patrick.net

The spring bounce that will test your resolve ! How true. I was fully expecting the following report. (Be prepared to hear more from the RE bulls on this one.)

http://www.sanjoseproperty.com/newsletter.html

From my anecdotal evidence, the gist of the report is indeed true. People are catching the falling knife. The arguments I have heard are same as FaceReality gives. In one line - no crash has happened, so it won't happen.

(The people I talked to were tired of waiting for the crash, stock market is good, there is still no shortage of funny money and some wanted to take advantage of buyer's market and buy before the prices go again in spring. Their words, not mine.)

I honestly have no problem with it. I won't mind if people get into bidding wars again and the frenzy pushes even the last bear into buying. I have never told anyone to not buy, and I will not. It's their money, not mine.

Peter P - not many get a movie, I think the hope was that if the movie was a blockbuster, then the networks would pick the series up again. There are quite a few websites dedicated to Firefly and the "browncoats".

Otherwise, plan to grow some gray hair while waiting for the BA meltdown.

I don't think that I will have to worry about that problem ;-) At the rate I am loosing hair, there won't be anything left to gray ...

There are quite a few websites dedicated to Firefly and the “browncoats”.

I know.

How are they going to pick up the series again after the events in the movie?

Again, if you can’t afford it without a “voodoo” loan, don’t buy it,

Cannot disagree with that. But what will happen to those who bought before they got a chance to read your advice ? Are there any such people in BA ?

The FB's will have grey hair before I do

At the rate I am loosing hair, there won’t be anything left to gray …

Perhaps we should have a thread about keeping your hair as a bubblehead.

Cannot disagree with that. But what will happen to those who bought before they got a chance to read your advice ? Are there any such people in BA ?

Can they un-buy their houses?

We need a spring bounce for the thread bubble too.

Arghhh.
s/loosing/losing

Oh - I could think of a million story lines for Firefly - but it is unlikely that it will be revived.

Oh - I could think of a million story lines for Firefly - but it is unlikely that it will be revived.

Have you checked out some of the fanfics out there?

Goodnight all.

Peter P - no - are they good? Really must sign off now.

The best quote I heard in a while ... from a friend's friend who bought it Cupertino after a bidding war just a few days ago.

It doesn't make any financial sense to buy a home ... but I can't wait forever !

Now how could I argue with THAT ? :-)

(That's when I wrote the comment about how the combination of funny money and dual income couples will support Cupertino ... for a while, and invited mighty wrath on this board.)

Peter P - no - are they good? Really must sign off now.

Good night.

Some of them are better than others. Just check out the usual fan sites. They have links to the fanfics.

(That’s when I wrote the comment about how the combination of funny money and dual income couples will support Cupertino … for a while, and invited mighty wrath on this board.)

Wrath is better than boredom. :(

There are clearly some owners in a bad financial situation - just not enough of them to impact the area significantly.

I guess I am in the wrong company then ! EVERYONE I know has bought using either an ARM (3/1 and some rare 5/1) and used a second mortgage, because they couldn't afford it with 30 year FRM and 20% down payment. But that's not a surprise, as I am also one the very few sub 200K income person.

There are clearly some owners in a bad financial situation - just not enough of them to impact the area significantly.

s/bad/good
s/impact/support

I wonder... :roll:

I was wondering how FaceReality figured out HARM doesn't know much about BA.

And that the sidewalks are paved with gold.

Ah ! That gave it away HARM. The sidewalks are NOT paved with gold. Yet. We are still working on it. Once the first round of Web 2.0 IPO are over, we will get it done pronto !

It is not just the wealth of the local population here that is preventing a meltdown.

It is the wealth in China and India. Poor countries, yes, but with half the world's population, even the smallest population of their elites is a massive number in proportion to the size of the Bay Area. And they all want to live here, or at least have a residence here, or buy their kids an education for an H1 so their kids can live here.

Some of their wealth is capital that people worked so hard for, and traded at WalMart for some of those cheap goods, those recycled dollars finding their way into Bay Area real estate.

When the Bay Area starts to get as crowded and unpleasant as places like Bombay and Taipei, that's when they won't covet buying more property here. But if you have seen those places you will know that we still have a long haul ahead of us till this area has become spoilt like those places.

You know, they are at least tens if not hundreds are places on earth that are as special or more special as the Bay Area. I have never heard of a place that is not considered special by its residents.

To me, Bay Area is special because I am here. The moment I leave, another place will become special.

When will we have thousand-comment-threads again? :(

On the bright side, rents are still low (relatively speaking). So there is that.

On the bright side, rents are still low (relatively speaking). So there is that.

Rent is really quite low, considering that everybody makes 600K+.

Thanks to our friends at
http://www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com/id298.html

We have the following information.

House prices in Silicon Valley make most of their annual increases in the spring. Since 2003, prices after June 1 showed a median change of:

2003: 0.0%
2004: +1.8%
2005: -0.7%
2006: -7.8% (= -$60K!!)

