Hysteresis

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threads pinned by Hysteresis
authored 627 comments and 14 threads

Hysteresis's threads


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Why prices will continue to fall in the Bay Area/Peninsula
by Hysteresis on 1 Dec 2010   144 comments, latest 9 years ago
First some facts. Almost all houses in decent areas on the Peninsula are priced $600k or more. Decent Peninsula areas are Millbrae, Burlingame, parts of San Mateo, Foster City, ...

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What happens to all the Asian-American overachievers when the test taking ends?
by Hysteresis on 19 May 2012   Posted 11 years ago
http://nymag.com/print/?/news/ She quotes a music teacher at Stuyvesant(one of the most competitive high schools in the country) describing the dominance of Asians: “They were mediocre kids, but they got ...

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can net worth be used to determine how much house to buy?
by Hysteresis on 1 Aug 2011   1 comment, latest 11 years ago
if you have been working 10 years, and saved $100k. that's $10k/year saved. assume rent is $10k/year. doesn't that mean with a 30 year fixed mortgage, the most you ...

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would you pay cash or use a mortgage?
by Hysteresis on 11 Jul 2011   16 comments, latest 12 years ago
let's say, hypothetically, liquid net worth of $1.5M. single family house is priced at $500k in the city of santa clara. it's a primary residence. the house would be ...

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Why prices will continue to fall: Part 4
by Hysteresis on 22 Feb 2011   11 comments, latest 12 years ago
Peak: Price-to-Income of the last bubble: 1989 Bottom: Price-to-Income of the last bubble: 1997 Duration: 8 years. Peak: Price-to-Income of the this bubble: 2006 Bottom: Price-to-Income of the this ...

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The Difference Ten Years Makes
by Hysteresis on 2 Apr 2011   17 comments, latest 12 years ago
http://www.deptofnumbers.com/b House prices, household income, stock prices, jobs were all down. Corporate profits soared which is a huge disconnect. Health insurance, oil prices and federal debt were all up ...

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How To Have A Rational Discussion
by Hysteresis on 25 Mar 2011   9 comments, latest 12 years ago
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2

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sales, prices
by Hysteresis on 25 Feb 2011   3 comments, latest 12 years ago
the direction of sales volume seems to be a fair, early indicator of prices - sales increase/decrease, then prices increase/decrease after some lag time. - november 2005, is when ...

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Why prices will continue to fall in the Bay Area: Part 3
by Hysteresis on 16 Feb 2011   27 comments, latest 12 years ago
About half the houses (single family homes only) in the Bay Are are listed over $500k. Bay Area Under $500k: 6620 listings Bay Area Over $500k: 5610 listings Peninsula ...

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why prices will continue to fall: part 2
by Hysteresis on 13 Jan 2011   33 comments, latest 12 years ago
CHART1 is one piece of evidence housing bubbles take a long time to deflate. i'd like to see charts for more countries to see if this is generally true ...

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more job postings
by Hysteresis on 26 Dec 2010   31 comments, latest 12 years ago
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2 job postings collected by Indeed Inc increased from 2.7M to 4.7M year over year. best not to confuse job postings with actual jobs. but still a very significant ...

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How i'm calculating how much I can afford
by Hysteresis on 22 Dec 2010   10 comments, latest 12 years ago
Approach Most people use some multiple of income (usually 3 to 5 times income) to determine a house price. I have a slightly different perspective. I'm focused on retirement. ...

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what are the advantages of buying a condo vs renting?
by Hysteresis on 13 Dec 2010   9 comments, latest 12 years ago
main reasons for condo ownership seem to be financial. 1. semi-fixed housing cost. although probably higher than rent in the bay area and HOA can increase, variable cost of ...

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Housing Outlook 2011: When Home Prices Will Head Up
by Hysteresis on 28 Nov 2010   6 comments, latest 12 years ago
http://realestate.yahoo.com/pr #housing
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