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How to survive boredom?


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2006 Sep 3, 5:21am   6,793 views  50 comments

by Peter P   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

Now the anticipation of the housing bubble bust is gone. The thrill of possibly getting "priced out" is no longer there.

It is going to be boring. What can we do? Should we just sit back and see reality unfold? But we have already envision that reality so many months ago.

Will this boredom become a crisis as big as the bubble itself?

#housing

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12   DinOR   2006 Sep 3, 11:30am  

CB,

Whom I'll refer to as "Charlie Bravo" describes my worst nightmare. My waking nightmare.

Every DIME we OVERPAY in asking price equates to 30 cents that WON'T be available in our retirement years! Minimum.

Wether it be in HK, or SF or wherever overpaying has SERIOUS consequences! HARM is fond to remind us that "affordability" in CA typically means buying with a neg. am. and commiting serial refinance!

If you don't believe me take the "Surfer X Challenge" and find a RE perma bull willing to do the Upside/Downside Capture Gauntlet!

I "front" the borrowed money, you keep the upside BUT if there's downside........ you fill the hole!

This is what I am so desperately trying to establish, a working relationship with these "dime-a-dozen" Lease2Own dirtbags. (To be distinguished from "jitbags and/or "scumbags").

I'll (or not) "pony up" for your obvious and blatant arrears. You obtain the 11th hour salvation you (or your client) so desperately seek. (So far so good). Then upon conclusion of "the period" you get your "appraiser" (not not some dirtbag RE shill) a bona fide RE appraiser, and I'll get mine. Then we do a "blind draw" for the third and at the end of 12/24/36 months I PROMISE (and I do mean till death do us part) I'll pay the average of the three!

Thus far virtually no takers. I spoke w/one gal in Portland but I strongly suspect that she was so desperate for an "appointment" that she was willing to say anything.

13   DinOR   2006 Sep 3, 11:59am  

Stan,

Me? Clean and sober. Why I haven't so much as set foot in a Lowe's or Home Depot in TWO YEARS! No more "Plantation Blinds Quotes" in my life! Polo Ralph Lauren custom paint? Doesn't even phase me anymore.

(There are times where I must admit I miss the "Bataan Death March" from the furthest reaches of the parking lot to buy a roll of masking tape to save 21 cents though). Especially being startled near to death by some dope addict's pit bull in the back of his pick-up truck's camper top for invading the owner's "private space"! How inconsiderate of me!

Note to Cops: Yeah, uh huh. Why does a law abiding citizen need a freaking pit bull to "guard" their vehicle, or bicycle or whatever? HELLO!

What possible freaking right do you have to make my heart jump into my throat b/c I made the egregious transgression of stepping past your "ride"? What exactly is inside your vehicle that is more precious than my right to conduct my daily affairs? You have a brand new vehicle but you can't "afford" insurance?

Oh, I get it. "The Man" doesn't insure that kind of "commodity". It's cool.

14   Michael Holliday   2006 Sep 3, 12:24pm  

Ennui sets in.

Yawn...

:o~~ The Mouse

15   DinOR   2006 Sep 3, 12:25pm  

"Parker said he was "shocked" to learn of the raids".

Kevin Parker probably had decent parents. School, church, Little League. Yet somehow 16 out of his "rookie of the year" sales were to "entrepreneurs"?

The angle?

Oh, do I really need to go into this? Obviously his "commissions" and transactions were used to "front" equity extraction that funded MAJOR TAX FREE MONEY.

A lot of us tend to gloss over this this but the "criminal class" doesn't pay taxes. "Everybody" smokes dope so this is the gub'ments hang up right?

Earth to Kevin:

REAL CRIMINALS do not give a FFF about your "up-scale" scam. As witnessed in SFWoman's link, this is Realtors (TM) regulating Realtors (TM)! His broker, office manger, sales manager, regional manager quite obviously were more than "cool" with this. Pffft. Why not? They pocketed more than their fair share!

Yo! Kev? Heard of "soap on a rope"?

16   DinOR   2006 Sep 3, 12:42pm  

CB (Charlie Bravo)

Other than a few select places in the "I" (Philippine Islands) and possibly Hilo, HI, Hong Kong is the place of preference for most Chicagoans! (Especially, "soud-siders"). It seems to embrace a brand of corruption that we seem to know well. Like Vegas, it's a "back scratch" town.

Friends are friends. (And "friends" is for life). There's only ONE HK baby!

