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Can we have a non-hate mail vs fanboy thread on trading Bitcoin?


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2022 Mar 12, 4:27pm   25,465 views  189 comments

by Rin   ➕follow (13)   💰tip   ignore  

Whenever this topic comes up, it turns into political theater. Why can't we talk about a market (whether it's real or imagined stardust) w/o it turning into a cage match?

Let me make a comparison to a more mature market.

The following is a multi-year chart of the EUR vs USD, with the 50 bar exponential moving average (EMA) as the indicator on the chart. As anyone can observe, when the spot price is above the 50 EMA, there are more bullish trading opportunities (in green) than below it. And when it's below the 50 EMA, bearish events (in red) tend to be more common.







Now, contrast the above with that of BITCOIN vs USD. Whenever the 50 EMA is tested, the bearish opportunities are sparse and really don't even given bonafide short sellers much time to maneuver w/o a near term rally taking 'em out.



All and all, that's a bullish market with a high amount of sentiment on the upside. So until we see a general overall market meltdown, I'm not calling curtains on the cryptos.

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121   Cash   2022 Apr 1, 9:19pm  

FJB 40k+/- is a tough neighborhood brother and is a logical tgt to start some buying at least a few Satoshi in that area if it gets there
under 38k is a far reach imo....
122   Cash   2022 Apr 1, 10:17pm  

$link



What Is a Blockchain Oracle?
Oracles provide a way for the decentralized Web 3.0 ecosystem to access existing data sources, legacy systems, and advanced computations. Decentralized oracle networks (DONs) enable the creation of hybrid smart contracts, where on-chain code and off-chain infrastructure are combined to support advanced decentralized applications (dApps) that react to real-world events and interoperate with traditional systems.
https://chain.link/education/blockchain-oracles

123   PeopleUnited   2022 Apr 2, 5:15am  

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/052014/why-bitcoins-value-so-volatile.asp?source=patrick.net
Why Does BTC Fluctuate so Much?
Bitcoin's price fluctuates because it is influenced by supply and demand, investor and user sentiments, government regulations, and media hype. All of these factors work together to create price volatility.

How High Can Bitcoin's Price Go?
It's rare to watch cryptocurrency news and not see an investor or fan's opinion of how high Bitcoin's price will get. Unfortunately, it is unknown how high or low the cryptocurrency's price will go.

Is Bitcoin Safe to Buy?
You can buy Bitcoin on government-approved cryptocurrency exchanges like Coinbase. If you're looking to use Bitcoin to preserve capital or grow your assets, its price is highly volatile—there is no guarantee that you will see any returns; you're just as likely to lose everything you invest as you are to make any gains.
124   Cash   2022 Apr 2, 5:16am  

FJB 1 reason crypto maybe staying sideways is tax season which is my preference.
125   Cash   2022 Apr 3, 7:26am  

126   Cash   2022 Apr 3, 1:13pm  

IBM WORLDWIRE > $XLM + $SHx [ANCHOR BRIDGE CURRENCIES] [[STABLECOINS]]


Money Money Money MONEY!!!
127   Cash   2022 Apr 3, 2:36pm  

FJB
Just a bit of clarification to my approach in consideration of the crypto market.
CBDC are coming and regulation as well. The legacy system of SWIFT is like
using a 1929 stock model T in a race with Tesla's Model S EV car and why 1 of
my largest holdings is XRP as the premiere fast, cheap, ODL cross boarder pmt sys.

CBDCs depending on who gets to create and govern is the big question and concern.
However XRP maybe 1 of the most important cogs in the metrics of CBDC regardless
of the creator and governance. Definitely speculation at this time, but in my opinion is well
with in my risk appetite. XRP can be used exchange from them all.

128   Cash   2022 Apr 3, 2:52pm  

129   Cash   2022 Apr 4, 6:25am  

DooDahMan says
https://www.ibtimes.com/nearly-half-crypto-owners-first-bought-digital-assets-2021-survey-3460247?source=patrick.net
Thanks for sharing the article, many in the US have led a privileged life with little exposure to the hardships civilians have to put
up with in other third world, developing and emerging markets. Americans in many ways have become of the mind they are so important they are entitled which we all see or experience this most every day rather from family members or out in public. I dont know about anyone else but I clearly see a different global monetary system on tract and on it's way for this year or very early next year and it will be a massive shock to the majority, changes in the SWIFT system sched. for Nov. 2022 alone should make things very interesting.
130   Cash   2022 Apr 4, 7:13am  

131   Cash   2022 Apr 4, 2:07pm  

Ripple – Banks Go All-in!
Top banks like the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)(NYSE:CM) are using XRP (CRYPTO:XRP) for payments!
https://www.fool.ca/2022/03/24/ripple-banks-go-all-in/?source=patrick.net
132   Zak   2022 Apr 4, 2:13pm  

Cash says
Ripple – Banks Go All-in!
Top banks like the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)(NYSE:CM) are using XRP (CRYPTO:XRP) for payments!


