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Builders Expecting a Bust


               
2016 Jun 13, 10:27am   4,945 views  15 comments

by deepcgi   follow (0)  

Single Family home inventory at record lows. New single family home building also low. George Soros buys gold and declares China nearing a financial breakdown. Chinese cash buyers at better than 25 percent in nearly every hot real estate market.

Plus the reality that affordability and NOT subprime mortgages drove the last RE crash. Remember the majority of foreclosures in the US post 2007 were 30 year.

Here comes a bond crash, pension fund crash, equities crash, property tax increase, and bailouts for real estate becoming a fourth priority instead of first.

#real estate

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8   deepcgi   @   2016 Jun 13, 9:43pm  

If the prices stall, the market crashes. The price of the real estate must continue rising. People don't make enough to pay their mortgage without ever increasing equity, every lowering lending standards, new financial inventions, federal intervention, class action lawsuits, or theft. That is unaffordability.

There is something substantially different now than back in 2007. The inequality is no longer just between the rich and poor, but between the old and young.

The old are counting on three things to get them through their "retirement". 1) hardworking young people to keep paying for their benefits (and who will in turn NEVER have a retirement) 2) ever increasing investment returns (primarily home equity), and 3) their over-promised pension funds.

Unfortunately the young people can't AFFORD homes. That's for old people. The more gray the hair...the more of a leech they are on the young worker. "Keep breaking those rocks you young whipper-snappers....they have a new drug that will let me live to be 120 and I don't want to go back to work - let alone die and pay out inheritances!"

The cost of borrowing at a 5000 year low and a massive inequity between rich and poor and young and old.

The New Bastille Day is coming.

They say, you know, that if you squint your eyes, gray hair looks like a powdered wig.

9   anonymous   2016 Jun 13, 10:42pm  

just buy a fucking house dude.

answer me these questions and you will prove my point.
1. what is your gross monthly income?
2. what are your monthly debt obligations?
3. how much liquid assets do you have available? (savings + 70% of your 401k)
4. what is your credit score?

10   deepcgi   @   2016 Jun 14, 2:30am  

1. I'm 52 years old and gain about 2 gray hairs per month.
2. I live leaner than most, if not all, of you.
3. I've continually had enough in liquid assets to put at least 25 percent down on a nice home for about 30 years.
4. 169.

(oh sorry, that last one is my IQ - not my credit score)

11   deepcgi   @   2016 Jun 14, 2:45am  

Anyone want to venture a different guess as to why home builders are concentrating on apartments and condos, if the demand is genuinely as high for single family homes as you want to believe?

12   Y   @   2016 Jun 14, 4:29am  

Immigration. 3rd world cretians grow up knowing nothing else other than being stacked 20 high and 10 foot square.
normal is what normal is...

deepcgi says

Anyone want to venture a different guess as to why home builders are concentrating on apartments and condos,

14   Y   @   2016 Jun 14, 4:59am  

Millennial Immigrunts...

15   anonymous   2016 Jun 14, 7:15am  

deepcgi says

1. I'm 52 years old and gain about 2 gray hairs per month.

2. I live leaner than most, if not all, of you.

3. I've continually had enough in liquid assets to put at least 25 percent down on a nice home for about 30 years.

4. 169.

so you don't have any income?

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