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Election is over.


               
2020 Oct 23, 6:16pm   59,307 views  820 comments

by MisdemeanorRebel   follow (13)  





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1   Eric_Holder   @   2020 Oct 23, 6:34pm  

Let me guess: Joe has won?
3   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2020 Oct 23, 6:55pm  

Eric Holder says
Uh, didn't the Dems take the house in 2018's election?



"TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 4% POINTS IN NEW MICHIGAN STATE-WIDE POLLMEDIA DISAPPROVAL RATE AT 57%"

https://mirsnews.com/pdfs/poll_cross_tabs/1603227211.pdf
4   Eric_Holder   @   2020 Oct 23, 6:57pm  

NoCoupForYou says
"TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 4% POINTS IN NEW MICHIGAN STATE-WIDE POLLMEDIA DISAPPROVAL RATE AT 57%"


Noooooooooooooo!
5   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2020 Oct 23, 7:00pm  

All 30 of the Media Run NC Polls had Hillary winning NC by 1-3pts.
Of the 4 Republican Pollster NC Polls in 2016, 3 had Trump winning by 2-3 pts.

We all know what actually happened.

More news from AZ: Kelly is down against McSally AND he dressed like Hitler in 1986

6   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2020 Oct 24, 10:50am  

FL In Person Early Vote
Rs +206,372

Palm Beach is now down to a 1% gap.

Palm. Beach.

Miami-Dade, Hillsborough already flipped.
7   Ceffer   @   2020 Oct 24, 11:01am  

Joe will be conceding to Reagan any day now.
8   Shaman   @   2020 Oct 24, 3:28pm  

Blowout for the Trumpster?
9   Bd6r   @   2020 Oct 24, 3:48pm  

NoCoupForYou says
AND he dressed like Hitler in 1986

while I want Trump to win, this is kinda lame: who cares what someone did in 1699
10   Booger   @   2020 Oct 24, 4:02pm  

Florida isn't even in play. We should be pondering NV, MN, NH, VA. Yes, I said VA. Kaine isn't on the dem ticket this time, and Hillary only won by 5%. It should be a lot closer than that this time. I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting, unless nobody in VA voted for Hillary because Kaine was her VP pick. Plus Trump is going to do way better with Black voters, and VA is going possibly the only state where that is going to make a difference.
11   Bd6r   @   2020 Oct 24, 4:05pm  

Booger says
Florida isn't even in play. We should be pondering NV, MN, NH, VA. Yes, I said VA. Kaine isn't on the dem ticket this time, and Hillary only won by 5%. It should be a lot closer than that this time. I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting, unless nobody in VA voted for Hillary because Kaine was her VP pick.

VA has a lot of voters who are on Fed Gov dole, so I don't think they will have much love for Donnie
12   Booger   @   2020 Oct 24, 4:10pm  

Dbr6 says
VA has a lot of voters who are on Fed Gov dole, so I don't think they will have much love for Donnie


If Biden wins in VA, it's going to be by less than Hillary's 5% margin.
13   HeadSet   @   2020 Oct 24, 4:12pm  

I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.
14   Rin   @   2020 Oct 24, 4:30pm  

This is looking like Michael Dukakis, the 21st century version.

Think of Biden's Dementia (& lackluster "possibly corrupt" career as Senator/VP) as Dukakis's soft on crime (Willie Horton killing someone during his MA prison furlough) & infamous Tank Ride (soft on defense).

Realize, even in his home state, Dukakis got a mere 53% of the vote, losing Central MA and two counties in Cape Cod. Now, contrast that with Kerry's 62+% and Hillary's near 60%.

I suspect that most of Biden's blue state wins will be in those 0.5-4% categories and no more. So it's now a question of will there be enough 0.5+ to carry him over the line.
15   Booger   @   2020 Oct 24, 5:06pm  

HeadSet says
I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov


Which is the same in Maryland, but Hillary won by a 27% margin in MD vs 5% in VA.