Yes, I'm fully aware that "is" should read "are" but if you're truly from the "Southside" (or certain portions of Ohio as in Randy H's case) "is" is actually more linguistically correct.

The improper application of "are" where an "is" should reside could well fit one for a pair of "cement boots". Not a threat by any means, just sound advice.

17   skibum   2006 Sep 3, 1:03pm  

Robert Coté Says:

Boring? No, boring was holding my breath for 6 months waiting for my life decisions and very public comments to prove correct. I feel like Peter Ustinov at the end of “Logan’s Run” ready to impart stories of the before time.

Logan's Run reference? A man after my own heart. Excellent.

Back to the topic, though. Boredom? Au contraire! The fun's just getting started! Time to pull up a chair, pop a beer, open a bag of chips and watch the fireworks (of the FB's flaming out). The next year should be very interesting.

18   DinOR   2006 Sep 3, 1:12pm  

www.oregonlive.com/business/index.ssf?/base/business/11556969052/4750.xml&.cell=7

Kaput?

"Dues"s you's peoples haves any ideas bout how many's deese Oregonian's financial futures lean precariously on RE?

Din't tink so.

19   DinOR   2006 Sep 3, 1:15pm  

That actually should read "zuh-bout". Go figure.

20   astrid   2006 Sep 3, 2:48pm  

$4 million homes in Alabama! What has this world come to?

I'm really surprised by this scheme though. Surely there were cheaper non-gated community homes in this school district!

21   astrid   2006 Sep 3, 3:12pm  

Ironic, since this seems to be one of his safer activity. Stingray impalement - the freakishly hilarious but deadly killer.

22   Peter P   2006 Sep 3, 4:09pm  

My friend told me her mom and another woman asked the Realtor who sold two of the houses why she sold the houses to the guy who was doing this, since the Realtor lived in the same gated community. Apparently the man purchasing the houses, and the renters, are all African-Americans, and the Realtor is afraid that she would be sued under fair housing rules if she didn’t sell the houses to him.

This only means that the market is screwed up. The development should have been subdivided into smaller lots or condo units.

I am also against the idea of tying schools to addresses. Schools should be privatized or they should be assigned according to academic merits.

23   Different Sean   2006 Sep 3, 5:37pm  

It is going to be boring. What can we do?

I was going to get a pet monkey... but I understand they have opposable thumbs... is it a good idea?

24   Different Sean   2006 Sep 3, 5:41pm  

yes, the untimely demise of Steve Irwin... he used to poke animals a lot to make them jump...

here is another use for the expression: www.crikey.com.au

25   Sylvie   2006 Sep 4, 1:50am  

It won't be boring. We need to be deligent keep up with the research, media, and markets. Save, Save, Save is he buzzword now folks. Live lean and mean so when it comes(bottom) we can all get our pick of the litter.

In November vote for our economical futures. I think sacrafice in the short term will net tangible gains in a few years. My solution though extreme for most was to leave So Cal for a few years and live cheaply so I can add more to my MM account. By doing that I freed up 35 percent more income to save a year. My rent on a 3yr old 2/2 is only $695 total living exspences about $1400-1500 mo. Yeah salary is less but only slightly leaving more for your savings.

Not eating out as much an not driving alot saves too. All these small things add up. Not that i have alot of debt but I plan on paying it all off by the time the bargains appear. I own my 98 SUV out right it obly has 84 K on it. The difference between us and thems we think long term permanent not short term frivilous.....

Good Luck Ya'll from SC

26   Grape   2006 Sep 4, 2:54am  

ROFL ! DO YOU MEAN THAT BEN FRANKIN AND FDR ARE NOT THE SAME HISTORICAL FIGURES ????

27   Peter P   2006 Sep 4, 3:17am  

Project population growth here by 2012 will out strip the available housing.

The demand for 8/1/16 (8 bed, 1 bath, 16 parking) houses will be strong.

28   astrid   2006 Sep 4, 6:29am  

Here's a chart produced by Detroit Free Press on median income. It's compiled with census data.

After all the complaints about CA wages and so forth, I'm surprised to see that its median income held up well relative to much of the country. NE has also done comparatively well. This could be a chicken or egg problem - did the relatively strong incomes push up the RE market or did booming RE support median income?

Also, note that most of the second tier bubble markets like AZ, NC, UT and OR did quite poorly.

29   astrid   2006 Sep 4, 6:30am  

Here's a chart produced by Detroit Free Press on median income. It's compiled with census data.

