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Predictions thread.


               
2022 Sep 12, 2:18pm   99,105 views  512 comments

by Eric_Holder   follow (0)  

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

It goes without saying that everybody is welcome to add their favorite predictions.

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505   HeadSet   2025 Dec 26, 5:00pm  

MolotovCocktail says

Not if the money was taken from existing money elsewhere...such as tariffs do.

So if welfare handouts are increased that would not be inflationary since the money came from taxes? Money is fungible, handing out cash drives up prices no matter where you claim the money came from.
506   FortWayneHatesRealtors   2025 Dec 26, 6:21pm  

HeadSet says

MolotovCocktail says


Not if the money was taken from existing money elsewhere...such as tariffs do.

So if welfare handouts are increased that would not be inflationary since the money came from taxes? Money is fungible, handing out cash drives up prices no matter where you claim the money came from.


Especially they print it out of thin air. We are buying our own debt. That’s inflation.
507   AD   2025 Dec 28, 11:31pm  

FortWayneHatesRealtors says


Especially they print it out of thin air. We are buying our own debt. That’s inflation.


Yep. Monetizing debt.

That is why productivity like improvements in the egg industry, oil/gas sector, etc. is required to ensure even with monetary and fiscal policies that standard of living is not progressively worsened for the working and middle class.

I'd just like to see some reforms in the healthcare industry, and still with doctors and nurses being well compensated.


509   MolotovCocktail   2026 Jan 2, 10:22pm  

HeadSet says

So if welfare handouts are increased that would not be inflationary since the money came from taxes? Money is fungible, handing out cash drives up prices no matter where you claim the money came from.


????

Inflation is simply increasing the money supply. It is not the price rises that come later. Basic Econ 101.

While most inflation causes price increases down the line unless production of effected goods & services are likewise increased, that doesn't mean most price increases are caused by inflation. If demand for something suddenly rises or production of it suddenly drops, prices rise regardless of the amount of money is in circulation.

So yes. When government robs Peter to give Paul goodies via taxation or future taxation because of debt raised instead - and that pushes up prices for those goodies - that's not inflation.

"All reparations is gonna do is make Cadillac the #1 car dealer in America." - from Barbershop
511   SharkyP   2026 Jan 3, 11:10am  

I predict the Buckeyes will win the National Championship in 2026.
512   RWSGFY   2026 Jan 3, 11:43am  

Billionaire Oleg Deripaska fears that by seizing control of Venezuela's oil reserves, the Americans could devastate Russia's budget revenues.

"If our American 'partners' get to Venezuela's oil fields (and they've already got to Guyana's), they'll control more than half of the world's oil reserves. And apparently, their plan is to ensure that the price of our oil doesn't rise above $50 per barrel," Deripaska wrote on social media.

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