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There will be no "Blue Wave", change my mind!
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2018 May 14, 8:51am 77,325 views 699 comments
« First « Previous Comments 308 - 347 of 699 Next » Last » Search these comments
309
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 13, 9:22am
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 13, 9:22am
"The party of the incumbent president tends to lose ground during midterm elections: over the past 21 midterm elections, the President's party has lost an average 30 seats in the House, and an average 4 seats in the Senate; moreover, in only two of those has the President's party gained seats in both houses."
Quoted from wikileadia.
Aphroman says
Ok. According to historical trends, losing 30 seats in house and 4 seats in Senate is typical for 1st midterm election.
I'll bet you $500 that the dems do worse than this in both. The dems BOTH gain less than 4 Senate seats AND gain less than 30 House seats.
Quoted from wikileadia.
Aphroman says
I’m the one who suggested the Skin In The Game because right wingers have been talking so much shit with no skin in the game.
Yet y’all don’t seem so confident if you’re offering only + ev. odds on your “bold prediction”
Ok. According to historical trends, losing 30 seats in house and 4 seats in Senate is typical for 1st midterm election.
I'll bet you $500 that the dems do worse than this in both. The dems BOTH gain less than 4 Senate seats AND gain less than 30 House seats.
310
LeonDurham
2018 Oct 13, 9:48am
CBOEtrader says
That was before all the districts were gerrymandered.
Ok. According to historical trends, losing 30 seats in house and 4 seats in Senate is typical for 1st midterm election.
That was before all the districts were gerrymandered.
311
Patrick
2018 Oct 13, 10:47am
Patrick
2018 Oct 13, 10:47am
Aphroman says
Yes, this does seem to be true.
LeonDurham must be using a lot of personal attacks, much worse than the right wingers
Yes, this does seem to be true.
312
LeonDurham
2018 Oct 13, 10:50am
Patrick says
OK please help me. What was personal? So I can avoid it in the future.
Yes, this does seem to be true.
OK please help me. What was personal? So I can avoid it in the future.
313
Goran_K
2018 Oct 13, 11:22am
Goran_K
2018 Oct 13, 11:22am
I didn’t see the posts that were flagged but in general anything that can be construed as a personal insult, it’s getting flagged.
So saying “Trump cultist usually say something like you said”, yeah that’s borderline personal. I usually let those fly but I can see if other mods nuke those kind of comments.
So to be on the safe side, keep everything non-personal.
So saying “Trump cultist usually say something like you said”, yeah that’s borderline personal. I usually let those fly but I can see if other mods nuke those kind of comments.
So to be on the safe side, keep everything non-personal.
317
lostand confused
2018 Oct 14, 7:58am
lostand confused
2018 Oct 14, 7:58am
I still don't get it why wear vaginas on your head? Do you want someone to screw your head?
318
HeadSet
2018 Oct 14, 8:04am
HeadSet
2018 Oct 14, 8:04am
lostand confused says
Maybe their heads bleed easy.
I still don't get it why wear vaginas on your head? Do you want someone to screw your head?
Maybe their heads bleed easy.
320
Shaman
2018 Oct 14, 8:22am
Shaman
2018 Oct 14, 8:22am
CBOEtrader says
This can’t be explained by average data. This time in politics is unprecedented. We’ve never had a party behave this badly and it be so evidenced by such a wide range of media. You’d have to be willfully blind and deaf to miss the absolute attack on our very nation that the Democrats have launched. They’re trying to kill the patient to cure the “disease” of conservative thought. The closest analogue was Lincoln’s election pre-Civil war and there was nothing like the media presence then as we have now.
I'll bet you $500 that the dems do worse than this in both. The dems BOTH gain less than 4 Senate seats AND gain less than 30 House seats.
This can’t be explained by average data. This time in politics is unprecedented. We’ve never had a party behave this badly and it be so evidenced by such a wide range of media. You’d have to be willfully blind and deaf to miss the absolute attack on our very nation that the Democrats have launched. They’re trying to kill the patient to cure the “disease” of conservative thought. The closest analogue was Lincoln’s election pre-Civil war and there was nothing like the media presence then as we have now.
321
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 14, 12:00pm
CBOEtrader
2018 Oct 14, 12:00pm
Quigley says
Yeah I know. That's why these blue wave expectations seem ridiculous.
If I had real balls I'd hit marcus's 26 seat bet.
https://www.predictit.org/legacy/Market/4214/How-many-House-seats-will-Democrats-hold-after-2018-midterms seems to be about a 55:45 bet in your favor
This can’t be explained by average data. This time in politics is unprecedented.
Yeah I know. That's why these blue wave expectations seem ridiculous.
If I had real balls I'd hit marcus's 26 seat bet.
https://www.predictit.org/legacy/Market/4214/How-many-House-seats-will-Democrats-hold-after-2018-midterms seems to be about a 55:45 bet in your favor
322
Shaman
2018 Oct 14, 1:20pm
Shaman
2018 Oct 14, 1:20pm
I am growing to think that my prediction is overly cautious. This might be a REAL grab-your-ankles spanking for the Democrats.
