Peter P

United States, joined 2005 Jun 13   Has 2 followers.   Is following 1.
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threads pinned by Peter P
authored 20,674 comments and 149 threads

Peter P's threads


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Yield curve
by Peter P on 7 Mar 2006   183 comments, latest 18 years ago
Long bond rate is climing and it appears that the yield curve is steepening. What does it mean? At the very least, fixed-mortgage rate is going up. In the ...

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If you were FDR, what would you have done?
by Peter P on 12 Mar 2008   269 comments, latest 16 years ago
What would be your economic policies? What would be your foreign policies? What would you have done differently? Hindsight is 20/20, but a healthy discussion is always fruitful. Peter

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Visualizing the housing bubble bust
by Peter P on 14 Mar 2006   173 comments, latest 18 years ago
Let's try to visualize the bursting of the housing bubble. Tell us what are your visions. Tell us how a correction towards normality is good for the economy in ...

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Inside the mind of a homedebtor
by Peter P on 24 Jan 2006   139 comments, latest 17 years ago
Now just imagine that you are a homedebtor... you have recently spent 700K on a crappy walk-up condo... you have a 80/20 mortgage with an "interest only" feature... recent ...

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Dream home architecture
by Peter P on 12 Jun 2006   203 comments, latest 18 years ago
Let's take a break and dream for a while.

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Market Volatility
by Peter P on 18 Jun 2005   103 comments, latest 19 years ago
When it is time for the housing/credit bubble to burst, we should expect increased volatility in the market. There are at least two types of volatilities: actual volatility caused ...

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Reaching Out to The Other Side506
by Peter P on 3 Sep 2007   149 comments, latest 17 years ago
With home prices falling and subprime mortgages resetting, there will be growing pain among those who have used non-traditional financing to purchases their homes in recent months. As compassionate ...

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Soft landing
by Peter P on 25 Jul 2005   124 comments, latest 19 years ago
If you were Alan Greenspan, how would you attempt to engineer a soft landing for the housing market? Should you worry about the price level for this asset class ...

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Antifragile by Nassim Taleb
by Peter P on 1 Dec 2012   Posted 11 years ago
This book is finally out! http://www.amazon.com/Antifrag I think it is something everyone here should read.

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What is considered subprime territory in the Bay Area?
by Peter P on 9 Apr 2007   244 comments, latest 17 years ago
Now that the subprime storm is making landfall, we should forecast the damages it is about the cause. In the Bay Area, what is considered subprime? Is a brand-new, ...

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Should people be prevented from doing stupid things?
by Peter P on 24 Jul 2006   153 comments, latest 5 years ago
When people do stupid things, they may cause harm to themselves. Should they be stopped? In some cases, they may cause harm to other people. Worse yet, if many ...

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STRIVE Act
by Peter P on 2 Apr 2007   165 comments, latest 17 years ago
The long awaited immigration reform is now on the table. Perhaps we should see if that will have any impact on the housing market. In short, the proposed bill ...

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Global warming and the housing bubble
by Peter P on 30 Jun 2006   167 comments, latest 18 years ago
The inconvenient truth about human greed, its consequences, and possible remedies. Is Global Warming real? Does the Housing Bubble exist? Is there a Santa Claus? The truth will set ...

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Multiple Streams of Income
by Peter P on 10 Sep 2014   29 comments, latest 9 years ago
How do you guys go about building multiple streams of income? What are the components involved? For example, someone can be developing apps, managing rental properties, and trading options. ...

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Denial is not a river in Egypt
by Peter P on 26 Jan 2006   170 comments, latest 18 years ago
There are no American tanks in Baghdad.

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Blog party!!!
by Peter P on 8 Dec 2005   138 comments, latest 18 years ago
Saturday Dec 17 13:30 Ferry Building, SF

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Asset prices and depressions
by Peter P on 26 Feb 2009   165 comments, latest 15 years ago
Two questions: 1. Should asset prices be managed? 2. Are depressions necessary to the business cycles? If depressions are necessary, then fighting them is a mere exercise of populist ...

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Bay Area rebirth?
by Peter P on 21 Oct 2005   99 comments, latest 19 years ago
Some people are saying that hiring activities among Bay Area companies have been picking up. If there is any truth to this, rental prices may go up in the ...

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On Thee our hopes we fix
by Peter P on 19 Mar 2008   119 comments, latest 16 years ago
Can the Federal Reserve save us from the inevitable? What needs to happen for the economy to avert a severe recession? What are the risks? What are the opportunities? ...

