patrick.net

SunnyvaleCA says

Right now 10¢ buys you a ticket that pays back a full $1 if she runs. Or, 90¢ buys the opposite ticket that pays $1 if she doesn't.

It should be 10¢ buys you a ticket that pays 90 cents if she runs and 90¢ buys the opposite ticket that pays 10 cents if she doesn't.

Thanks Sunnyvale for the link. Brought $40 worth of "Yes".

Bannon thinks she'll run.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2019/08/11/bannon_democrats_may_need_to_recruit_mike_bloomberg_michele_obama_or_hillary_clinton_to_beat_president_trump_in_2020.html

https://spectator.us/hillary-clinton-2020-steve-bannon/

Hillary is running a $50,000 a plate dinner

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/hillary-clinton-fundraiser-50g-dnc

"For the DNC"

First deadline to file is Alabama, 11/8/19.

Biden is the nominee

Bernie will get done the same way he was done in 2016. Even if he wins NH due to neighboring Vermont. DNC hopes he just loses steam without overt intervention, but they will smack the hourglass if necessary.

Kamala is probably over, she's back to her floor after a brief surge from that debate.
Butt-egg is done, he peaked with a couple of points a few weeks ago, he's also failed to break out and is falling back to his floor. He's very open to criticism on his city, too.
Booker never had it.
Tulsi will never be allowed to start polling well, they will pick and choose whatever polls necessary to exclude her from the front ranks if she does pick up too much steam.

Warren might replace Biden IF...

* Biden keeps making gaffes
* She pulls off a victory in Iowa (possible) and NH (very possible bc of neighboring Massholes and new NH Masshole residents).

I would say Warren for sure, but, compared to Biden she's a relative novice (Biden has decades of support behind him) and she has no age advantage.
Who cares about the rest.

But Warren fails to win any state in the first primaries, if Bernie becomes Pesky without fully breaking out, and if Biden's neverending Gaffes don't let up and he doesn't clearly break out...

"Why aren't I 50 points ahead?"

Although I do believe Kamala Harris will stay on until April as a "Safety", functioning in the "Backup Kucinich Kasich" role for the DNC.

HonkpilledMaster says

"Backup Kucinich

Kuchinich was too honest, hence he was ejected from Con-gress. Kamala is not...so she fits in well.

6rdB says

Kuchinich was too honest, hence he was ejected from Con-gress. Kamala is not...so she fits in well.

My bad - I mean to say "Kasich". Just in case, given the advanced age of all 3 Dem Front Runners, she'll be kept on Just in Case until the Convention.

Thanks for the link, Sunnyvale.

I brought in at 10 cents, is now up to 15 cents.

wow@that predictit site...

I'm not sure how I should feel to see a Rothschild participating in a system of financial gain which depends on if our president gets impeached or not.




I guess they used to bet for/against nations via funding wars, so I suppose funding political players is the modern version.


but anyway....

this seems like free money: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term
TDS causes people to believe that he will be impeached w/ about 30% chance right now.

@Hircus, thanks for this!!

Also, some opportunities to pick up some juicy looking tail risk. Although, I guess maybe some of these tail risk fragments aren't so unlikely if you consider a scenario where a current front runner gets suddenly ejected (i.e. warren is murdered, scandal, cancer diagnosis etc...), changing the landscape for all others by creating a new balance of stances on issues.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination

Interesting to see the difference in predictions between "put your $ where your mouth is" vs public polls

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

Hircus says

Interesting to see the difference in predictions between "put your $ where your mouth is" vs public polls

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

Warren looks to be the nominee, despite what the media says

Hircus says

Interesting to see the difference in predictions between "put your $ where your mouth is" vs public polls

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

Warren looks to be the nominee, despite what the media says

Golden Mumu on the View, coyly declines to clearly indicate she isn't running.

She's fundraising later this month at her house..

Bernie is out... Biden is tanking in the polls...

Would Hillary run if she didn't think she would win? I don't think so.

Could Hillary win? Hm... I assume Biden will self-destruct without much pushing, so it's Hillary -vs- Warren in the primaries. Good luck. Warren is over 50% on PredictIt.com . Even if she gets the nod in the primaries (or, more likely, buys it from the DNC), I don't see how she does better this time around verses Trump.

I sure would like to see her try, though.

It would still be funny to watch her loose again, but not as much as the first time.

RC2006 says

It would still be funny to watch her loose again, but not as much as the first time.

