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Stock market and housing bubble.


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2021 Jan 6, 11:11am   22,807 views  416 comments

by RC2006   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

With all that's going on how is stock market going up, is it inflation speculation driving it? Are we approaching housing bubble?

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278   mell   2021 Apr 13, 8:54pm  

Bitcoin says
okay, so....a neighbor in our high end community bought a house in March this year and put it on the market for 200k more.....if that goes through than fuck....I might change my mind and start saying this is starting to get nuts.


Houses in the North Bay have appreciated easily 5% within the past few weeks as inventory continues to shrink. Everything from Marin to Wine Country, anything rural or semi-rural is being snapped up at massive premiums.
279   RC2006   2021 Apr 14, 2:03pm  

"Google reported last week that the search question "When is the housing market going to crash?" had spiked 2,450% in the past month. "Why is the market so hot?" searches had doubled in just a week."


@patrick
Your site doesn't come up in google like it use to when searching housing bubble even if I put your name in it
280   Hircus   2021 Apr 14, 3:33pm  

RC2006 says
Your site doesn't come up in google like it use to when searching housing bubble even if I put your name in it


I think he blocked the google crawler and told it to fuck off.
281   RC2006   2021 Apr 14, 3:35pm  

Hircus says
RC2006 says
Your site doesn't come up in google like it use to when searching housing bubble even if I put your name in it


I think he blocked the google crawler and told it to fuck off.


That makes sense it still comes up on duckduckgo
282   porkchopXpress   2021 Apr 14, 3:44pm  

richwicks says
Patrick says
I expect the stock market to implode and an asteroid to hit after that for good measure. Just so I don't expect too much and thereby ruin my good luck.


And now you know the real reason I quit my job. Something really fucked up is about to happen, and I rather not have to be dealing with a fuck job while going through it.
You mean like a pandemic followed by another pandemic? I have a feeling this bio-warfare will never end.
283   Patrick   2021 Apr 14, 5:21pm  

Hircus says
Your site doesn't come up in google like it use to when searching housing bubble even if I put your name in it



Yes I did.

I do not want Google profiting from the content on this site.

I also do not want to attract the kind of people who normally use Google.

But I have to say all the tits pictures probably lower patrick.net's ranking on DDG and other non-spyware search engines. People get upset when they open a site and see tits.

Then again, maybe I want to attract the kind of readers who are not offended by tits.
284   zzyzzx   2021 Apr 15, 7:16am  

Patrick says
I want to attract the kind of readers who are not offended by tits.


LOL, but so true!
285   zzyzzx   2021 Apr 15, 7:17am  

Patrick says
I am afraid the the stock market is in a bubble and could end very badly. But that said, I'm still 75% in because I don't really know.


25% cash?
286   zzyzzx   2021 Apr 15, 7:25am  

clambo says
Fidelity has good mutual funds.


I really hate their web site. Just getting a fucking statement totally blows chunks and takes like 10 minutes of navigation just to find. TRP has a much nicer site.
287   clambo   2021 Apr 15, 7:31am  

zzyzzx,
yeah, I dislike the Fidelity website too.
T.Rowe Price is nicer.
I really like the Vanguard website.
The Vanguard page on an iPad using the Vanguard app is awesome.
I will put the Fidelity app on my iPad and see if it's better than their website.
288   WookieMan   2021 Apr 15, 8:40am  

Patrick says
Then again, maybe I want to attract the kind of readers who are not offended by tits.

Men don't care. Honestly I don't think anyone should care. Each sex has their parts. Is it that fucking strange to see them on someone else nude? Oh the horror.

I don't know, I'm confident in myself. I'd have no problem going to a nude beach. Kind of want to. We're the only species that clothes ourselves. We're theoretically the odd balls (pun intended).

And yes, there are extremely unattractive bodies out there I don't want to see. But who cares? Be yourself and don't worry about it. Covid is coming for the land whales anyway. Sometimes you have to see the worst to be able to see the best. Sanitary and weather conditions aside, I'd have no problem walking about naked in a city. Who gives a fuck?
289   Bitcoin   2021 Apr 15, 9:09am  

After seeing how hot the RE market has become I am staying in the stock market (and wait on purchasing another rental).
Guy in our community bought high/closed in March of this year and is now putting it on the market for 200k more. Curious to see if someone bites. I understand the low inventory/low interest/inflation scare environment.....but that example is a bit too crazy.
290   Patrick   2021 Apr 15, 10:52am  

zzyzzx says
25% cash?



Less lately because I did some big buys, like FRO. May have been a mistake.

