patrick.net

There's a guy on Youtube, I have to find it, who showed where Nate was targeting phone calls, and contrasted the contacts with the counties the polled individuals were located in.

In most circumstances, you had "blue dots" - contacted polling receipients - all over deep dark red counties that went for Trump by 20,30%.

Sometimes 6 of 8 contacts in a county that went Trump by 15, 20, 30% were reporting Biden votes. Unpossible!

In other words, they're not just not trying to reach shy Trump Voters, they're not even trying to be accurate.

https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/michigan-democratic-rep-so-many-auto-workers-are-choosing-trump-over

https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/trump-and-biden-locked-tight-pennsylvania-race-according-trafalgar-group

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/10/29/2020-polls-trump-biden-prediction-accurate-2016-433619

But what if you shouldn’t trust the polls?

Came across a poll at the bottom of this page:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/biden-aides-see-warning-signs-in-black-latino-turnout-so-far/ar-BB1ayfa6

I said I was a Middle Aged Black Woman who didn't think it was likely that Biden would win.

mell says

These assholes should pay for it but it's possible this is just a precursor and power grab test and check on how willing the sheep are so they can enact similar bullshit during bad flu seasons.

Here's the deal with me. I want to be around for as long as possible, have grandkids blah, blah. But I can't stand people that have this massive fear of death. There's also the understanding that this is an airborne virus. It will never go away even with a vaccine. As you basically say, the the sheep are so dumb to even understand 7th grade science and math. It's astounding that people think we can hide, vaccinate or mask our way out of this. The fucking masks aren't even working as we speak. The more we wear them the more cases we get!

Almost every person on this planet will get Covid-19 at some point. Vaccine or not. We need to start acting like adults and just deal with the reality. Stop politicizing it. You're more at risk of death doing dozens of other daily activities.

Sorry, massive Covid fatigue is setting in and I'm really getting pissed about it. You'd think with all this tech and science we'd have become smarter and not substantially more retarded.

WookieMan says

You'd think with all this tech and science we'd have become smarter and not substantially more retarded

Haven’t you realized that to 90% of people, technology is a complete magic box? They turn it on and it works. They have no idea how it works or how to fix it when it stops working. They’re just savages playing with a magic box.
And science? To most people, science is some amalgam of magic boxes that show people with fancy degrees who tell them what to do and how to think. They don’t understand that it’s a process.

Democracy Institute/Sunday Express Poll

National
Trump 48% (+1)
Biden 47%

Swing States
Trump 49% (+4)
Biden 45%

Electoral College
Trump 326
Biden 212

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/10/31/gop-chair-in-new-mexico-says-donald-trump-will-win-the-state/amp/

GOP Chair in New Mexico Says Trump Will Win State

What a hilarious situation: Biden is up 10 points in the polls, and yet the vast majority of Trump twitter is giddy because they know he's going to win.

Meanwhile, over at Biden twitter, they're booking appointments with their shrinks and are soul-sick with anticipatory grief.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1329041/US-election-2020-donald-trump-joe-biden-latest-polling

Trump 48%, Biden 47% nationally. Trump +4 in swing states.

Shaman says

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1329041/US-election-2020-donald-trump-joe-biden-latest-polling

Trump 48%, Biden 47% nationally. Trump +4 in swing states.

Noooooooo!

NoCoupForYou says

Obama introduces Joe, he doesn't react after 3 calls by Obama to Podium

I wonder what they promised Obama to make these token appearances. Looks like it was scarcely worth the two hours in the makeup wagon.

I’m amazed at how self deluded the media is.

There is zero public display of enthusiasm for Biden.

There is a lot of public display of enthusiasm for Trump, even in places like ultra liberal Santa Cruz CA.

What should be mentioned is that the low information loser Democrat voter is actually confused about how to vote. This is richly ironic; the entire point of mail in voting was to scrape the losers from the bottom of the barrel to gain votes, but it’s having the opposite effect. I heard from a couple of people that they are unsure how, where or even when to vote.

I told a cutie in Florida that she can’t get a dime from me unless she provides proof that she voted for Trump.

Shaman says

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1329041/US-election-2020-donald-trump-joe-biden-latest-polling

Trump 48%, Biden 47% nationally. Trump +4 in swing states.

Trump is set to win in Minnesota 48 to 45, Florida 47 to 44 and New Hampshire, where he just held a major rally, 47 to 43.

clambo says

There is a lot of public display of enthusiasm for Trump, even in places like ultra liberal Santa Cruz CA.

Hippie dippie lady across the street in SC is voting for Trump. i nearly fell out of my chair when I heard that.

Older friend who has had major TDS saying he might vote for Trump because he hates what the LibbyFucks have done and is furious about lock downs. However, he said he might leave the State, too. However, he is the 'California Liberal Toxin', because I asked him why he votes for all these progressive horrors, then leaves the steaming pile of shit behind that he helped to generate. He wouldn't answer.

