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DOW Jones prediction thread


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2018 Feb 21, 1:05pm   13,311 views  54 comments

by lostand confused   ➕follow (3)   💰tip   ignore  

So looks like the FED released their minutes from jan and market is starting to go down.

I expect the correction to go down deeper-perhaps at least 22,000+

The last one was savage -2 1000 point dips and then a furious 6 day rally-but a lower top.

I am wondering are we looking 22,000+ and then resume or a larger term decline?

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53   anotheraccount   2018 Apr 26, 4:58pm  

mell says
No reason to be bearish.


2 year at 2.5% is one. It pays more than dividend yield on S&P. Corporate debt at all time high and a lot of it short term that has to be refinanced is two. Oh and someone has to buy all these extra treasuries that results from corporations getting a tax cut. I think that when the deficits will go through the roof, even Republicans might consider rolling back unfunded tax cut.s
54   mell   2018 Apr 27, 7:47am  

anotheraccount says
mell says
No reason to be bearish.


2 year at 2.5% is one. It pays more than dividend yield on S&P. Corporate debt at all time high and a lot of it short term that has to be refinanced is two. Oh and someone has to buy all these extra treasuries that results from corporations getting a tax cut. I think that when the deficits will go through the roof, even Republicans might consider rolling back unfunded tax cut.s


You may well be right. The response to yuge corp earnings beats (not just net eps from tax cuts also gross rev beats) is muted at best and the market has been choppy. Still so far I don't see any signs of even a mild recession. Where's our resident cheerleader Logan when we need him ;)

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