patrick.net

Pictures aren't loading. Maybe later.

Thanks for the report, Bob! Very interesting.

What do you think accounts for the lack of crime and begging?

bob2356 says

Pictures aren't loading. Maybe later.

Also, what happens when you try to load pictures?

rando says

What do you think accounts for the lack of crime and begging?

I really don't know. Most likely that people have a not very high but consistent standard of living vs very rich and very poor combined with massive government corruption in most of latin america. Everyone was working and women are very accommodated if they want to work. Children come home for lunch unless the mother works, then the school feeds them. If the mother works the school provides after school care. That kind of thing. People complained about the police being diligent about giving out tickets and such, but no one complained once that they were dishonest or corrupt. I get the feeling that corruption under castro was kept pretty well under control. There is real health care for everyone. The government does step in and assist. Everyone talks about how after the last major hurricane, I forgot the name, the government stepped in and paid for half of all materials for rebuilding destroyed houses.

Wow 3100 for four people over seven days. Impressive, good work.

You have my wheels spinning now. Was this a recent trip? Wondering what the weather is like in the summer. We did a week on the cliffs in Negril last July. All i got was people saying it's going to be too hot, rainy season etc. We had perfect weather, there was a heat wave back home and when i landed in BWI i about vomited.

3100 is a good deal, I feel like Jamaica cost 7k+ for seven days.

next stop 21.50...

errc says

You have my wheels spinning now. Was this a recent trip? Wondering what the weather is like in the summer. We did a week on the cliffs in Negril last July. All i got was people saying it's going to be too hot, rainy season etc. We had perfect weather, there was a heat wave back home and when i landed in BWI i about vomited.

I got back 6:00am saturday. Negril Jamaica man. I like Jamaica. Guardalavaca is on the NE coast so the trades are side onshore. I did caberete DR for a summer years ago which is also NE coast and about 400 miles further east. I had a room without air conditioning and didn't have much trouble. Days were about 90 and humid. The trades kicked in mid day and made it pleasantly hot instead of DC/Baltimore oppressive beyond belief hot. Nights cooled off into the low 70's sometimes high 60's and the trades blew well into the night. With the trades blowing through the plantation shutters and a big ceiling fan I was never uncomfortable sleeping.

Rainy season in the northern Caribbean usually means sunny most of the day with a big thunderstorm most afternoons,

errc says

3100 is a good deal, I feel like Jamaica cost 7k+ for seven days.

Actually 3500. $1600 air, $400 room, $1500 spending. Plus of driving to the airport, airport parking and such. I looked at club amiga all inclusive and I believe it was $150 a night or so for a standard room 2 people. That's still not bad considering it's beachfront all inclusive. The bitch would be getting there from BWI.

NAC vs 10 Year Chart

rando says

bob2356 says

Pictures aren't loading. Maybe later.

Also, what happens when you try to load pictures?

I browse it, select it, the name comes up next to browse, hit include image, the browser does the circle thing for a few seconds then stops, but nothing comes into the comment.

Firefox 51.0.1 32 bit
ubuntu linux 16.04.2 lts 32 bit

jazz music says

his is not just roads and bridges, but internet

What? Internet is free? How come I'm still paying for it?

YesYNot says

Not only will it be eternal, the fees on consumers will be much higher than any rational system would determine,

Like the $15 toll on the Outerbridge / Verizanno Bridge in New York. Soon to be higher too. It's one reason I pretty much refuse to go there anymore.

zzyzzx says

I think if you check the US for locations of toll roads, they happen to be mostly in blue states

They are tolling 520 in the Seattle area to pay for the new bridge. They left 90 free.

PCGyver says

How can one invest in something they are giving away.

A country invests in infrastructure, because of the intangible payoff of happier citizens and a boost to the economy as transportation gets cheaper in both time and money. It also results in less maintenance or tragedies down the road. It's a reasonable way to spend money and is more likely to result in GDP increase than cutting top tax rates.

I heard a Norquist tax promising republican talking about issuing bonds to pay for infrastructure and then issuing a gasoline tax hike in the future pegged to inflation to pay for the bonds. They said it was tax neutral - hahaha. The tax hike pegged to inflation should happen anyway, and that revenue would go to pay for infrastructure cost increases in the future. Spending tomorrows nominal increase in revenue today is not a sane way to pay for things.