Ah, yes, it was funny when Hillary went all loose... /snark
www.youtube.com/embed/TnbDZXoA78k

"Tanned rested and ready".

Don’t tempt me. Do your job.

— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) October 8, 2019

"If only I could get Trump into Epstein's cell!"

Maybe:

Biden chooses Hillary as running mate. Biden passes away, or becomes incapacitated. Hillary now first female president.

Fly in the ointment is that Trump will win.

HeadSet says

Biden passes away, or becomes incapacitated.

Seems to me that Biden is already incapacitated. :-)

Here's a graph of the PredictIt price for Hillary joining the circus Democrat primaries.

There goes Trump, a good meme farmer, seeding for future crops.

"Hillary should steal nomination from uber Left Warren" - Trump
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2019/10/08/donald-trump-crooked-one-hillary-clinton-should-steal-democrat-nomination-from-uber-left-elizabeth-warren/

in response to Pres Trump urging her to jump in the 2020 race, @HillaryClinton told me today "So maybe there does need to be a re-match. I mean obviously I can beat him again." before saying she's just kidding @NewsHour tonite

— Judy Woodruff (@JudyWoodruff) October 8, 2019

The sloshing, lurching bag of one eyed cellulite lesbian rage and psychopathy will try to go at Trump with a luger in the first debate and be brought down by a hail of secret service bullets.

Ceffer says

The sloshing, lurching bag of one eyed cellulite lesbian rage and psychopathy will try to go at Trump with a luger in the first debate and be brought down by a hail of secret service bullets.

You talking about hillary, rosie or whoopi?

komputodo says

You talking about hillary, rosie or whoopi?

Yes, when speaking of LibbyFucks, one must endeavor to be more specific.

"What's that sloshing sound and that SMELL? Oh, Hi, Hillary!"

Is there ANYBODY Else? Ask Dem Donors.



https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/22/us/politics/democratic-candidates-2020.html

HEYYOU says

Trump

LIAR!

5 TIME DRAFT DODGING COWARD!

PUSSY GRABBING SEXUAL PERVERT!

MULTIPLE ADULTERER!

Trump supporters are scum.

Has he brought slavery back to Libya? Did he vote to have a war in Iraq over a non existent weapons of mass destruction program?

Trump might be scum, but the alternative was electing somebody that a sane society would have executed years ago. It's this society that is scum.

APOCALYPSEFUCKisShostikovitch says

You know what's happening when I make a bitchy girly face like this

All you seem to do is post that same picture, replace the caption, and it has absolutely nothing to do with the conversation. In addition, you don't seem to ever make a meaningful response.

I wouldn't be surprised if you're a bot.

I wonder if Trump's assassination will be an Iranian conspiracy?

IHLlary will solicit campaign funds from Ukraine so she can frame Trump for Criminal Conspiracy with Ukraine.

Ceffer says

I wonder if Trump's assassination will be an Iranian conspiracy?

It will be a Guamian conspiracy if you ask Tim.

Former President Bill Clinton prompted more speculation that Hillary Clinton might run for the presidency in 2020.

“She may or may not run for anything, but I can’t legally run for president again,” Clinton said, according to RealClearPolitics.

He made the statement while sitting next to wife Hillary Clinton, a former senator and secretary of state, and Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg at an event at Georgetown University School of Law.

The former president’s comments came after a former adviser, Philippe Reines, said that she might run for president again.

“You know, she ran for president because she thought she would be the best president,” said Reines on Fox News. “If she still thought that now, if she thought she had the best odds of beating Donald Trump—I think she would think about it long and hard.”

Reines later said that she suspects she might be the best person to defeat Trump.

“She really likes a lot of the people running. She knows them well. She thought about some of them for her vice presidency,” Reines said. “But there might be a reason that she’d be the best person, not only to beat Donald Trump, but to govern after Donald Trump, which is a part we don’t talk about much. And, look, you can make fun of her all you want, but 65 million people voted for her and that’s second more to anyone except Barack Obama.”

https://www.theepochtimes.com/bill-clinton-fuels-more-speculation-that-hillary-clinton-might-run-in-2020_3133725.html

Article does not capture what Bill prefaced his remark with.

RBG, Bill and Hill were up on stage, asked who would win the world series.

Bill said something to the effect of "Since I'm the only one not running for something up on this stage..." then checked himself by saying what this article starts with.

Please do Hillary nothing could make the dems a bigger joke than they already are than you running yet again.