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Thinking of buying a shortsale, need some thoughts.


               
2011 Feb 22, 8:48am   14,102 views  53 comments

by cearka   follow (0)  

Hi all, I'm not a regular poster here but definitely a regular reader. Patrick.net has saved me from making a very costly mistake some years back. Would love some thought from you posters.

Anyway, in our area its' still in my opinion a significantly-less-than-optimal-but-not-entirely-terrible time to buy overall. We recently visited a property listed as a short sale and found that it met or exceeded our criteria,
fell within our price range, and makes logical sense to buy (on a fixed 30 year loan, its' slightly cheaper or maybe equalish to buy than rent)...or in our cause we're probably gonna do a 15 fixed year loan, thus it's far more expensive
to buy then rent on a month to month basis, but we save well over 200k on interest payments in the life of the loan as a result, and would also have a paid off house before we're old fogeys to boot.

Anyway, we did some research and according to the listing agents, they think that it will take an offer of 525-535k to get the bank to accept (its' currently listed at 500k, which is in line with comparable sales in that area). I personally think they're just trying to bait us to bid higher. Personally I think 500k is still acceptable, and could even swing 510k if I suspend my disbelief a little. 525 seems fishy though, but we'd love to hear opinions for or against this reasoning. I know the competition on this property is fairly low because while being a totally awesome property, it has some extremely specific features that most people won't even know what to do with (there were 4 other couples visiting the property at the same time we were, and the sentiment I got from all of them was "it's really nice, but it's not for us").

Also, I know that there are all sorts of risks involved in placing an offer on a short sale that requires very specific contigencies. So far I've heard about putting in title contigencies (in case the title history turns up with alot large liens), retaining the right to inspection. Just wondering if there's anything else I should be aware of.

Any advice welcome, thanks =)

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1   PockyClipsNow   2011 Feb 22, 9:34am  

What you need is the advice of a....... REELTOR!!!!!

One will show in this thread asap to help. its kinda like when you speak the name of satan..... he might just show up....

2   cearka   2011 Feb 22, 10:10am  

PockyClipsNow says

What you need is the advice of a……. REELTOR!!!!!
One will show in this thread asap to help. its kinda like when you speak the name of satan….. he might just show up….

I would appreciate the advice of anyone and everyone (minus trolls), realtor or no. Although I don't particularly trust realtors or satan, as an artist I learn always look at all sides of a subject. Listening only to realtors obviously is a tragic option that helped cause the housing crisis. But doing the exact opposite can be just as damaging in an entirely different way. Every coin has two sides....

That being said, I spend 28k on rent every year, my rent is also lower for the area and type of property I'm in. But with just this one property (and it's the only property that would afford me this opportunity at this moment), I could be living in a better neighborhood in better living conditions, setting my own rules and not answering to some god damn land lord and paying 32~k on a mortgage/tax/whatnot (or 46~k on a shorter loan term), which is still below 1/3 of our household income.

The math seems fairly simple then....spending 420-840+k over 15-30 years on rent and get nothing out of it? or spend 690/960k over the same time period and atleast get something out of all of that? I dunno...maybe I'm mathing it wrong but it seems ok to me. Even in the worst case scenario the property loses another 50-100k (which is possible, it's currently at it's 2001-2002 ish lvl of value)...I'm better off over the long run.

3   Entitlemented   2011 Feb 22, 1:12pm  

Go in low, and keep on looking for good deals. Many are coming - and we have a real issue with a double dip , changes in Prop 13, great salaries and benefits for Public Sector workers, which is going to cost more.

Find 6-8 houses in the next few months. Dont be greedy. Lowball them all, have cash, and see what happens. PS. You better make > $160K per year, and expect to make this for 20 more years.............. If not then you better have relative with money.......

4   bubblesitter   2011 Feb 22, 1:25pm  

Never,never buy at the asking price. Look up the county records for current sold prices and do your math. In the current market it does not makes sense to buy any properties other then REO/short sale...and "according to the listing agents" is a huge statement. You'll be bashed for that because most people here hates them.

