patrick.net

AmericanKulak says

Where is the BAR association given any powers over who gets to be a lawyer in the Constitution?

Isn't that a state responsibility? If so, the 10th Amendment. Almost worked for Hillary, she had multiple Bar Exam failures and had to shop for a state to let her proxy pass.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1118019/

Is redemption possible for the sins of expertness? The only one I know that works requires the systematic retirement of experts. To be sure, many of them are sucked into chairs, deanships, vice presidencies, and other black holes in which they are unlikely to influence the progress of science or anything else for that matter. Surely a lot more people could retire from their fields and turn their intelligence, imagination, and methodological acumen to new problem areas where, having shed most of their prestige and with no prior personal pronouncements to defend, they could enjoy the liberty to argue new evidence and ideas on the latter's merits.

But there are still far more experts around than is healthy for the advancement of science. Because their voluntary retirement does not seem to be any more frequent in 2000 than it was in 1980, I repeat my proposal that the retirement of experts be made compulsory at the point of their academic promotion and tenure.

Patrick says

Is redemption possible for the sins of expertness? The only one I know that works requires the systematic retirement of experts. To be sure, many of them are sucked into chairs, deanships, vice presidencies, and other black holes in which they are unlikely to influence the progress of science or anything else for that matter.

I disagree with this. They will just be replaced by the same sort of puppet.

Ignore experts.

Look, every one of us has access to the world's information, if they simply want to use it. We don't need experts anymore.

A lie has many many stories, the truth has only one. When you come across a story that doesn't make sense to you, figure out why it doesn't make sense, then start asking questions. It won't take long for you to either identify an error in your reasoning, OR, that the story you've been told is false.

For example, if I ask "why would Assad gas his own people? It's the ONLY weapon that he could have used to guarantee that Obama would start bombing Syria - so are we expected to think he's stupid?" and the answer I get is "he's a madman!!! You (meaning me) are stupid for not realizing this" - does this make sense? No leader is really insane. Every leader is only a leader because he's got a support group underneath him. If the leader starts acting stupidly, they are removed. If Assad started a war with the US by using chemical weapons, he'd have been assassinated. His advisors would have killed him, and replaced him.

Obama started a war with Syria by lying about it, that's what his advisors wanted. If he DIDN'T start a war, there's plenty of corruption they could have used to remove him. For example, he got a $60 million dollar bribe for imposing Common Core on the nation - that made 1/2 billion dollars of profit for the same company that paid him $60 million dollars for his "memoirs" which nobody gives a shit about, and nobody has read.

https://dee746.substack.com/p/covid-experts-said-vs-meant

https://aghostinthemachine.substack.com/p/a-zero-trust-society

Ours is a zero-trust society, and crazy-sounding conspiracy theorists are usually far more trustworthy than government officials, mainstream journalists, academic researchers, etc. As we have seen, the credentialed “experts” who brandish the regime’s imprimatur have been consistently and catastrophically wrong about everything that matters.

A growing number of people, possibly even a majority, now accept that this is so, even if most of them are reluctant to acknowledge it publicly. People are sick of being conned and gaslit by the powers-that-be. ...

Okay, I know that these “conspiracy theories” can sound pretty crazy, especially when you go outside into the sunshine and “touch grass” and interact with all the shiny, happy normies out there. But let us not forget, my fellow Americans, that in the past few years, our own government recently partnered with Chinese communists to engineer a virus; then, once that virus “escaped” from the lab, our government collaborated with public and private organizations around the globe to lie about the severity of that virus, to lie about which treatments were effective and which ones weren’t, and to censor any and all true information that contradicted its lies; our government then compelled people to take preventative measures and treatments that its own officials knew were ineffective; etc., etc., etc. How many people died as a result, especially once you factor in deaths from despair (suicides, overdoses, etc.)? And precisely none of the folks who committed all of these crimes have even been prosecuted for it, let alone convicted of a crime and sent to prison. And don’t forget that this is a familiar pattern by now: think Iraq, 9/11, the psychotic immigration and border policy, the BLM movement and its “reforms,” etc.

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/ban-experts-wednesday-september-25

See, nobody even wanted the stupid plastic bags. People don’t like them. We were happier with paper. It required government regulation to create the plastic bag market. After which, a whole lot of petroleum-adjacent companies earned generational wealth supplying government-mandated plastic bags to grocery stores.

But then the plastic bags began choking the oceans (not literally) —a whole new problem we never had back in the paper bag days, and one that the experts somehow failed to foresee— and now the very same experts soberly tell us we have to just stop it with all these plastic bags, which we never wanted in the first place until the government mandated them.

The experts are worse than useless. They are dangerous madmen. They, not the plastic bags, are the ones who are really choking the planet (Id.). The bags are just symptoms of our expert infection. It’s possible we caught the expert infection from the salmon, too. We don’t know yet.

