patrick.net

Bd6r says

mostly reader says

Besides my initial point, this is good news. It means that Ukraine is holding up despite the odds, and that Russia is getting worried.

There are rumors that russians want talks. This means they are not winning. Advice from Chechens - talk only about how Russians will surrender with short time frame and in ultimatum form. Otherwise russians will use talk time to regroup and recuperate.

Thinking a bit more, here's one likely course of events:
- Russians have no infantry worth a damn. Which is why they'll have to employ armored vehicles.
- Those vehicles will be destroyed, but Putler will want results. That will take it to the next step - massive artillery shelling, because the concept of precise hits doesn't exist there in the practical sense.
- The shelling will cause massive civilian casualties.
- Russia may take Kyiv, but at such cost and with such consequences that no number of trolls will help Putler to mitigate the damage. The type of damage which will cause severe financial repercussions.

Lose-lose.

mostly reader says

Russians have no infantry worth a damn. Which is why they'll have to employ armored vehicles.
- Those vehicles will be destroyed, but Putler will want results. That will take it to the next step - massive artillery shelling, because the concept of precise hits doesn't exist there in the practical sense.
- The shelling will cause massive civilian casualties.
- Russia may take Kyiv, but at such cost and with such consequences that no number of trolls will help Putler to mitigate the damage. The type of damage which will cause severe financial repercussions.

Lose-lose.

Reasonable possibility.
Another one - if he will feel that he is losing, Putler will pull out and declare victory. In that case, Ukrainians would be stupid not to attack Donbass.
What worries me is that there is something unpredictable Putler can pull off if he does not get what he wants.

Bd6r says

mostly reader says

Russians have no infantry worth a damn. Which is why they'll have to employ armored vehicles.
- Those vehicles will be destroyed, but Putler will want results. That will take it to the next step - massive artillery shelling, because the concept of precise hits doesn't exist there in the practical sense.
- The shelling will cause massive civilian casualties.
- Russia may take Kyiv, but at such cost and with such consequences that no number of trolls will help Putler to mitigate the damage. The type of damage which will cause severe financial repercussions.

Lose-lose.

Reasonable possibility.
Another one - if he will feel that he is losing, Putler will pull out and declare victory. In that case, Ukrainians would be stupid not to attack Donbass.
What worries me is that there is something unpredictable Putler can pull off if he does not get what he wants.

When Georgia attacked South Ossetia back in 2008, and S. Ossetia asked Russia for help, Russia was in an out in 24 hours. Georgia is a lot smaller than Ukraine, but Ukraine has ONLY recently broken ties with Russia and only did so because of a US led coup back in 2014.

This stupid, pointless war, won't last long. I'd be quite surprised if it was still going on next Friday.

The United States and NATO has fucked Ukraine by putting them into corner by falsely promising them backup and egging them on into a war.

But in a week, I will know if I'm full of shit or not. I expect the resolution will be what Putin demanded in the beginning, making the war entirely pointless for Ukraine. All this war will result in, is a bunch of deaths. Just fucking stupid.

I'd like to see some competent ambassadors again instead of trans-sexual POC twats running this nation. Not to say trans-sexual POC twats aren't necessarily competent, but when you select from only that group of assholes, it's a pretty shallow bowl and slim pickins..

richwicks says

Well educate me.

Russia is a uniquely evil country in the Dark Woods.

If you don't approach Russia like ancient Romans approached the Dank Dark Forest of the Teutonics aorund 30BC, you are a fool.

All Russians do is plot evil against Europe.

The West just wants to bring Russia love and democracy, which is why in the 90s Wall Street firms ran wild in the country and enjoyed laughing Mafia Chaos

But the moment somebody restored a semblance of order, Russia became dark Teutonberg forest again, esp. when the Current Leader of Mordor stopped Wall Street from running wild with shock capitalism.

Refusing to work with any Russian leader who reimposes a semblance of order and doesn't bend over to Wall Street is Correct and Just.

Russia has no Reason to be fearful of Europeans, who only want the best for Russia, the the Orthodox Heretic Slaying Teutonic Order, the Grand Marshal of the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth, Napoleon, Greedy Swedish Kings, Expansive Hapsbergs, and Hitler.