5   vain   2011 Feb 22, 1:35pm  

I've offered on many short sales. Every single one has come back with a counter offer. And for me personally, every single one only responded when property values fell to the point where the purchase didn't make sense anymore.

I agree with Entitlement's strategy. Just keep bidding low. If you are able to pay the price of the comps, why not just go for a regular sale or even an REO?

6   cearka   2011 Feb 22, 1:37pm  

@entitlement
out household income is above 180k. I expect it to rise to above 200k in the next year..

@bubblesitter
the property is a shortsale....and I followed the "according to the listing agents" with a qualifying statement of "I think this is baiting". I don't trust agents at all, everything they say is taking a grain of salt. There's no way I'd bid 25-35k over just cause the listing agent says so.

7   cearka   2011 Feb 22, 1:44pm  

@vain
I'm expecting this to happen, I know the changes of getting a shortsale is low, but it's worth a try. We're not really going for the comp because this one just has a few special things we really like about it. If it falls through...so be it. I've waited many years I'm ok to keep waiting.

8   solver   2011 Feb 22, 1:56pm  

It's bid rigging. Real estate is like championship boxers. There's ALWAYS someone else that's better. In real estate, a deal passed up today, will reveal an even better one tomorrow. You just have to keep your eyes open and keep your cash in your pocket.

Oil just shot up only a fraction of where it's going. Our system is being decimated and if you don't start looking at the magicians other hand where the action really happens, you will continue to live in an illusionary world.

Our dollar as we know it, will be gone by the end of 2012 and if you don't believe this, you should start looking at the signs. Real estate is here to stay, the prices aren't. If you listen to those in need, they will always sell you what you want. Their like drug dealers and you're the drugee. Save your cash and buy wiser in 6 to 12 months. Hell, they just came out and said that real estate is dropping all over, despite the resiliency experienced in some neighborhoods.

The housing dump just started. Give it a few months to open up and show you its wounds and battle scars. You'll find that they are much deeper then what you thought.

9   solver   2011 Feb 22, 2:04pm  

Think of the geography in terms of the body and consider that the weight gained and lost on the body is very similar to values lost in the geography.

The first place we gain weight is on our butts.
The last place we gain weight is on our heads.

The first place we show weight loss is our face.
The last place we lose weight is our butt.

Pricing will always drop faster in all the areas you want to see it drop last, just like you'll lose weight in your face, before it disappears from your butt, where you really want to see it go first.

If you hold true and steady and remained disciplined, you will find it gone in the mecca areas too. This is a fact of life.

10   bubblesitter   2011 Feb 22, 2:09pm  

I agree with vain. I have a few short sales on my watch list and has been there for couple of years now. What are both the home owner and bank up to? both are colluding to screw the buyer?

11   solver   2011 Feb 22, 2:41pm  

Love them, or hate them. The reality is just that, THE REALITY. If you're in the market to piss away money foolishly, then bid higher than the other idiot. His loss is your gain. After all, this is the perfect neighborhood. It has the perfect schools and is local to everything that you like and love.

Just think, you can see yourself there for life. Growing old and haggard with your loved ones and passing down this steal of a property to your great, great grandchildren.

Funny how it's always a really good school. I've never seen a realtor express that a school in the local area is bad when they're trying to sell a property.

You see all the kids in the neighborhood that are out playing right now. Well, they exist in almost every neighborhood. Kids are kids. Sometimes the better the neighborhood the higher the competition. Johnny has it, now you must.

The Cleavers live there now, but when you move in, they'll be leaving elsewhere. After all, they're getting foreclosed on, or their doing a strategic walkout.

Those who buy now will be have to sit and really soul search when the neighbors house drops over 200k in a couple years. A 5/15/30 year note at what ever interest rate against the difference of your homes value vs the neighbors that is 200k less. Wow, you really better soul search. After all, his has the better pool... and it can be paid off much faster than yours.

