patrick.net

skibum,

Sorry to bore you, but some of us have been at this a little longer than others, and frankly, only discussing housing can get a bit boring too. Btw, we've never been about religiously "staying on topic". Ben's blog is much better at that. ;-)

there’s only one particular group of recent arrivals who have proven to be a problem with handguns, and that is in sydney in particular. hence i’m leaving sydney. these particular people have very little of worth to offer our culture in other ways either.

DS,

And who would that group be? (braces for answer...)

@X,

Too funny! Was that on her web-site?

Speaking of asking prices, you can find stuff in Mountain View in the 800s, and things in Palo Alto in the 900s. And on the right side of the 101! (But not the right side of El Camino, apparantly.

I was talking to the Realtor my wife and I have been looking at homes with as we cruised through some of these MV homes. Many were pretty nice, with decent schools, and fairly decent remodelling. They weren't fixer-upper dives.

I remarked on how many more homes fell into our price range search in MV and PA these days. She said "I know! A year ago these would be offered at around a million, and I wouldn't have expected to see them on the market at these prices!"

Then I said "I wonder how long until cupertino (she mainly works saratoga/cup) starts falling consistantly" and she immediately jumped in saying that properties were still selling with multiple offers there, and the prices wouldn't drop. The schools are just too good!

Oiy.

@Surfer-X & skibum,

I haven't received my boilerplate responses yet, but it's only been a couple weeks since I sent my letters. I'm looking forward to seeing if they exactly match yours.

Speaking of asking prices, you can find stuff in Mountain View in the 800s, and things in Palo Alto in the 900s. And on the right side of the 101! (But not the right side of El Camino, apparantly.

I don't think there's stuff to buy on the "Wrong side" of 101 in Mountain View.

That said, stuff between ElCam and 101 were always in the 800's in Mountain View. Not much of a drop from what I've seen. :(

Headset,

Good points. I never really considered using my VA loan while I was still on active duty. Especially in the NAV where transfers were more frequent and unpredictable. I "almost" bought an apartment conversion right before the last bubble in Imperial Beach, CA in like 1988. That was a good time to "just say no" as well!

Sorry to bore you, but some of us have been at this a little longer than others, and frankly, only discussing housing can get a bit boring too. Btw, we’ve never been about religiously “staying on topic”.

HARM,

I'm well aware of that - in fact, I myself am guilty of straying OT sometimes. I'm just voicing my opinion about this particular OT-topic...

I've been posting here for well over a year now - maybe I'm too one-track minded and boring. I need to get out more...

Very true. We humans miscalculate risk.

Astrid, humans do miscalculate risk. However, a bigger problem is that we do not react rationally to information regarding risks.

skibum,

Well, we could discuss healthcare once in a while (your area of expertise). DinOR had a good question a few posts back:

I fully intended to create an HSA (health savings acct.) but couldn’t seem to find a decent HDHP, the time or the GUMPTION to follow through? I was curious to see what challenges (or excuses) others might have encountered.

I sometimes wonder whether some of your comments are deliberately designed to ignite debate.

Debates are good. I sense that people are getting bored at month after month or marginally rising inventory and falling prices. This is a wreck in slow motion and someone has misplaced the remote. We need to keep ourselves intellectually stimuated. Or we are no better than those equity-challenged home-debtor zombies.

I’m well aware of that - in fact, I myself am guilty of straying OT sometimes. I’m just voicing my opinion about this particular OT-topic…

It is fine, skibum, if we keep on topic all the time we will only be getting 35 comments in two days.

For those that don't know it, "HDHP" stands for "High Deductible Health Plans", used with Health Savings Accounts (HSA), which allows the self-employed to set aside a tax-free savings account for medical insurance/expenses. Details here: http://www.opm.gov/hsa/

DinOR,

Have you looked into Keogh plans? They're not that hard to setup, and have higher contribution limits ($45k, iirc).

DinOR,

I've never enrolled in a HDHP program, but I've had a HSA before (to cover expenses not covered by HMO/insurance). The problem with these things is, you better have a very good idea: (a) what's covered and what's not, and (b) what you're liable to spend in a year. Because, if you overcontribute to the HSA, you don't get your money back.

I like the idea of HDHP, but Sean will probably say that that is regressive against poor people. What is the best way to provide reasonable health care to as many people as possible?

It is fine, skibum, if we keep on topic all the time we will only be getting 35 comments in two days.

Well, we can always talk about food, or more specifically, sushi.

Well, we can always talk about food, or more specifically, sushi.

I agree.

Peter P (or anyone),

Have you been to Town Hall (in SF)? Any opinions?

No. :( Is it good?

We go to SF less than once every two weeks.

I like the idea of HDHP, but Sean will probably say that that is regressive against poor people. What is the best way to provide reasonable health care to as many people as possible?

He will then go on some diatribe about how evil and money-grubbing US doctors are.

I haven't been there, but will probably be going next week.

To be fair, I like DS. At least he is respectful and respectable. It is fine to have different opinions.

House around the corner (in Willow Glen) went up for sale 30 days ago: $1.3 mil. They just added the "price reduced" sign. ANother house around the corner was up for sale three months ago. Had a sale pending sign a month ago. It had a "SOLD" a couple of weerks ago and now the "SOLD" sign gone. The house is still up for sale. hmmm cold feet buyers....didn't qualify?....wonder what the story was. It's definitely slowing down.

I agree - I like him fine. He does keep things interesting. It is true that I agree with his opinion almost none of the time, though!

