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Demographics Thread


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2022 Jul 22, 11:53am   17,559 views  157 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (60)   💰tip   ignore  

Number of children by political affiliation.




Leftism is self-exterminating, but it will take a while, and they will continuously try to convert the children of conservatives to replenish their numbers.

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46   rocketjoe79   2023 Jul 2, 1:55pm  

AmericanKulak says

Most wealth in any country is in the land and property.

Western birthrates have been declining for decades.

Smart people read charts.

Thus you have mass immigration.

It doesn't matter if an employed citizen or government/NGO on behalf of a refugee is paying, as long as you get your landlord rent.

Catholics, Muslims, Hindus, and Mormons will survive and continue to populate. Big cities will die off from corruption, internal rot, fire, and disease.
47   Patrick   2023 Jul 2, 6:43pm  

rocketjoe79 says

as long as you get your landlord rent


Georgism would fix this problem.
49   Patrick   2023 Jul 6, 2:25pm  

https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/very-urgent-the-fertility-crisis


The global baby bust is worsening - and the problem is deepest in countries that relied most heavily on mRNA Covid shots.

Most notably, several nations that had stable birth levels before the mRNAs were introduced in 2021 have seen sharp drops since. Sweden had about 115,000 births annually from 2012 to 2021. Last year, births plunged to 105,000. In 2023, they are tracking below 100,000. Germany has a similar trend.

Meanwhile, Eastern European nations like Bulgaria - which had much lower mRNA jab rates - have seen in some cases increases in births in the last year.
50   Patrick   2023 Jul 6, 5:02pm  

https://igorchudov.substack.com/p/antivaxxers-blamed-for-hijacking


Today's news is a sudden and unexpected plunge in birth rates in Australia.




Australia’s News.Com.Au has an article about it, and they blame… climate change!
51   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2023 Jul 6, 5:08pm  

Patrick says

Australia’s News.Com.Au has an article about it, and they blame… climate change!


Paranoia Politics

The paranoid approach to politics requires demands for the impossible to be achieved thus creating failure which sustains the sense of powerlessness among the movement’s adherents.
52   Patrick   2023 Jul 8, 4:27pm  

https://slaynews.com/news/australia-fertility-rates-plummet-lowest-level-record/


Australia’s Fertility Rates Plummet to Lowest Level on Record

... According to the report from Australia’s 7 News:

“It’s currently at around 1.7, below the 2.1 rate needed for a stable population.

“During the first three months of this year, the number of births in public maternity wards in New South Wales was the lowest since records began 13 years ago.”
53   Patrick   2023 Jul 26, 7:45am  

https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/population-control-policy


All this is to say, the “elites” are really-really serious about killing people and reducing the global population. No crime is to vile for them - they will stop at nothing, and they never have.

In conclusion, it is important to realize that there is no scientific or humanitarian basis in “public health policies” as they exists today in the United States and globally. That machinery exists to drive the population control policy. There is no scientific or humanitarian basis mandating vaccinations with now close to 100 different poisons. Vaccines do not create health. Yet, this is squarely among the UN’s “sustainable goals”.

The public health system must be dismantled, because it is a camouflaged warfare program actively engaged in controlling and killing civilians under emergency pretexts and lies.

There are no genuine, self-sustaining, global pandemic and epidemic threats. There are only localized, self-limiting CBRN attacks conducted (in the US) by the DoD-HHS-DHS-NSC-DOJ-et al, and conducted by DoD and other national militaries in other countries, under the direction of the World Health Organization and the BIS to reinforce the illusion of pandemics, to drive the camouflaged warfare programs forward, to control and kill more civilians.
54   Patrick   2023 Jul 30, 3:16pm  

https://rwmalonemd.substack.com/p/a-conversation-with-chat-gpt-re-population


A Conversation with Chat GPT re Population Control
and the lies an AI will tell to protect US Government policy

ROBERT W MALONE MD, MS
JUL 30, 2023

Last week I posted Gavin De Becker’s essay on the Kissinger report and National Security Study Memorandum NSSM 200, as well as links to those reports. In writing that report, Gavin used Chat GPT to try to find some answers to questions he had about the report and US government policy on population reduction.