Good Luck

12   ltremai   2011 Feb 22, 3:27pm  

These are my most recent experiences:

A house listed as short sale for 325k. The agent advised me to offer 315k. I did and got approved. The agent told me I have around 20k equity. I did not feel good about the deal and back out before opening escrow. One month later that same house listed for 275k. It's been two months since and still no takers. I can go back and get that same house for 250k easily. What do you guy think?
Next one, listed 335k, offered 300k, got approved, backed out because of the flood ins. One month now, still no takers.
Third one. Listed 400k. Offered 300k. Still waiting. Agent said I don't have chance. I think I do because the house listed 3 months already and have no offers. If they don't accept mine, they have to wait and the price keep dropping.

Conclusion: houses don't sell that fast this day. Go slow or don't go in at all.

13   robin.vanhuis   2011 Feb 22, 3:37pm  

Offer low say 490.then offer to pay deposit upfront.have loan approval in hand.don't let realtor have you over bid.wortless ploy. Order inspections and appraisal immedidatly upon seller acceptance.make it look like you are a serious buyer when short dale lender sees the offer. I did this and lender took it in 2 days.closing took 30 days from seller acceptance. Appraisal came back 75k higher than offer.
As for the loan, go with 30yr. I took 7yr adjustable at 3.49.with 1point. This gives you breathing room if needed and you can pay earlier if you want.my house had been on market for 655 days with 2 short sale failures.
Selling realtor was mad as offer was less than any other comp in the area.home peaked at 991k, listed for 710k,599k,525k,499k.i offered 490k ans was accepted.look at sale price in 1999 and uae it as a base line for offer.we move in inm the morning. Oxnard, CA surrounded by golf course and 3304 sf.
Good luck and happy hunting. Don't bwe the hunted.

Robbie Dobbie VH

14   Clara   2011 Feb 22, 4:33pm  

cearka,

I think it's good to put everything together

Income: $180-200k
Current rent: $2333 / month
Comp: Any comps from the neighborhood at all? What's the avg $ / sqft?
How long are you staying?
How much down payment?
Interest rate: 5% (just estimate)
Mortgage: 15 yrs, 30 yrs or ARM?

Let's do some fill in the blank first...

15   Jeff O   2011 Feb 22, 9:25pm  

We looked at a short sale while searching for our current place (closed a month ago). My attorney told me he wouldn't represent me if we bought a short sale. The whole thing is rigged and will never close. He had 3 deals late last year (all short sales) that were in the pipeline for over 8 months. Each one fell apart at the closing over disputes on tax escrow, realtor fees, etc. Are you willing to wait months or longer.....put your life on hold.....only to start the process again in a year. The banks have foreclosures coming out of their ears. They can't even be bothered with the short sales right now. Sure, your seller might agree to the offer, but why would the bank?

16   SNL19067   2011 Feb 22, 9:41pm  

My wife and I were looking for cheap, basic housing and decided, among other things, to look at short sales. Our realtor sent us an MLS listing on a property which was perfect for us and in which the bank negotiatior wrote ..."first $200,000.00 offer in by 5PM tonight gets the house".

I called my wife at work, she took the rest of the day off and we managed to get a $200,000.00 offer along with the necessary paperwork submitted by 4:45PM. We knew there were no other offers on the house and could not see any reason why we would not get it. FYI...we were a cash buyer and could close as soon as the paperwork was drafted; the comps in the area were running around $280,000.00.

We got the response from the negotiator 3 days later that the bank now wanted $225,000.00! We could not believe they could do this but still wanted the house and so made another offer of $207,500.00. 3 days later we got another counter offer from the bank in which they now wanted $230,00.00! We relized then that this was a game in which the rules change at the banks whim and we have no say in any of them.

