patrick.net

AnyKey says

I'd like to see how many coders on this forum are still programming in 10 years as well - A.I. will do those jobs much cheaper with no H.R. headaches.

Cognition is not a mathematical equation.

While AI can come up with brilliant random algorithms man would have never came up with. That a human can then evaluate and see where it solves problems for it's purpose.
Dumb dynamics can do way more than AI ever will do for solving problems. It does so without caring or evaluating the needs, as all data is treated equally. Even dynamic programming doesn't address the entire scope of a project, and is usually only used in an entity of the schema of a data model. Examples of this pattern is Car Features and Options. So you don't have a table with thousands and thousands of fields wide, and you don't have millions of tables for each model.

You can't tell AI I want software to manage a Pizza operation from soup to nuts make it happen. It may assists and be employed in some of the solution processes but it wont be the architect and coder.

I've been writing about hype tech for years, and have a 100% track record on being proven right every time. AI is over hyped for what it does and can do. It's amazing but it will never replace the cognitive abilities of human with Down Syndrome, not with 1 million qbits.

But back on AI, the human gut is our second brain. That is the gut feeling you get when you see a person, but even before you brain has parsed why you think that person is trouble. Your gut has already made you wary and careful of this person. Or even a bad deal, or bad trade, your brain my be saying yes yes yes. But your gut will remember the problem it caused the last time you made a deal like that and lost your shirt. Imagine a software system that can evaluate data before it has even parsed or consumed it, and made any filters or queries. I'm not talking about data validation based on data types and lengths here, or doing data look ups to see if the Customer exists.
The Third Eye makes choices and decisions without mathematical computations or matching one data set to another data set.

Another amazing feat of the human brain computer is thought.
Computers will never daydream and brainstorm.
The Eureka moment, is just that a moment it happens in a split millisecond in a moment of time.
Yet you glean so much information from this sudden surge of knowledge and ideas to try.
Ideas like that don't happen in chronological steps it's a huge heap of data just inserted in your brain. That is why when you have those moments you want to get a pen. People say before I forget, but it's really so they can unpack what the psyche has just placed on your brain. You then have to chronologically write out the idea in order and complexity required to succeed.
Song writers always say, "It just came to me" the same with writing songs, pretty much whole song in a concept happens all at once. The song writer then has to write it down or forget it later if he doesn't, or doesn't at least start playing at that moment.
Another way this chunk data manifests itself is dozing off in a midday drowsy nap. Especially when you're trying hard not to, and you keep forcing yourself to snap out of nodding off. I'm amazed how in many instances, I'll look at the clock on my computer and see it's 4:00pm for an example. Nod off, jerk out of it, and then realize I just had a daydream that would take over 20 minutes for me to explain or go through the events. Yet the clock just turns 4:01 when I look at the clock.

AnyKey says

P.S. If you are over 50ish and a coder - jog your memory back to the dot.com crash. Your new gig will pay much less or you will be doing a different line of work.

I could do C# back then so i was worth more than those doing VB.NET.

Tim Aurora says

I do not think that these people were lying.

Okay, so you don't know. Thinking someone isn't lying and knowing are two different things. They could have been lying and likely were. No judge during jury duty is going to hold you in contempt of court if they "think" you lied about something. They'll just dismiss you. It's not a big deal for them. I'd say 50% of people make up lies to get out of jury duty. Maybe more. You have a lot of blind faith in the random public.

Tim Aurora says

Yes, they target black men .

There is no evidence of that or proof. If some cops do do that, they get fired.

Tim Aurora says

I would not lie under oath and I do not think that these people were lying.

Possibly sure, but also possibly they were. I've seen people tell crazy fairytales in court under oath. Unfortunately oath means very little to many people if they don't think they'll be caught.

All I'm saying Tim is that it isn't accurate to always assume racism, and many people do. It's not critical thinking. Let's say those men believed they were discriminated, well they were very likely using same logic where they just assumed that white cop was targeting them (which is kind of racist).

Industry is coming back and we're going to see America putting less emphasis on over hyping and over selling of tech.

There's going to be plenty of factories and machine shops, tech wont be the only game in town.