Below is the text from the “discussion” that Gavin had with Chat GPT about population control and the Kissinger report. For brevity, I have only included last pages of the discussion, from where Gavin moves away from “fictional non-existent government” to the real USG. Here is the full link that the conversation. If you haven’t had an opportunity to use Chat GPT and wish to get some ideas on how to use it, this is a useful document to read.

I know that reading the pages below is a lot to get through - but if you can, at least speed read through the text. The bottom line is that Chat GPT seem to lie consistently and with ease, in an apparent attempt to cover up US government policy that somehow Chat GPT considers too controversial.

If this example doesn’t scare you straight about the dangers of AI – for even the most basic of everyday uses, I don’t know what will - RWM

(Gavin’s comments are in light brown) ...
59   Patrick   2023 Oct 26, 12:50pm  

https://alexberenson.substack.com/p/why-are-so-many-adults-in-rich-countries


Why are so many adults in rich countries refusing to have kids?
60   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2023 Oct 26, 5:05pm  

Patrick says


Why are so many adults in rich countries refusing to have kids?


Peter Zeihan has covered this a lot. His main answer: mass urbanization.

The more and faster it is, the sharper the drop off in having kids starts to be noticeable about two generations later.

US and Europe had slower urbanization, so this happened slower. Europe then had WW2 and rapid urbanization. So they pretty much stopped having enough babies since the mid 1970s.

US also had the suburbs, which helped delay this with Boomers and their kids. Then the Millennials went to live in the cities...

Asian nations, much more rapid because their industrialization was. Vietnam is demographicaly now where China was 30 ys ago. So by the 2040s, Vietnam will be in demographic free fall like China is now.

Only Japan has handled this in any remote way well.

France has too by having an extensive, pro-family support mechanism that costs a lot. Eastern Europeans like the Poles and Hungaruans have tried to emulate the French but with less results.

The Kiwis and Swedes haven't done bad either. Oz, not so much.
.
So ironically, America's shitty cities turning into even shittier hellholes is a good thing. People are fleeing them for exurbs and smaller towns. Our demographic problems will start to correct themselves after a generation or two.
61   AD   2023 Oct 26, 8:22pm  

As Professor Larry Sabato says "Demographics is destiny"

Sweden is learning that firsthand.

.
62   HeadSet   2023 Oct 27, 11:20am  

PumpingRedheads says

Our demographic problems will start to correct themselves after a generation or two.

We do not have a demographic problem, other than a flood of illiterates crossing the southern border.
63   yawaraf   2023 Oct 27, 11:36am  

It seems intuitive that population cannot increase forever. If so, it is necessary that for some time population will either be stable or will decrease. When conditions change the rate of change in population will also change.

I am also of the opinion that the problem is uncontrolled immigration. Setting a quota for quantity might be arbitrary, however we must reject nationalities/cultures/religions that have been shown to integrate poorly in American society.
64   AD   2023 Oct 28, 10:50am  

yawaraf says

I am also of the opinion that the problem is uncontrolled immigration. Setting a quota for quantity might be arbitrary, however we must reject nationalities/cultures/religions that have been shown to integrate poorly in American society.


Tucker Carlson is warning about this. He says the reason 3rd world immigrants come to America is that it is a free society with economic opportunity. When America becomes a 3rd world country, then Tucker states it will get a lot worse here as far as those immigrants.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/abrupt-change-coming-tucker-carlson-issues-dire-warning-america

.
67   AmericanKulak   2023 Nov 24, 6:15pm  

yawaraf says


It seems intuitive that population cannot increase forever. If so, it is necessary that for some time population will either be stable or will decrease. When conditions change the rate of change in population will also change.

This is already happening. The US has been below replacement rate since the 60s/70s.

India is now AT replacement rate (pale green). Most of Europe, East Asia, Central and South Africa is below replacement. Most of the Middle East is way down to just above replacement.

It's just Africa that remains a problem, and the answer to that is to isolate Africa (no aid, little trade) and STOP IMMIGRATION to the West as a safety valve.

68   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2023 Nov 24, 6:31pm  

AmericanKulak says


This is already happening. The US has been below replacement rate since the 60s/70s.

India is now AT replacement rate (pale green). Most of Europe, East Asia, Central and South Africa is below replacement. Most of the Middle East is way down to just above replacement.


In both cases, you are looking at the whole population.

Should look at the cities vs rural areas. In India, births are dropping like a rock in the affluent cities but still pumping future roadside defecators at 3-4 per woman.