Shortly after this we found another house that was part of an estate sale and while it was not as good a deal as the short sale, it was much easier to navigate. I think there are good deals to be had with short sales but I also believe you have to have the time and patience to play the game. I believe these negotiations will always be protracted by the bank and your resources are tied up in the meantime. Good Luck!

17   ArtimusMaxtor   2011 Feb 22, 9:53pm  

Short sales in some respects are a thing of the past. I want you to think about this for a minute. A couple of years ago you never knew what a short sale was. Unless you were a real estate investor. A thing mention like that in the news a couple of years ago. Would have been highly discouraged. In fact you never would have heard of that term.

That one thing discounting tells you lenders are a major trouble. However. If you are new to this they will pull all sorts of stunts if you are not experinced. Again. I have near 20 years experince in real estate investing. Don't go in there as a noob not knowing whats going on. Talking short sale. They will burn your shorts off.

In fact. The real hip here will tell you lenders are keeping home prices at a artifically high price. AT THIS TIME. See if your not hip. You will say good house prices. If you know whats going on. You will see them keeping these prices on houses as high as they can. The higher the price the more interest they make. The higher the price the higher the commisions. Those two work together. Thats just an aside.

See now for the most part. I won't buy. WHY. Because you will get screwed good in a negative equity market. What is being pitched is still appreciation. You buy today and guess what. With the overinflated prices they have these houses at. Other than a few teasers. Your going to wind up in negative equity. Or upside down in the house. Possibly a few months to a year after your purchase.

Short sales may take some of the hurt out of that. But as long as these lenders. Keep these prices where they should not be. Your more than likely going to wind up in negative equity.

Renting is a better option at this point for you if you have to have a place. However your going to find out these lenders own the apartments anyway and keep them at mortgage payment levels. Trying to get your down payment in a house and the interest. Thats part is about owning property. Be smart don't lose out. At some point this will hit a bottom. You will get the deal of a lifetime. In a really nice house possibly. In a really nice neighborhood. Not winding up slaving to pay off your house for years and years and years.

18   Jeff O   2011 Feb 22, 10:02pm  

@ ArtimusMaxtor,

I am trying to understand your point...really, I am, but the lack of proper punctuation and grammar is killing me.

19   ArtimusMaxtor   2011 Feb 22, 10:06pm  

Oh I understand. I thought about teaching english. But I never got the hang of it. HaHa

20   ArtimusMaxtor   2011 Feb 22, 10:07pm  

Theres more money in houses anyway. HaHa.

21   ArtimusMaxtor   2011 Feb 22, 10:14pm  

See what I am doing here. Is in my own best interests. I am not being a consumer advocate. As long as house prices. Keep going down. I make out. When lenders keep these prices high. I feel I am being treated like some first time home buyer. I don't like that.

This homebuying market is at a vitrual standstill. No matter what is said. You will notice all kinds of things. Like the average home price is a 172k. They have had that figure up there for years. All kinds of conflicting stories that confuse you. Well if your confused go find a realtor. I WOULD'NT. I could care less about the economy. Which is nothing more than lenders making a lot of cash. The economy equals. A CREDIT BASED BANKING SYSTEM. I could care less about credit. What I am interested in is property. Real assets. Not paper.

22   ArtimusMaxtor   2011 Feb 22, 10:27pm  

See buying houses is all about CREDIT. It's not about the house mostly.. Its about getting credit. Most people here are more or less involved in the credit scheme of things. Not the asset. You want to be concerned with the asset. Not getting credit. Take out the credit. Your lost. See they never talk about the credit for the most part. Just the house. When they get you in their door. Then the credit you have to get comes into play. To get a house and getting credit. Having to pay it back taking years and years of your life sweating to pay it off. Is just insane to me. In a negative equity market. With prices going down. Lenders keeping prices as high as they can. To buy now is just not smart.

Buying when the lenders offer their houses at a proper level. (That day is swiftly coming) it seems. Is smart. In the mean time I am not getting screwed buying while these lenders try to sucker me in. When they can't sell anything. I will just wait.