WTF do banks care. If their gamble doesn't pay off, they just cry they are a societal necessity and get a bail out. Of course they are taking any and every moral hazard and risk. WTF is your point?
133   Cash   2022 Apr 4, 4:06pm  

https://watcher.guru/news/goldman-sachs-to-offer-crypto-services-for-private-wealthy-clients?source=patrick.net
“There’s a contingent of clients who are looking to this asset as a hedge against inflation, and the macro backdrop
over the past year has certainly played into that,” Rich said.

Just a word of warning if you hold your crypto with the banksters you might as well hold cash.
If your crypto is not under your control as the saying goes if they are not your keys they are not your crypto.
136   Cash   2022 Apr 5, 3:27am  

Factbox: How U.S. banks are dipping their toes in the crypto water
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/how-us-banks-are-dipping-their-toes-crypto-water-2022-04-05/?rpc=401&source=patrick.net
April 5 (Reuters) - Last week, a top U.S. banking regulator warned of growing risks as banks start to capitalize on the popularity
of cryptocurrencies to offer related services to clients.
Here is how some of the biggest banks operating in the United States have gotten involved in crypto:
137   Cash   2022 Apr 5, 4:43am  

Zak says
WTF do banks care. If their gamble doesn't pay off, they just cry they are a societal necessity and get a bail out. Of course they are taking any and every moral hazard and risk. WTF is your point?

1st I could not care less about your opinions you are welcome to them, everyone has them right or wrong nor do I care if you get anything from whats shared
on this post or get the point whats so ever, it matters not to me.

With that being said there is a global "Currency War" and all that money leaving the money changers hands (legacy monetary systems) which at peak was 2.9+trillion
with far superior technology in many ways is definitely concerning to governments and their institution.
138   Cash   2022 Apr 5, 5:24am  

DooDahMan says
See comment #2 on this: https://patrick.net/post/1344461/2022-04-05-profits-soar-as-u-s-corporations-have-b

A recent report has also shown that Bitcoin mining revenue rose 206% in 2021 despite many countries cracking down on crypto mining and China even banning it. The US has become the nation with the most Bitcoin miners.

Awesome share...
You can lead a horse to____
139   Cash   2022 Apr 5, 5:31am  

2022 Global State of Crypt
https://www.gemini.com/state-of-crypto?source=patrick.net
Download the report it's free and full of stats and graphs..
140   Cash   2022 Apr 5, 7:52am  

WATCH: Dr. Malone Says He Will Expose 4,000 World Economic Forum Names Via Blockchain
https://welovetrump.com/2022/04/04/watch-dr-malone-says-he-will-expose-4000-world-economic-forum-names-via-blockchain/?source=patrick.net
In a recent speech, given in front of a crowd of freedom truckers, Dr. Malone announced that he has a spreadsheet of 4,000 individuals
connected to the World Economic Forum.
141   Cash   2022 Apr 6, 6:30am  

143   Rin   2022 Apr 6, 10:36am  

Cash says


To be fair, at around that time, behemoths like Global Crossing, WorldCom, Lucent Technologies, etc, went into the toilet. The fact of the matter was the hi-speed access was too expensive as T3 lines were only affordable for big corporations.

Sure, some of today's mainstays have survived and even prospered, but do you want to be this person who bought Cisco at its peak ...

https://patrick.net/post/1341757?40#comment-1794348


uploads/2021/10/29443_0080_csco1
144   Ceffer   2022 Apr 6, 10:47am  

Is the bitcoin blithe tulip statute of limitations up yet so that hate boys can show up again?
145   Cash   2022 Apr 11, 7:35am  

I love a well planned scheme coming together, getting me some more coins to stash .
https://patrick.net/post/1344030?120#comment-1831934
146   Cash   2022 Apr 11, 9:41am  

I'm starting my test buys at BTC 39k_ish
147   Cash   2022 Apr 13, 3:29am  

148   Cash   2022 Apr 13, 5:49am  

149   Bitcoin   2022 Apr 23, 11:17am  

"Oscar-Nominated Ridley Scott To Produce Ethereum Movie 'The Infinite Machine'"

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/22/04/26755761/oscar-nominated-ridley-scott-to-produce-ethereum-movie-the-infinite-machine?source=patrick.net

Pretty cool. I am investor in Ethereum coins. My avg cost is about 700 and I sold some holdings between 3500-4000.
I believe Ethereum can hit 20,000 USD within the next few years.
150   Bitcoin   2022 Apr 26, 11:08am  

DooDahMan says
Fidelity will reportedly start offering investors to add Bitcoin to their retirement 401(k) accounts later in 2022.


Freaking awesome news!! Importance piece to the mass adoption narrative.
151   Patrick   2022 Apr 28, 10:13pm  

https://entrepreneurshandbook.co/the-doom-loop-161a42bbcd50?source=patrick.net


Why do the acolytes of Lord Satoshi preach the gospel with such passion? Because we know that in order to create circular self-sustaining pockets of economic action that use Bitcoin as the sole payment method, we must infect as many minds as possible with our memetic narrative.

