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Alaska is an interesting choice. Former Russian territory.

Patrick says

Alaska is an interesting choice. Former Russian territory.

As were parts of California.

It's going to be a cease-fire. A.k.a. armistice.

This will be the map:



[Edit on 8/15: because socal2 is confused, I updated this with new maps here. https://patrick.net/comment?comment_id=2198573 ]

Many sanctions on Russia will be dropped. More later when a peace treaty is formalized -- if that ever happens. Further NATO involvement in Ukey Naziland seems to murky. Russia has dropped it as a condition - at least for the armistice. Russian demands for De-Nazification of Ukey dropped for armistice as well.

Expect immediately post armistice signing that Zelensky will be dropped like a neon glowy dildo at a WNBA basketball game. So I expect some sort of mega golden parachute provided for him will be involved...followed within a month or so with an FSB bullet to the head in a nice Swiss chalet.

Trump will declare victory - that he ended the war. Dems & media punks will suddenly give a damn about educating the geopolitically ignorant American public about the difference between an armistice and an actual peace treaty. To the point they will go all prefessorial on live TV no matter how many ppl change the channel.

Both sides will use this as a respite to re-arm, re-build and send the young men home to make much needed babies.

Full dropping of all sanctions and international recognition of Moscow's territorial gains may be withheld as a carrot for that peace treaty afterward.

Whether the war later resumes or a final peace treaty happens or the armistice becomes the status quo like the Korean War has, I dunno. My gut at this point sez the first is more likely to happen because the Russians will be able to re-arm fastest and first, the neolibs will block all sanctions removal & captured territory recognition and Russia for all its losses still has more men to burn through while Ukey Naziland does not.

Also, Europe will suddenly go back to complacency...something Putin is counting on.

Italy is already financing the construction of the bridge to Sicily out of defense spending.

So give it 18 months to 2yrs.

MolotovCocktail says

It's going to be a cease-fire. A.k.a. armistice.

This will be the map:

Agreed. And they could have avoided so much bloodshed and loss of life if they had conceded these territories which have a strong Russian identity right away and called it a deal.

It's bullshit; you can't negotiate with a disturbed mind, which is what Putin has.

mell says

MolotovCocktail says

It's going to be a cease-fire. A.k.a. armistice.

This will be the map:

Agreed. And they could have avoided so much bloodshed and loss of life if they had conceded these territories which have a strong Russian identity right away and called it a deal.

Biden, who went all in on the war, didn't even have a functioning mind, so what is worse?