patrick.net

KILLERJANE says

"Renters are actually in a better position to build equity through investing in anything but housing.". Wron

Maybe in YOUR social circle and world not in mine.

RentalWatch says

KILLERJANE says

idiotic assumption the stock market is like a golden goose.

You're making the assumption.

I have one response to that guy ENRON

"Renters have no opportunity to build equity."

AGREED.

Having 'opportunity' and actually doing something pro-active with it?

A bunch do not act. Most spend all they have discretionary.

KILLERJANE says

"Renters have no opportunity to build equity."

AGREED.

Having 'opportunity' and actually doing something pro-active with it?

A bunch do not act. Most spend all they have discretionary.

Just keep your blinders on! Common sense is a myth.

That largely depends on their social standing and sophistication. This applies to both owners and renters. I have seen many 100K plus households broke living with plastic furniture.

Again, you're comparing leveraged equity with investments that aren't leveraged.

RentalWatch says

KILLERJANE says

"Renters have no opportunity to build equity."

AGREED.

Equity isn't "built" via depreciating assets.

AMEN

THEY DONT GET IT. I see all too clearly how this crew got elected. God damn the fucking public are both blind and stupid.

pkennedy says

Again, you're comparing leveraged equity with investments that aren't leveraged.

Leveraged or not a depreciating asset is losing money one way or another.

KILLERJANE says

I make 15% after costs guaranteed through rent income. You can't get that guarantee in the stocks.

Just keep your blinders on! Common sense is a myth.

Is that the commercial of the smiling landlord in front of his income property?

The best advice a co-worker once told me (back in '07, no less):

- "Get the housing you NEED, not the housing you WANT."
- "If it's cheaper to rent, RENT. If it's cheaper to buy, BUY."

It hasn't been "cheaper to buy" for a very, very long time. Probably 1999 or earlier, imo. So I keep renting. And I'm happy.

divelly says

Middle of nowhere is the only place to be,asshole.

As to why I am in Queens,I go back and forth until my wife retires from her high six figure job in Manhattan.

You know you don't include the .00 in the figure digit count right?

KILLERJANE says

I make 15% after costs guaranteed through rent income. You can't get that guarantee in the stocks. And if I factor in the appreciation, I am at 25%, but with no real guarantee there, I will leave it at 15%, happily. But I am sure the 2001 house cannot be rebuilt for what I paid.

Just keep your blinders on! Common sense is a myth.

When you compare to yesterdays costs, yah 15% is good. However, compare it to what it would cost you for that place today. There is how to conclude its investment quality. I bought Cisco stock at $5 a long time ago and their 3% dividend is really a 12% based on my original cost. However, I can't tell a new investor to look at Cisco cause it pays 12% dividends.

Wrong, you just have to be smart about what you do and always have a back Door plan. All these one sided arguments have many gray zones.

On a side note, your avatar is creepy yet creative.

RentalWatch says

And that's about all you could get for it today once you depreciate it for disrepair.

KILLERJANE says

I block those who only see one side, they bore me.

Just keep your blinders on! Common sense is a myth.

You mean those who disagree with you? Well, then you might as well FOLD.

If all one can do is argue one side and not offer any new info, then nothing is gained.

repo4sale says

BUT 2011 WAS THE BOTTOM OF CALIFORNIA PRICES.

WRONG!

Not only was the bottom not in 2011, other years were lower.

Home prices in Califronia are still in decline.

Here is the graph

by the way nationally we are in pre-2000 house prices, see the problem with California housing?

Still nearly 2x overpriced, there is a direct impact on the market due to low wages and jobs.

Salaries have no risen for 30yrs.

But a home in California has doubled and tripped.

Unless your earning 250k a year with no debt your broke in Cali.

The rest are working poor ,including those fools with car leases for $650 a month

Looking at the graph above shows me the market has a long way to crash still a very long way to go. 2015/2017 the bottom will arrive.

Politicofact says

Looking at the graph above shows me the market has a long way to crash still a very long way to go. 2015/2017 the bottom will arrive.

If that, because the numbers being in the late 80s.

RentalWatch says

KILLERJANE says

I block those who only see one side, they bore me.

You folded like a cheap whore in a lawn chair.

ROFL that's a new line.

Politicofact says

Not only was the bottom not in 2011, other years were lower.

Home prices in Califronia are still in decline.

Here is the graph

It does look like we still have a bit further downward to go based on that.

divelly says

Middle of nowhere is the only place to be,asshole.

