patrick.net

NoCoupForYou says

Even if Biden takes PA, MI, and holds MN

I'll probably eat my words later, but I don't think Biden wins any of the states in the comment I'm quoting from you. I didn't think the polling could be any worse than '16, but I think we might be seeing the worst polling data ever. I'm not talking 3.5 margin of error. Wouldn't be shocked if some of this data is off 7-10%.

It's rare to find a Biden voter even here in IL and Pritzker may have squashed the down ballot Dems here in IL. I'm hopeful, but the IL Republican party is pure trash, so I always 2nd guess my gut feeling here. If Trump gets within 5 point in IL, then states like AZ and NV are most certainly going to Trump and we can be in bed by 9-10pm central time and wake up to news of the temper tantrums for a day or two and then move on with life. Hopefully.

WookieMan says

It's rare to find a Biden voter even here in IL and Pritzker may have squashed the down ballot Dems here in IL. I'm hopeful, but the IL Republican party is pure trash, so I always 2nd guess my gut feeling here. If Trump gets within 5 point in IL, then states like AZ and NV are most certainly going to Trump and we can be in bed by 9-10pm central time and wake up to news of the temper tantrums for a day or two and then move on with life. Hopefully.

I am surprised at how Americans trust their voting system. Why do you suppose such a weak candidate like Biden was run? He makes Walter Mondale look like a god in comparison. The election will be stolen, Kamala Harris is our next president.

richwicks says

Why do you suppose such a weak candidate like Biden was run?

Why was Hillary run and Trump defeated her? It's about organization. Democrats have failed miserably for about 2 decades now. Obama was a fluke and fucked up the "plan" for the party knocking Hillary off. They haven't recovered since then. There will have to be massive and identifiable voter fraud for Biden to win in my opinion.

While I don't trust the system 100%, I just can't and don't see Biden winning. No one likes the guy, and that's saying something running against Trump.

WookieMan says

While I don't trust the system 100%, I just can't and don't see Biden winning. No one likes the guy, and that's saying something running against Trump.

Who cares if nobody likes Biden? Harris was thrown out of the race when Tulsi Gabbard ripped her a brand new asshole. Here, the salient parts are the beginning:

www.youtube.com/embed/Y4fjA0K2EeE

Where she lied about benefiting from busing for desegregation. I doubt she's EVER gone to a public skool.

https://heavy.com/news/2020/08/kamala-harris-montreal-canada/

And 3:50 is when Tulsi Gabbard knocked her right out the race. So why was Kamala Harris picked? Because she'll be a loyal puppet. Nobody likes either of them, they're still going to "win". Hope to eat my own words in a few days, but I don't think I will be. I've given up on the country.

We're not a republic, we're not a democracy. We're in an oligarchical dictatorship. Kiss the country goodbye - it's gone.

The new humiliation of the future, showing what a flagrant idiot you were. "Really, YOU voted for Biden?" Snicker, smirk, roll eyes, point while gagging with mouth over hand.

richwicks says

So why was Kamala Harris picked? Because she'll be a loyal puppet. Nobody likes either of them, they're still going to "win". Hope to eat my own words in a few days, but I don't think I will be. I've given up on the country.

She checks multiple leftist boxes. Kind of black, Asian and a woman. Also won statewide office in CA. They're pandering. And yes, you are correct she'll be a loyal puppet. As I said though the Democrats are a shit show and this is just another layer on their shit cake.

Do I trust the system, hell no. But Hillary was groomed once Bill left the WH to be the first woman POTUS. Senator and then Secretary of State. Obama fucked up her plan so threw here a bone by getting her a resume building position as SOS. Just another feather in her cap. Trump beat her. What in the flying fuck does Biden offer? Trump now has a track record. I don't see how Biden/Harris win this thing. Thought Trump was toast in '16. There's double and triple the signs and support this round in my area in "deep blue" IL.

I think this likely gets 90% decided tonight. Hopefully. If it drags on that's just more BS. The West coast of this country doesn't much matter at this point. AZ or NV would be nice, but we should know by 10-11pm ET who won.

I don't agree with much from Gabbart, but she is obviously very intelligent and honest. And she fucking raked Harris through the coals so bad that they pretty much banned her from the debates after that.

Hillary was chosen by the DNC in 2008, and Barry fucked that up. She hated him, yet goes to work for him to stay in for 2016. 2016 was so fixed, no democrat even ran other than Bernie.

You should know that you are going to lose when even the Amish are trolling you:

TrumpingTits says

WookieMan says

Also won statewide office in CA.