Plus governor Blackface may have pissed off enough people.
16   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2020 Oct 24, 6:04pm  

Outside a Biden rally in PA. More Trump Protesters than Biden attendees.

www.SkIoIsSbg1g
17   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2020 Oct 24, 6:14pm  

Today: Ohio, Wisconsin
Tomorrow: Manchester, NH
Monday: Allentown, PA - Lititz, PA - Martinsburg, PA
Tuesday: Lansing, MI - West Salem, MI - Omaha, NE

*Biden has pulled out entirely of Ohio according to Trump Interview between Rallies*
18   MisdemeanorRebel   @   2020 Oct 24, 6:50pm  

Record Turnout with strong double digit Republican Lead; Students 18-24 wayyy down from 2016 in Texas. This state is all but certain a Trump victory.
19   Shaman   @   2020 Oct 24, 7:28pm  

Rasmussen polls have approval from Black likely voters at 46%! It almost doubled in a few days!
20   WookieMan   @   2020 Oct 24, 9:56pm  

I’m not trusting polls at all. I do think Trump will win handily though. But people still need to get out and vote for that to happen. There’s also a lot of local issues on the ballot. IL it’s an income tax amendment that lets the state do what they want through the legislature besides raising or lowering the current flat income tax.

It would be a shocking turn of events, but IL is going be closer than many think, or so I believe. Between the Pritzker lockdowns and now the tax hike amendment, R’s will come out strong here. It’s not worth the $ or time to poll here based on past elections.
21   Onvacation   @   2020 Oct 24, 10:01pm  

TrumpingTits says
millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

https://www.sQ4lo6FB-s0
22   Ceffer   @   2020 Oct 24, 10:33pm  

Onvacation says
millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

https://www.sQ4lo6FB-s0



LOL!
23   AD   @   2020 Oct 24, 11:30pm  

.

Trump is polling with 32% to 33% of Hispanic vote. This is somewhat of an improvement in 2016 where he got about 29% of the Hispanic vote.

"Although Biden is outperforming Trump among Latinos in every swing state, surprisingly, Trump is doing better than expected in five electoral-rich swing states, including Florida (41%), Nevada (38%), Texas (35%), Georgia (35%), and North Carolina (28%). In Florida, another poll found Trump is taking 38% of Latino voters in Miami-Dade county, a key metropolitan for Biden."

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latino-support-for-trump-grows-to-john-mccains-levels-301140126.html

.
24   AD   @   2020 Oct 24, 11:33pm  

Here is a recent article that shows about 20% of black support and 35% of Hispanic support for Trump.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-losing-ground-with-white-voters-but-gaining-among-black-and-hispanic-americans/

.

.
25   zzyzzx   @   2020 Oct 25, 9:40am  

HeadSet says
I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.


Doing some research I'm seeing that having Biden on the Presidential ticket makes a 7% difference in Delaware...
If that 7% is usual and customary (and I have nothing else to go by at the moment) then Trump should win in VA.
26   HeadSet   @   2020 Oct 25, 10:07am  

zzyzzx says
HeadSet says
I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.


Doing some research I'm seeing that having Biden on the Presidential ticket makes a 7% difference in Delaware...
If that 7% is usual and customary (and I have nothing else to go by at the moment) then Trump should win in VA.



That would be awesome. And I would like to see the voters knock out Luria and Warner while they are electing Trump.
27   GlocknLoad   @   2020 Oct 25, 11:40am  

Who won?
28   zzyzzx   @   2020 Oct 26, 10:18am  

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct26

The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Democrat Joe Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) remain undecided.
29   AD   @   2020 Oct 26, 11:01am  

Latest NY Times article has Trump at 47% and Biden at 43% in Texas. Also they state the following. This is favorable to Trump since Texas Hispanics are vastly Mexican and Central American. That tells me his policies on immigration have had a positive effect in regards to gaining support from this voting base.

"Mr. Biden has a lead of only 57 percent to 34 percent among that group, somewhat beneath most estimates of Mrs. Clinton’s support among Hispanic voters four years ago. The finding broadly tracks with national surveys, which have shown Mr. Trump improving among Hispanic voters compared with his 2016 standing. Similarly, Hispanic voters in the Times/Siena poll say they backed Mrs. Clinton by a margin of 60 percent to 29 percent."

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/26/upshot/poll-texas-hispanics-trump.html

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