patrick.net

mell says

he needs to win MI, PA or WI

He will likely win all 3. I don't follow much and don't have a feel for the southwest (AZ & NV), but MI and WI are my people. I don't see how he loses those two at minimum. And it sounds crazy, but I still think IL could be closer than people think. I don't think he'll win it necessarily, but don't be surprised if it's too close to call.

Polling simply doesn't matter as people lie. There's still a massive chunk of voters that don't want to be honest about support for Trump or as some users here have done, game the system. Vote in Democratic primaries to screw with them. They don't poll much in IL, but I'd never get put on a list as a Trump supporter through some polling service. The left is sick and I don't need a potential target on my back.

Still predicting a landslide at this point. Gonna stick with my gut feeling on this. There's not one logical reason outside of not liking Trump to vote for Biden. Not one.

richwicks says

This after George H. Bush's son was elected to the presidency?

I’m no Bush fan but the choice was Bush vs Gore or Bush vs Kerry. Wasn’t a great choice either way.

Trump is the first president I’ve actually been excited to vote for.

ignoreme says

Trump is the first president I’ve actually been excited to vote for.

Not old enough to vote for Reagan?

www.youtube.com/embed/wQN0stFPySU

wow, Joe, you better hide in a bunker than delivering this garbage.

If the left can openly discuss packing the Supreme Court, we should discuss Trumps 3rd and or 4th term.

zzyzzx says

If the left can openly discuss packing the Supreme Court, we should discuss Trumps 3rd and or 4th term.

No. I'll be voting for Trump. 2 terms is enough. Need term limits for Senate and House as well, but it will never happen. I'd say 12 max for either. 2 terms for Senate and 6 for House. Then you're done. Needs to be long enough to make it worth the work to get there, but not a career. Right now, Congress is a career for most of them.

Republicans in FL are ahead of where they were in 2016. Democrats are behind. Early Voting ends this weekend.

https://twitter.com/JNEWS245/status/1321525538079596545

Time to start buying stocks, folks! I’m all in anticipating a Trump win and a resultant stocks boom when investors know there won’t be more lockdowns. Trump is gonna put a stop to that bullshit.

zzyzzx says

If the left can openly discuss packing the Supreme Court, we should discuss Trumps 3rd and or 4th term.

There's nothing in the Constitution or law that defines how many judges sit on the Supreme Court. 9 has just become a traditional number.

PA just agreed to separate contested ballots from uncontested ballots until after election day, giving SCOTUS time to rule.

Looks like the Great Steal is doomed, since PA is/was the major lynchpin.

WookieMan says

And it sounds crazy, but I still think IL could be closer than people think.

Even Massachusetts, the Big Council of Blue along with New York, Vermont, & Maryland will be a subpar performance ...

https://patrick.net/post/1335673?offset=0#comment-1707694

In 1988, Governor Dukakis was considered soft on crime (extra detail: Willie Horton murdered someone while on furlough from jail) and a Taxachusetts Democrat. Since then, believe it or not, but Mass residents have been electing mostly Republican governors (Bill Weld, Paul Cellucci, Mitt Romney, etc) to balance against the Democratic legislature.

In fact, for a Mass local, Dukakis lost counties in central Mass and much of Cape Cod to Bush Senior, winning a paltry 53% of the overall state (since Boston metro has the highest population density, which he swept) whereas in contrast, John Kerry, another Mass local, won every county in the state against Bush Junior, pulling out with 62%, a very decisive win for a state, rural or Boston metro.

Even Hillary Clinton got close to 60% overall.

So yes, Biden may be the next Dukakis but it looks like everyone's wary of him having a tank moment, ala Dementia et al, so they're controlling the cameras on him so that Trump can't flame him the way Bush Senior did to Dukakis.

Perceptive comment from another forum:

When 4.4 million Californians can vote for the GOP presidential candidate in
2016 and not have their votes "count", when their votes alone, even as 31% of
the CA electorate, outnumber those cast for president in 40 other states....
something is busted. A similar imbalance in the other direction in Florida and
Texas. It's messed up.

Trump is up - I said UP - in both Palm Beach and Miami-Dade Counties. Obama won MDC by about 30 points.

This is early and mail voting, not polls.

Saint Lucie (Fort Pierce) and Pinellas (Clearwater/St. Pete) are two big swing counties, bellweathers. Both are advantage:Trump, as he is ahead vs. this time in 2016.