Kick in Ze Door and Der Whole Verrotten Thing Vill Collapse. All ze Nickel, Gold, und Oil be Ours! - Every European State Expanding East into Russia.

Literally the FIRST ACT of 2nd Republic Poland in the 1910s was to invade Russia, and while the excuse is "Bolshevism", they attacked and annexed parts of the East under Whites, Greens, or Ukrainian Ersatz Governments, not just the Reds because they wanted to recreate the Glorious Commonwealth. No Causus Belli, just got up and attacked one day. The ink was not dry on their independence documents, and the territory was way beyond their assignment in the post War Treaties.

Thus, there is no reason for Russia to fear Poland or Europeans generally, but only Europeans are allowed to fear Russians.

Russia must submit to better, smarter, Western rule, recognize the Men can Be Women and Have Lady Penises like Modern People - not Barbarian Nazis do, and open it's resources for purchase by German and City and Wall Street firms.

richwicks says

The United States and NATO has fucked Ukraine by putting them into corner by falsely promising them backup and egging them on into a war.

As predicted 25 years ago by Kennan and over the last decade hammered endlessly by Mearsheimer.

Literally every single step, including the goading against Russia after interfering with domestic Ukrainian politics to select only the most Russophobic leaders right up to the holding out of EU/NATO membership carrots, down to the Last Minute Abandonment when Russia "Did Something."

The other great stupid is the Baltics. The little pipsqueaks are all trouble, no reward.

So many stupid wars started by a Great Power guaranteeing a little Pipsqueak like Andorra or Latvia or San Marino, only to find a huge war when the pipsqueak acts the shit towards another Great Power because he feels he's hanging with the Big Dog, and then runs crying to it's Big Dog demanding military action when the other big guy gets mad and swats it. Even though both have nothing to gain by fighting each other.

But we have Financiers and Georgetown Idealist Kids in charge, whose knowledge of actual geopolitics and history is limited to a half-baked conception of WW2.

Sure would be nice if somebody used a different analogy, like the 30 Years War or the 2nd Anglo-Dutch War or something instead of WW2.

"Ghaddafyi is like Hitler..." "Well, Turkey is like Vichy France... "

If you think Zelenskyy is good now, just wait and see if he signs a deal with Putin.

He'll go from Hero to Zero in the Western Press in a second.

There's a reason Biden wants him to flee to the USA -- so he can't talk to Putin without US approval:

"Blinken, Zelensky is on the phone Putin!"
"Shut it down, Vicky!"

London

Switzerland

Estonia

Poland

Prague

Moscow

Saint Petersburg

Latvia

Lebanon

France

Berlin

Ah the mask holes are all upset that little Crazy Joey let Putin war Ukraine on his watch. Actually his whole administration using the MSM as a bullhorn, told Putin that he didn't have a hair on his ass if he DID'T invade Ukraine. Shit stirring has consequences.

Al_Sharpton_for_President says

One thing has nothing to do with the other, other than to trigger my Commie Spidey Senses, one thing has nothing to do with the other, would you like to play along.

Can you spot the anti-anti-maskers, that has all 3 vax, and all 4 boosters, and is a member of the Michelle Obama club, and is using this golden opportunity to show her support for her, and oh year there was this anti war protest or something.

Whatever the Media pushes, is what's bad for America.

I've learned my lesson.

Until I have solid reason to believe otherwise, Putin must win.

I just read a NYT article where they "Explained" that "Putin lived in history" where national borders and security concerns mattered, rather than globaloney UN International law bullshit that has been used to start every stupid intervention and get us much of our $30T in debt in 20 years.

They don't want people getting the notion that controlling borders and having security concerns normal to any national state should be a thing.

Instead, we should have porous borders flooded by refugees and be part of a globalist revolving door network of NGOs and International organizations like WHO, WTO, and UN. Justified by goopy goobleygook about Human Rights which used to mean the right not to be put in a Gulag or shot, but now means the right to have your transgender surgery paid by the state and pushing LGBTQ+ and being forced to take Experimental Treatments for the benefit of humanity.

Putin must win.

