patrick.net

the direction of sales volume seems to be a fair, early indicator of prices - sales increase/decrease, then prices increase/decrease after some lag time.

- november 2005, is when we first saw sales decreasing steadily; then all of 2006 and 2007 sales slowed. prices started to decline around 2006/2007
- sales increased feb2009, which is about a month or two before prices went up.
- august 2010, sales started to drop sharply. BA prices are down based on the last case-shiller report.
- it'll be interesting to see how sales are this spring/summer. that will be a good indication of where the market is at.

http://www.dqnews.com/Articles/archive.aspx

January 21, 2010 - Bay Area December home sales strongest in three years
February 18, 2010 - Bay Area home sales fall; median price up from last year, down from December
March 18, 2010 - Bay Area home sales down slightly from last year, median sale price rises
April 15, 2010 - Bay Area March home sales and median price rise above prior month and ‘09
May 20, 2010 - Mixed results for Bay Area April home sales
June 17, 2010 - Bay Area $500K-Plus Home Sales Jump; Median Price Tops $400K
July 15, 2010 - Bay Area June Home Sales Send Mixed Signals
August 19, 2010 - Bay Area July Home Sales Down Sharply; Median Price Slips From June
September 16, 2010 - Bay Area Home Sales Drop to 1992 Level; Median Price Slips Again
October 21, 2010 - Bay Area September Home Sales Second-Lowest in 19 years
November 18, 2010 - Bay Area Home Sales Fall Sharply; Median Price Dips Below Last Year
December 16, 2010 - Bay Area November Home Sales, Median Price Down from a Year Ago

January 21, 2009 - Bargain hunting dominates Bay Area home sales in December
February 19, 2009 - Bay Area home sales top last year again; median drops to $300K
March 19, 2009 - Bay Area home sales climb above last year as median falls below $300K
April 16, 2009 - Bay Area home sales continue climb, median still below $300K
May 21, 2009 - Bay Area home sales rise again; median price up slightly over March
June 18, 2009 - Uptick in Bay Area home sales and median price
July 16, 2009 - Bay Area home sales and median price rise
August 21, 2009 - Bay Area home sales hit 4-year high; median price up again
September 17, 2009 - Bay Area August home sales and median price fall
October 15, 2009 - Slight uptick in Bay Area home sales and prices
November 19, 2009 - Bay Area median sale price tops year-ago level for first time since ‘07
December 17, 2009 - Bay Area home sales and median price top last year again

January 17, 2008 - Bay Area home sales drag along bottom, median price back to 2005 level
February 14, 2008 - Bay Area home sales lowest for any month in two decades
March 13, 2008 - Bay Area home sales remain at two-decade low
April 17, 2008 - Bay Area home sales remain at two-decade low
May 20, 2008 - Bay Area home sales edge up in April
June 18, 2008 - Bay Area home sales return to record low in May
July 17, 2008 - Bay Area median price dives below $500K; sales near record low
August 19, 2008 - Bay Area home sales climb above last year; median price falls hard
September 18, 2008 - Bay Area home sales near bottom again, median price plunges
October 21, 2008 - Bay Area home sales up 45% over '07; median price falls to $400K
November 20, 2008 - Bay Area median price tumbles to $375K; sales reach high for '08
December 18, 2008 - Bay Area median home price sinks to 8-year low; sales up over '07 again

January 17, 2007 - Bay Area home prices flat, slow sales
March 15, 2007 - Bay Area home sales lowest since 1996, prices still flat
April 12, 2007 - Bay Area home prices up, sales still slow
May 16, 2007 - Bay Area home sales drop, prices up
June 14, 2007 - Bay Area home sales drop, prices up
July 18, 2007 - Bay Area home sales still slow, prices up
August 15, 2007 - Bay Area home prices steady, slow sales
September 13, 2007 - Bay Area home sales slowest since early 1990s, flat prices
October 18, 2007 - Bay Area home sales plummet amid mortgage woes
November 15, 2007 - Bay Area home sales drag along bottom

December 20, 2007 - Bay Area home sales stuck at two-decade low; price picture mixed

December 14, 2006 - Bay Area home prices decline, sales at five-year low
November 15, 2006 - Bay Area home sales slow, prices flat
October 17, 2006 - Bay Area home prices decline, sales slow
September 20, 2006 - Bay Area home sales decline, prices level off
August 16, 2006 - Bay Area home sales decline, new price peak
July 19, 2006 - Bay Area home sales decline, new price peak
June 21, 2006 - Bay Area home sales continue to drop, prices reach new peak
May 18, 2006 - Bay Area home sales and appreciation slow; new price peak
April 19, 2006 - Slowdown in Bay Area home sales, appreciation rate
March 16, 2006 - Slowdown in Bay Area home sales, appreciation rate