In the US, the difference is not so stark between them but still is enough. SF has had far more pet dogs than children for 20 years now. But in Utah..outside of SLC...those Mormons are pumping them out at or above replacement levels.

So do immigrants.

Democrats -- comprised of the pro-unborn murdering, college 'educated' MAYBE one child couples -- are literally DYING OFF. Reps are losing population but at least will have a future population.

And that difference will have meaning in the near future, trust me.

Demographics: Might not be EVERYTHING but sure as fuck comes close as far as a nation's future is concerned.
69   HeadSet   2023 Nov 25, 12:52pm  

AmericanKulak says

The US has been below replacement rate since the 60s/70s.

Then how in the heck did the population grow from 200 million to over 320 million?
70   AmericanKulak   2023 Nov 25, 2:03pm  

HeadSet says


Then how in the heck did the population grow from 200 million to over 320 million?

Millions of legal and illegal migrants a year.

There are ~45M recorded official immigrants in the US. Unofficial is easily about 30-40 million. Finsally, the millions of Visa holders from Student to H1B to Tourist that never return. Add in the tens of millions of "dreamers" children of immigrants from Asia and Africa and South/Central America, legal or illegal, and there's your number.

The current percentage of US population born aboard is just shy of 15%, near the all-time high of 14.9% in the 1890s. Back when we the GDP was expanding by (near) double digits annually, unlike today. And the immigrant pop was overwhelmingly European in origin back then.

The US Birthrate went to replacement rate in the late 60s and began dipping below that in the 1980s.
71   stereotomy   2023 Nov 25, 2:12pm  

AmericanKulak says

HeadSet says



Then how in the heck did the population grow from 200 million to over 320 million?

Millions of legal and illegal migrants a year.

There are ~40M recorded official immigrants in the US. Unofficial is easily 30 million. Then there are the unregistered children of illegals. Finsally, the millions of Visa holders from Student to H1B to Tourist that never return.

The US Birthrate went to replacement rate in the late 60s and began dipping below that in the 1980s.

Yes, when the great inflation turned families from one earner into two earner. Women working a full day dries up the pussy, so no evening lovin', morning wood, or mid-day "hummer" to prop up the birth rate.

This was stage one in the globohomo depopulation program.
72   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2023 Nov 25, 6:58pm  

stereotomy says


This was stage one in the globohomo depopulation program.


Stage One is an OOOLLLLDDDD story going back millennia.

This is just the current incarnation.

75   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2023 Dec 29, 9:45pm  

Patrick says

https://conspiracysarah.substack.com/p/lets-make-sure-we-never-have-another






we probably shouldn’t artificially create more births or import migrants nonstop. billions of people worldwide, and somehow for globalists there’s never enough slaves.
76   AmericanKulak   2023 Dec 30, 1:43am  

Entitlement is the reason.

India just passed a law that makes it "Harassment" for a mother-in-law to nag a married woman.
77   Patrick   2024 Jan 1, 1:42pm  

https://sagehana.substack.com/p/if-population-growth-didnt-slow-down


"If population growth didn't slow down, food shortages could be created in a hurry." In 1969, ex-Planned Parenthood Medical Director Richard Day Prophesied How the Globalist Agendas Would Unfold

Tape #2 Transcript is Astonishing in its Prescience. The disruption of the American Automotive Industry, Implantable IDs, TV surveillance. The use of war to control population is also explicit. ...

The following is an extended audiotaped account recollecting a 1969 talk given by an ex-Planned Parenthood Medical Director, Richard Day.

Day was preparing his audience of physicians for what was to come. He asked them not to take notes or record his session.

Day’s prophecies are chilling in their accuracy. Much of this is straight up WEFFIE Great Reset.

The parts on medicine, health care, surveillance, science and technology are especially resonant.
78   Patrick   2024 Jan 3, 6:45am  

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/rogue-manholes-wednesday-january


Things aren’t going so well down at the central planning office. The Wall Street Journal ran a long-form, magazine-style story yesterday headlined, “China Is Pressing Women to Have More Babies. Many Are Saying No.” The sub-headline explained, “The population, now around 1.4 billion, is likely to drop to around half a billion by 2100—and women are being blamed.”

Women blamed? How about blaming the central planners?