Not because I love him, and not because Zelenskyy or the average Ukrainian is a bad person, but because the Globalists need a clear defeat openly and quickly. Not a 10-20 year slog forgotten like Afghanistan, but an in your grill whooping.

Down with the NWO, Up with The Treaty of Westpfalia

Prague isn't helping, I don't think they understand the dynamics that are in play here in the first place.

Al_Sharpton_for_President says

Prague

AmericanKulak says

Russia is a uniquely evil country in the Dark Woods.

If you don't approach Russia like ancient Romans approached the Dank Dark Forest of the Teutonics aorund 30BC, you are a fool.

All Russians do is plot evil against Europe.

LOL! Russia has cultivated a bumper crop of hatred due to past communism and activities, for which they are paying the price now.

However when the NWO, the WEF and the Swiss Octagon decided to turn their cannons on the people of the Western world, corrupted our own country and decided 14 out of 15 of everybody were to die so that they could prevail in some science fiction fantasy of overlording enslavement, they gave Russia a hall pass.

Al_Sharpton_for_President says

Estonia

Notice the Russian flag flying from that building. Unless that is the Russian embassy, it appears not al Estonians are anti-Russian.

HeadSet says

Unless that is the Russian embassy,

It is the embassy.

https://brewminate.com/countering-russian-disinformation-the-baltic-nations-way/?source=patrick.net

BOOM



https://patrick.net/post/1343816/2022-02-26-soros-backs-ukraine

Soros has spoken, and we know how much the Wicked Witch of the West and the Demon Subverter of Civilization can be trusted:

AmericanKulak says

But the moment somebody restored a semblance of order, Russia became dark Teutonberg forest again, esp. when the Current Leader of Mordor stopped Wall Street from running wild with shock capitalism.

So, you base it all on a fantasy book. Got it.

richwicks says

AmericanKulak says

But the moment somebody restored a semblance of order, Russia became dark Teutonberg forest again, esp. when the Current Leader of Mordor stopped Wall Street from running wild with shock capitalism.

So, you base it all on a fantasy book. Got it.

This was all sarcastic, you know, mocking the perception.

I did see protesters carrying a sign saying "Russia is Mordor" .

A drive through a stretch of Highway into Ukraine from Crimea:

Commenter count (NO regard for side, just total vehicles)
16 trucks
11 tow
1 firetruck with tow
6 fuel+tow
15 truck-based personnel transport
4 4x4 APC
2 BM-21
3 T64/T80
2 command/communication vehicle
1 EW+Tow
1 Ambulance MBLT
7 civilian heavy tow
4 Jeep(Ural or Mitsubishi or LC-Typed?)
1 AA?
1 URAL Wagon
3 DUKW Amphibious
4 BRDM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RR8BVr_B338&source=patrick.net

Commenters are interesting.

"Ghost of Kiev", the mythical pilot that shot down 6 Russian Planes, speculation that it was a Russian group, speculaton that Ukrainian soldiers abandoned their equipment after coming under Air Attack. Some concurrence that mix of vehicles suggest Ukrainian Mechanized Support element. given large number of recovery vehicles and make/model.

The people on Snake Island surrendered. They didn't die to the last man. Now confirmed by Ukrainian MOD.

https://bigleaguepolitics.com/snake-island-ukrainian-defenders-actually-surrendered-to-russian-warship-kyiv-and-moscow-confirm/

Found it:




https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/moscow-warns-legal-consequences-for-russians-joining-anti-war-protests-2787419

Ultimate source is AFP.

Odd that the signs are in English. Plus, the "STOP MORDOR" sign with the gunsight "O" is a clear call for Putin to be assassinated. That would get you arrested in the West, let alone in Russia.

AmericanKulak says

I think Zelenskiyy is of a different type than his predecessors, being an Actor rather than an Oligarch or lifelong Politician. I find TV/Movie actors to be excellent politicians. Reagan and Trump, and I think one of the Filipino Presidents, Duarte maybe? Or I'm thinking of South America.

I listened to Zelenski recently, saw it on Fox news I think. The man talks like he has a lot of backup. Because he probably is backed heavily by various countries. He wouldn't talk like that if someone powerful didn't have his back.

Proxy war is upon us.