December 15, 2005 - Slower Bay Area home sales, steady price increase
November 17, 2005 - Continued sales slowdown in Bay Area, appreciation flat
October 18, 2005 - Bay Area real estate: Sales slow slightly, flat appreciation
September 14, 2005 - Strong sales, new price peak for Bay Area homes
August 16, 2005 - Bay Area: Home sales and prices step back from peaks
July 19, 2005 - Bay Area: Near Record Sales, New Price Peak
June 16, 2005 - Bay Area Home Sales: New Price Peak, Slower Appreciation
May 16, 2005 - New Price Peak for Bay Area Homes, Near-Record Sales
April 14, 2005 - Bay Area Home Sales: Record Prices, Near-Record Sales
March 16, 2005 - New Price Peak for Bay Area Homes
January 19, 2005 - Bay Area: Near-Record Home Sales, Prices Stay at Peak

December 16, 2004 - Bay Area: Record Home Sales, Record Prices
November 18, 2004 - Bay Area Home Prices Reach New Peak
October 14, 2004 - Record September for Bay Area Home Sales
September 16, 2004 - Bay Area Home Sales Still in Record Territory
August 19, 2004 - Near Record Bay Area Home Sales
July 16, 2004 - Bay Area Home Sales Surge
June 18, 2004 - Bay Area Home Median Passes Half Million
May 20, 2004 - Near Record Bay Area Home Sales
March 18, 2004 - Robust February for Bay Area Home Sales
January 22, 2004 - Bay Area home sales surge at year end

December 18, 2003 - New price peak for Bay Area homes
November 20, 2003 - Home Sales: Strongest Bay Area October in Over Fifteen Years
October 22, 2003 - Home Sales: Strongest Bay Area September in Fifteen Years
September 22, 2003 - Bay Area Home Sales Highest in over Fifteen Years
August 21, 2003 - Bay Area Home Sales Jump
July 23, 2003 - Record Bay Area Home Prices
June 19, 2003 - Brisk Bay Area Home Sales
May 21, 2003 - Another Price Peak for Bay Area Homes
April 22, 2003 - New Price Peak for Bay Area Homes in March
March 21, 2003 - Bay Area Home Sales, Prices Steady in February
January 24, 2003 - Strong Bay Area Home Sales, Prices Stable in December

December 19, 2002 - Strong Bay Area Home Sales, Prices Edge Up in November
November 22, 2002 - Strong Bay Area Home Sales, Prices Steady in October
October 18, 2002 - Bay Area Home Sales and Prices Steady in September
September 20, 2002 - Bay Area Home Sales, Prices Steady in August
August 20, 2002 - Bay Area Home Prices Edge Up in July
July 23, 2002 - Bay Area Home Prices Peak Again in June
June 24, 2002 - Bay Area Home Sales Surge, Prices Jump in May
May 20, 2002 - Bay Area Home Sales Surge, Prices Jump in April
April 22, 2002 - Bay Area Home Sales Up, Prices Flat in March
March 21, 2002 - Bay Area Home Sales Surge, Prices Flat in February
January 24, 2002 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Up in December

January 25, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales, Prices Down in December
March 26, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Strong, Prices Up in February
April 25, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Up in March
May 23, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Leveling Off
June 25, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Leveling Off in May
July 25, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Leveling Off in June
August 24, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Leveling Off in July
September 25, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Leveling Off in August
October 22, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Flat in September
November 26, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Drop in October
December 21, 2001 - Bay Area Home Sales Down, Prices Drop Again in November

January, 2000 - Record Bay Area Home Sales
March, 2000 - Bay Area Home Prices Surge
April, 2000 - Bay Area Home Sales Up
May, 2000 - Bay Area Home Sales Down
June, 2000 - Bay Area Decline Eases
July, 2000 - Bay Area Decline Eases
August, 2000 - Bay Area Home Sales Drop
September, 2000 - Bay Area Home Sales Pick Up
October, 2000 - Bay Area Home Prices Level Off
November, 2000 - Bay Area Home Prices Jump
December, 2000 - Bay Area Home Sales, Prices Up

January, 1999 - Strong Year-End for Bay Area Home Sales
March, 1999 - February Bay Area Home Sales
April, 1999 - New High for Bay Area Home Prices
May, 1999 - Bay Area Home Sales
June, 1999 - Bay Area Home Prices Peak
August, 1999 - Record Bay Area Home Sales

January, 1998 - Bay Area Home Sales in December
March, 1998 - Strong 1998 Start for Bay Area Home Sales
May, 1998 - Bay Area Home Prices Peak
May, 1998 - Bay Area Home Prices Peak
June, 1998 - Bay Area Home Prices Peak
July, 1998 - Bay Area Home Sales
September, 1998 - Bay Area Home Sales Level Off
November, 1998 - Bay Area Home Sales Dip
December, 1998 - Bay Area Home Sales Back Up

January, 1997 - Bay Area home sales up
May, 1997 - Bay Area home prices jump
June, 1997 - Bay Area home sales and prices jump again
July, 1997 - Bay Area home sales
October, 1997 - Bay Area home sales
December, 1997 - Bay Area home sales

January, 1996 - Bay Area Home Sales Increase
June, 1996 - Bay Area Home Sales Continue to Surge!
August, 1996 - Bay Area Home Sales Up
October, 1996 - Bay Area home sales off
November, 1996 - Bay Area home sales continue to rise
December, 1996 - Bay Area home sales continue on upward climb

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