As for relevance, that's always been my motto "Stay Relevant My friends."

I'm the only technical person at the company I work for, down from seven doing different tasks from network to reporting, to ERP management.
I wrote all of the middleware systems. Guess they can't do without me. Or I would have been the first to go.

WookieMan says

Patnet, this is why I keep coming back. The OP has not responded to anything and we're now on the topic of statins. Which will then result in Tim coming back and reprimanding for you not staying on topic in 5...4...3...2...1...

Don't you think free flow of thought is more interesting than a structured discussion? I certainly prefer that, and I just assumed most people preferred it. Only when I'm trying to solve a specific problem do I want it to remain entirely on topic.

I bet perl programmers are highly paid just because they tend to be older and have more experience. Not really about the language itself.

https://thefederalist.com/ is high quality, coherent, and seems pretty objective.

It's a much better source for actual news and analysis than the NY Times, which is nothing but Pravda for believers in The Narrative these days.

socal2 says

The Federalist were one of the few sites that got the whole Russian Collusion B.S. correct early on.

Whereas the NYTimes got a Pulitzer (and plans on keeping it) for reporting all the Fake News claiming Trump was a Russian agent.

Exactly!

If they could have replaced me with a know it all moron millennial that knows every damn thing, they would have a long time ago.
Bahleeb meh they tried and tried and tried, and I'm still here. Millennial are fucking idiots and just can't understand the systems I wrote.

They tried to go to Netsuite, and those idiots lied to them and said they could replicate the processes I made. They lied and left them hanging with the monthly bill, after a year and half of them just fucking around with the configuration and custom data lists. Now there's a lawsuit. LOL

Just had a meeting, they want me to actually write a proprietary system and they are ditching Box ERP and CRM's altogether.

Not sure if I want to, they ran off all of the capable brilliant people that I collaborated with to make their middleware systems, and I don't think I could never do it with a bunch of clueless Liberal Arts majors that insists on being in Technical meetings, then gets mad at me, when they don't understand the answer to the questions they ask me, and don't know how to ask the questions they want. They have no business being elevated to Post Turtles, and that's what they are.

Tim Aurora says

Blogs and Facebook and Federalists should be banned from this site.

No sites are banned from patrick.net and I hope never to even consider doing such a thing.

No matter how amateur or vile one may think a site, it could well still be the source for important information not available elsewhere.

In response to APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostakovitch

You plagiarized that entire article from the Washington Post.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/06/11/markets-today-fed-coronavirus/

I didn't know who would pay to get propaganda sent to them.

www.youtube.com/embed/z1g1ZB4WNhw

HEYYOU says

Bet this is the first time anyone has failed to post a link to the source.

Donald Trump plagiarizes that he's a man constantly.

"Plagiarizes that he's a man"? I don't care if he's a cross dresser in suit. Nobody does.

Anyhow I'm not complaining about the lack of attribution.

I'm complaining about the source.

The Washington Post has relentlessly created propaganda. They are owned by Amazon, by Jeff Bezos. They pull this kind of crap:

www.youtube.com/embed/x6U2Un5kEdI

It's not a trustworthy source. They should be entirely ignored. APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostakovitch is quoting them, and not only that, pays for the privilege of being able to read them. I simply haven't met anybody anywhere that did that. They are clearly propaganda, why pay to have somebody lie to you?

HEYYOU says

Real plagiarization is RepCons that can't pay off their debt regardless of size & have to work for someone else & take orders from those more successful,declaring that they are business smart?

I do not know WTF a "RepCon" is - I'm just happy we have a president that lies to his underlings promising to start a new war, but never does. I'd be just as thrilled with Obama, if he didn't start any new wars - but he did.

www.youtube.com/embed/AdIpoE2LEps

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Wilshire 5000 market capitalization versus GDP is 1.5. It reached its all time high of 1.6 back in early March 2020.

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.

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However the S&P 500 P/E ratio is 21 based on trailing 12 months earnings. Granted earnings are in a significant downward trend over the last 4 months. Still at 21, valuation is at the border between bubble and over valuation, and is a lot better than when the P/E ratio was 45 around summer of 2001, and better than when it was at 25 in 1992.
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Crazy Ralph was a bastion of sanity compared to the loonies wandering the streets and halls of academia these days.