Sumter County ("The Villages" the MSM was promoting as a sign Trump was losing steam among oldies) is doing better now for Trump than in 2016 by a point and a half.

Democrats, I suggest you panic.

NoCoupForYou says

Saint Lucie (Fort Pierce) and Pinellas (Clearwater/St. Pete) are two big swing counties, bellweathers. Both are advantage:Trump, as he is ahead vs. this time in 2016.

Going to be a blood bath. Plain and simple. If he loses I'll eat my words, but I'm pretty confident. Everyone has done better the last 4 years outside of Covid and I think most people understand what a virus is. There's no point in change at this time. That's the general gist of the situation.

zzyzzx says

Noooooooo!

Despite abundant Early Voting results coming in, I notice the MSM is still using polls where returns exist and claiming victory is not only possible but that Trump has little chance.

It's never been more apparent how much the media is rigging the election with dishonest reporting.

NoCoupForYou says

Trump is up - I said UP - in both Palm Beach and Miami-Dade Counties.

@NoCoupForYou, where is this data from? would be nice if true and not wishful thinking

Make sure to select "Advantage| that combines EV and VBM.

https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

Trump ahead in Maricopa County, AZ

NoCoupForYou says

Trump ahead in Maricopa County, AZ

584K in 2020 vs 315K in 2018.... That's a lot of additional demon rats coming out of woodwork.

Colorado possibly in play - Dem lead cut from 30% to 7.6%

CO here we go!
Rs slashing the D lead. Was 30 points last week.

This morning? 7.6% (160,000 votes)

— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) October 29, 2020

NoCoupForYou says

Colorado possibly in play - Dem lead cut from 30% to 7.6%

If CO is in play, then think of all of the previously unsure states are already red.

Ripped off from another site:

I was biking through Hollywood, Florida last Tuesday, when I all of the sudden saw a Debbie Wasserman Shultz political sign on the side of the road. I instantly became panicked and began to sweat profusely. Unable to continue along my path because of my broken mental state, I pulled to the side of the road to wipe my eyes, and clear my head. My first thought was to kick this vile display of criminal injustice, but I would never mess with the property of someone else. And then I thought that perhaps I should speak with the homeowner to see if this is some kind of sick joke, but the sign was on the corner of a vacant lot. I just hope that no children see this disgusting sign of open and active Anti-Americanism.

Booger says

NoCoupForYou says

Colorado possibly in play - Dem lead cut from 30% to 7.6%

If CO is in play, then think of all of the previously unsure states are already red.

#2020BloodBath

From DU:

"Anyone else having panic attacks?
Or feeling incredibly panicked over the election? It's now to the point where I wake up in the middle of each night with terror that Trump might win re-election. It probably isn't rational, but the consequences are so horrific if the polls are wrong that I can't help but be anxious. "

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100214386571#post10

Eric Holder says

It's now to the point where I wake up in the middle of each night with terror that Trump might win re-election.

lol. Don't got to sleep 11/3 chief.

8th District shoots down Minnesota Sec. of State last minute change to allow absentee ballots to be received until the 10th of November, a week after the election.

(FOX 9) - The Eighth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals has ruled that absentee ballots in Minnesota must be received by 8 p.m. on Election Day in order to be counted.

This means election workers will not be able to count ballots that are received after Election Day. This election, Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon had announced an extension to the deadline so that ballots received up to seven days after Election Day would be accepted as long as they were postmarked on Nov. 3. However, this ruling invalidates that extension.

"However well-intentioned and appropriate from a policy perspective in the context of a pandemic during a presidential election, it is not the province of a state executive official to re-write the state’s election code, at least as it pertains to selection of presidential electors," read the order.

https://www.fox9.com/news/court-of-appeals-rules-minnesota-absentee-ballots-must-be-received-by-8-p-m-on-election-day

NoCoupForYou says

re-write the state’s election code,

LOL!

Tell that to the rest of the progressive seditionists in the country.

www.youtube.com/embed/4hGMWdMCLK8

Both NV and MI may go red, MI more likely. Both have almost as many modeled Republican as Democrat early voters thus far. People in NV are fed up with the lockdowns. If Tahoe locks down again and they lose another ski season many more will have to close shop. Same for Casinos, resorts etc.

https://stream.org/the-landslide-america-will-be-glad-to-have/

https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1320958326247751680?s=20

zzyzzx says

https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1320958326247751680?s=20

Awesome! I am seeing waaaay more Trump flags than Biden/Harris - everywhere I go.