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"A Policy Error of Historic Proportions"
1997 letter to President Clinton by US cold warriors who opposed Nato expansion.
By JOHN LEAKE
When Dr. McCullough and I started this Substack, we agreed that he would primarily focus on COVID-19 scientific-medical scholarship, and I would investigate how the COVID-19 pandemic response is related to other major public policy issues. Occasionally, some of our readers have exhorted me to “stay in our lane”—that is, to remain focused on matters pertaining to the COVID-19 fiasco.
Because Substack is a free speech platform, and because we welcome critical opinions, I have never felt compelled to respond to these exhortations to “stay in our lane.” To some degree, I consider my critics to have a valid point. As Fitzgerald elegantly put it in The Great Gatsby, “Life is much more successfully looked at from a single window.”
On the other hand, I believe my critics are overlooking a point so obvious that it might as well strike them in the head with a baseball bat—namely, the same corrupt government nincompoops responsible for the COVID-19 fiasco are also responsible for every other catastrophic policy blunder they are currently afflicting on mankind.
For example, let’s take the U.S. government’s catastrophic mismanagement of its relations with Russia the last thirty years. I have closely observed this disaster in the making since I moved to Vienna, Austria for an academic fellowship in 1996. On the plane to Vienna I read the July 15, 1996 Time Magazine cover story about how secret American advisors helped Boris Yeltsin to win that year’s presidential election.
Even at the time I remember thinking it was a bit presumptuous to think that it was perfectly okay for American agents to meddle in a Russian election, and I wondered how Americans would feel if it were reported that Russian agents had provided clandestine assistance to Bill Clinton in his 1996 presidential campaign against Bob Dole.
I read the Time cover story with keen interest, because for many years I’d been an avid student of 20th century Russian history. Yeltsin’s presidency marked the total triumph of American interests with respect to Russia, which had suffered a decisive loss of the Cold War. As I saw it—living in Austria, whose neutrality the Soviets had recognized and respected since 1955—in 1996 it was up to the Americans to welcome and assist Russia in becoming a partner with the West.
The following year, I read the news of how the Clinton Administration had decided to expand NATO membership to the east, ever closer to Russia’s border, and I wondered about the rationale for doing this. Though I’d never really known what to make of Henry Kissinger, I found his “Balance of Power” thesis compelling.
1866 cartoon by Daumier, L’Equilibre Européen,
We humans are constantly making assurances of our good will and altruism, but it’s a rare man or woman indeed who doesn’t press his or her advantage if a disagreement arises. This is why the the Soviet Premier Khrushchev refused to tolerate U.S. nuclear missiles in Turkey, and why President Kennedy refused to tolerate Soviet missiles in Cuba.
I therefore believed I understood why 50 major U.S. foreign policy experts—including top cold warriors such as Robert McNamara, Paul Nitze, Richard Pipes, and Stansfield Turner—wrote a letter to President Clinton on June 26, 1997, stating the following:
We, the undersigned, believe that the current U.S.led effort to expand NATO, the focus of the recent Helsinki and Paris Summits, is a policy error of historic proportions. We believe that NATO expansion will decrease allied security and unsettle European stability for the following reasons:
In Russia, NATO expansion, which continues to be opposed across the entire political spectrum, will strengthen the nondemocratic opposition, undercut those who favor reform and cooperation with the West, bring the Russians to question the entire post-Cold War settlement, and galvanize resistance in the Duma to the START II and III treaties; In Europe, NATO expansion will draw a new line of division between the "ins" and the "outs," foster instability, and ultimately diminish the sense of security of those countries which are not included;
In NATO, expansion, which the Alliance has indicated is open-ended, will inevitably degrade NATO's ability to carry out its primary mission and will involve U.S. security guarantees to countries with serious border and national minority problems, and unevenly developed systems of democratic government;
In the U.S., NATO expansion will trigger an extended debate over its indeterminate, but certainly high, cost and will call into question the U.S. commitment to the Alliance, traditionally and rightly regarded as a centerpiece of U.S. foreign policy.
Because of these serious objections, and in the absence of any reason for rapid decision, we strongly urge that the NATO expansion process be suspended while alternative actions are pursued. These include:
—opening the economic and political doors of the European Union to Central and Eastern Europe;
—developing an enhanced Partnership for Peace program;
—supporting a cooperative NATO-Russian relationship; and
—continuing the arms reduction and transparency process, particularly with respect to nuclear weapons and materials, the major threat to U.S. security, and with respect to conventional military forces in Europe.
