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Buy before it is too late!


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2005 Oct 19, 10:07am   32,018 views  151 comments

by Peter P   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

How close have you come to buying into this thing? What influenced your decision? What did you do? Was it the right decision?

By hymie

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13   Jamie   2005 Oct 19, 2:09pm  

"My wife was desperate to buy as we have 2 young kids."

I'm sorry she couldn't be brought around to your way of thinking. It's got to be really hard when both of you don't agree.

We have two small kids too, and I have to admit, there is a HUGE nesting instinct for women after having kids that I don't see so much with men. I mean, I'm the kind of person who could happily sell all my possessions and go backpacking around the world for years, but once I had kids, all of a sudden I was completely obsessed with settling down. I mean, OBSESSED. Ask my husband--he'll nod a weary nod.

His job keeps us moving around for now though (we'd have been renting out a house if we'd decided to buy), and part of me likes that. I've had to really step outside myself and examine the fact that this nesting instinct thing has to be bioligical, some kind of urge passed down through the ages :-), because it's not me. I still want my kids to have a house to grow up in, but I also try to reassure myself that it's pretty cool to grow up knowing the whole world rather than just one town.

"much as I don’t like it, it has at least saved me a bucketful of money."

I hope things work out well for your family.

14   Jamie   2005 Oct 19, 2:35pm  

"I’ve alway wondered how the hell techies or traders could have lost money in that boom when Joe Bagodoughnuts got so fat? I mean, talk about easy money, Jeebus."

I thought it was the doughnuts that made Joe fat! ;-) We were not techies or traders, but we did lose lots of paper wealth as many people did, out of ignorance. We weren't paying close enough attention to the market to understand it, just had some mutual funds that lost half their value. So if those fund managers couldn't figure out what the heck was going on...

We only knew one person who predicted the crash, and he did warn us to get out before it was too late. Duh, shoulda listened to him!

15   Michael Holliday   2005 Oct 19, 2:40pm  

I left San Jose a few days before Jan. '99 after my parents got a divorce after 36 years.

I moved to Pheonix with my mom and younger brother and sister, to help them get set up. I ended up staying for a while, to wait out the dot.com/recession thingy, and decided to cook up to Northern Ariz. University for an MBA. I figured by the time I was done, the economy might start getting back to post dotcom sanity.

Then 911 hit. Half my clas was unemployed by graduation.

I scoped out the BA and watched in disbelief as the prices, contrary to the laws of economic physics, kept rising. My parents sold their San Jose house, pretty nice, for $380k. It is now upwards of $850-$900k. In other words, my dad, who supported us all with his IBM Tech Writer salary would be living under a bridge if he were to go back. You must now be a fvking surgeon or two engineer household to enter the hallowed ground of my old neighborhood.

Naturally, the crowd psychology of the dotcom hysteria came to mind. I am now, more than ever, convinced that if there is a bandwagon, the average American is more than happy to jump on it...even if it means screwing up the gig for everyone else.

entered "housing boom" or "housing bubble" in Google t try to get a handle on the situation, and happened upon this site.

I have learned much from this site. Most importantly, I have learned to hate, despise and loathe the friggen' hippy ass Baby Boomer generation for all their worth(less) for helping to really fvck this country up...with a little help from the wit and wisdom of Surfer-X...(no relationship to Malcolm X, I'm sure).

Instinctually, I knew something was cooking, but couldn't quite articulate it, or put my finger on who was actually behind the Wizard of Oz curtain pulling the strings. Surfer-x laid it out and articulated the Boomer phenomenon. Now I could point the finger or, more appropriately, give the finger to who needed to be given it.

I now nurture and cherish my disdain and disgust for the Boomers and will cheer their stupid ass demise as l play the song "Eulogy" by Tool while drinking beer and dancing on their graves when they mercifully kick the bucket!

Amen.

16   Michael Holliday   2005 Oct 19, 2:44pm  

Corrected version...

I left San Jose a few days before Jan. ‘99 after my parents got a divorce after 36 years.

I moved to Pheonix with my mom and younger brother and sister, to help them get set up. I ended up staying for a while, to wait out the dot.com/recession thingy, and decided to cook up to Northern Ariz. University for an MBA. I figured by the time I was done, the economy might start getting back to post dotcom sanity.

Then 911 hit. Half my clas was unemployed by graduation.

I scoped out the BA and watched in disbelief as the prices, contrary to the laws of economic physics, kept rising. My parents sold their San Jose house, pretty nice, for $380k. It is now upwards of $850-$900k. In other words, my dad, who supported us all with his IBM Tech Writer salary would be living under a bridge if he were to go back. You must now be a fvking surgeon or two engineer household to enter the hallowed ground of my old neighborhood.

Naturally, the crowd psychology of the dotcom hysteria came to mind. I am now, more than ever, convinced that if there is a bandwagon, the average American is more than happy to jump on it…even if it means screwing up the gig for everyone else.

