patrick.net

Wuhan virus is likely to save at least 50,000 elderly from dying of the flu this year

They won't be around long enough to catch the flu that would have killed them.

Europe starting to flatten with Italy first.

socal2 says

- We will have a larger immune population
- Our Healthcare system will have more time to adapt with ventilators etc
- We will have better testing
- We will have more drug options to treat the worst cases
- We will ultimately have a vaccine.

In other words, we will see the absolute worst of this disease in America in the next 10 days

Quotes 5 things that have no chance of making a difference in 10 days, but believes the pandemic will miraculously peak in 10 days.

Patrick says

Wuhan virus is likely to save at least 50,000 elderly from dying of the flu this year

Right wing people don't have anyone they love above 60, and think elderly lives don't matter enough to affect their lives choices.

And people in good health below 50 who think they're just gonna sail through this thing without missing a beat are not listening to voices from the front lines. Some younger healthy people ARE dying or have permanently damaged lungs.

Heraclitusstudent says

Some younger healthy people

Even though it's much deadlier than the regular flu, not very many young healthy people die from it. Most of the stories about young people dying seem to include mention of other serious illness, like leukemia, etc.

Patrick says

OK, so that's 150,000,000 x 0.2 x 0.01 = 300,000. About 3.75x the number of flu deaths in 2018.

For Covid-19, this will probably decline in about a year, after the CDC and others review more data and estimate the number of infected who didn't go to the hospital or doctor.

tovarichpeter says

“Getting vaccinated against the flu is important because a coronavirus outbreak that strikes in the middle of a flu epidemic is much more likely to overwhelm hospitals and increases the odds that the coronavirus goes undetected. This was probably a factor in Italy, a country with a strong anti-vaccine movement, he said.“

@tovarichpeter 's last post.

What happened to him?