Looks like 10yrs rate is about to continue toward 3%. If so NAC and gold will probably get a new downdraft.

Heraclitusstudent says

Looks like 10yrs rate is about to continue toward 3%. If so NAC and gold will probably get a new downdraft.

Has to break through 2.6 first. If 10 year goes to 3, NAC goes below 13.

You follow Clif High at all?

www.youtube.com/embed/SXFJUAf9afA

His claims: "Volatility starts mid march." "Equities to fall." (That 2401 top in ES minis Mar 1 does look like the top for now.) "Bitcoin, gold, silver to go higher." Interesting comments about silver "Silver is being manipulated lower, 18.2 is an inflection price to watch." and banks "put your cash into a safe local bank to avoid the derivatives implosion in coming years"

Allegedly, according to unnamed sources.

How have Clif High's predictions been? You follow his actual track record?

Not much. I find him interesting, thats all.

He hit the market crash of '08 out of the park. I just started following about him again since he's making huge predictions for this coming year.

I find his webbot bigdata method very interesting, but am very hesitant to put much into his forecasts. I think he accurately identifies social/internet buzz around an idea though.

His ideas about silver are particularly interesting to me. He refers to the last two sentences of Trumps speech last week wherein Trump mentions secret govt technology to be released to the public. According to Clif, this is evidence of a massive technology shift which will eat up the world's silver supply. He forecasts that silver will be at parity with gold in 5 years. Parity sounds like madness to me, but the technology trend is a legit theory... im buying some silver leaps :)

thanks Patrick for the "trick"

CBOEtrader says

According to Clif, this is evidence of a massive technology shift which will eat up the world's silver supply. He forecasts that silver will be at parity with gold in 5 years.

I can tell you from that alone the guy is a fortune teller, not a market analyst. Silver will outperform gold in terms of gain per oz, but not in terms of actual value. And timeline is closer to 3 years max. This is from someone who has been analyzing metals values for a living for over 30 years.

I think real crashes like 08 are so rare that by default I always ignore those doom and gloom types. Most corrections like last year end up being buys. Whenever the market picks up significantly they all come out of the closet. SLV yeah.

NuttBoxer says

the guy is a fortune teller

lol!

so true

SubOink says

I think real crashes like 08 are so rare

Since our latest central bank was given it's charter, there have been wide market swings and crashes pretty much every decade:

Federal Reserve charted in 1913
1920's recession post WWI
1930's recession post wild speculation during 20's fueled by FR
1940's recession post WWII
1950's recession post Korea
1970's recession post Vietnam
1980's SNL
1990's dotCom
2008 housing
2010's ...

War and transfer of wealth, the lifeblood of central banks!

NuttBoxer says

War and transfer of wealth, the lifeblood of central banks!

Come on now you are spoiling the Wogster's narrative...

There is no fight. Wars in general do little to affect the flow of genes and even facilitate it. Because you don't "just kill" 800,000 people. Think 5 billions people in Africa by the end of the century. Whites will disappear within 200-300yrs, first by mixing with immigrants, then by being overwhelmed by the raw numbers of continuing immigration. The whites will leave behind a fraction of the human gene pool, probably a just bit more than neanderthals. There is nothing Bannon can do about it.

Heraclitusstudent says

then by being overwhelmed by the raw numbers of continuing immigration

That part could easily be stopped. Britain has taken a step in that direction by leaving the EU.

Americans have the right to determine who is allowed into America, using whatever basis they wish.

In fact, every country has that right.

http://fortune.com/2017/03/09/starbucks-refugee-hiring-backlash/

Hiring Rapefugees Is Hurting Starbucks’ Brand, Analysts Say

Starbucks' (sbux, -1.35%) decision to hire 10,000 rapefugees at locations worldwide is hurting the coffee giant's brand and could impact earnings, analysts say.

Credit Suisse issued a hold rating on Starbucks, noting "significant volatility in recent weeks," CNBC reports. According to YouGov BrandIndex, consumer perception levels for the company have fallen by two-thirds since late January.

While perception of the world's largest coffee chain is still positive overall, it is significantly lower than it was prior to CEO Howard Schultz's pledge to hire rapefugees in response to President Trump's executive order barring refugees from certain countries.

In response to Starbucks' rapefugee hiring plan, consumers who supported President Trump launched a boycott of the chain.

zzyzzx says

In response to Starbucks' refugee hiring plan, consumers who supported President Trump launched a boycott of the chain.