After all the complaints about CA wages and so forth, I'm surprised to see that its median income held up well relative to much of the country. NE has also done comparatively well. This could be a chicken or egg problem - did the relatively strong incomes push up the RE market or did booming RE support median income?

Also, note that most of the second tier bubble markets like AZ, NC, UT and OR did quite poorly.

31   astrid   2006 Sep 4, 6:40am  

I do wonder how sustainable these Hispanic-centric rentals would be. These families moved to the suburbs/traditionally middle class areas because of the low paying retail, landscaping, construction, and entry level service jobs. They're likely to be pushed out either by the next anti-immigration push (quite likely, a bad economy and an already anti-immigrant sentiment amongst the locals) and loss of those types jobs (construction is already being squeezed, landscaping and house cleaner jobs can't be far behind).

32   astrid   2006 Sep 4, 6:47am  

SP,

Maybe the Humboldt County pot growers wanted to move closer to their customers.

33   losstotheworld   2006 Sep 4, 7:33am  

I dont know if renting is the right thing to do, although iam renting myself in losbanos, california. thereason i say that is when everyone in town is gambling on the house and specuvesting in housing it may be wise for you to get into teh action.

21,000$ for signing on the dotted line, mercedes benz car and the like. When SHTF just walk away from the house, its somebodyelses problem. At least u made 21,000 $ and now can start over a taxi service with the mercedes benz.

I dont know about saving the money, The purchasing power is diminished. By this I mean if the majority in the society with the blessings of the bank and the gubermint are specuvesting and winning. The only losser it seems is the clever, intelligent,well informed fool who doesnt gamble.

In the end analysis, although I have not bought into the housing mania, i am not sure if the renters who can easily afford mortgage payments are doing themselves any favor

34   astrid   2006 Sep 4, 12:02pm  

SQT,

You're too kind hearted. In any case, you must be quite happy not "owning" next to such a house. I feel no sympathy for such slumlords. Their actions degrade the life and security of neighbors. My parents had an old neighbor who moved out and got into the rent by room business and it mad their other neighbors so pissed off. They were afraid to let their kids play outside and worried that criminal activities were occurring in the house (since the police came by a couple times after midnight). Eventually, the blatant HOA violations and renting out to more than 4 unrelated adults caught up with the landlord and the renters were all driven out.

I do feel sorry for the families who are forced by financial reality to share McMansions. McMansions are barely acceptable for one family (due to bad sound insulation, open kitchen/living room/dining room plans, and small bedrooms. They offer very little privacy for families.

35   astrid   2006 Sep 4, 1:15pm  

"But he died doing what he loved."

By all accounts, it was an almost instanteous and relatively painless death. Most of us would be lucky to have such a mercifully quick and sudden ending. It's very sad for his family and his fans though.

36   Joe Schmoe   2006 Sep 4, 1:43pm  

Personally, I'm not sad. The man was a stupid adrenaline junky who finally took one chance too many. Now he's dead and his two children no longer have a father.

The Crocodile Hunter was not a committed naturalist, zoologist, or educator. He was a thrill seeker who enjoyed risking his own life in pursuit of the "rush" that comes from dancing with death.

Also, I was never fooled by his "enthusiasm". He would mercilessly tease the animals until they attacked him, and then act all surprised and utter some corn-pone Austrailian expression.

Soldiers, firemen, police officers -- these people risk their lives in support of something noble and decent. This guy risked his life for the fun of it. The worst thing is that he did it in front of millions of children. That's a pretty poor example to set for impressionable young children.

37   Peter P   2006 Sep 4, 2:03pm  

Soldiers, firemen, police officers — these people risk their lives in support of something noble and decent.

I agree.

38   Michael Holliday   2006 Sep 4, 2:46pm  

I'll miss The Crocodile Hunter.

I do have to admit, dude did some wacky/kooky things with wild beasts.

Saw him get bit in the face by a poisonous snake, antagonize an aligator until the lizard became angry and snapped at him with its huge fangs:
kinda stupid, dumb a-- sh-t for the thrill of it!

Schmoe has a point about his reckless thrill seeking.

Then again, he did cry like a baby when that aligator died & had some true love of the sundry critters he pursued.

Too many people are kicking the bucket. Makes me sad in a way.
Life is so short...just ask the mouse.

:o~~

39   HARM   2006 Sep 4, 4:05pm  

SP,

The fact that long rates are going down is no mystery when you take a look at the yield curve. Bond traders seem to be "pricing in" future anticipated short rate cuts by the Fed, which would eventually work their way into lower rates for long bonds as well, or so the theory goes.

