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Predictions for economic factors on December 31, 2010 and June 30, 2011.
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2010 Oct 18, 3:02pm 18,783 views 52 comments
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American in Japan
2011 Apr 1, 3:06am
Halfway point between the two...
I am off on the S&P 500 but closer on the $A and ¥ exchange rates...
I wonder if high oil prices will pull the stock market down a bit...
American in Japan
2011 Apr 26, 12:41am
Consumer confidence up at 64.4... (not sure why, though)
I wonder if they disproportionately ask those in the top 1%...
terriDeaner
2011 Apr 26, 1:55am
Consumer confidence up at 64.4… (not sure why, though)
People are probably becoming more confident that they are spending all their money on food and gas these days...
FortWayne
2011 Apr 26, 4:08am
Consumer confidence up at 64.4… (not sure why, though)
I kind of wonder how they measure it too, and which areas where confidence is so well off. Last month couple more of my friends joined the unemployed ranks, for some of us confidence in this economy is very low.
American in Japan
2011 Jun 28, 12:27am
Consumer confidence is 58.5 for June. More to come...
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Consumers-confidence-down-in-apf-4216578380.html
American in Japan
2011 Jun 28, 11:03am
Higher than I thought at 58.5.
the Euro did better than I thought too ... looking for unemployment.
American in Japan
2011 Jun 29, 11:43pm
S&P 500 is 1313.9
USD/JPY = 80.4350
AUD/USD = 1.072
EUR/USD = 1.446
U6 unemployement (May 2011 is the latest) 17.4%
American in Japan
2011 Jul 4, 2:38pm
Thanks Thunderlips! I've wanted to close this post up!
I was really close on that one (over by 0.1%). My S&P 500 guesses were way under. I underestimed the power of easy money.
I didn't think the euro would stay as high either...
I prefer U6 to U3 or the other indices, but that is another discussion....
The participation (comments) was OK, but at least thousands looked at this...thanks again.
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For those who dare! Make your predictions for both of these dates (12/31/10) and (6/30/11) for the following:
Yen/US Dollar exchange rate (now 81.3 yen per $US)
US Dollar/Euro exchange rate (now 138.9 $US per Euro)
US Dollar/Aussie Dollar exchange rate (now 0.986 USD per AUS)
S&P 500 (now 1,184.71)
US Unemployment (U6) (now 17.1%)
US Consumer confidence index (now 48.5)
You can just predict some items if you wish.
It will be interesting to look back on this.