But it’s clear. There’s only one logical thing to do. We should ban experts.

https://www.kunstler.com/p/climate-jeezus-taketh-away

Ronald Reagan’s daughter, Patti Davis, rent her garments in The New York Times Sunday op-ed page, wailing:

... The subject was Los Angeles on fire, and one person mentioned climate change as a cause. Another commentator smirked and said he didn’t believe it was the cause.

I felt rage surge up past my grief.

My first thought was: “You think you know more than scientists?”

Of course, my first thought reading that was: Who is paying those scientists? The same question you might ask of the scientists at the CDC, NIH, FDA, and NIAID who declared that Covid-19 was definitely not created in a Wuhan lab, and the mRNA vaccines were “safe and effective.” My second thought was: could you possibly find a better example of elite Utopian-Woke performative acting-out? My third thought was: since when are “experts” infallible? My fourth thought was: doesn’t science advance on the basis of continuous argument? My fifth thought was: if Patti Davis is watching the news, she must be in some comfortable and probably luxurious place that did not burn down. ...

An awful lot of homeowners will not be paying their mortgages on a smoldering empty lot. The banks are not in super-fabulous condition these days. How many loans-gone-bad will it take to wreck already unstable banks? And, by the way, the collateral isn’t even there anymore. The re-po man is out of the picture.

What happens to the insurance companies? And the re-insurance companies who theoretically stand behind the insurers? I’ll tell you what happens: they will be backstopped by the government, which doesn’t have the money to backstop them. . . but will create it out of pixels on screens. . . which means expect a considerable uptick in inflation (i.e., a downtick in the purchasing power of the dollar), which will be a black eye for the new Trump administration. ...

If you see a celebrity broadcasting, then they were likely warned and got their shit out ahead of time in exchange for being celebrity crisis actors or having their places spared from the DEWs.

What we are NOT hearing are the myriad thousands of people whose homes have been burned out. With a few exceptions, they have a media blackout, in like Lahaina. You see an account here and there, but the 'celebrities' are the ones with the voices. The celebrities whine as if they don't have three or four other places they own that they could easily roost, or just live at the Four Seasons for the duration.

Let's see if the areas are cordoned off with fences and armed NATO guards, portable crematoriums, and paid off coroner with Freemason apparatchiks. When will the obvious military type mercenaries show up? They will have military style encampments a long time before anybody who got burned out are given shelters. They won't let any independent examiners into the area to scope out what happened or the extent of the deaths.

Pali People mostly have places they can live elsewhere.

https://babylonbee.com/news/trump-claimed-without-evidence-that-22-makes-4-not-so-fast-experts-say

Patrick says

We recycle, but deep down outside of aluminum it's all going to the landfill. Maybe glass, but unless you're a heavy drinker, not much of that gets into the sorting area. That's why certain states charge you more like Michigan, but if you return your cans or bottles they kick it back. They don't have to sort.

I actually get into heated arguments with my MIL. She just trusts the supposed recycling system. Nope, 90% of it's going to the landfill. She won't take a styrofoam leftover box at a restaurant or a plastic bag with it. Massive Trump supporter too, but she's batshit crazy. Most everything you consume ends up in the garbage. And she uses garbage bags.... I don't get the recycling people.

I blew out my C4-C5 vertebrae years ago. A surgeon said I need surgery “no question about it. And if you don’t, you risk paralysis.”

I decided to go with a chiropractor instead. Over 20 years later, it’s all good.

I’ve easily met 10 people who had spinal fusions and most of them said they had to have a second surgery because the “cure” caused another ruptured disc.

I had plantar fasciitis years ago. The podiatrist said I needed surgery. I opted to belief an old old shoe salesman at an old old shoe store (the store had been there for over 50 years). I bought a pair of $200 orthotics. BOOM, 2 weeks later, all good.

Everyone does what they do for $$$$$$. Beware always.

Do what they leaders so, not what they say

I remember Boris Johnson busted having a big Christmas Party with all the bigshot ministers who just came off TV saying if you didn't isolate and vaccinate, you were a lunatic, then feeling each other up and breathing alcohol in their mutual faces dancing hip to hip to music.

https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/medicine-goes-ai

the upshot is this:

doctors alone scored 73.7% on diagnosing patients even when using google etc.

doctors using GPT scored 76.3%

but GPT alone scored 92%.

adding a human hurt the results hugely.

it led to 24 errors in 100 instead of 8. triple the misdiagnosis rate is not the kind of outcome one would be wise to dismiss.

Patrick says

Esp if they are Housing Experts of PatNet who imagine shit up in their head and pronounce it facts the rest of us have to accept or get spammed with a lecture on "you don't know real estate. I do."

MolotovCocktail says

Patrick says

Esp if they are Housing Experts of ParNet who imagine shit up in their head and pronounce it facts the rest of us have to accept or get spammed with a lecture on "you don't know real estate. I do."