Booger says

Shaman says

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1329041/US-election-2020-donald-trump-joe-biden-latest-polling

Trump 48%, Biden 47% nationally. Trump +4 in swing states.

Trump is set to win in Minnesota 48 to 45, Florida 47 to 44 and New Hampshire, where he just held a major rally, 47 to 43.

If he gets MN by that much, IL is in play. I know I've said it, but I'm being serious. Biden and Hillary got the hometown boost because people think our state would get more with them being elected. Not seeing it here with Biden right now. I'd be kind of shocked if IL is not too close to call election night. Politicizing covid was probably the worst move Dems could have made. We'll see. Either way the temper tantrum is going to be epic. Make sure your insurance policy is paid to date if you have property or a public business.

WookieMan says

Either way the temper tantrum is going to be epic

WookieMan says

If he gets MN by that much, IL is in play. I know I've said it, but I'm being serious.

I think that any state that Hillary didn't win by at least 10% is in play.

Booger says

I think that any state that Hillary didn't win by at least 10% is in play.

Agreed. She won IL by more, but again, that hometown boost pulled her and Obama in their respective elections. IL has been a red state in the somewhat recent past. 30 years or so. I think R's got Reagan and maybe Bush Sr? It's not as hard a blue state as outsiders might think just because of recent history.

MI has a - narrowing - D lead of 3.6% in early voting whereas in 2016 it was 3.2%. Given the fact that the majority of D voters already voted because !COVID! I don't see how the polls can still favor jo bi-den. MI should go red and therefore the election. Also R have overtaken D in AZ by 1% and in NV it's now 0.1% difference and it looks like Rs are going to overtake Ds as well there shortly.

Sure many d voters will be voting twice.

Meanwhile, Orthodox Jews' Trump parade on the Tappan Zee

HOLY SHIT!

WHAT?! DA FUQ?!

1 point gap? Youth Collapse?

mell says

There's a good chance that Trump wins AZ as Republicans are about to overtake Dems in early voting.

Repubs outnumbering Dems in early turnout in Michigan (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/michigan-results)

The same in Wisconsin (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/wisconsin-results)

Almost in Arizona (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/arizona-results)

I was looking at Trump's approval ratings... he's up at 46% currently approval (it bottomed at 38% approval in June 2020)...

41% of independents currently approve (it bottomed at 33% in June 2020) ... keep in mind that only 42% of independents approved of Trump's performance during his first week in office.....

for October he is at about 45% approval... This is better than Bush Sr in October 1992 with 34% approval.... Obama had a 50% approval for October 2012 and Bush Jr had a 49% approval for October 2004...

https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx

https://news.gallup.com/poll/116479/barack-obama-presidential-job-approval.aspx

.

One factor I noticed was that the independent's approval of Trump has increased the most since June 2020 to present day.

TrumpingTits says

In Michigan, this phenomenon is even more of a Booger erection on Viagra because every normal, non-TDS crazed Woketard in Michigan is royally pissed at Pritzker but he's not up for re-election until 2022. So Trump serves as a Proxy Middle Finger on top of his normal Middle Finger aspect.

Pritzker is IL. I know the MI governor is on the hot seat too for doing the nursing home shit like NY, so your sentiment still stands and is true the voters will go towards Trump. I'm also convinced IL is in play for Trump because of Pritzker. No one likes Biden. I see more "Pritzker Sucks" signs driving around than Biden or Trump signs. People are not happy with Dem governors and I do think that will translate to Trump votes as you say.

I frankly just want this all to be over with. The politicizing of a virus, similar to the flu has been nauseating. Everyone wears more masks and cases are "spiking" a day before an election? Do they think people are stupid? Not sure how it translates to votes, but vocal support for Trump in my peer group has been double to triple what it was in 2016.

This looks like a problem? 51% already voted??

Dholliday126 says

This looks like a problem? 51% already voted??

Not really. Atlanta voted it looks like from this map. Also, what does "Party is based on the most recent ballot" mean? That was likely from the spring just as Covid kicked in. Seems very loose with the criteria. Remember, people on this forum voted in the CA primary as Dems. If these stats are based off similar data, it's pure crap.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_nov02

Monday, November 02, 2020

President Trump and Democrat Joe Biden are in a near tie in Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey before Election Day.

The latest national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Biden edging the president 48% to 47%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

On Friday, Biden had a three-point advantage – 49% to 46% - after the lead had seesawed up and down between the two men for the previous four days. The race has been tightening since early last month.

Of course we know:

1. the polls are corrupt, attempting to favor Biden at all times
2. people are not even telling the truth to the corrupt polls, because the TDS crowd is violent
3. Trump does not need a majority to win

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1354506/us-election-2020-donald-trump-win-poll-democracy-institute-joe-biden-swing-states

Trump = 326 [picks-up Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Nevada]

Another reason Trump might win and not Biden: The Media didn't pump up the Libertarians and viciously attack the Greens as much as in 2016.