10
0

There will be no "Blue Wave", change my mind!


 invite response                
2018 May 14, 8:51am   80,410 views  699 comments

by Goran_K   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  



Yesterday former Bill Clinton advisor Dick Morris told radio host on New York's AM 970 that he believes the "blue wave" that Democrats are expecting to give them back the Senate and House will not materialize, and polling has backed him up.

Last week, CNN's mid term poll showed that Democrats only had a 3 point advantage, well within the margin of error, and considering that CNN is known for "oversampling" Democrats in its own polls, this is troubling for the DNC.

Additionally, a recent poll from Reuters (left leaning) has shown that Millennials are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Democrat membership in the 18-34 demographic (the bread and butter of the DNC) dropped 9% over the past 2 years, most of them becoming "independents".

"I think that [Democrats] see fool’s gold in these scandals," Morris said. "They’re putting everything behind the Stormy Daniels scandal and Michael Cohen … and the country doesn’t give a damn."

That's when Morris dropped his prediction.

"There is no blue wave coming," Morris exclaimed. "There is a red wave. And what makes it red is the blood of the Democratic Party."

Here's my official take. I believe the GOP will LOSE seats in the house but will not give it up to the DNC. I believe the GOP will GAIN seats in the senate, keeping their majority. This will mean that Trump will have both houses of congress for his entire term.

« First        Comments 687 - 699 of 699        Search these comments

687   HappyGilmore   2018 Nov 26, 5:21pm  

HappyGilmore says
TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
For posterity:





So, let's recap. As I tried to tell all of you, Nate was almost perfect. Dems are expected to win 38 seats when all is said and done and votes are done counting in CA.

The RCP polling average is going to be pretty damn close as well with Dems +7 or +7.5

My favorite--GA6 went to Dems this go around. Just needed a better candidate than Ossoff.

And as I tried to tell McGee--Republicans have lost suburban soccer Moms for a long time. Dems consistently won all types of suburban districts.

Typically, the party out of power wins in the midterms because the other party doesn't show up to vote. in 2018, Trump got his base out and they voted. But he has alienated so many ...


So, just a quick update and the almost final tally:

Dems have now gained 40 seats, more than almost anyone predicted. Dem House candidates will end up with almost as many votes in a mid-term election as Trump received in a Presidential year. And ended up +8. It was a complete rout.

So, while I'm certain Goran's mind wasn't changed, there is no doubt it was a blue wave.

Long term I think Trump will be great for the Democratic party, but short term it really hurts the country.
688   MisdemeanorRebel   2018 Nov 26, 6:28pm  

HappyGilmore says
Dems have now gained 40 seats, more than almost anyone predicted. Dem House candidates will end up with almost as many votes in a mid-term election as Trump received in a Presidential year. And ended up +8. It was a complete rout.

So, while I'm certain Goran's mind wasn't changed, there is no doubt it was a blue wave.


And yet, the Republicans picked up two Senate seats.

I'm convinced there was a huge amount of illegal voter mail fraud, and that had Broward not been stopped, Florida would have turned Blue. California is beyond hope, but Arizona was surprising, although I think the GOPe runs Arizona and much of the losses were due to GOPe allowing the Dems to commit fraud without check. In Pennsylvania, the liberal State Supreme Court jerrymandered districts to favor the Democrats.

There were some very odd races where early Republican voting and mail-in ballots when Republicans normally dominate Election Day, ended up with all the ballots counted after election day mysteriously swinging to the Democrat. And many races where the Republican State Officials won by double digit margins, but the Democrat unseated an incumbent, which is unusual in mid-term elections.

Additionally, the results in Orange County showed the Democrats are the new party of the Elite and the Lumpenproles against Middle America and back the 6th-7th Party System idea. This was a realignment election which reflects the new Nationalist Populist vs. Elite Globalist nature of US Politics.

The Dems did get out their base, but I'm not convinced of the married female voter. The suburban SEIU member cat lady yes.

Three pieces of Good News:

* Many of the ousted Republicans were RINOs and these seats were lost by a hair
* It took incredible sums to flip these districts over several cycles, like Georgia 6.
* But many of these districts went Democrat by a hair (again, GA-6) and can easily flip back.

Trump is going to be re-elected in 2020, and the House will swing back like it did in 2010. IF the Republican State legislatures crack down on Fraud and Illegal Voting. If not, we will be swamped by an Elitist-Third World alliance that will destroy the American Dream forever, and blame it all on White Men.

Edit: Another person who deserves blame is Paul Ryan and other GOPe types who populate most of the Ground Forces. He loves globalism and sees populism is a threat.
689   Bd6r   2018 Nov 26, 6:31pm  

TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
White Men

Fucking White Men, oppressors of womyn, minorities, and transgendereds
690   MisdemeanorRebel   2018 Nov 26, 6:37pm  

TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
Trump is going to be re-elected in 2020, and the House will swing back like it did in 2010. IF the Republican State legislatures crack down on Fraud and Illegal Voting. If not, we will be swamped by an Elitist-Third World alliance that will destroy the American Dream forever, and blame it all on White Men.


The reason this is possible is because of unmarried women and to a lesser extent, coastal soyboys. The unifying angle is that both groups have no direct descendants to protect, see their cosmopolitan provincialism as a superior and infallible worldview, and hate (married and/or attractive, successful) White Males
691   anonymous   2018 Nov 26, 9:28pm  

HappyGilmore says
Long term I think Trump will be great for the Democratic party, but short term it really hurts the country.
God save us. I'm embarrassed for humanity when people truly believe socialistic ideals are the way to go. We're slowly killing the human race.
692   NDrLoR   2018 Nov 27, 7:25am  

Herdingcats says
roads private, close public schools, close the post office, disband fire, police and the military all socialistic ideals
These aren't socialism, they're called infrastructure and public services, funded through taxation, common to every municipality. The only exception is public schools, a perfect microcosm of what the Soviet Union would have created and funded. And yes, in virtually every instance with the schools, private outperforms public.
693   Shaman   2018 Nov 28, 5:54am  

And with the Mississippi race finally decided, the Senate stands at 53-47.
694   marcus   2018 Nov 28, 6:14am  

personal
695   Goran_K   2018 Nov 28, 6:45am  

Quigley says
And with the Mississippi race finally decided, the Senate stands at 53-47.


#bluewave
696   marcus   2018 Nov 28, 6:54am  

personal
697   Goran_K   2018 Nov 28, 6:56am  

marcus says
Sad. You must be so proud.


I’m generally happy.

Election is over. We were both off the mark. But still no blue wave.
698   RC2006   2018 Nov 28, 8:53am  

Need to be called the #blueundertow dragging people back to the depths.
699   FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut   2018 Dec 4, 7:54pm  

Herdingcats says
APHAman says
Goran_K says
marcus says
Sad. You must be so proud.


I’m generally happy.

Election is over. We were both off the mark. But still no blue wave.


No blue wave? Lol, did you welch on your bet again?

http://www.electproject.org/2018g


There was a BLUE tsunami in the OC.


That needs to be court challenged. There was no blue tsunami, just a whole lot of election fraud with strangers turning in "other peoples" ballots by 100,000+ at a time.

« First        Comments 687 - 699 of 699        Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions   gaiste