El HARM-O

Nope, sent directly to me, I think Sen Boxer typed it herself. aahahahahahahaha

HARM,

The Aetna calculator link was really quite helpful. I wonder why my State Farm guy never mentioned having a calc. Even w/modest contributions and an inv. return capped at 5% I would have about 50K in the account and over 12k in tax savings. (I only ran contributions to age 62). Very interesting. Something I'll work with and get right this year.

The tough part is that I'm still covered under the wife's plan so I would have to get a physical (on their tab) and once given a clean bill of health, take the plunge!

skibum Says:

> Peter P (or anyone),
> Have you been to Town Hall (in SF)? Any opinions?

It has been consistently better than average for years and is a fun place to go with a group if you get the big high “party table” by the front door ...

I was just there a couple weeks ago (two of us at a 4 top) on a Sunday night and the place was not as loud as usual since we got there late and the crowd thinned out...

"That said, stuff between ElCam and 101 were always in the 800’s in Mountain View. Not much of a drop from what I’ve seen"

If so funny what some new upstarts are saying.
ALWAYS !!! Always seems to be very short term when you been here
since the 70s. Its amazing what some people from out of state
have stuffed into their little mind. As I recall it was more or less around
$150-160K 10 years ago. You see i had a habit of looking up RE prices
back in the 80s and 90s from the grocery rag bin and do recall prices
in many areas.

Maybe the question some should be asking ... Is 800K really gonna stick?
And we all know what the answer is to that. Its real value will go down reall deep and hard.

eburbed Says:

> The British pound is over $2USD today.
> I weep.

Looks like the price of Land Rover parts will be going up...

Wifey and I have actually put a bid in on a house in Ventura. Very very funny, Realtors, man they just can't put the kool-aid cup down. "There's lots of interest in this house, but no other offers". Ok, so it there are no other offers, is there really any interest in the house?

They tried the whole "counter offer" bs, to which I curtly replied "we are not interested in making any counter offers". From Realtor, "ok, just counter offer with the same offer'. Funny thing is that when I got the counter counter offer form, which should have had the same information on it, it didn't. I called and said, "the counter counter offer doesn't have the closing costs included". Realtor replied "oh it's just a paper trail". I interrupted and said I would not sign without that on it. "ok, well just write it in". Don't know if they were trying to pull a fast one, but man, come on now.

My thoughts are that housing will continue to go down, this house has is down about 125K from last year. It will continue to go down, my guess is to about $425K or so. My "concern" is that while is prices are going to go down if the funding dries up, ie, no down payment via calhfa I couldn't buy anyways. Our goal is find a place we like, our requirements are low, small bungalow, good location walking distance to pubs and/or places to eat, yard with gate and a garage. Calhfa is pretty smoking funding, 100% at 5.625 with 12.5 basically free money, and they make your payment for 6 months when you get laid off*

As a knee pad wearing member of the laid off Gen-X set, I am certain of one thing, I will be laid off again sometime.

"House around the corner (in Willow Glen) went up for sale 30 days ago: $1.3 mil"

10 years ago tyical home goes for under 200K... you may swing 300K
which is on the upper range of 3x salary. $1 maybe if its in the Mountains of Los Gatos or LA Hills. There is no such thing as $1.3M Willow Glen home. Poor uneducated soul-less buyer out of state is paying for someone elses early retirement.

MtViewRenter,

I currently have a SEP and it allows up to 25% of comp. (or 44k) whichever is the lesser. Unless I add employees down the road it should suffice.

I just wondered if there were others out there that "intended" to set up a Charitable Remainder Trust (or whatever) and didn't follow up and what their strategies might be for '07. It's never too soon to start.

surfer-x I like the way you think and do.

surfer-x,

Cool - congrats (if it comes through)!

The DQ numbers show that Ventura (and SD) RE prices are leading the way down in our glorious state. Sounds like it's the right time for you guys.

surfer x putting in a bid on a home when there's only been a slight decline (to date). Not the surfer x "I" know!

DinOR, yeah, it has given me much headache, I've charted Ventura five ways to sunday, took all the sales in the past 2 years from Zillow, and got a R^2 value of .95 on a linear fit for median and mean sale prices. I know that the prices will under-cool and the stay flat for about 10 years. Our only concern is that funding will dry up. We have no outstanding debts a 780 FICO, good salary, about 0.625Haha, but no down, and with the mano-y-mano expenses of coastal ca the ability to save 100K for a down isn't there. So screw it. The tax advantages really aren't what people think they are but filing short form isn't the way to go either. So what's a brother to do? Plus Ventura has that smooth mellow vibe that I'm looking for. We'll need to get a place with an Avocado tree and some blue agave plants as we won't be able to afford guacamole or tequila.

"Then I said “I wonder how long until cupertino (she mainly works saratoga/cup) starts falling consistantly” and she immediately jumped in saying that properties were still selling with multiple offers there, and the prices wouldn’t drop. The schools are just too good!"

Children of rich parents rarely have the motivation of their poor parents.
Children of Saratoga and Los Gatsos grew up with lots of problems. Plenty I knew from my days in Saratoga had a Coke problem. Even today LGPD
busts on Meth are common. Rich kids with lots of money, not a good mix.
Cupertino was full of pot heads as well.

Saratoga is overrated if your thinking about your family. Its great if your single or newly married without kids. For my taste too boring.

Space Ace :)

surfer x putting in a bid on a home when there’s only been a slight decline (to date). Not the surfer x “I” know!

It is fine to put in bids...