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Polls, betting markets and election prediction thread


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2024 Sep 18, 3:19pm   879 views  72 comments

by mell   ➕follow (10)   💰tip   ignore  

The divergence has started between the partisan polls on each side and the neutral pollsters (if any).

Also the betting markets currently hold harris as favorite although the swing states stay hotly contested while Trump survives assassination attempt after attempt.

One would think they would move in the opposite direction which is a bit disturbing, but it may just be partisan hackery to add insult to injury.

Teamsters overwhelmingly voted in favor of Trump, do we have more liberal arts majors than working class to explain the polls?

Make your predictions here, or not ;)

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63   RC2006   2024 Oct 17, 7:58am  

Doesnt matter how poorly Harris performs. Biden looked feeble and mentally out of it. He stayed hidden the whole time from everyone. We all watched the last election night blocking windows from the public, midnight jumps, counting centers closing for leaking pipe, so many anomalies and nothing was done. We don't even know how many illegals are voting this election and dems are fighting tooth and nail to keep them on and fight having to show any ID.

Trump winning the first time was a fluke, establishment was not prepared. Sorry for being a downer, just don't be surprised if Trump doesn't beat Supreme DEI Hire Harris that has been chosen. I also think a lot of you underestimate just how dumbed down and captured americans have become by media propaganda. Trump probably has to beat the system by at least 5-10% to have a chance this go around.
65   RayAmerica   2024 Oct 17, 8:12am  

I have to believe that after that disaster of an interview on FOX last night, Harris's chances of winning, even with a lot of cheating, have gone down.

Honestly, in my lifetime, I have never seen anyone worse than Harris. She is flat out terrible. But as bad as she is, what does that say about the millions that will be voting for her? The fact that she has that much support is even scarier.
66   DemocratsAreTotallyFucked   2024 Oct 17, 8:16am  

RayAmerica says


I have to believe that after that disaster of an interview on FOX last night, Harris's chances of winning, even with a lot of cheating, have gone down.

Honestly, in my lifetime, I have never seen anyone worse than Harris. She is flat out terrible. But as bad as she is, what does that say about the millions that will be voting for her? The fact that she has that much support is even scarier.


She did that interview to get soundbites to post showing her going after Fox and Trump!

All for her voters.

She didn't care for the Fox audience itself. Why would she?

Trump.did the same thing when he went to the black journalist shindig to throw memebombs at them.
67   Onvacation   2024 Oct 17, 8:18am  

RayAmerica says

what does that say about the millions that will be voting for her?

Ignorance and apathy are a dangerous combination.
68   PeopleUnited   2024 Oct 17, 9:16am  

RayAmerica says


She is flat out terrible. But as bad as she is, what does that say about the millions that will be voting for her? The fact that she has that much support is even scarier.

They have literally no moral compass or discernment. When the Antichrist arrives on the scene these people will heartily cheer from him to rule over them. The world is ripe for the arrival of the Antichrist and beast/false prophet world religion.
69   WookieMan   2024 Oct 17, 8:21pm  

RC2006 says

Trump winning the first time was a fluke, establishment was not prepared. Sorry for being a downer, just don't be surprised if Trump doesn't beat Supreme DEI Hire Harris that has been chosen. I also think a lot of you underestimate just how dumbed down and captured americans have become by media propaganda. Trump probably has to beat the system by at least 5-10% to have a chance this go around.

He'll win. I'm usually pessimistic. I think it will be a landslide. I honestly think he gets MN, WI, MI and PA. He'll be above 300 electoral votes.

Trump voters are coming out of the closet in a big way in IL. Why? Why do that? We know he's going to lose the state (maybe). Joe Biden is more coherent than Kamala. She technically shouldn't even be the candidate, but that's the Dem party process. No one voted for her and they won't in November.

She looked like a bitch, not a powerful bitch, but a straight up bitch in that Fox interview. She loses women votes every time she opens her mouth. 90% of straight males will vote Trump. Blacks males won't vote for her. They're insulted she calls herself black. I could write a 10 page paper on her flaws off the top of my head.
70   HeadSet   2024 Oct 17, 9:19pm  

WookieMan says

I could write a 10 page paper on her flaws off the top of my head.

I understand that many people have seen the top of her head...
71   Ceffer   2024 Oct 17, 10:10pm  

Somebody put a Trump sticker on our mailbox in Santa Cruz when we were at the other location. Of course, it sent wife-o into a frenzy because any indicator or signage of Trump is an invitation to property damage at the very least from wrathful, entitled Libby crazies with TDS. Can't speculate who did that passive aggressively, not worth the gray cell energy.

I told her not to worry, that the two Kard Karrying Kommies that we know of on our street probably just put it there as a scarlet letter marker to let the gulag police know who to haul away after KamalaToe wins the election, but that Trump is going to win, so not to worry. He IS going to win, isn't he?
72   Ceffer   2024 Oct 17, 10:13pm  

HeadSet says

I understand that many people have seen the top of her head...

Does she have 'money shot' tattooed there?

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