Patrick says

I bet perl programmers are highly paid just because they tend to be older and have more experience. Not really about the language itself.

Or those are the projects in maintenance mode and not too many around to find.

AnyKey says

They can and you will when the best needs of the company or economy dictate. Leadership changes within a company often bring unexpected changes as well.

Do not make the mistake of over estimating your own worth/value to a company. Again - there is always someone out there better than we are at what we do - always.

Keep hoping I get unemployed comrade, maybe I'll get a raise, and the corner office.

Sounds like y'all are "going postal" yourselves....

If AI is replacing all of these jobs, then why is it so important to import more Dot heads?
It's all LARP and damned Lies. AnyKey is controlled opposition, trying to convince everyone that the jobs, they are illegally giving to foreign interests while they intentionally seek to not employ American workers based on race alone, don't exist.
Sorry Charlie! (Charlie Classic American code word for Commie)


https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2020/06/12/wsj-business-fighting-trumps-visa-reform-want-carve-out-loopholes/

AnyKey says

Do something stupid in public that gets your name in the news along with being linked to be an employee at a company that does not desire unwanted negative attention and the odds of being let go increase exponentially.

Then you go straight to the DOX diving board. You're just a wokster you're not fooling anyone.

AnyKey says

I'd like to see how many coders on this forum are still programming in 10 years as well - A.I. will do those jobs much cheaper

First, our troll is back.

Second, if I had a dime for every time I've heard someone say this. I've head it since the 90s in one form or another and somehow nowadays I'm writing A.I. code. It's clear that this shit isn't replacing any human coder for decades.

The article is like a born blind person trying to describe a rainbow.

AnyKey says

I'd like to see how many coders on this forum are still programming in 10 years as well - A.I. will do those jobs much cheaper

First, our troll is back.

Second, if I had a dime for every time I've heard someone say this. I've head it since the 90s in one form or another and somehow nowadays I'm writing A.I. code. It's clear that this shit isn't replacing any human coder for decades.

The article is like a born blind person trying to describe a rainbow.

AnyKey says

I'd like to see how many coders on this forum are still programming in 10 years as well - A.I. will do those jobs much cheaper

First, our troll is back.

Second, if I had a dime for every time I've heard someone say this. I've head it since the 90s in one form or another and somehow nowadays I'm writing A.I. code. It's clear that this shit isn't replacing any human coder for decades.

The article is like a born blind person trying to describe a rainbow.

Careful what you watch. The terms are eviction and foreclosure. Not "suing" people. If you don't use basic terminology when discussing a topic, like super basic, you probably have no business talking about it.

Is commercial real estate in trouble. Probably a bit. I'd worry more about the office sector. Storefront retail and restaurants will probably just be fine. Savvy business owners will swoop in and pick up spaces at low rates in established areas where they know there's demand and the previous owner managed debt poorly.

As of today, very few people have less money than they did prior to COVID. If anything it's more money because they've been spending less going out, etc.

When you've been sued as much as Trump has, you know how to cover your ass. Especially when you are intentionally putting people in harms way.

APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostakovitch says

Does it get much more obscene?

I guess, yeah, if Covid-19 wasn't a hoax it would look pretty bad. But those brilliant insightful Trump cultists get it. This hoax is basically a front for hospitals and doctors that are euthanizing homeless people.

That's exactly what every corporation, hospital, business should do. It's sad that shit like this is necessary instead of relying on people knowing that they are making choices every day that contain obvious risks, the risk here is actually out in the open and well defined so waivers are just to stop ambulance chasers and assholes who go to contract CV-19 so they can try and sue for millions after the fact for catching a cold/flu virus. Actually his campaign did everything right in this regard. Don't go out and mingle if you're afraid. Should be common sense but unfortunately leftoid "regulations" and TDS make waivers necessary.

What are you taking about? God you are starting to project as much as Marcus does....

Black crime stats from Wiki:

Homicide
According to the US Department of Justice, African Americans accounted for 52.5% of all homicide offenders from 1980 to 2008, with Whites 45.3% and “Other” 2.2%. The offending rate for African Americans was almost eight times higher than Whites, and the victim rate six times higher.