How in the hell does that help in other states? Even other blue ones?

I'm mocking the Dems strategy. They clearly don't know what they're doing. They should have selected a POC (not necessarily woman) from WI, MI, FL, OH or other potential battleground states to pander to the base. Home State bump is a real thing, which does nothing for the Dems picking Harris from CA. It was stupid. That was my not well laid out point.

WookieMan says

TrumpingTits says

WookieMan says

Also won statewide office in CA.

How in the hell does that help in other states? Even other blue ones?

I'm mocking the Dems strategy. They clearly don't know what they're doing. They should have selected a POC (not necessarily woman) from WI, MI, FL, OH or other potential battleground states to pander to the base. Home State bump is a real thing, which does nothing for the Dems picking Harris from CA. It was stupid. That was my not well laid out point.

Yes, but two things.

1. Harris was always the choice
2. Sleepy joe went off script when someone asked him if he would commit to selecting a woman and said yes.

theoakman says

2. Sleepy joe went off script when someone asked him if he would commit to selecting a woman and said yes.

There are powerful women out there, even my own wife is super successful. I'm not sure I'd ever trust a woman to run the country as sexist as that sounds though. Hence why I mentioned a POC as a VP for Biden but not a woman. It was a major tipping point for me in 2008 with McCain and Palin ticket. Wasn't a huge fan of McCain either way, but Palin was the final nail in the coffin that got me to vote Obama. Despised Hillary and didn't trust Trump in '16, so only voted down ballot.

I'd guess picking Harris moved the needle 1-2 points towards Trump for men and only maybe 0.5 points for Biden from women. It really was a god awful decision. I don't think the race will be close, so it's probably not relevant, but doesn't negate her as VP pick being awful. If anyone was being honest, Hillary lost because she was a woman. Some legacy issues as well, but men don't trust a woman to run things. It's a valid opinion when I look at my own widowed mom and MIL. They are frankly helpless. It's my part time job dealing with their shit. Although my BIL's are piles of shit too, so everything falls on me.

WookieMan says

theoakman says

2. Sleepy joe went off script when someone asked him if he would commit to selecting a woman and said yes.

There are powerful women out there, even my own wife is super successful. I'm not sure I'd ever trust a woman to run the country as sexist as that sounds though. Hence why I mentioned a POC as a VP for Biden but not a woman. It was a major tipping point for me in 2008 with McCain and Palin ticket. Wasn't a huge fan of McCain either way, but Palin was the final nail in the coffin that got me to vote Obama. Despised Hillary and didn't trust Trump in '16, so only voted down ballot.

I'd guess picking Harris moved the needle 1-2 points towards Trump for men and only maybe 0.5 points for Biden from women. It really was a god awful decision. I don't think the race will be close, so it's probably not relevant, but doesn't negate her as VP pick being awful. If anyone was be...

I don't have a problem voting for a woman, but if you notice, the Dems always trot out the most obnoxious women devoid of logic. Bad idea. I've had the pleasure of meeting plenty of women in my life who were intelligent, composed, and logical. I've also met way too many women who were intelligent but illogical, and at least once of month completely fucking bonkers.

Women are innately different from men, but they are generally unaware of the ways.

I explained a difference recently to a female who is broke, and hopes that I “help” her.

Firstly, I said don’t call it help, say you want some money.

Anyway, males are competitive all their lives; we compete for good grades, we compete for jobs, we compete in sports for fun, we compete for money and we compete for girls.

When a bleeding heart female suggests “helping” someone, I say “I consider my money the results of winning a competition with lazier, dumber, weaker guys, and you want to take it from me to give to the losers?!?!”

I don’t call my money money to these chicks; I call it my blood, sweat and tears.

You can be goddamn sure no female gave money to anyone unless she had a rich male partner and she thought they could easily afford it.

I can’t afford a dime.

theoakman says

I don't have a problem voting for a woman, but if you notice, the Dems always trot out the most obnoxious women devoid of logic

So did the R's with Palin though. That was the point. Once women get put under a microscope, it all goes to shit much of the time from what I've witnessed. They don't have the who gives a fuck filter, I'm gonna do it my way. They question their moves too long and it comes back to bite them. Men and women are different animals. There are unicorns out there that are women, but I'd rather have someone make a decision and not overthink it. Most women do that. When a nuke is coming at you at mach 2, time goes out the window.

Anyway, males are competitive all their lives; we compete for good grades, we compete for jobs, we compete in sports for fun, we compete for money and we compete for girls.

Yes, but women can be very competitive as well, competing with other women for successful, attractive men.

