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Home Prices are COLLAPSING again!!!!!!!!!


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2010 Oct 24, 2:37pm   28,673 views  125 comments

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119   klarek   2010 Nov 21, 10:25pm  

I had such consistently bad experiences with realtors that I don’t think I can ever be convinced they are on the buyer’s side. Their financial motive is to trap people in as much debt as possible. That’s how they get paid. More debt = higher commission. No purchase = no commission. So the buyer’s agent has the opposite financial interest from his client. A built-in conflict.

Patrick,

I've given this a lot of thought and while I probably don't have as much experience dealing with these vermin as you do, I don't think that price is ultimately what they are chasing. It is my understanding that sure, the buyer's agent will push buyers to make a higher offer. That's not because it will make them an extra 50 bucks, it's because the seller is more likely to accept the offer. Quick closing, dollar cost averaging, etc. On the flip side, the selling agent will usually try to convince their sucker client to take the low offers. Losing 50 bucks is acceptable if it means having to not work another 5 hours or wait 3 months for the house to sell.

Always
Be
Closing

They're pencil-pushing middle-men that function to make sales happen and happen quickly. All would rather their clients agree to buy or sell at the first opportunity than let it drag out for several months. Obviously the interests of their clients come after their own, and they are often conflicting.

120   klarek   2010 Nov 21, 10:37pm  

Fisk says

No one bashing realtors here has ever had a commissioned sales job?

Is there a commissioned job other than realtor where an uneducated sleazeball can make $30k for doing ten hours worth of work? I'd say normal sales people and waiters actually EARN their money.

native94027 says

Prostitution is also a ’service economy’, so I guess for those with lesser morals, it is only a few steps down from there to become a used-house-salesman.

A few? More like a thousand. Let's face it, you're not forced to pay for sex. In NAR's cartel, you're practically forced to pay your kid's college tuition to these fuckers just to sell your house.

121   B.A.C.A.H.   2010 Dec 20, 1:25pm  

Not just prices collapsing.
Homes are collapsing too.
My siblbing's Socal-Fortress hillside fortress is showing signs of slippage during the wet weather we're having.
Maybe oughta get all the HELOC they can from it and walk away from it before it slides away from them.

122   Hysteresis   2010 Dec 20, 1:50pm  

realtor says

es, and you can do so because I always put my real name over my writings. You know, Patrick could probably have gotten a huge amount of business from the between one and two million Realtors out there, surely his biggest potential market, if he made his system accurate and became property licensed to do appraisals. But he has expended a very great deal of time effort and money trying to convince everyone that we are all crooks, liars, and incompetent. A disinformation campaign any modern political consultant would be proud of. How many “never do business with” lists do you suppose he is on. And do you expect us to be nicy nice when he unilaterally declared all out war on us. Who are the only competitors of his valuation business? We are. Coincidence? Surely you are not that naive.

Stephen Manion - Realtor, Broker

you know what's hilarious?

if patrick were to sell a $1M house, i have no doubt you'd be the first in line to kiss his ass to get that commission.

123   MattBayArea   2010 Dec 21, 5:28am  

realtor says

Yes, and you can do so because I always put my real name over my writings. You know, Patrick could probably have gotten a huge amount of business from the between one and two million Realtors out there, surely his biggest potential market, if he made his system accurate and became property licensed to do appraisals. But he has expended a very great deal of time effort and money trying to convince everyone that we are all crooks, liars, and incompetent. A disinformation campaign any modern political consultant would be proud of. How many “never do business with” lists do you suppose he is on. And do you expect us to be nicy nice when he unilaterally declared all out war on us. Who are the only competitors of his valuation business? We are. Coincidence? Surely you are not that naive.
Stephen Manion - Realtor, Broker

This was not very convincing...I would suggest that it is better to not argue a point if you can't supply a halfway compelling perspective. I'm just trying to imagine Patrick as an appraiser ... PatricK: "well, judging by rents - this home is worth 200,000 ... doubt the bank will approve your 450k loan, sorry" Buyers Agent: "He's off his gourd! I know a truly professional appraiser ... he'll swing by tomorrow and get an appraisal for 450k so you can move into your new, cozy HOME!"

124   MattBayArea   2010 Dec 21, 5:35am  

Oh sorry ... didn't see where you said "make his service accurate" - the whole point of his system is that it IS accurate from the buyers perspective - if you'll be financially better off by renting than you will by buying, the 'accurate' prices given by the agents and their appraisers (using recent sales ... circular logic in my mind) are TOO HIGH. Naturally, from the seller's perspective the 'right' price is as much as can be obtained. BTW I do computer repair work for realtors and loan brokers, who are often infected by viruses (and potentially liable if private financial information from their clients, stored on these infected PCs, is leaked to identify thieves) - I charge 400$ per hour, which by my estimate is an excellent price for what you get (price is based upon going rate for such services, only one data point so far (mine) but I'm sure it's accurate).

125   Future Cash Buyer   2010 Dec 21, 7:39am  

Very simple. At the end it is all about supply and demand (domestic demand, excluding foreign cash buyers).

Most factors pointing to lower demand:
1. High unemployment rate
2. Rising interest rate
3. Would-be move-up buyers trapped with negative equity
4. High inflation in non-housing items such as energy and food
5. Less sub prime lending; fewer people qualify for mortgage

Most factors pointing to more supply:
1. Retiring baby boomers who need to trade down
2. Foreclosures and short sales; shadow inventory

There is no bottom until supply meets demand. Home prices cannot go up until demand out grows supply, or people's real income after tax after non-housing necessities go up.

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