I entered “housing boom” or “housing bubble” in Google t try to get a handle on the situation, and happened upon this site.

I have learned much from this site. Most importantly, I have learned to hate, despise and loathe the friggen’ hippy ass Baby Boomer generation for all their worth(less) for helping to really fvck this country up…thanks to the the wit and wisdom of Surfer-X…(no relationship to Malcolm X, I’m sure).

Instinctually, I knew something was cooking, but couldn’t quite articulate it, or put my finger on who was actually behind the Wizard of Oz curtain pulling the strings. Surfer-x laid it out and articulated the Boomer phenomenon. Now I can point the finger or, more appropriately, give the finger to who needs to be given it. In large part, the Boomers.

I now nurture and cherish my disdain and disgust for the Boomers and will cheer their stupid ass demise as l play the song “Eulogy” by Tool while drinking beer and dancing on their graves, when they mercifully kick the bucket!

Amen.

17   Michael Holliday   2005 Oct 19, 2:47pm  

...for all THEY'RE worth(less)…

Sheesh, I need to brush up on my English...

18   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 3:13pm  

You guys were just investing, and got hurt. I’m talking about all of the thousands of techies, investors, and mercenaries, myself included, who came to the party just to pillage. Watching them get crushed of their own accord is something I’ll not forget. They could resist anything but temptation.

I was in school when the tech bubble burst. Some of my friends got margin calls. I was lucky enough to be most on the sideline.

19   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 3:33pm  

Pop!, prices are usually above or below "fair" value. It all depends on market psychology.

20   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 3:40pm  

I’ve alway wondered how the hell techies or traders could have lost money in that boom when Joe Bagodoughnuts got so fat? I mean, talk about easy money, Jeebus.

We sold out early because we knew the damn thing was a bubble. We completely underestimated the herd mentality then and now. Sometimes too much knowledge costs more than blissful ignorance.

We have two small kids too, and I have to admit, there is a HUGE nesting instinct for women after having kids that I don’t see so much with men. I mean, I’m the kind of person who could happily sell all my possessions and go backpacking around the world for years, but once I had kids, all of a sudden I was completely obsessed with settling down. I mean, OBSESSED. Ask my husband–he’ll nod a weary nod.

Hello...Are you in my head??

21   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 3:47pm  

"Hello…Are you in my head??"

I'm terrified of what is going to happen when my wife and I have kids.

Reason, thy reign was too short...

Cheers,
prat

22   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 3:50pm  

Reason, thy reign was too short…

Reason? What's that?

23   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 3:55pm  

Reason? What’s that?

That wooshing sound you hear when the first child arrives? That's it, on its way out. Looks kind of like cross between a light-bulb and a greek goddess.

I am so doing the robot right now...

Cheers,
prat

24   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 3:58pm  

That wooshing sound you hear when the first child arrives? That’s it, on its way out. Looks kind of like cross between a light-bulb and a greek goddess.

They don't called it "mommy brain" for nothing. If you don't know what that means now just ask your wife when she's pregnant. (better yet..don't)

I am so doing the robot right now…

I'm all about the cabbage patch.

25   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 4:04pm  

It makes me think that maybe my buddies who are still buying and developing in Phoenix are doing the right thing.

No comment. My buddies are bailing out of Bay Area and boldly go into Arizona. I certainly hope that they are fine.

26   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 4:06pm  

BTW, it looks like the market is not going to crash this Friday. So I am going to buy you guys beer...

27   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 4:07pm  

See, now, the robot, there is a dance that guys can get behind. No rhythm required, and hands can stay hetrosexual-comfortably below the neck line. Genius. Oh, sure, it isn't always appropriate, and the club is only going to play Major Tom (Club Remix) and What's On Your Mind (High Energy Remix) so many times, so you won't get to dance too much.

But then, we are guys. That's the POINT.

Cheers,
prat

28   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:07pm  

I don't think I've made a post related to housing in a couple of days. I must be getting burnt out since I am just looking for the silliest discussion possible.

Must think housing.

29   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 4:09pm  

I don’t think I’ve made a post related to housing in a couple of days. I must be getting burnt out since I am just looking for the silliest discussion possible.

What is sillier than housing in the Silly Valley?

30   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:09pm  

See, now, the robot, there is a dance that guys can get behind. No rhythm required, and hands can stay hetrosexual-comfortably below the neck line. Genius. Oh, sure, it isn’t always appropriate, and the club is only going to play Major Tom (Club Remix) and What’s On Your Mind (High Energy Remix) so many times, so you won’t get to dance too much.

But then, we are guys. That’s the POINT.

You know, that's excellent strategy. I must tell my husband and maybe, just maybe I can talk him into going dancing. Yeah right.

31   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 4:10pm  

PeterP! You cant give up that easily!

I am not giving up on my bubble theory. It is just that the October expiration may go calmly.

Also, I would love to have bear with you guys. :)

32   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:11pm  

I still maintain I am not a bad girl. :twisted:

33   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 4:11pm  

You know, that’s excellent strategy. I must tell my husband and maybe, just maybe I can talk him into going dancing. Yeah right.