As to why I am in Queens,I go back and forth until my wife retires from her high six figure job in Manhattan.

Kew Gardens - I used to have a buddy that lived there. I was living in Manhattan at the time, but used to go to his place a lot to play soccer and ultimate Frisbee in Flushing Meadow park.

You don't need to apologize for Queens. It has some very nice areas and great food. But the Olympic Peninsula is pretty nice too. The food isn't as good, though.

RentalWatch says

Reader says

RentalWatch says

KILLERJANE says

I block those who only see one side, they bore me.

You folded like a cheap whore in a lawn chair.

ROFL that's a new line.

Reader

lmao..... Like a crack whore in a cheap lawn chair?

Yes, at least new to me. I burst on that one.

Renters can get rich much faster than owners, just by saving the money that owners are wasting on mortgages, taxes, and maintenance.

Renters are paying their landlord's mortgages, taxes, and maintenance. They are only winning if they can wait and do better in the future, but market timing is tough even for Wall Street geniuses, who don't agree on the direction of the real estate or other markets, let alone for the average person or family.

Renters are getting paid to wait, both by the monthly savings and by watching the value of their savings increase relative to housing.

Only if housing and interest costs are on the decline and will continue to be.

Owners are losing principal in a leveraged way as prices decline.

True, just as owners gain in a leveraged way when prices go up. I see more up side than down side from this point in the market, but reasonable people can disagree about it. The latest Case-Schiller report shows a national upswing: http://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Case-Shiller-index-Home-values-climbing-3894161.php

Owers must pay taxes simply to own a house.

This is indeed annoying, let's get rid of property taxes. Has anywhere in the U.S. done this? As mentioned above, for rental properties, the taxes are either coming from the tenants (most cases) or from the landlord's pocket.

That is not true of stocks, bonds, or any other asset that can build equity.

Doesn't Florida actually have a tax on such assets, at least above a certain exclusion level?

Owers must insure a house, but not most other investments

Owners must insure their belongings in an apartment, as well. Either tenants or landlord's losses are paying for the insurance on rental properties.

RentalWatch says

It shows a seasonal bounce... just like every other year.

Wrong. It's a year to year comparison, not December to July comparison.

Homeowners who own can insure or not insure. Those who owe the bank have to insure. Tenants whose landlords require insurance must insure; tenants whose landlords don't require insurance can go bare if they want to.

JG1 says

The latest Case-Schiller report shows a national upswing:

You are so typical of an LA debtor in remorse I can smell the remorse right through my fucking screen.

Reader says

JG1 says

The latest Case-Schiller report shows a national upswing:

You are so typical of an LA debtor in remorse I can smell the remorse right through my fucking screen.

Reader

In other words, as usual, you have no facts to support your position, so choose to ignore all facts that are inconvenient to your preconceived beliefs.

JG1 says

Reader says

JG1 says

The latest Case-Schiller report shows a national upswing:

You are so typical of an LA debtor in remorse I can smell the remorse right through my fucking screen.

Reader

In other words, as usual, you have no facts to support your position, so choose to ignore all facts that are inconvenient to your preconceived beliefs.

FACTS? You are in denial big time the facts are all around you.

The consensus opinion of patrick.net posters does not equal a fact.

JG1 says

The consensus opinion of patrick.net posters does not equal a fact.

Then why are you here? To be shill?

For your information I may have one liners at times because I have been around this shite from before this mess to today. I have seen many go broke, and do so back in LA when I lived there in the early 90s with your precise mentality. I kept saying to a number of them they were going to lose their shirts and many did. But this time around double trouble and twice as many have.

I don't think you realise that grossly false inflated real estate pricing is not real and the only reason this recent fiasco happen was because the interest rates plunged and lending standards went out the door. If that wasn't the case you wouldn't have morons in West LA trying to sell small dumps for 800K and therefore nothing like this is ever sustainable.

The pricing today is grossly out of wack and I know this from both a priori and a posteriori experiences so I don't need to keep quoting outsiders facts and other people, the many charts and so-called studies all around to prove it.

I pulled an A in statistics I can make shite fly statistically if you want me to. I know what I have seen in the 80s and the crash of the early 90s from with my own eyes. No one wanted to listen to real estate not increasing or heavens forbid falling!

I have followed this list for nearly ten years and I have YET to see where the consensus of the posters has been wrong. We called out the bubble before 99.999% even could conceive of a bubble. This list's consensus has yet to be wrong.