23   FortWayne   2011 Feb 22, 11:30pm  

$500,000 is a lot of money. What exactly are you getting for 500?

To buy you should consider 4 things:
0) If interest rate is low, not a good time to buy since you'll be paying a high price on a wooden box. When rates go up, prices go down and you can not refinance because you are upside down.

1) Price in the area, simply check with county assessor for sale data. It's public information and is available on their website. Do not go to MLS for that, there data is manipulated and overstated.

2) Are you making 200,000 a year (single income)? Because that would be considered a safe income to go into a huge liability like that provided that if you lose your income someone can step in and cover you. Don't overleverage.

3) http://patrick.net/housing/calculator.php - This calculator will help you determine rent vs own. I highly doubt that paying 500k + interest + repairs + maintenance + taxes for a house would be cheaper than renting.

24   stephenmitchelljpl   2011 Feb 23, 12:56am  

I have read some reports that banks are not guaranteeing good title in their REO and short sales. They are inserting into their sale contracts terms that say they are transferring their interest in the property, effectively exchanging a quit claim in return for your money. When they don't put these terms in the contract the servicer may have to cut a side deal with title insurers to indemnify the insurer for bad title, because otherwise the insurers won't touch these deals! I think short sales are less prone to defective titles because the borrower/owner is signing off on the sale. I am NOT a lawyer so double check my story yourself.

25   vain   2011 Feb 23, 12:57am  

cearka says

I’m expecting this to happen, I know the changes of getting a shortsale is low, but it’s worth a try. We’re not really going for the comp because this one just has a few special things we really like about it. If it falls through…so be it. I’ve waited many years I’m ok to keep waiting.

No matter what you bid, the bank will most certainly counter you. I suggest you make a reasonable offer of what you think the price will be (if you think prices are still teetering) in 3 months (which is a reasonable time for them to respond to your offer). You can shop around in the mean time. Worse they can do is counter you to the market value. If you get lucky, you get a cheap price.

If you have to bid against people to be the chosen one to be submitted to the bank, I'd stay away from it.

And even after you all agree on the price, they can and probably will tack on an additional 1% short sale administration fee and they won't even ask you if it's okay. It will be a term in the short sale approval letter. Then the agents give you a dirty look when you complain about the it. The short sale approval letters will usually have a clause that states no money shall be given/rebated to you which gives your buyer agent an excuse not to give you the promised rebate. These hidden costs will affect your bidding strategy.

26   Pet Sitter of Irvine   2011 Feb 23, 1:35am  

Job mobility is priceless. Getting out of a lease with one month's penalty is easy if you have to move across the country for a new job. Many companies are not so eager to cover a housing deficit in their relocation packages.
I know several people who cannot take promotions to new locals as they are too upside down on their houses. Also a couple who is living apart for the last year as they cannot sell the house. We won't be stepping back into the housing market for quite a few years. But I do understand the "heart" wanting a house. My head says, "No".

27   ssilva   2011 Feb 23, 3:15am  

If you really want a house, any house, then go for it. Find out what the average sale price to list price is according to local MLS statistics, and plan your final offer accordingly. In my area for example it is 94% of list price. So for the sake of simple math, if a house was $100,000, offer $90,000 initially, with a plan to go no higher than $94,000.

28   Pet Sitter of Irvine   2011 Feb 23, 3:21am  

Yes Mr. Fantastic, I service Irvine and a few other cities.

