anonymous   2016 Oct 12, 11:23am  

that was quicker then expected - thanks samsung

145   Patrick   2016 Oct 12, 1:15pm  

Bought RYKKY on a whim because I really like their stores and their numbers are not awful.

Bought SHOP because I used to work at a competitor and all the competitor ever talked about was trying to beat Shopify. Revenue has been doubling each year.

146   anonymous   2016 Oct 24, 11:29pm  

Logan Mohtashami says

DB

VRX

NFLX

TGT

I admit I am MASI heavy... but the stock only took off in 2015

NFLX - you wish you still had that sucker eh?

147   BayArea   2016 Nov 7, 9:30am  

Nothing too impressive from MASI since August, VRX is looking ugly, NFLX is killin it as usual, and pass the Tums for TGT.

Question is, what do with GPRO as it's nearing single digits again...

148   _   2016 Nov 7, 9:47am  

BayArea says

MASI

MASI sold some more today only 100
GPRO same game plan as before
Sold at 14, never hit 18 my target, close but not there
Under $11 position build for same trade 10.96 purchase today small 700 shares
ATEN at 6.82 purchase

I buy MASI every month, small

Only big position I have this year was 2,500 at 37.84 for MASI

200 at 20.19
800 at 21.69
800 at 19.90

What I have left from the bigger lot

60 area looks like strong resistance

Good news from the company today, settled with Phillips 300 Million cash and a partnership deal

Good looking chart since late 2014... but needs to consolidate at least before another big run

149   _   2016 Nov 7, 9:50am  

Look at a 3 year and 3 month MASI you can see what I mean...

150   _   2016 Nov 7, 9:56am  

WTW, ATEN, TWTR, GPRO, MASI, only things I have right now, in the trading account .. Still have a very small position in UNXL left nothing but build to trade later position there, not much beta

out of HP entirely

WTW sold some today 500

Major short build up in that company sell the rips on the cover points on that, keep a solid stop loss there, company is very iffy

TWTR has been a great trading stock, on hold with that for now

Might look at FIT ... need to do more work on there that's the only new stock I would say that has caught my eye

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