This is especially important because of how successful Bitcoin has been from a price appreciation standpoint. The meteoric rise of Bitcoin from nothing to a $1 trillion dollar plus asset in the span of a decade created the HODL culture. HODLers will not sell their Bitcoin at any price. And these folks, myself included, spend fiat and save Bitcoin. Fiat depreciates in real terms year after year, while Bitcoin is the best performing asset EVER created.

However, Bitcoin– unlike gold– must be used to have value. Miners spend energy to maintain the Bitcoin network. To cover their costs, miners must receive payment in a token that is socially valuable. Bitcoin therefore must move, and movement between parties is the antithesis of HODL culture. HODL culture taken to its f(x): maxima would result in the complete destruction of Bitcoin. Once all bitcoin has been minted and miners no longer receive sufficient income from network rewards in the form of newly minted Bitcoin, they must rely on transaction fees instead. If no Bitcoin changes hands because we all sit smugly clutching our USB sticks, then there will be no hashpower supporting the network. No network … no value.

Therefore, as a loyal subject of Lord Satoshi, I must do my part to evangelise the good word, and hopefully they can influence their domestic policy makers to create a fertile environment that promotes a farm-to-table Bitcoin economy.
152   PeopleUnited   2022 Apr 29, 5:53am  

Patrick says
However, Bitcoin– unlike gold– must be used to have value


Sounds like a pump and dump scheme,
153   Bitcoin   2022 Apr 29, 8:39am  

PeopleUnited says
Patrick says
However, Bitcoin– unlike gold– must be used to have value


Sounds like a pump and dump scheme,


Then stocks and cash would be a pump and dump scheme too.

The Bitcoin haters never really come up with a reason why Bitcoin is bad. They are simple unwilling to learn technology. Hence most of the Bitcoin haters still use landlines and flip phones.
154   PeopleUnited   2022 Apr 29, 9:07am  

Bitcoin says
a reason why Bitcoin is bad


Transaction speed is slow.
155   Bitcoin   2022 Apr 29, 9:20am  

PeopleUnited says
Bitcoin says
a reason why Bitcoin is bad


Transaction speed is slow.


Its digital gold. Why do you need the transaction to be fast? You miss the intention. Maybe this chart helps:


156   Bitcoin   2022 Apr 29, 9:21am  

notice how the chart doesnt have anything on transaction speed? cause it doesnt matter. I bought Bitcoin for 15k.....now its worth close to 40k.....i never transacted it once except when I moved it from the exchange to the cold storage (hardware wallet).
157   mell   2022 Apr 29, 10:24am  

Bitcoin says
notice how the chart doesnt have anything on transaction speed? cause it doesnt matter. I bought Bitcoin for 15k.....now its worth close to 40k.....i never transacted it once except when I moved it from the exchange to the cold storage (hardware wallet).


Why don't you take some gains though? I say that to people who are sitting on large stock gains as well. Once you make a double sell 25% at the minimum, of course these numbers can be adapted to individual strategies but at least for stocks buy and hold is done and won't see return. I expect similar for bitcorn
158   Bitcoin   2022 Apr 29, 11:48am  

mell says
but at least for stocks buy and hold is done and won't see return. I expect similar for bitcorn


Wait, you are saying for stocks, buying and holding long term is not a strategy anymore?
My strategy for stocks is dollar cost avg. basically buy into the dumps/falling knife.....but have a long term outlook, 2+ years
159   PeopleUnited   2022 Apr 29, 2:57pm  

Patrick says
However, Bitcoin– unlike gold– must be used to have value.
Bitcoin says
Its digital gold. Why do you need the transaction to be fast?


You miss the criticism because you are a fanboy, transactions Are necessary per the article Patrick linked. It is just one of many problems with “digital gold”.

If people can’t make quick transactions in the digital age, then it is not the digital age. It is the Stone Age,
160   mell   2022 Apr 29, 8:50pm  

Bitcoin says

mell says
but at least for stocks buy and hold is done and won't see return. I expect similar for bitcorn


Wait, you are saying for stocks, buying and holding long term is not a strategy anymore?
My strategy for stocks is dollar cost avg. basically buy into the dumps/falling knife.....but have a long term outlook, 2+ years


Yes. You can buy into dips but only if you sell into runs to create "freeriding" shares to hold. You can't just indiscriminately buy dips, some stocks may never recover to previous levels or even go bk or get bought out in distress for pennies on the dollar. Look at tech and what a wreck it is. Big tech is done for many years. Buy and hold is not a good strategy, it was from 2009-2019 or maybe 2021 due to the fed money bazooka, but it's over, the fed is unwinding rather aggressively to combat inflation. For the next few years buy select stocks only and sell into rallies to create freerides. I doubt the market will be any better in 2+ years.

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