WookieMan says

theoakman says

I don't have a problem voting for a woman, but if you notice, the Dems always trot out the most obnoxious women devoid of logic

So did the R's with Palin though. That was the point. Once women get put under a microscope, it all goes to shit much of the time from what I've witnessed. They don't have the who gives a fuck filter, I'm gonna do it my way. They question their moves too long and it comes back to bite them. Men and women are different animals. There are unicorns out there that are women, but I'd rather have someone make a decision and not overthink it. Most women do that. When a nuke is coming at you at mach 2, time goes out the window.

That's true, and I couldn't vote for McCain either. I mean, I watch him change his mind on so many issues and he appeared to be losing it as well. The whole Palin thing was just stupid. But, the fact remains, I've seen plenty of females in politics running on a Republican ticket that seem to be normal. Dem ticket...never.

https://www.breitbart.com/2020-election/2020/11/02/draft-kings-election-pool-majority-in-49-states-predict-trump-victory/

WookieMan says

men don't trust a woman to run things

With good reason. Women's interests are inherently very different from men's:

Women are not killed by invading armies. They are too valuable for reproduction.
Men are disposable.

Even male chimpanzees protect the borders of their territories against male
invaders. Female chimpanzees have no interest in defense, because like human
women, they find the winning male sexy, since he has proved himself in battle.
If he can kill her own males, he can also protect her.

Women are disinclined to maintain borders. They unconsciously hope for an
invasion of sexy foreign men who prove themselves more dominant than their own
men. This is a valid argument against women's suffrage.

https://patrick.net/post/1336150/2020-10-31-borders

BTW, my wife received a text today at 5am that said "Stay safe today, stay home." Sounds like they don't want her to vote. Then it was repeated later.

Not sure who exactly would be behind that.

theoakman says

Palin

Talk about a rising star that crashed! I wonder where she is today. I thought too that it showed such poor judgment on McCain's part.

theoakman says

Harris was always the choice

The mainstream media will go 24/7 promoting how great of a President that Vice President Harris will eventually be.

.

I don't even think it was McCains decision. He was just going along with the ride from the RNC overlords.

It is only 9:48 AM ET, and the FL-Dems' pre-Election Day advantage has already been totally wiped out. FL-GOPers now lead in all voting by 8922.

Where are you getting election results? Even as late at 1PM Eastern the politico and related sites are still showing all precincts as "0% Reporting"

HeadSet says

Where are you getting election results? Even as late at 1PM Eastern the politico and related sites are not showing all precincts as "0% Reporting"

https://thedonald.win/p/11PoxGWWw7/republicans-have-wiped-out-democ/c/

zzyzzx says

It is only 9:48 AM ET, and the FL-Dems' pre-Election Day advantage has already been totally wiped out. FL-GOPers now lead in all voting by 8922.

Where is that reported ?

What I'm concerned about is 4.5 million of the 6 million Florida mail-in ballots have been returned so far.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/florida-results

.

https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

TrumpingTits says

zzyzzx says

It is only 9:48 AM ET, and the FL-Dems' pre-Election Day advantage has already been totally wiped out. FL-GOPers now lead in all voting by 8922.

But the mail in votes have to all be counted!

As per:

https://patrick.net/post/1336261/2020-11-03-trumpingtits-election-prediction

Pissed at my neighbors. They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person. No way their vote ends up getting counted unfortunately. Smart people too. Don't get it.

WookieMan says

They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person

Won't it be postmarked by at least 3 November so that it will be accepted when it is received ?

ad says

WookieMan says

They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person

Won't it be postmarked by at least 3 November so that it will be accepted when it is received ?

Should be.

Women never leave the foxhole.

zzyzzx says

It is only 9:48 AM ET, and the FL-Dems' pre-Election Day advantage has already been totally wiped out. FL-GOPers now lead in all voting by 8922.

Republican lead over 120,000 in Florida. Whoo hoo!

Eric Holder says

ad says

WookieMan says

They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person

Won't it be postmarked by at least 3 November so that it will be accepted when it is received ?

Should be.

All the local media outlets were saying mail in ballots needed to be in by last Thursday here in IL. I could be wrong, but it's what I heard. Might be a state by state thing?

NoCoupForYou says

Republican lead over 120,000 in Florida. Whoo hoo!

Now over 160. Coming close to a full point lead.

300k in NC, Close to a 3 point lead. Not such a swing state!

https://twitter.com/jakejakeny/status/1320802361447796736

Dow jumped over 550 points today. CNN claims that it is the financial markets "doubling down: on a Biden victory.