By "cash" I mostly mean cash in 401k accounts.
291   clambo   2021 Apr 15, 11:20am  

Real estate is great.
My friend was just assessed 13 grand by her HOA.
She paid 6 grand property tax
She paid income tax on the rent she received.
She wishes she had some money.
Her boyfriend and she returned early from a visit to her sister and niece in another town because the boyfriend's rental needs a new AC system (5 grand)
Tom Vu said it best:
"If you're too lazy to take my real estate seminar, you deserve to be broke!"
292   EBGuy   2021 Apr 15, 1:56pm  

Patrick says

Then again, maybe I want to attract the kind of readers who are not offended by tits.

I could still do without HTs avatar flashing me at work and at home. Pat.net's subversive content deserves to be shared in the workplace and in domestic situations. YMMV...
293   Patrick   2021 Apr 15, 1:59pm  

OK, made a note to let people filter out avatars if they want. Hopefully will get to that next week.
294   Bitcoin   2021 Apr 15, 2:07pm  

nice titties....i dont need to filter it out for work reasons....i work from home.
295   Booger   2021 Apr 15, 2:40pm  

Patrick says
OK, made a note to let people filter out avatars if they want. Hopefully will get to that next week.


What if I only want to filter out one avatar, and even then, only when I am at work?
296   Patrick   2021 Apr 15, 2:45pm  

I think there is good reason to have an ignore feature. Some people were just on here to abuse others instead of discuss things.

The tits thing is personal preference. I can see that some people are in situations where if someone glances at their computer and sees "porn" it could cause them problems.

Personally, I like tits and look at all the tit pics you post. But I wouldn't have looked while at work.

BTW I also started with HTML back in 1995.
297   Patrick   2021 Apr 15, 2:57pm  

It's not about "meanness".

It's about accidentally viewing tits at work.
298   Patrick   2021 Apr 15, 3:04pm  

Well, look at it as a compliment in a way.

They want to read what you have to say, they just want to limit the tits to places they won't get blamed or fired for tits on screen.
299   Eric Holder   2021 Apr 15, 3:23pm  

HunterTits says

<-- yo @EBGuy ! Should I make this bigger? What will it take for you to set me on 'ignore'?


For the umpteen time: any image is easily hidden using one of many adblock plug-ins available for pretty much any browser. Complaining about avatars is disingenuous - there is no reason to see it more than once if you happen to dislike a particular one.
300   Hircus   2021 Apr 15, 4:40pm  

@patrick I was thinking maybe a Cadillac way of dealing with NSFW images + workplace might be a community driven image rating system. Each image gets an "SFW" and "NSFW" vote button overlaid on top of it, and this includes avatars and regular images (theyre all just html img tags). The voting buttons only appear on image hover, to help avoid things from looking messy / obscured. Each logged in user gets 1 vote, kinda like the current like/dislike system. The votes are tallied on a per-image basis to produce a confidence score stating how certain people are that the image is NSFW.

Anyway, users can set a viewing threshold in their profile. Then, images that don't exceed their threshold are greyed out, and they would need to click a button to reveal it (again, a button shown on image hover). The default threshold, 0, would make all images display, including unrated images. Any threshold greater than the special value "0" would need at least 1 vote to compute the score, which basically hides all unrated images.

Obviously, a new table would be needed to track image votes. But I bet some slick js could scan the existing html dom, transform each plain img into the image + hover buttons combo, grey the image out by default, and then for each image, calls the server via ajax to get the current score, and reveal the image, score permitting. like /api/img-score?img=/uploads/d/0/e/d0ea711aa9e960ac3ece043beac2a292.gif

I had this idea a long time ago for a forum I had, but never built it. I'm not sure if it's worth it here either, but thought I'd share the idea.
301   EBGuy   2021 Apr 15, 4:43pm  

I run AdBlock and NoScript. Anyone want to suggest an additional plugin for Firefox?
Fearless leader, I'd be up for an ignore avatar button....
302   Patrick   2021 Apr 15, 4:51pm  

Hircus says
a community driven image rating system


Yes, that would work, but only after people started voting. The immediate problem is "surprise" images on the site. Maybe one gets uploaded and there are no votes yet, and you view the page, and OOPS boss is behind you somewhere.

I could make a "no images" toggle switch so you could just view text at work, and all images would be blocked.

Or could do the avatar ignore button where one user ignores another's avatar.

None of this is that hard, and I will have a lot of time very soon...
303   Patrick   2021 Apr 15, 5:00pm  

HunterTits says
There's just one problem with that. See what I wrote here: https://patrick.net/post/1337411/?c=1746077



I'm not going to get into an arms race over this, but note that images can be hashed into buckets of similarity. So that lovely lady's images would all fall into the same bucket no matter what they are named, or even if the images are slightly different.
304   Bitcoin   2021 Apr 15, 9:01pm  

HunterTits says
I was serious, @EBGuy. I actually do not want to annoy you anymore than it takes to have you set me on ignore. That's all.