Russia does not now pose a threat to its western neighbors and the nations of Central and Eastern Europe are not in danger. For this reason, and the others cited above, we believe that NATO expansion is neither necessary nor desirable and that this ill-conceived policy can and should be put on hold.
The Pentagon's European Command just released this video showing two Russian Su-27 fighter jets buzzing a U.S. MQ-9 reaper drone and spraying it with fuel – the second one colliding with the drone's propeller and forcing it down into the Black Sea, according to the USAF:
From the US Air Force:
Two Russian Su-27 aircraft conducted an unsafe and unprofessional intercept with a U.S. Air Force intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance unmanned MQ-9 aircraft operating within international airspace over the Black Sea on March 14, 2023. Russian Su-27s dumped fuel upon and struck the propeller of the MQ-9, causing U.S. forces to have to bring the MQ-9 down in international waters.
Kind of creative to dump burning fuel on it, imho. I didn't even know that was a possibility.
For all propaganda people out there.
Germany beat CCCP long tome ago.
CCCP is now totally relying on the USA for war materiel.
Germany is at war with Allies.
CCCP is just responsible for doing the dying for them
For all propaganda people out there.
Germany beat CCCP long tome ago.
CCCP is now totally relying on the USA for war materiel.
Germany is at war with Allies.
CCCP is just responsible for doing the dying for them
Same twit from 1942:
RWSGFY says
For all propaganda people out there.
Germany beat CCCP long tome ago.
CCCP is now totally relying on the USA for war materiel.
Germany is at war with Allies.
CCCP is just responsible for doing the dying for them
TRUE! We would have had a hard time beating Nazi Germany without the Soviets attriting their manpower in the East.
nothing is more evil than our central bank.
I wonder what Zelinsky had to do for Yellen to get that $1,200,000,000 on her recent overnight trip?
Look, a nation that actually prosecutes their own people for war crimes:
We would have had a hard time beating Nazi Germany without the Soviets attriting their manpower in the East.
Look, a nation that actually prosecutes their own people for war crimes:
We won WW1 without help from the Russians
We won WW1 without help from the Russians
But why waste so much money on some border dispute in Europe when Americans couldn't afford food?
@JackPosobiec
I can’t believe Russia is doing this to Ukraine. All the leaders who did this should be in jail
JackPosobiec
I can’t believe Russia is doing this to Ukraine. All the leaders who did this should be in jail
Even if I were to believe every lame-ass Russian criticism of Zelensky and Ukraine (secret Jewish Nazis pedophiles!) - it wouldn't change the fact that Russia illegally invaded their neighbor and totally botched the war to make it unwinnable for them while getting hundreds of thousands of people killed.
Alternative history?
The Czar didn't honor his alliance with France, and German troops made the French pay at Versailles in 1915 like 1870 part two. No US in WW1, No UK with massive loss of men, United British Isles with the Irish not leaving thanks to a return of a seasoned Ulster Division ready to put down the Fenian Bastards, but perhaps getting devolved government, no Depression, and no Communism.
The German government would remain in place (a Constitutional Monarchy for all the propaganda about the Autocratic Kaiser of the Huns; Germans got universal male suffrage decades before the UK).
France and Germany and the UK wouldn't have lost 10%, 15%, and 12% of their male population. The Empires would have continued, with the Germans slicing off a bit of Alsace or gaining access/control of some French overseas colonies.
Germany would gain European and overseas colonies at French expense to expand elsewhere, and very possibly become a rival commercial nexus to the Anglo one. No 1.5M...
No tickey no laundry, all we have to show for those MSM claims is their say so. They didn't even get a photo essay or any video of said incursion.
The time to have done anything was when he first invaded Georgia, but that Jive Ass Mother Fucker first black President was too busy trolling Americans and gloating how he was destroying America to our faces. While he watched Putin do every last bit of everything. That now that the Biden Criminal enterprise is being paid by Ukraine to help them cover their crimes against humanity. We're now supposed to care?
How does Russia win when they've already burned through some of their best troops, equipment and got more people killed in a single year than all of their wars combined since WWII?
Russia can win and is winning the conflict in Ukraine by putting a 1:7 to 1:10 kill ratio on the ground,
Ukrainian losses to Russian artillery. Where the fuck have you been?
Don't have alot of faith in MacGregor, even if he is Tucker's favorite military pundit.
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