Men are done with the Democrats and their feminazi allies who can accuse, try, and convict you in the court of public opinion before you say anything at all.
It’s better to be single than with a feminist. Any man with balls will now understand this as they tipped their hand with the Kavanaugh Kangaroo Kourt. The goal is obviously male slavery, no objections allowed! And men are walking away.
Women who don’t want to become cat ladies had better reform pretty darn quick. In five years, the only feminists in sight will be aging harridans with ten cats, a pussy hat, and a bull-dyke horn.
Men are done with the Democrats and their feminazi allies who can accuse, try, and convict you in the court of public opinion before you say anything at all.
It’s better to be single than with a feminist. Any man with balls will now understand this as they tipped their hand with the Kavanaugh Kangaroo Kourt. The goal is obviously male slavery, no objections allowed! And men are walking away.
Women who don’t want to become cat ladies had better reform pretty darn quick. In five years, the only feminists in sight will be aging harridans with ten cats, a pussy hat, and a bull-dyke horn.
323
Bd6r
2018 Oct 14, 1:23pm
Bd6r
2018 Oct 14, 1:23pm
Quigley says
A simple solution is Mexican-American girlfriend. Not to be raycist, but feminism crap is usually spewed by white, middle-class or rich womyn from coasts. Have yet to hear that type of garbage from a normal Hispanic woman.
It’s better to be single than with a feminist
A simple solution is Mexican-American girlfriend. Not to be raycist, but feminism crap is usually spewed by white, middle-class or rich womyn from coasts. Have yet to hear that type of garbage from a normal Hispanic woman.
324
HeadSet
2018 Oct 15, 1:43pm
HeadSet
2018 Oct 15, 1:43pm
Have yet to hear that type of garbage from a normal Hispanic woman.
Kamala Harris?
Kamala Harris?
325
Bd6r
2018 Oct 15, 1:50pm
Bd6r
2018 Oct 15, 1:50pm
HeadSet says
Harris was born on October 20, 1964, in Oakland, California, to a Tamil Indian mother, Shyamala Gopalan Harris (1938–2009), and a Jamaican father, Donald Harris.
Kamala Harris?
Harris was born on October 20, 1964, in Oakland, California, to a Tamil Indian mother, Shyamala Gopalan Harris (1938–2009), and a Jamaican father, Donald Harris.
326
HeadSet
2018 Oct 15, 2:03pm
HeadSet
2018 Oct 15, 2:03pm
dr6B says
Thanks.
HeadSet saysKamala Harris?
Harris was born on October 20, 1964, in Oakland, California, to a Tamil Indian mother, Shyamala Gopalan Harris (1938–2009), and a Jamaican father, Donald Harris.
Thanks.
327
Bd6r
2018 Oct 15, 2:39pm
Bd6r
2018 Oct 15, 2:39pm
Aphroman says
That is part of it, another part is that the culture is very family-oriented. Someone here noted that one sees nearly no Hispanic homeless, which is extension of the same.
Spanish broads are usually pretty Conservative, usually dictated by however much silly religion their parents subscribe to
That is part of it, another part is that the culture is very family-oriented. Someone here noted that one sees nearly no Hispanic homeless, which is extension of the same.
328
tatupu70
2018 Oct 15, 5:01pm
tatupu70
2018 Oct 15, 5:01pm
TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
just fyi-I did, but someone obviously doesn't want the truth to be visible so all my posts were flagged.
Show me one Mainstream Media Outlet that wasn't all but guaranteeing a Hillary Victory. Right here on this board, Trump supporters were being mocked for even bothering to contest the election given such overwhelming numbers.
just fyi-I did, but someone obviously doesn't want the truth to be visible so all my posts were flagged.
330
Goran_K
2018 Oct 16, 8:28am
Goran_K
2018 Oct 16, 8:28am
Patrick says
Yes I'd like to see the flagged comment as well. I browsed the moderation queue yesterday and this morning, I never saw any of these supposed "unfair" flagged posts.
@tatupu70 can you point me to a flagged post or comment?
Yes I'd like to see the flagged comment as well. I browsed the moderation queue yesterday and this morning, I never saw any of these supposed "unfair" flagged posts.
331
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 19, 11:52am
MisdemeanorRebel
2018 Oct 19, 11:52am
Goran_K says
Nor I. I'm pretty lenient, it's got to be a bald insult for me to mark it personal.
Yes I'd like to see the flagged comment as well. I browsed the moderation queue yesterday and this morning, I never saw any of these supposed "unfair" flagged posts.
Nor I. I'm pretty lenient, it's got to be a bald insult for me to mark it personal.
332
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 8:58am
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 8:58am
Patrick says
Sure--I believe it was post 348.
But the even funnier one is the post that was marked spam in another thread. I'd love for someone to tell me how my post can be considered spam.
@tatupu70 can you point me to a flagged post or comment?