29   cearka   2011 Feb 23, 3:39am  

masayako2456 says

cearka,
I think it’s good to put everything together
Income: $180-200k
Current rent: $2333 / month
Comp: Any comps from the neighborhood at all? What’s the avg $ / sqft?
How long are you staying?
How much down payment?
Interest rate: 5% (just estimate)
Mortgage: 15 yrs, 30 yrs or ARM?
Let’s do some fill in the blank first…

Average $ / square foot is around 300~400 ish. Some of the recent sales in this neighborhood (not a whole lot as it's a neighborhood we're people don't really move much. the most common sale in this neighborhood is actually probate sales from people dying of old age I think.....) where smaller lots, smaller houses, for slightly more then the 500k list price this place is going for. houses in this area range from about 420k to around 2+ million.

to fill in your blanks...
Income: $180-200k. This is excludes overtime and bonus.
Current rent: $2333 / month
How long are you staying? 10-30 years, unless there's a dramatic shift in my industry that moves all the jobs out. However, nearly the jobs in my field have been in this area since this line of work has been around.
How much down payment? 20%
Interest rate: 4.5%
Mortgage: 15 yrs. No penalty for early prepayment. We'll probably pay bi weekly and throw any bonus/tax returns that come our way at the principle to try to chip it off early. My plan would be to pay off the mortgage 5 years earlier if possible.

This neighborhood has limited supply of houses but it is by no means immune to the crisis. It's already taken huge hits, and will continue to do so. The peak bubble price for this property was 800k, I fully anticipate it loosing another 80-120k in value. If however I stay there for 15 years, I anticipate that I'd probably break even as I would anticipate 15 years from now to be a very different time. if the mortgage is paid off quickly, 80-120k loss on the property value may be minor in the bigger scope of things. I'm really just following patricks principle of renting vs buying at this point.

@Pet Sitter of Irvine
I agree with job mobility.
the place is one mile from my spouses work, one mile from my work, in a very old and good neighborhood (there are alot of rich old white people in this neighborhood), and within an hour drive of literally about hundred different places we can work when we need to change jobs...which is very common in my line of work. (most of my older coworkers have been at at least a dozen different work places). I might of already said enough for some people to guess what industry I work in...as this is really the only industry I can think of that operates like this.
@FalconMaster
yeah the listing agents can go f&ck themselves for sure. My realtor has been actually pleasant about this so far. She hasn't made any real comments. Basically I just have her doing paperwork and finding out public records from the county office for me.
@ltremai & vain & other underbid advisers
I pretty set on underbidding 10k now, after reading some of the comments here.
@solver
I think I kinda get what your saying? you have a somewhat poetic way of writing. Also the schools are...meh. I mean, the schools anywhere within this state in general suck. We're not planning for kids anyways. there enough people on this planet. also I agree I think the listing agents are bid rigging.

@everyone
thanks for everyones advice/stories. I think I'll be underbidding abit, and if they counter I'll just drop it and move on.

30   cearka   2011 Feb 23, 3:44am  

also, it might be apparent that I'm trying to give out too much personal information...and that's true. this is it the internet after all....

I think though it's fairly obvious I live in LA. county....where you'll pay 4 times more for 4 times less....sigh....I wish I could move back to Texas.....

31   ArtimusMaxtor   2011 Feb 23, 4:02am  

Don't ever let anyone tell you this is a good time to buy. If they do they are conning you. Thats like oh swammy telling you the future. I go out an look at house prices. When I see it I know. I don't ask for advice. I especially don't listen to the interest money soaked news.

It's stupid to go off of the advice of someone thats trying to get something from you. I don't want anything from you. Look if everyone got forecloused on. They were paying 200k for a house that would take at least 25 years of their life to pay it off. Intstead of paying it off. House price fall. They get the very same house for say 65k. Whats the problem with that.

32   solver   2011 Feb 23, 4:44am  

I agree. The media is paid for by others. There's quite a bit disinformation out there. Why? They would like to cash in as much as possible, especially when the market is on the down-slope.

Sure they want to sell and use the same tactics that were employed before. After all, it's those tactics that brainwashed the majority of us in the beginning. Take the pill Neo took and you too shall see another world.

There are very few homes out here in the Inland Empire that truly command that the values that their asking. KB, Pulte an the likes were building their basic models for like $55.00 to $75.00 a square foot in a market where they were getting $250.00 to $500.00 a square foot. It's all a scam.

