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appartment 1.5% net income, time to sell?


               
2010 Jun 8, 8:33am   5,596 views  18 comments

by dutchsailor   follow (0)  

Hi all,

I have an appartment in the Netherlands with beautifull seaside view. It is rented out to tourists during holiday season on a weekly basis. I have about €10.000 income but lose half due to costs (expensive cleaning each time, expensive management due to high turnover of visitors), so net rental income is €5.000

However the value of the property is €350.000

That means I get 70 times the price if I sell?!? Seems to be huge, is it not? I mean, one would have to rent it out for 70 years to get back his investment.

Or seen from a different angle, I get 1.5% net income from the property, after costs. Not a good investment if you think the value could start to fall.

However, I do have some emotional bond with the property. I've been going there for holidays since I was young and do meet my family there as they also each have an appartment in the same building.

However, this appartment represents half of my capital and I am so afraid that it will lose considerable value.

What would you do?  Would you sell? Or keep it?

Thanks Patrick for your wonderfull website!

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16   dutchsailor   2010 Jun 10, 12:21pm  

pkennedy says

Has the land gone crazy in appreciation in the last decade, or are the prices reasonable?

The land doubled in price the last 10 years, just as during the 90's, and the 80's. Also during the '70's and '60's it went up nicely. Faster than inflation and on top of that there was net rental income. I think it has been a wonderfull investment. Even better than stocks, bonds, or gold the last 30 years. But I find it very hard to believe that while USA RE corrected 30% already, we in the Netherlands would not. I think we just lag a few years. And I believe the correction even in the USA will be -50% total and will take another 5-10 years.

Unless we get inflation or maybe hyperinflation due to printing and stimulus, then prices can start to go up starting tomorrow. But then still it will lose a lot of value versus gold the coming 10 years.

17   dutchsailor   2010 Jun 10, 12:33pm  

surfingerman says

you may consider that there may be more tourism if the Euro drops, but then again you may also loose that money again in the exchange rate, what about just renting out the property year round? and then just get a timeshare somewhere nearby? also from my limited knowledge of euro real estate, land is alot more scarce, so the property is less likely to loose alot of value (in euros), but it may be a bad time to sell based purely on exchange rates, maybe better to wait a few years for the dollar to fall, which will happen sooner or later

Sure, I could optimise rental income but even when I double I would only have 3%, which is still very bad. If we get a worse crisis tourism inland might go up but than price of RE will probably fall too.

The only thing that bothers me is discovering that real estate during the Argentinian crises in 2001 did not drop in value (US$). At least not the RE in good neighbourhoods.

But I just don't want to take the risk to lose half of the value and want to use part of the money for safer more balanced investments and part of the money for some riskier investments with higher chances of a big score.

18   pkennedy   2010 Jun 10, 2:37pm  

It seems that for 450,000, with few rentals, that you should be able to get more than 10,000 rent? Especially if this is short term rentals.

But if prices are starting to come down, it might be worth getting rid of it now.

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