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To those who say we hit the bottom in 2009


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2010 Dec 19, 5:14am   2,815 views  7 comments

by pkowen   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

I have been getting email from a "real-tor" since April 2006 with the "housing inventory snapshot". It has average and median asking prices and days on market for a few counties in the bay area. I go ahead and chart it myself even though there are charts (Redfin, etc.) out there with pretty much the same data.

November 2010 is the bottom so far for 'under $1 million' in San Mateo County. Median was $585,000. The next closest was January 2009, $596,000.

Oh, and days on market peaked in December 2008 (98 days, in the high 80's through April 2009), but it's back to 85 days Nov 2010.

#housing

Comments 1 - 7 of 7        Search these comments

1   inflection point   2010 Dec 19, 9:43am  

It was not the bottom, just a ledge, half way to the bottom.

2   bubblesitter   2010 Dec 19, 9:47am  

Let's see if investors can catch up with the increase in number of high end distressed properties. Low end is out of equation at this point.

3   inflection point   2010 Dec 19, 9:50am  

We will have to see what the longer term affect of foreclosuregate will have on prices.

4   toothfairy   2010 Dec 19, 10:34am  

median price went up 100k in 2009?

5   Bap33   2010 Dec 19, 12:13pm  

Median moved up (in my opinion) only because a large portion of the sub-prime LIAR-BUYERS were done going REO by then

6   pkowen   2010 Dec 20, 4:35am  

toothfairy says

median price went up 100k in 2009?

Dead cat bounce?

7   MillennialFalcon   2010 Dec 20, 12:59pm  

This plot would be better if we could add lines for upper quartile and lower quartile (Like a box plot graphed over time). Then you could see the impact of skewness on the median price.

Boxplot: http://www.netmba.com/statistics/plot/box/

It would help reduce some of the controversy around reported values for median price.

Do we have this data? Patrick?

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