LAND, LAND, LAND. There's not enough land. When's the last time you drove out of the city. There's a grip of land. While infrastructure is not readily available in quite a few areas, there's still an absolute abundance of it.

If we all buy into the concept that supply is excessive, people would move further out and new cities would develop. Instead we all crowd around mecca, like its the last alternative. Look at Santa Barbara, Agoura and all of the residences on the outskirts of town. There's more value there than in mecca. REAL VALUE that is pleasing to the eye. Not a square box coffin.

By the way. When you look at homes keep this in mind.
HOMES
Square boxes are the least expensive to built with the exception of the modern looking places.
Hip roofs command higher property value visually and usually denote higher construction and design standards. Gable roofs, shed roofs and the likes are the least expensive. If you see multiple roofs intersecting one another, well, this is a good sign of quality.

LOTS:
Narrow lots do not exude the same visual strength that a wide one does. Better to have a wider lot than a narrow one. It just looks grand.
If you can go with a wide lot that is also deep, well it's even better. Beware hillside lots that show large square footage, but the majority of the lot is inaccessible. Beware of peek a boo views. If you can't see without having to rubberneck, then just avoid it like the plague.

NOBODY BUYS A HOME THAT DOES THEY DO NOT IMPROVE ON AND PERSONALIZE . Since there is not going to be any REAL tangible equity in the home in the near future, your going to to want to save as much on the purchase price as possible. This will allow you to do the improvements and create a lifestyle environment that you can successfully live in happily for quite a while.

Eventually, all will go up again, but it's going to be one hell of a long ride. Oh, make sure you check in the kitchens as well. When you view it, open up the cabinets and make sure that they haven't been pieced together. Also, make sure you avoid the ones that look like they were assembled. This can be seen from the bottoms of them.

Good luck. I'm going to continue to post information on homes and things to beware of. After all, in a depreciating economy, your buck should be spent well. This should be a dream for the bulk of us and not a nightmare. This should also represent a savings and not an expense. If it needs work, it needs work.

33   FortWayne   2011 Feb 23, 4:46am  

cearka says

also, it might be apparent that I’m trying to give out too much personal information…and that’s true. this is it the internet after all….
I think though it’s fairly obvious I live in LA. county….where you’ll pay 4 times more for 4 times less….sigh….I wish I could move back to Texas…..

It sounds like you are not making enough money and are risking too much.
the price sounds incredibly high, for "household" income of 180 you guys are over-leveraging. Liabilities have to be kept within one incomes budget.

If your wife or you lose a job in the next 10 years who is going to pay the mortgage? Expensive medical bills... who is going to pay that mortgage? Not to mention that 500 thousand is a gigantic number. Unless it's a castle that comes with diamond windows and golden frames I don't see why you should offer that crapy Realtor anything other than a goodbye.

At least from the numbers you posted you are basically repeating the same mistake that so many people have in the past 10 years. Who are now living lives with nothing to show for it full of regret. It is your money and you can do what you like of course. But I would advise against this transaction.

34   solver   2011 Feb 23, 4:46am  

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/23/us-markets-oil-idUSTRE71192R20110223 Oil climbs above $110.00 a barrel. Piss on the driving aspect. Instead focus on what this represents for housing...

35   cearka   2011 Feb 23, 4:48am  

@solver
ok that last one was less poetic and much more comprehensible. very good advice man, thanks for that =)

36   cearka   2011 Feb 23, 4:52am  

@ChrisLa
We're going to be spending less then a 3rd of our take-home income on this...I'm not sure how that's overleveraging. Overleveraging is more like when people were told that they could afford a 800k house on a 50k salary.....
Also we're putting 100k down, so the loan is for 400k. And we have alot more in savings for disasters....if one us were to loose our job we'd still be pretty safe.

37   solver   2011 Feb 23, 4:55am  

Incomplete New Construction places:
Oh, for all of you cash buyers out there. If you see a home that hasn't been completed and is only in it's rough-in stage. Know that this is among the least expensive phases a home in construction can be in. The bulk of all costs and I mean somewhere in the 70% to 80% plus range costs are based on finishing. Do you use marble, slate, quartz.... Appliances, AC and the likes. This is where your costs are.