True and False.
I stayed put in 2001 when I was ready to buy because it was cheaper to rent at that time than a mortgage would have been. But make no mistake I spent 145,000 over 11 years waiting for the market to be favorable for my situation.

I did manage to build up very good credit rating, and put some money in the bank. But I would have rather have had the opportunity to have bought, back in 2001, if RE wasn't already so far out of whack in South Florida.

I was griping on the internet about prices back then, most of the rest of the country had not inflated by then. So the biggest response I got was flaming response.

"Oh well you're just in an expensive town you can't afford, you should move."

"Well it's not expensive here"

"That is just over due inflation"

Things are never a problem until it effects you.

I'm already saving $2,000 a year in taxes since I bought.
Over the course of a 30 years that will be 60K equity that I've built on top of what ever my house may be worth by then. That's not including on the money I'm saving on historic interest rates. There's no way it will be worth less than what I paid for it in 30 years. The next ten years may be questionable. But when we figure out a new way to fake our GDP, houses will inflate out of reach and interest will rise back up to 8%-12%, and property taxes will as well. Luckily I'll be grandfathered into both by then. 4.50% interest and $1900 a year property tax.

Reader says

I have followed this list for nearly ten years and I have YET to see where the consensus of the posters has been wrong. We called out the bubble before 99.999% even could conceive of a bubble. This list's consensus has yet to be wrong.

I wasn't here 10 years ago, but if the consensus at that time was housing was overpriced, heading down, can't go any higher, etc., then the consensus was dead wrong in 2002/2003.

Real estate WAS overpriced in 2002/2003 and if it wasn't for the interest plunge and open lending it would have gone straight down from that point but no, there had to be a make believe ghetto'esk money tree and BANG pricing went haywire over greed. The consensus was SPOT ON.

And for any simpleton thinking their dump is worth 800K here is what you can purchase in the UK right now for £800K
http://search.savills.com/property-detail/gbnorsnrs120116

So no one is going to tell me these American shacks aren't grossly overpriced.

Follow-up to above
I just sent this house to a friend in a non-English speaking European country, who is NOT on this list but lives in a country where real estate was also and still is grossly overpriced. I just sent that UK house listing link above to that manor house, with just the line, "looks very underpriced to me even today," and the response was immediate he said

"or is it the right price? Maybe we have come down to the right prices on houses now. A few years before the crisis was just insane." Right price? YES as he is speaking of £800k for a FUCKING MANSION not some 1200sq ft. shack in CA.

I rest my case.

Reader says

Real estate WAS overpriced in 2002/2003 and if it wasn't for the interest plunge and open lending it would have gone straight down from that point but no, there had to be a make believe ghetto'esk money tree and BANG pricing went haywire over greed. The consensus was SPOT ON.

I see your point, but if you told all your friends to sell in 2002, and they listened to you, I don't think they'd be too happy with you! And a truly accurate prediction takes into account these other factors (realities), as well, doesn't it? So a perfect prediction would have been, yeah it's a bubble without fundamental support and it's not sustainable but it's going to continue up for at least several years.

Not sure anyone can be so precise, which is why it is always striking how the current patrick.net consensus is presenting is such a black and white, no questions about it, no hedging, no it's my opinion, but rather as an indisputable law of physics or something.

Politicofact says

repo4sale says

BUT 2011 WAS THE BOTTOM OF CALIFORNIA PRICES.

WRONG!

Not only was the bottom not in 2011, other years were lower.

Home prices in Califronia are still in decline.

Here is the graph

DUDE! If you are still renting after that massive decline you might never buy.

I mean this is as good as it gets probably.
Wait till they lower rates again and bring back liar loans.

JG1 says

which is why it is always striking how the current patrick.net consensus is presenting is such a black and white, no questions about it, no hedging, no it's my opinion, but rather as an indisputable law of physics or something.

Welcome to Patrick.net! Seriously, you have a valid point but I believe we post our strong personal opinions, and it just so happens these varied opinions often collide. In many circumstances, collide like a filter right into two camps black or white.

War says

Why buy when pries are falling?

Well, paraphrasing Romney's debate comment to Obama, you're entitled to your own opinion, but not your own facts. Nominal prices are rising in most markets. The graph above doesn't go out far enough to show this. If you want to make some argument that on an inflation adjusted or constant dollar basis, prices are falling, or that you think they should or will fall, fine, but your comment is nonsensical otherwise because a little Googling of news stories will show that you're wrong.