You don't real estate and haven't proven otherwise. Not much else to say.

WookieMan says

MolotovCocktail says

Patrick says

Esp if they are Housing Experts of ParNet who imagine shit up in their head and pronounce it facts the rest of us have to accept or get spammed with a lecture on "you don't know real estate. I do."

You don't real estate and haven't proven otherwise. Not much else to say.

Oh man...see everyone?

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/forbearances-monday-august-25-2025

Regular readers know I’ve very little patience left for the failing expert classes. Now, I propose a radical solution. Just as Reagan fired all the illegally striking air traffic controllers back in the 1980’s, I suggest we fire the entire expert class— every single one who got the pandemic wrong.

I’m sorry (not sorry) if that sounds extreme. It’s not revenge. It’s self-protection. All these sold-out experts are dangerous.

If we don’t ashcan them, the same credentialed parrots will still be squawking about cars and guns while another 700,000 young Americans quietly shuffle off this mortal stage. Pretending the problem doesn’t exist guarantees it persists. Ignoring the vaccine-shaped hole in the mortality curve isn’t just playing politics, it’s malpractice. We’ll never develop protocols, treatments, or genuine public-health safeguards to save the people who’ve been hurt if the official line remains, “shhh.”

Come on, let’s go for it. Let’s just purge them all. Then we can start over from scratch. And let’s do it now, before everybody forgets or kicks the bucket. Who’s with me?

MolotovCocktail says

You don't real estate and haven't proven otherwise. Not much else to say.

Oh man...see everyone?

Congrats on finding a typo. You don't DO real estate. Which is true. You know nothing about it. I've posted dozens of links on areas that have proven my point. You post a map with no data. Picture book kid.

Trying to think HOW we can get experts off the crazy train.

First is definitely fixing Higher Ed for certain

Tenure doesn't seem to work.

We have a culture problem where salaried PhDs are happily taking money from all and sundry, and switching between private and public too much.

Ah, multiple licensing agencies and prof assocs.

Who gave the AMA a monopoly? Why does the Bar Assoc have a monopoly? The ACS?

We need MOAR professional associations with different viewpoints. The AMA should not be able to kick out members, should be advisory, and we should have half a dozen AMAs.

WookieMan says

Congrats on finding a typo. You don't DO real estate. Which is true. You know nothing about it. I've posted dozens of links on areas that have proven my point. You post a map with no data. Picture book kid.

Keep doing this to save your ass:



Won't work. Your rep is burned already.

DemoralizerOfPanicans says

Ah, multiple licensing agencies and prof assocs.

Who gave the AMA a monopoly? Why does the Bar Assoc have a monopoly? The ACS?

We need MOAR professional associations with different viewpoints. The AMA should not be able to kick out members, should be advisory, and we should have half a dozen AMAs.

Yes, multiple agencies would be good, but the AMA and ABA exist to restrict supply, raise salaries, and provide job security for doctors and lawyers at the expense of the public, so pretty much all doctors and lawyers are strongly in favor. This is why they are monopolies. Every doctor and lawyer sees his own self interest in those organizations.

So they accomplish those goals by defeating all free market competition in the name of "safety".

Maybe the right answer is to prosecute both of them as conspiracies against the public under the RICO act. It's literally racketeering.

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/late-admissions-monday-january-12

The problem, in the Times’s view, was that “Mr. Kennedy and his allies appear to be laying the groundwork for an entirely new approach to immunization, one that prizes individual autonomy and seeks to limit vaccines based on personal preference rather than scientific expertise.”

God bless Kennedy!

The scamdemic and death jab mandates have proven beyond any possible doubt that the "experts" WILL kill you for profit, or just to save their own jobs.

https://rudy.substack.com/p/the-crowded-alley

It was 1984 that [Philip] Tetlock began Expert Political Judgment: convincing hundreds of political and economic pundits to provide regular probabilistic forecasts of world events, and tracking those forecasts for decades. Between 1984 and 2004, he collected some 30,000 forecasts from about 300 experts.

Unsurprisingly, this took a while to pay off—which is likely a major reason no one had done it before2—but we live in a world where it did.

By the early 2000s, enough of their forecasts had resolved to score pundits’ performance. The verdict was decisive—and, for experts, disastrous. The average expert didn’t outperform random guessing, and performed significantly worse than simple statistical heuristics such as “extrapolate the current trend” or “assume no change.” They failed even to measurably outperform educated laymen.

From a related post:

…“expertise” as we understand it is largely fake. Should you listen to epidemiologists or economists when it comes to COVID-19? Conventional wisdom says “trust the experts.” The lesson of Tetlock (and the Afghanistan War), is that while you certainly shouldn’t be getting all your information from your uncle’s Facebook Wall, there is no reason to start with a strong prior that people with medical degrees know more than any intelligent person who honestly looks at the available data.