3
0

Polls, betting markets and election prediction thread


 invite response                
2024 Sep 18, 3:19pm   3,050 views  199 comments

by mell   ➕follow (10)   💰tip   ignore  

The divergence has started between the partisan polls on each side and the neutral pollsters (if any).

Also the betting markets currently hold harris as favorite although the swing states stay hotly contested while Trump survives assassination attempt after attempt.

One would think they would move in the opposite direction which is a bit disturbing, but it may just be partisan hackery to add insult to injury.

Teamsters overwhelmingly voted in favor of Trump, do we have more liberal arts majors than working class to explain the polls?

Make your predictions here, or not ;)

« First        Comments 194 - 199 of 199        Search these comments

194   Patrick   2024 Nov 7, 12:29pm  




Money on the line is a far better indicator of truth than the CIA/corporate media polls.
195   RC2006   2024 Nov 7, 12:35pm  

After looking at all the numbers for 2020 and 2024 Democrates agree that Trump won in 2020. Then they will say Trump can't win a third term from 2024 election.
197   Patrick   2024 Nov 29, 9:40am  

https://notthebee.com/article/harris-campaign-aide-admits-they-never-had-internal-polling-showing-them-with-a-lead-on-trump


Harris aide admits campaign never had internal polling that showed a lead over Trump ... so why were all the professional polls different?




Clearly all the public polls were adding the 2020 margin of cheating to Kamala's results, because they assumed that the same level of cheating would happen.

We should remember that Rasmussen was the most honest of them.
198   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Nov 29, 10:38am  

Patrick says

https://notthebee.com/article/harris-campaign-aide-admits-they-never-had-internal-polling-showing-them-with-a-lead-on-trump



Harris aide admits campaign never had internal polling that showed a lead over Trump ... so why were all the professional polls different?




Clearly all the public polls were adding the 2020 margin of cheating to Kamala's results, because they assumed that the same level of cheating would happen.


The polls were bullshit?

Shocked!


199   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2024 Nov 29, 12:01pm  

Patrick says

because they assumed that the same level of cheating would happen.


The last several years I've been thinking it's more to help COVER the cheating. "Nobody was cheating - this goes along with the polls!"

« First        Comments 194 - 199 of 199        Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions   gaiste