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Housing Inventory Crisis will Continue in 2013


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2013 Mar 30, 8:01am   40,062 views  189 comments

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http://loganmohtashami.com/2013/02/27/housing-inventory-hangover-will-continue-in-2013/

For years Americans have seen the drying up of homes for sale. The drought has been harsh. Last year I wrote many articles talking about this trend and how this has had greater effect on a rise in sale prices than has pure demand. Now, this price rise caused by parched inventory is threatening to create another problem down the road which, if allowed to take hold, will only choke us further. What is this trend? I am not worried that home prices will bubble up into frothy foolishness, but I am concerned that this fast rise in prices will...

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183   _   2013 Apr 17, 2:01am  

Getting to market and sold is the final confirmation for me, from what I was seeing it took 12 months from NOD filing to finally foreclosure the home.

At the end of the year you can see how long the start to finish process takes. CA was much better than New York ... New York was pushing 1,000 plus days to foreclosure and CA was running in 300's.

184   Bubbabeefcake   2013 Apr 17, 2:15am  

Logan Mohtashami says

Getting to market and sold is the final confirmation for me, from what I was seeing it took 12 months from NOD filing to finally foreclosure the home.

Exactly the case, if they don't get a move on ...they'll be up to their eyeballs with a delinquency dilemma

185   yup1   2013 Apr 17, 3:42am  

Mobi says

Don't know what's going on in coastal cities. But here we are still very
productive in terms of generating heirs. 2+ children averagely for a family.
Even when I was on east coast a few years ago, 2 or more children was common.
Immigrants definitely play a role but our domestic reproducing rate isn't so bad
either.

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/03/14/u-s-birth-rates-remain-depressed/

Birthrate down 8.3% from peak, so I guess our domestic reproduction rate is miserable......

186   Bubbabeefcake   2013 Apr 17, 4:03am  

yup1 says

Birthrate down 8.3% from peak, so I guess our domestic reproduction rate is miserable......

http://www.youtube.com/embed/9GarNrJklUw

187   _   2013 Apr 17, 5:50am  

Bigbubbabear says

Exactly the case, if they don't get a move on ...they'll be up to their eyeballs with a delinquency dilemma

AMEN... When already have twice as many delinquent loans to shadow inventory and this has been the case for a while now.

188   Mobi   2013 Apr 17, 12:58pm  

yup1 says

http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/03/14/u-s-birth-rates-remain-depressed/


Birthrate down 8.3% from peak, so I guess our domestic reproduction rate is
miserable......

Totally understand. It has to be miserable in the last few years. If it becomes a trend, we will be in trouble.

However, we were talking about current house formation rate and it may or may not have anything to do with current birth rate.

189   _   2013 Apr 17, 1:23pm  

robertoaribas says

see you in several months, as prices continue to climb.

Prices for sure are going up this year, there just isn't enough inventory coming to market fast enough. You would need a 2010 inventory but in a much bigger fashion since 2011 and 2012 were just awful years. Not going to get enough traditional and distress homes this year. Home builders aren't building enough SFR homes to make a major impact

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