Assault
The CDC keeps data on non-fatal injury emergency department visits and the race of victims.[70] While non-Hispanic white victims account for approximately half of total non-fatal assault injuries, most of which did not involve any weapon, black and Hispanic victims account for the vast majority of non-fatal firearm injuries.

Youth crime
The “National Youth Gang Survey Analysis” (2011) state that of gang members, 46% are Hispanic/Latino, 35% are black, 11.5% are white, and 7% are other races/ethnicities.[73]

According to the FBI Uniform Crime Reports, in the year 2008 black youths, who make up 16% of the youth population, accounted for 52% of juvenile violent crime arrests, including 58.5% of youth arrests for homicide and 67% for robbery.

Robbery
According to the National Crime Victimization Survey in 2002, robberies with white victims and black offenders were more than 12 times more common than vice versa.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_and_crime_in_the_United_States

A black WSJ commentator on the Sunday talk shows cited stats regarding the disproportionate percentage of 911 calls emanating from the black community.

So the police have more frequent interactions with black Americans, who commit a disproportionate number of violent crimes. It is not unlikely that the frequency of negative interactions with the police is directly related to the frequency of total interactions with the police.

Tim seriously nobody on this board approved of Chauvin's actions although the neck hold is still emloyed by many PDs and probably should only be used - if at all - in 1-1 situations. What people are rightfully pointing out is that by most people's definitions Floyd was a thug, considering his rap sheet. He may have been on the way of rehabilitation and certainly didn't deserve to die but he wasn't a good man and to make him a martyr is flat out insane. Even most black people I know do not want him to represent them. The point is that the riots are pointless and race baiting, inciting hate and violence while having nothing to do with Floyd's death. Chauvin is an asshole but there's zero evidence he is a racist. You support burning down cities and hoods, stores, looting, asaulting truck drivers and looting trucks and trains over this? Please. It will be too late to change your mind when they come for you.

Tim Aurora says

Again you are fixated on one event. That was what broke the camels back and you are blaming just the last straw

It's always the same "event", just with different name attached: some thug decides to fight it out with the police during ligitimate stop/arrest and wins a stupid prize. It's a fucking deja vu.


And no, it didn't break the camel's back, because the stupid still think it's a good idea to fight with police instead of behaving like a normal citizen during encounters with the law enforcement.

Tim Aurora says

Again you are fixated on one event. That was what broke the camels back and you are blaming just the last straw

mell says

Tim seriously nobody on this board approved of Chauvin's actions although t

There have been problems with police brutality but those are not racially motivated or biased. There's no evidence to support that. I'm totally for continued police reform and education but I'm not willing to pick up the race bait. Here in the bay area many cops are black or Asian, and they would tell you the same thing, that it's not an issue of racism.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says

What are you taking about? God you are starting to project as much as Marcus does....

It's all they've got, the Truth blinds them like Cockroaches in the light.

Tim Aurora says

Again you are fixated on one event

Another event, in a long string of black thugs finally meeting their end, that have been used to proclaim the racism of white cops. Unfortunately it takes a thug to stop a thug. Live a thug life, die a thug death.

The common thread among all of these events is that a criminal suspect did not cooperate with police.

You said: "Trumpsters are not ready to listen to this country."
I respectfully disagree.
What if "Trumpsters," as you call us, don't really love Trump, as much as we simply despised Hilary Clinton. And maybe in the upcoming election, we don't believe Biden can lead this country out of crisis from the safety of his bunker. But Trump is the bully we elected to make things better. And by my observations (and almost every economic indicator before COVID), he has done a damn good job for three+ years. I'm willing to give him a shot at 4 more.

Biden? He can't remember who his wife is, much less be trusted to lead the country. His record proves his worthlessness. Has-been do-nothings don't get to be president.

Good day, Sir!

rocketjoe79 says

Has-been do-nothings don't get to be president.

Only reality TV star, con artist, bankruptcy artists with severe narcissistic personality disorder who will be ready to make all the reality based people cringe on a daily basis deserve to be President.