I was never able to dance without stepping on someone's toe.

34   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:12pm  

Peter P

You want to have bear with us?? Isn't that sorta like cannibalism?

35   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 4:14pm  

I'm a total sactown redneck, but damn if I'm not obsessed with Feel Good Inc. Does that make me a musico-military industrial entertainmo-plex whore?

_buries head in hands_

_taps foot_

_whispers to self_: Don't stop, get it ,get it, we are your captains in it, steady, watch me navigate, hahahaaaaa

Chewbacca,
prat

36   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:18pm  

Prat needs to stop being so funny! I'll never get any sleep.

37   Peter P   2005 Oct 19, 4:19pm  

Oops...

Let's picture bears drinking beer.

38   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:20pm  

Let’s picture bears drinking beer.

I'm having visions of velvet paintings with beer drinking bears....

39   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:21pm  

That last comment must be a horror to your artistic sensibilities Jack.. Sorry about that.

40   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:25pm  

(Do they really HAVE velvet paintings of beer drinking bears? Like on Ebay or something?)

I haven't seen it personally, but I wouldn't be surprised. I mean, card playing dogs??

41   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 4:26pm  

I was never able to dance without stepping on someone’s toe.

Dude. The robot is your friend. You don't even have to pick your feet up off the ground. You can also try the sprinkler, although that involves a fairly egregious violation of the hetrosexual no-hands-above-neckline rule.

So, housing. Today someone had xeroxed a couple of recent articles by Bill Gross hammering on the housing bubble and left them on the coffee break table at work. Gorilla bear warfare. I like to see it.

If we are going to be consistently wrong, we may as well make ourselves feel better by distributing propaganda. Who among us, when faced with another report of housing prices being up some absurd double digit number doesn't reach down into our ruck-sack, take out our little red book and read those soothing words... "A spectre is haunting California -- the spectre of a housing bubble. All the powers of The Man have entered into a holy alliance to exorcise this spectre: Fed and Realtor, Senator and Representative, Media Players and, what the hell, German police-spies."

@peter: check it, for this weekend: http://www.miravista.org/ I'm jacked.

Cheers,
prat

42   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:28pm  

Gorilla bear warfare

Lol

43   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:29pm  

I really gotta turn in, which sucks since Prat's here. But I am seriously sleep deprived. Nite all.

44   SQT15   2005 Oct 19, 4:30pm  

Walton's good nite...
Nite Jack!
Nite Prat!
Nite Peter!

45   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 4:39pm  

One interesting point from the articles by Gross. He asserted that the economy is too tied to asset appreciation for the Fed to ignore, and that Greenspans successor would be forced to ease, allowing for one last glorious bull run in bonds and one last gasp of housing before the whole thing collapsed in a heap.

I once was rather smug about not buying until 2008. I am less so now. Laughing gas these hazmats, fast cats. Lining them up-a like ass cracks, ladys, homies, at the track, it's my chocolate attack.

Seriously.

Cheers,
prat

46   Jamie   2005 Oct 19, 5:05pm  

"although that involves a fairly egregious violation of the hetrosexual no-hands-above-neckline rule."

Who made up these non-dancing heterosexual white boy rules? Throw them into the swamp!

47   Jamie   2005 Oct 19, 5:06pm  

"Lining them up-a like ass cracks, ladys, homies, at the track, it’s my chocolate attack."

Prat, did you just break into free-style rap on a housing bubble blog? Somebody get the boy a microphone.

48   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 5:08pm  

Ahhh, all you friggen slackers. I finally decide "You know, sure, working like a dog is fine as far as it goes, but you have a PUBLIC to placate prat. THINK OF THE CHILDREN." So I go and get all spun out on speed (important note: *christian* speed) and start posting, and it turns out everyone was here last night, and now everyone's too tired to post.

Well, you know what I say to that? I say, did we give up when the germans bombed pearl harbor? No. But I'm giving up now.

G'night,
prat

49   Jamie   2005 Oct 19, 5:11pm  

"*christian* speed"

Huh? Is this where you read a bunch of CS Lewis and then run around the house really fast?

I had to wait until the bewitching hour to start posting.

50   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 5:11pm  

(Of course, in reality, Mrs. Prat just threw a book at me and said it was time to go to bed. But I prefer the image of a brilliant-yet-difficult artiste storming off due to some imagined slight, don't you?)

51   Jamie   2005 Oct 19, 5:12pm  

Yes, yes, let us have our illusions.

52   praetorian   2005 Oct 19, 5:14pm  

Is this where you read a bunch of CS Lewis and then run around the house really fast?

Totally. Also, swallow pop rocks and slam a pepsi, and then jump up and down. Finish it off with Orthodoxy by Chesterton, and you too can enjoy Christian speed!

OK, seriously, bump all y'all. I'm going to bed.

Cheers,
prat

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