<-- yo @EBGuy ! Should I make this bigger? What will it take for you to set me on 'ignore'?


Beautiful tits and body
305   zzyzzx   2021 Apr 16, 7:06am  

Hey Patrick, now that you are retiring, have you started packing and filling up the moving truck?
306   RC2006   2021 Apr 16, 7:08am  

zzyzzx says
Hey Patrick, now that you are retiring, have you started packing and filling up the moving truck?


That's what I was wondering, probably has more to do with wife.
307   RC2006   2021 Apr 16, 7:43am  

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/david-einhorn-sees-broken-markets-215311523.html

Deli worth 100 million.

Dogecoin meme coin up 6000%

These are warning signs.I thought large market correction with how retarded our gov is acting even if Trump won with the way money is being thrown around. Whatever is coming is much worse.

It's like we are in the same place before great depression, could another great war also be looming?
308   Patrick   2021 Apr 16, 8:14am  

RC2006 says
zzyzzx says
Hey Patrick, now that you are retiring, have you started packing and filling up the moving truck?


That's what I was wondering, probably has more to do with wife.


She needs to finish her teaching certificate. Will just take until June, then we could move anywhere. I took at look at Texas, where I have a brother, but it's very hot and he's also going to retire and leave there. I have sisters in Michigan, which is an OK place. Also going to look at Washington State.

I'm very interested to see what happens with the smoke this summer. More big fires, and we're definitely out of here.
309   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2021 Apr 16, 8:19am  

RC2006 says
money is being thrown around.


I just learned last night that the last stimy bill wasn't just a one time payment. It has monthly payments of $300/per kid or something for much of this year. I think it starts in May and ends in October.

We are so fucked. I don't want to live in a blue state when the shit really starts hitting the fan.
310   Onvacation   2021 Apr 16, 8:20am  

Patrick says
Also going to look at Washington State.

I love Washington! We used to summer on a little cabin on an Island in the Puget Sound. That was summertime and you could still see the sun 70% of the time. Winters are harsh, at least for a California boy.

Visit for a complete year before committing.

My wife and I are considering the Port Townsend area, top of Washington across from Victoria BC, to retire but I am not sure I could handle the winter.
311   Patrick   2021 Apr 16, 8:23am  

RC2006 says
It's like we are in the same place before great depression, could another great war also be looming?



I also worry about those things, but can't do anything about them.

It's also possible that things will get much better.
312   RC2006   2021 Apr 16, 8:24am  

If you don't mind longer winter so far boise has been nice. Don't know if you have kids but great place for them. Housing has blown up like CA.

At one time I was looking at TX but after a few months of traveling there for work I scratched that one off list.
313   Patrick   2021 Apr 16, 8:27am  

Onvacation says
Port Townsend area, top of Washington across from Victoria BC


We actually spent a day there on our honeymoon long ago. I really liked it.
314   clambo   2021 Apr 16, 8:44am  

I recall that in Washington State there is a location with lower rainfall than the rest of the state.

Sequim, Washington is the place.

Annual Precipitation =15.43 inches

Compare to Santa Cruz CA 8.94 inches annual precipitation.

15 inches is still significantly more than the Bay Area.

It’s chilly however.
315   WookieMan   2021 Apr 16, 9:24am  

If you can handle humidity but want cheap prices, I'd consider Alabama or Mississippi in all honesty. Jackson, MS. Birmingham or Montgomery, AL. You get Cat 1 hurricanes winds occasionally. But if on high ground you'll be fine for flooding. Maybe get on a lake. Cooler winters, but not freezing outside of the occasional snow. Occasional tornados, but you're more likely to get physically hit by lightening than a house destroyed by tornado.

And yes, humid and buggy in the summer. But there's remedies for that. Cost of living is dirt cheap. You're 3-5 hours from the panhandle FL, the best sand on the planet. On calm days some nice blue/green water like the Caribbean or Southeast Asia.

I know it's a weird suggestion, but you'll make bank with your money there and can also travel during the super hot/humid months up to Michigan or somewhere else.
316   Patrick   2021 Apr 16, 9:28am  

Thanks, it sounds good for winter in particular. Maybe we could do a northern state for the summers, and south in the winters.

It's all kind of surreal at the moment. Feels crazy to quit a perfectly good job, but I the numbers say I don't really need to stay.

I'm going to try not to count on anything all that much. "Man plans and God laughs."
317   RC2006   2021 Apr 16, 9:29am  

WookieMan says
I'd consider Alabama


I thought it was nice there the weeks I was there for work. Only thing that bothered me a little bet was the mass amount of pollen that blanketed everything but I'm guessing thats a once a year thing.

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