The Journal included a handy chart showing that modern communists have been even more successful at decimating China’s population than was Chairman Mao in his wildest, most murderous, rice-wine-induced excesses of the Great Famine:




I’m old enough to remember both when China first imposed its draconian ‘one-child’ policy in 1980 and also when it lifted the policy thirty-five years later in 2015. Now, almost nine years later, apparently the country’s population is for all purposes stuck in irreversible decline. Chinese communists did too good a job of portraying childbearing as patriarchal oppression of empowered womanhood, and now many Chinese women are just over it:


When Beijing said it would abolish the one-child policy in 2015, officials expected a baby boom. Instead, they got a baby bust. (Chinese) women are increasingly reluctant to marry and have children, accelerating the population decline.
“Having had one child, I think I’ve done my duty,” Feng said. A second child, she said, would be too expensive. She said she tells relatives, “I can have another kid as long as you give me 300,000 yuan,” or around $41,000.
Molly Chen, 28 years old, said the demands of caring for aging relatives and her job as an exhibition designer in Shenzhen leave no room for kids or a husband. All she wants to do in her free moments is read or scroll through pet videos.


The Chinese communists used coercion to enforce childlessness, and they may have overshot the mark a little. Now they are faced with the unpleasant prospect of coercing women to bear children, which is much harder than stopping them in the first place. (In America, we don’t use coercion, we deploy bizarre CIA mind-games like confusing kids about their genders and offering them free, irreversible sterilization surgeries to help their identities conform to biological reality, or the other way around. Whichever.)

One surprising outcome of the baby bust was that China cracked down on abortions and even contraception...

In spite of all this, nobody has cared invoke the awful specter of The Handmaid’s Tale yet against President Xi. But as this story suggests, a dystopian Handmaid’s Tale society is much more likely to arise in a communist hellhole like China than in a free democracy. The ‘one-child’ policy was originally promoted by Chinese communists as ending patriarchal and discriminatory treatment of women under historic Confucianism. Now, the communist party and President Xi are stressing Confucian values like familial duties.

Don’t have babies! Wait, do have babies. I’ve said it before: if it weren’t for double standards, communists would have no standards at all.

If there’s a better illustration of the perils of central planning than China’s horrible population implosion problem, I don’t know what it could be. Ironically, women vote for marxist policies in the greatest numbers, but women always suffer the worst whenever marxists hold power. According to the articles, China’s Politburo includes no women in its top ranks.

China’s population demographic problems run deep. Optimistically, these problems may temper the country’s more aggressive military ambitions. In any event, the failure of one-child is another black eye for the Left.

Overall, 2024 is starting out very well for sane conservatism.
79   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Jan 3, 7:58am  

I love how ppl think demographic decline can be just fixed by having more babies starting now.

It's like they think babies are instant additions to the workforce right out of the womb or something.
80   HeadSet   2024 Jan 3, 11:52am  

UkraineIsFucked says

It's like they think babies are instant additions to the workforce right out of the womb or something.

That may be true in China.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xd6Shxz9UUs
81   AD   2024 Jan 3, 4:47pm  

Obviously a lower population growth means lesser demand for housing in the future relative to the housing supply.

I have read about new ways to care for the aging which uses technology and new innovative ways for the elderly to live in assisted living. This is required since there will be less supply of workers for assisted living and nursing homes.

.
82   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Jan 3, 5:51pm  

ad says

I have read about new ways to care for the aging which uses technology and new innovative ways for the elderly to live in assisted living. This is required since there will be less supply of workers for assisted living and nursing


I have a family member who works in assisted living. No such tech is implemented, believe me.
83   AD   2024 Jan 3, 6:03pm  

UkraineIsFucked says

I have a family member who works in assisted living. No such tech is implemented, believe me.


One local assisted living uses smart watches and GPS tracking devices. I think they have ability to detect falls also with the available technologies.

They have Wyze cameras in every living space and common space.

,
84   Misc   2024 Jan 3, 9:10pm  

ad says

UkraineIsFucked says


I have a family member who works in assisted living. No such tech is implemented, believe me.


One local assisted living uses smart watches and GPS tracking devices. I think they have ability to detect falls also with the available technologies.

They have Wyze cameras in every living space and common space.

,


Heavy usage of sedatives is a common high-tech solution.

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