But BA is immune to any melt-down. This is just a buying opportunity.

My point is, what changed in that 5 months, did the valley add tens of thousands of jobs and all the elite from India and China suddenly discovered the fantastic bay area.

No. But the New Paradigm was suddenly discovered. :)

Face Reality Says:

There are clearly some owners in a bad financial situation - just not enough of them to impact the area significantly.

Based on what facts do you claim that, smart ass?
The fact that you've just interviewed two sales guys who are making $400K-$600K a year doesn't seem to be that relevant.
Do you know that 65% of mortgages in BA taken in last 2 years have been ARMs?

CB :

Why would these people want to work at your startup then?

Dude, you are not doubting FaceReality here, are you ? Now now, he says "not everyone" makes it this much. So don't feel too bad.

Sorry to burst anyone's bubble, but to see how common folks(NOT the HaHa and FaceReality types) do check out, Fortune's list of 100 best companies to work for.
http://tinyurl.com/yd44o6

Average TECHNICAL salary (and REMEMBER this includes OTHER CASH COMPENSATION on top of pay ... which I assume means bonus etc and maybe even other benefits, but they don't clarify that)

6. Network Appliance (NTAP) $129,000
11. Cisco Systems (CSCO) $123,021
44. Yahoo (YHOO) $126,000

These are among the best companies to work for. But apart from this pathetic gang and likes, everyone else makes over 200K.

I also interviewed half a dozen more people who are currently making over $200K a year in senior engineering, marketing, and product management positions.

HA HA is a loser.

I also watch HOUSE every week. That Hugh Laurie is AMAZING!

Yes, absolutely.

I am not into MD stuff at all. But I am amazed.

SFWoman (from previous thread),

Oh yes, the dining problem. But there are a few places which stand out from the rest. So here goes...

Alla Colomba. You've already found this one.

Da Fiore. On the Campo San Polo. Superb fish, risotto, mascarpone. San Polo.

Cipriani. Breakfast in the hotel garden. The fare's good, the setting is a pleasure. Giudecca.

Harry's Dolci. Same lunches as Harry's, but much nicer situation. Far too crowded on Sundays - reserve a table? Giudecca.

There's a cafe Cucciolo on the Zattere with very good coffee. Dorsoduro.

You might enjoy Vino Vino (wine bar) in the Calle della Veste. Musicians from La Fenice have adopted the place. San Marco.

Not food, but you might enjoy V. Trois on Campo San Maurizio - only place permitted to sell Fortuny cotton damasks. The prices make your head spin, but then so do the fabrics. San Marco.

Almost forgot Il Fornaio. Nice bakery and very nice pate. Also San Marco.

Hope this helps...

cruzpo Says:

Santa Cruz is melting. July 2006(peak), average 882,000, Jan 2007 average $795,000. $87,000 vaporized, ouch!
_____

Michael Holliday casts a whimsical gaze out the window, westward, toward California from Arizona, raises a curious eyebrow, smirks wryly, grabs a handful of Cheetos, munches on them for a few seconds, reaches for a tall glass of Hi-C fruit punch and drinks it heartily, brushes the crumbs off his shirt, wipes the Hi-C fruit punch residue mustache off his face with his shirt, belches, yawns deeply, briefly scratches the itch on his buttocks and exclaims, "burn, baby burn!"

He then falls into a deep, peaceful sleep luxuriating in the fact that, mercifully for us all, reality is finally exerting itself in the housing market (as painful as it is, and will be for many).

The End...

When every place is special, no place is.

Hmm, if we're doing free formed promotions for our favorite shows, I must put in a good word for Friday Night Lights. Perfect, just absolutely perfect. I still can't comprehend football but I'm hooked. NBC also put all the episodes online.

(chirp chirp, chirp chirp)

Anyone know any good cricket dishes? :)

(I hear they're delicious!)

StuckinBA,

Now just b/c CFC and TOL happen to be down hard (so far) I don't want your new found faith in the PPT shaken! (It's still plenty early!)

First class action suit; Just as I was saying, the FB's who were still able hold on to their houses will be bailed out by the taxpayers. This is just the first and definetly not the last.

Use your stupidity to your advantage. Sign up for a 1.95% loan and believe that it will stay at that rate for 5 years and when it doesn't, sue the lender who will not have the funds to pay you so all of the generous taxpayers; including those of us who aren't stupid enough to sign up for such a loan will foot the bill.

Hmm, if we’re doing free formed promotions for our favorite shows, I must put in a good word for Friday Night Lights. Perfect, just absolutely perfect. I still can’t comprehend football but I’m hooked. NBC also put all the episodes online.

I do not understand football at all.

My wife just love watching Heroes and 30 Rock.

30 Rock is quite funny. We like Alec Baldwin a lot.