Sure--I believe it was post 348.
But the even funnier one is the post that was marked spam in another thread. I'd love for someone to tell me how my post can be considered spam.
333
Bd6r
2018 Oct 20, 9:20am
Bd6r
2018 Oct 20, 9:20am
Perhaps it would be reasonable to have two moderators agree if a comment has to be whacked, one moderator on left and one on right. I have noticed that a few comments that are quite personal do not disappear after being flagged.
334
Bd6r
2018 Oct 20, 9:41am
Bd6r
2018 Oct 20, 9:41am
Aphroman says
Wokieman is not hard right wing by any stretch of imagination
Lol there’s six hardcore right wing moderators here
Wokieman is not hard right wing by any stretch of imagination
335
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 9:45am
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 9:45am
The Aphroman says
99.999% of your posts are left wing cheers and right wing disses and one only needs to click on your post history to see all of it has not been edited or nuked.
So your complaints are pretty unfounded.
I seriously invite anyone to look at Aphromans post history and see if it’s devoid of right wing disses that the “mods” have mysteriously removed.
dr6B saysPerhaps it would be reasonable to have two moderators agree if a comment has to be whacked, one moderator on left and one on right. I have noticed that a few comments that are quite personal do not disappear after being flagged.
Lol there’s six hardcore right wing moderators here and only another 8-10 people that ever come here to post. A moderator on the Left lol yea that ain’t going to fly on a website that abandoned it’s Free Speech mission early in 2017.
99.999% of your posts are left wing cheers and right wing disses and one only needs to click on your post history to see all of it has not been edited or nuked.
So your complaints are pretty unfounded.
I seriously invite anyone to look at Aphromans post history and see if it’s devoid of right wing disses that the “mods” have mysteriously removed.
337
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 9:54am
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 9:54am
Thanks for your input tatupu/Joey/Leon.
Keep all posts civil please. Stick to the thread topic and keep it non-personal.
Keep all posts civil please. Stick to the thread topic and keep it non-personal.
338
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:11am
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:11am
Goran_K says
lol-- I rest my case.
Thanks for your input tatupu/Joey/Leon.
Keep all posts civil please. Stick to the thread topic and keep it non-personal.
lol-- I rest my case.
339
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:11am
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:11am
tatupu70 says
Goran_K saysThanks for your input tatupu/Joey/Leon.
Keep all posts civil please. Stick to the thread topic and keep it non-personal.
lol-- I rest my case.
341
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:16am
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:16am
Goran_K says
No problem buddy. It's a pleasure.
Good, I'm glad you rested. Thanks for following the rules.
No problem buddy. It's a pleasure.
342
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 10:22am
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 10:22am
It's an ugly business doing one's duty.
But just occasionally, it's a delightful pleasure.
But just occasionally, it's a delightful pleasure.
343
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:24am
tatupu70
2018 Oct 20, 10:24am
Goran_K says
I hope @Patrick is watching this. At least you're laying bare your motives here.
It's an ugly business doing one's duty.
But just occasionally, it's a delightful pleasure.
I hope @Patrick is watching this. At least you're laying bare your motives here.
344
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 10:25am
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 10:25am
tatupu70 says
Yes, keeping the forum civil and full of non-ad hom discourse is pleasurable to me. @Patrick also appreciates this I'm sure.
I hope @Patrick is watching this. At least you're laying bare your motives here.
Yes, keeping the forum civil and full of non-ad hom discourse is pleasurable to me. @Patrick also appreciates this I'm sure.
347
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 10:26am
Goran_K
2018 Oct 20, 10:26am
As long as you keep it non ad-hom, knock yourself out.
But now, let's keep it on topic. Thanks tatupu.
But now, let's keep it on topic. Thanks tatupu.
« First « Previous Comments 308 - 347 of 699 Next » Last » Search these comments
Yesterday former Bill Clinton advisor Dick Morris told radio host on New York's AM 970 that he believes the "blue wave" that Democrats are expecting to give them back the Senate and House will not materialize, and polling has backed him up.
Last week, CNN's mid term poll showed that Democrats only had a 3 point advantage, well within the margin of error, and considering that CNN is known for "oversampling" Democrats in its own polls, this is troubling for the DNC.
Additionally, a recent poll from Reuters (left leaning) has shown that Millennials are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Democrat membership in the 18-34 demographic (the bread and butter of the DNC) dropped 9% over the past 2 years, most of them becoming "independents".
"I think that [Democrats] see fool’s gold in these scandals," Morris said. "They’re putting everything behind the Stormy Daniels scandal and Michael Cohen … and the country doesn’t give a damn."
That's when Morris dropped his prediction.
"There is no blue wave coming," Morris exclaimed. "There is a red wave. And what makes it red is the blood of the Democratic Party."
Here's my official take. I believe the GOP will LOSE seats in the house but will not give it up to the DNC. I believe the GOP will GAIN seats in the senate, keeping their majority. This will mean that Trump will have both houses of congress for his entire term.