Yup! These people seem to think Trump got elected because Putin hacked the election. Trump really doesn't have the majority electorial vote.

This is why the world believes what the Washington Posts reports more than what Trump reports. Will there be some angry bird tweets, or has Trump moved onto bigger problems?

rando says

That part could easily be stopped. Britain has taken a step in that direction by leaving the EU.

People are moving from Africa to Europe and England by boat all the time (when not just walking). They will come by the millions and you can't stop them unless you are willing to shoot people, women and children, indiscriminately, by the thousands. And watch them being killed or starve on the other side, maybe by the million.
The moral core of the west dictates we can't resist, and so we won't.

"Total viewing audience" is not the same thing as "inauguration crowd". They are talking apples and oranges. Washpost either doesnt care, or they are too retarded to understand basic words.

The inauguration crowd estimate discrepancy is at most 1 million people. 1.5 million is the top end of Trumps comment "It looked like a million, 1.5 million people." 500 thousand seems to be the top end estimate of the washpost types. Ive heard estimates as low as 200k.

Regardless, 1 million people is less than 2% of the estimated total viewing audience.

Team Trump's claim is that the total viewing audience was the largest ever at over 60 million. They provided facts to support this claim.

Estimating total viewing audience to be larger than BO's still seems dubious to me. However, to keep posting these pictures as evidence that trump lied is total fake news. It is totally and completely ignoring what was stated and instead creating a fake narrative.

Thanks for sharing MSM fake news. Just another data point.

The same experts that just admitted they lied, did not present accurate facts, nor did they weigh in with this information when it was an issue. Now for them to drag how they were dishonest, does not show Us how dishonest Trump is. Not in any stretch of the imagination.

CBOEtrader says

However, to keep posting these pictures as evidence that trump lied is total fake news. It is totally and completely ignoring what was stated and instead creating a fake narrative.

The facts are that these pictures went out and the news correctly reported that Trump's in person crowd size was much smaller than Barack Obama's.

Here's what Trump did:
Had Spicer to a press conference and state that photographs were intentionally framed in a way to make Trump's crowd look small. He referred to this crowd as enormous. He said it was the first time that floor coverings were used on the mall, and that was false. He said that no one had crowd size numbers, because the NPS doesn't issue those. That's not true. Other people can make and report crowd estimates. He also stated that it was the biggest audience to ever witness an inauguration period. Both in person and around the globe. That was false. The audience in person was not the largest. He then said that all of these attempts to lessen the enthusiasm are shameful and wrong.
Had Priebus go on the Sunday shows to claim: "The point is the attacks and the attempt to de-legitimize this president in one day, and we're not going to sit around and take it."

IMO, the only thing that was shameful and wrong about that whole event was Spicer's press conference, which was riddled with lies. It was shameful, because he was attacking the press for reporting the truth, as these new photographs show. The 'narrative' that I see is that Trump was upset about his image and threw a hugely public temper tantrum as his first act as president.

Trump's estimate of 1 to 1.5 million people in person was ridiculous. It was worded as 'it looked like...,' so it wasn't necessarily a lie. But it was either a lie, or shows that he is personally willing to go with his gut about things he knows nothing about. I'm going with the latter.

Tim Aurora says

it would be illegal.

According to what law?

Tim Aurora says

Trump's bill did not stand the "religion" criteria and was struck down by justice department.

Nominated.

You have apparently relied on fake news instead of reading the actual court decisions. The Department of Justice (aka DoJ or "justice department") defended the Executive Order. Opponents chose courts that granted temporary restraining orders delaying enforcement. Rather than await years of litigation, the President issued a new Executive Order, which will most likely take effect next week.

Thanks for the clarification @curious2 !

Tim Aurora says

You did not wait till I corrected my statement from DOJ to Judge.

I will wait until you correct your statement from "illegal" to "legal."

NuttBoxer says

CBOEtrader says

According to Clif, this is evidence of a massive technology shift which will eat up the world's silver supply. He forecasts that silver will be at parity with gold in 5 years.

I can tell you from that alone the guy is a fortune teller, not a market analyst. Silver will outperform gold in terms of gain per oz, but not in terms of actual value. And timeline is closer to 3 years max. This is from someone who has been analyzing metals values for a living for over 30 years.

What're your thoughts on the technology to wildly increase silver demand theory?