Of course, once the equally anticipated (by people like us anyway) mass waves of ARM resets & foreclosures start happening, resulting in subprime MBS buy-backs, lawsuits and other fun, there is no guarantee that long rates will STAY low indefinitely. In fact, we may very well see the return of those "quaint" underwriting standards and realistic risk premiums in the mortgage markets.

40   Peter P   2006 Sep 4, 4:29pm  

So you think 15 and 30 year fixed rates might be going down in the short term? Might be a last reprieve for the FB to refinance out of a suicide loan?

I think so...

BTW, if they can afford 15 or 30 YR fixed loans they are not really FBs.

41   Peter P   2006 Sep 4, 4:44pm  

Its a major scam to keep the RE prices high and get buyers back into the market.

Rate is just an enabler. When people do not want to buy, there is no hope.

42   Different Sean   2006 Sep 4, 4:52pm  

Joe Schmoe said:
Also, I was never fooled by his “enthusiasm”. He would mercilessly tease the animals until they attacked him, and then act all surprised and utter some corn-pone Australian expression.

I have to agree. That means we must be in the 'rod up our ass' PC camp. I'm not one for baiting animals until they strike, because it's not respectful to the animals, but at the same time it's probably the best way to engage kids under 16 -- and college students during drinking games. However, kids already torment animals enough in the wild when they find them, so it's hard to know how to set a good example and teach them something constructive without boring them rigid.

Steve Irwin was a little embarassing to a lot of Australians, they like to put that 'larrikin' persona behind them -- I always thought that if he wasn't doing the wildlife thing, he was the sort of guy who would come around to fix your plumbing -- and it turns out his father started out as a plumber before he started the wildlife sanctuary. The whole persona was mostly an act, you wouldn't find many Aussies who talk quite like that any more, himself included in private moments... I think he, his parents and his spouse were committed to preservation, they weren't just a tourist gimmick off the main highway, but his approach was a little lowbrow and PT Barnum. The pollies were a little reserved in their accolades, mainly mentioning tourism dollars...

I don't think he was a true expert, he would just come at any new animal to see what it did, he didn't do his research, and he wasn't an OH&S freak, very clearly. He also got chased at one stage by a Komodo dragon which wanted to take out a piece of him as actual prey, crocs notwithstanding.

David Attenborough and the BBC do much the same thing and still manage to keep people interested with a lot more class and respect for the beauty of species...

43   e   2006 Sep 4, 6:10pm  

Maybe this forum can switch to a "oh no! rents are rising" one. :(

http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/classifieds/real_estate/ask_expert_front.htm?forumId=1582
Does Sunnyvale have rent control ordinances? The landlord has given us less than a month's notice to increase the rent 12.8% after a 6 month lease. Does the CA Civil Code 827(b)(1)(a) apply to Sunnyvale housing in which it requires a 60 days advanced notice if rent increase is more than 10%? Thanks for your help!

Youch!

44   HARM   2006 Sep 4, 7:34pm  

New thread: SoCal Blog Party II

45   Different Sean   2006 Sep 4, 10:52pm  

Nightmare Mortgages

that story just show show great banks are... as Keynes said, 'Capitalism is the astounding belief that the most wickedest of men will do the most wickedest of things for the greatest good of everyone.'

viva los banks! viva los market! viva reagan and thatcher! the working man's friends...

46   Different Sean   2006 Sep 4, 11:56pm  

ah, my old friend max weber...

47   Different Sean   2006 Sep 5, 12:33pm  

yeah, we've covered all that in spades already... in fact, that's ALL we talk about...

48   Michael Holliday   2006 Sep 5, 1:03pm  

Different Sean Says:

Steve Irwin was a little embarassing..He...got chased at one stage by a Komodo dragon which wanted to take out a piece of him as actual prey, crocs notwithstanding.
_____

Ha, ha!

With all due respect to the late Crocodile Hunter. I would gladly pay to
see a Komodo dragon chasing his antagonizing ass down. That'd be friggen' hilarious!

Those friggen' giant lizards can run up to 25-30 mph.

Ha, ha!

49   Peter P   2006 Sep 5, 5:05pm  

Those suckers are terrifying. And, they just have to nick you to kill, due to quick-spreading septic infections. (Zoo komodos are safer because they lack that).

These "dragons" have the dirtiest months in the world. I would stay away.

50   Peter P   2006 Sep 6, 5:29am  

Are banks basically deciding to take a slimmer margin over the fed fund rate?

They have decided to take the same margin over a declining 10YR Note rate.

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