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Hobson's choice

By Dholliday126 follow Dholliday126   2020 Apr 3, 9:48am 290 views   3 comments   watch   nsfw   quote   share    


Let's face it folks, it's either we accept killing 2 million sick old folks or we accept a true blue old school depression.

There will be no vaccine for years, yeah we may slow down the curve, but that just means this will go on for longer. It may come back next year. THIS WILL NOT STOP UNTIL WE HAVE HERD IMMUNITY, aka 70% of population went through it. This is not a month or 2 thing, but a 6 month to year thing. The economy will not survive that.

2 million dead or a depression that will radically change America, pick your poison. I think to kill is the only choice aka Hobson's.
1   rocketjoe79   ignore (1)   2020 Apr 3, 10:29am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag      

No vaccine was created for swine flu, SAR or MERS. No Big Pharma Money! The yearly flu shot is profitable because you just tweak last year's partially effective drug cocktail and send it out again. Millions of doses every year. It's a good racket for something that's only 40% effective.
2   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2020 Apr 3, 10:56am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag      

Dholliday126 says
2 million dead or a depression

I don't think the choice is that stark.
First, you need to control the spread, which is what we are doing now.
Second, you can reopen at least partially (retail, production), provided you have:
- everyone wears masks, sanitize hands before entering stores, stays 6 feet away from each other, etc...
- we have systematic testing effort on a massive scale, meaning everyone working should be tested constantly, maybe every week.
- we track the source of new cases and quarantine people that were exposed.

This means massive ramping up of production of masks, testing kits, sanitizer, disinfectants, etc.... We are not close of what is needed.

Third, we will probably have a drug or treatment within months, and a vaccine within 1.5 year.

With all this, it still means 3 months of economic collapse, plus then a limited rebound for the following year.

Any large meeting will still be prohibited for a year: probably schools will have to remain closed for the year, sporting events, conferences canceled.
3   Heraclitusstudent   ignore (2)   2020 Apr 3, 11:08am     ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag      

Peeps who can work from home will probably be asked to continue doing it.

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