Fascinating essay that describes the common historical patterns, cycles, and stages of empires as they begin their ascension, struggle to reach their peak, begin their descent and eventually collapse. Glubb established that, historically, empires typically last approximately 250 years.
Will the American 'empire' be the historical exception?
If you've never read The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival by Sir John Glubb (27 pages), you can download it for free as a PDF by going here:
You know, those stages of empire mirror the stages of life:
- illiterate and primitive: youth - bursts upon the world: young man - military success: grown man - commercial success: older man - decadent: very old man who doesn't give a shit anymore
I'm currently reading this book and have found it quite fascinating. It follows along the same basic lines of work by Sir John Glubb (see original thread above), but goes into much greater detail.
It was published back in 1997, which makes it interesting to see how accurate the author's predictions were. If you are interested, there is a free PDF download here:
The Fourth Turning An American Prophecy What The Cycles Of History Tell Us About Americas Next Rendezvous With Destiny By William Strauss, Neil Howe
PS: I wish that they had not chosen to use the word 'prophecy' in their subtitle, which gives the impression that this is based upon some type of religious prophecy. It isn't. The book's authors basically interpret historical cycles and trends and uses that information as a guide for what they believe the future is probably going to look like.
Also, check out what Amazon reviewers have to say about it here:
descent and eventually collapse. Glubb established that, historically, empires typically last approximately 250 years.
Will the American 'empire' be the historical exception?
If you've never read The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival by Sir John Glubb (27 pages), you can download it for free as a PDF by going here:
https://www.docdroid.net/5CdrehR/the-fate-of-empires-by-sir-john-glubb-pdf