So, if anyone is looking at a place that is incomplete, know that the price should be like 90% less than a house in the area. The typical rule of thumb for America is that land should not exceed 10% to 20% the cost of what it will take to completely finish a home. Take the Supply and Demand concept and shove it.

Realtors/ brokers/ bankers do the deductions here in CA. They use a rough number per construction and then subtract that from the going rate of an already purchased home in the area and that becomes your land cost. F__KING rediculous. It's no wonder we were in a bubble. That worked it over on us psychologically.

So if the home is incomplete, then you can do the math. Remember this above all. A home that is not 100% complete is worth far less than a home that is. We had our home appraised a few years back and they told us that if the home was not 100% complete that it would be depreciated significantly. Now their all trying to weasel out of this statement. A home is only worth what someone is willing to pay for it.

38   FortWayne   2011 Feb 23, 5:00am  

cearka says

@ChrisLa

We’re going to be spending less then a 3rd of our take-home income on this…I’m not sure how that’s overleveraging. Overleveraging is more like when people were told that they could afford a 800k house on a 50k salary…..

Also we’re putting 100k down, so the loan is for 400k. And we have alot more in savings for disasters….if one us were to loose our job we’d still be pretty safe.

look its your money, do what you want with it.

You make 90 a year or so multiply that by 3 = 270. Thats what you can basically afford in liabilities.
180 is double income correct? Which means you can't use that since in this economy you can't rely on two peoples income.

Anything beyond that is frivolous and risky. Of course, do what you like. There is a calculator on patrick.net that will help you somewhat. When dealing with realtors just remember that they are looking out for their own skin which usually involves squeezing every penny out of you.

39   ssilva   2011 Feb 23, 5:18am  

I am a Realtor ChrisLA, and that is a pretty generalized and unfair comment. I work solely in the best interests of my clients, and have talked as many people out of buying a house,or selling their house recently for one reason or another as I have vice versa. I won't let my people make a mistake. My integrity is everything and I gaurd it like a hawk. I am offended by your comments.

Buying a house is about quality of life and happiness. It shouldn't be about math. If you have job security, and you want it, and it makes sense in current market values and affordability, then do it. This is your life and the clock is ticking. The interest rates are ridiculously low and if you are going to stay put for a while, buy. Stop paying someone else's mortgage and into their equity.

40   cearka   2011 Feb 23, 5:38am  

@ChrisLA
No we're not split down the middle. I wont' give you the exact numbers, but the math works, and have, again, alot more in savings (more then our downpayment) to cover any "rainy" days....

@ssilva
if you has as much integrity as you say you do, then your a rare one in your field....atleast nowadays. There seems to be far more of your kind that are less scrupulous then you...I've certainly met plenty. That being said, your comments are partially true, and partially something I think you should rethink....

"Buying a house is about quality of life and happiness."
This is true for many actually....I've lived under 3 different landlords the last few years and all I can say is....renting my save money right now but that doesn't change the fact that is really sucks. I hate not having autonomy where I live....honestly I feel like I've been living in a hotel all this time rather then a "home."

"It shouldn’t be about math."
No but the math is important, and it still has to work. Don't through math out the window, math makes the work go round. The math not working is what made these houses go to unsustainable bullshit prices in the first place. The math not working is why patrick.net probably exists.

"If you have job security, and you want it, and it makes sense in current market values and affordability, then do it."
This is a fairly logical statement ....so yes...

"This is your life and the clock is ticking. The interest rates are ridiculously low and if you are going to stay put for a while, buy. Stop paying someone else’s mortgage and into their equity."
This is a terrible argument to tell anyone. Seriously. There's more math to house buying then just interest rates. And the whole stop paying someone elses mortgage is a realtor tagline I'm really tired of hearing.

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