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Housing prices will not go down...


               
2025 Jan 2, 7:23pm   28,901 views  665 comments

by anon5525   follow (0)  

... because immigration will not go down. Housing prices are controlled by supply and demand. There is no space in any urban area to build more housing. None. You can't insert land between two streets. The only way to increase supply is to steal people's homes through eminent domain and tear them down to build higher density apartments

So the only way to decrease real prices is to decrease demand, and the only way to do that is to kick out all illegal immigrants and anchor babies. Will Trump do this? Almost certainly not. Even with control over all three branches of the government, the Republicans are not going to get rid of all the illegals who are driving up housing prices and social welfare costs. I wish that I was wrong about this, but I'm not.

The United States population reached 200 million on November 20, 1967. If there was no net migration, then the U.S. population have stabilized to about 220 million. Instead, the population is 335 million. This is why housing is so expensive. This is why rent is so damn high. This is why the younger generations cannot afford to have children. This is why the only way to keep the population from falling is to import massive numbers of unskilled, uneducated, and often criminal immigrants. Both parties are responsible for this: democrats for importing voters and republicans for importing farm laborers. Both parties want cheap labor.

When you import massive numbers of low-iq, low-skill workers, your per capital GDP declines relative to where it would have been otherwise. Yes, technological advancements mask this because technology increases GDP faster than low-skill immigration decreases it, but most of those gains don't get seen by the middle class.

Since both parties, and their corporate overlords, are benefiting from the current system, immigration will continue and housing prices will also continue to rise. I suppose I shouldn't care since I own and have a 2.25% mortgage that is being eaten away by inflation, but anyone young enough that they having bought already is fucked.

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658   Booger   2025 Dec 31, 4:59am  

Misc says

Residential home values increased month over month and year over year.


That's what happens when only rich people can afford to buy a house.
659   GreaterNYCDude   2025 Dec 31, 5:33am  

Misc says

Based on price to rent models, for California houses, it has always been cheaper to rent than to own since I started visiting this site in 2007

California is a special kind of crazy. Here on the East coast there used to be pockets of relative affordability, particularly in the suburbs / exburbs after the '08 crash. Those days are gone. They may well return but it will take 5 to 10 years. We've seen this movie before. If '04 to '08 was housing bubble 1.0 we are living in housing bubble 2.0 which makes sense given it's been almost 20 years; a new generation gets screwed.
660   GNL   2025 Dec 31, 6:19am  

GreaterNYCDude says

Misc says


Based on price to rent models, for California houses, it has always been cheaper to rent than to own since I started visiting this site in 2007

California is a special kind of crazy. Here on the East coast there used to be pockets of relative affordability, particularly in the suburbs / exburbs after the '08 crash. Those days are gone. They may well return but it will take 5 to 10 years. We've seen this movie before. If '04 to '08 was housing bubble 1.0 we are living in housing bubble 2.0 which makes sense given it's been almost 20 years; a new generation gets screwed.

I think they will do anything to keep prices high. Less building easily achieves that.

Want to know the easiest way to increase your wealth? Pull the ladder up and keep supply low. This drains all wealth.
661   mell   2025 Dec 31, 9:39am  

GreaterNYCDude says


Misc says


Based on price to rent models, for California houses, it has always been cheaper to rent than to own since I started visiting this site in 2007

California is a special kind of crazy. Here on the East coast there used to be pockets of relative affordability, particularly in the suburbs / exburbs after the '08 crash. Those days are gone. They may well return but it will take 5 to 10 years. We've seen this movie before. If '04 to '08 was housing bubble 1.0 we are living in housing bubble 2.0 which makes sense given it's been almost 20 years; a new generation gets screwed.


Have you followd coastal Maine the past couple years until 2023? Totally nuts with $1000 per sqft prices. Past 2 years prices dropped 25% and they are still high hence not selling. CA selling much better
662   GNL   2025 Dec 31, 9:55am  

mell says


GreaterNYCDude says


Misc says


Based on price to rent models, for California houses, it has always been cheaper to rent than to own since I started visiting this site in 2007

California is a special kind of crazy. Here on the East coast there used to be pockets of relative affordability, particularly in the suburbs / exburbs after the '08 crash. Those days are gone. They may well return but it will take 5 to 10 years. We've seen this movie before. If '04 to '08 was housing bubble 1.0 we are living in housing bubble 2.0 which makes sense given it's been almost 20 years; a new generation gets screwed.


Have you followd coastal Maine the past couple years until 2023? Totally nuts with $1000 per sqft prices. Past 2 years prices dropped 25% and they are still high hence not selling. CA selling much better


I just did a quick check on Zillow. Yep, prices have certainly dropped. I found one with an $80K drop from $449K to $370K. On the water. Not 25% though...yet.
663   mell   2025 Dec 31, 10:02am  

GNL says

I just did a quick check on Zillow. Yep, prices have certainly dropped. I found one with an $80K drop from $449K to $370K. On the water. Not 25% though...yet.

Yeah some of the most egregious ones have dropped in the area we are vacationing in (new harbor). Its crazy because most of these are really old houses inside and outside and the weather is quite rough. And once in a while a storm takes an oceanfront home without the possibility to rebuild. It's beautiful up there but prices are way too high. Most places are generational though so historically not much inventory, changed a bit over the past years.
664   MolotovCocktail   2025 Dec 31, 1:49pm  

PeopleUnited says

This is not going to happen. The wealthy will get wealthier, and less and less poor and middle class will have houses or other valuable assets. That is the trajectory we are on and it is only accelerating in the past 5 years.


It's already happening.


665   Misc   2026 Jan 1, 7:11am  

Booger says

That's what happens when only rich people can afford to buy a house.


Yep, there's always a big difference when several Nigger families move into a neighborhood. Then property prices grenade.

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