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Other housing markets
by Peter P on 16 Jul 2005   115 comments, latest 19 years ago
Outside of the Bay Area, several markets are already displaying signs of a cool down. In particular, San Diego prices have been relatively flat since December 2004, and Las ...

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The Bubblehead Manifesto
by Peter P on 8 Sep 2005   132 comments, latest 19 years ago
What has happened? What is happening? What will happen? What are you going to do about it? What are the best case and worst case scenarios? Who are the ...

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What is going on?
by Peter P on 21 Mar 2007   191 comments, latest 17 years ago
There appears to be a significant drop in inventory on listing sites. At the same time, open house activities appear to be picking up. Could this be the start ...

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What is to be done?
by Peter P on 23 Jun 2005   68 comments, latest 19 years ago
Now that we have more understanding about the housing and credit bubble, we must carefully analyze possible scenarios and devise plans for the various contingencies. It will be a ...

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Let's have some fun with the bubble
by Peter P on 30 Jan 2007   152 comments, latest 17 years ago
Perhaps we should position ourselves for some fun after the bubble bursts. Perhaps we should have some fun now watching the bubble burst. Perhaps we should just have some ...

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Meaningless statistics
by Peter P on 27 Dec 2005   84 comments, latest 18 years ago
TWIT suggested this: Perhaps a post about meaningless statistics would be in order.

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Why?
by Peter P on 4 Jul 2005   131 comments, latest 19 years ago
It is undeniable that the housing bubble exists. However, the cause of the bubble may not be so clear. It has been speculated that low interest rate has been ...

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Orb of influence
by Peter P on 22 May 2006   109 comments, latest 18 years ago
One observation is that local markets under Google's "orb of influence" (Mountain View, Palo Alto, Los Altos) are holding up well but inventory is piling up in other markets ...

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Utopia Village
by Peter P on 12 Sep 2006   222 comments, latest 18 years ago
Tell us your vision of a perfect world. What will housing be like in this world? What is the role of development planning? #housing

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Future housing trends
by Peter P on 5 Oct 2005   179 comments, latest 19 years ago
What will the popular post-bubble house look like? #housing

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Housing Un-American Activities Committee
by Peter P on 26 Apr 2007   147 comments, latest 17 years ago
Committee Member: Are you now, or have you ever been, a renter? Joe: Sir, that is not a fair question. Committee Member: That is a simple, fair question. Joe: ...

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Food... and other things
by Peter P on 29 Mar 2006   131 comments, latest 18 years ago
Since we’re stuck here - making best of Bay Area living. Please post your tips for a happier, easier and saner life here. Advice and requests for advice on ...

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Who is your favorite Doctor?
by Peter P on 19 Jan 2015   28 comments, latest 9 years ago
Or companion? I like Matt Smith / Karen Gillan.

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Is healthcare a bigger problem than housing?
by Peter P on 17 Oct 2006   182 comments, latest 18 years ago
Healthcare is just like housing. They are both outside of inflation measures. Will we have a healthcare crisis in the future? Or is it reallt a question of when? ...

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Housing futures209
by Peter P on 19 Apr 2006   181 comments, latest 18 years ago
The new housing futures contracts are going to trade on CME very soon. What does it mean for the housing market? What does it mean for us? #housing

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What now?16201
by Peter P on 17 Feb 2009   89 comments, latest 15 years ago
So home prices are down, gold price is up, and Europe is facing economic collapse... What should we do? What are the best investments? What stocks/currencies/bonds/commod should we short? ...

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Change in lifestyle after buying home
by Peter P on 7 Jul 2005   83 comments, latest 19 years ago
Given the insane level of price in the Bay Area and the mysterious desire to own in some residents, we can expect that some people are making dramatic changes ...

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End game
by Peter P on 22 Jul 2005   129 comments, latest 19 years ago
How will the housing bubble bust unfold? Will it be triggered by rising short-term interest rate? Will the market fall on its own weight? How will one event led ...

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Dream House
by Peter P on 14 Jun 2008   73 comments, latest 16 years ago
With more homes on the market, perhaps buyers can even have a choice of architectures, layouts, or other crazy details. Relax for a moment and try to visualize your ...

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Why is Generation Y so lame?
by Peter P on 8 Apr 2007   181 comments, latest 17 years ago
I do not feel the need to enumerate their lameness. Nevertheless, lame or not, they represent a huge market. How can businesses capitalize on this generation? Will this cohort ...

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What is "real" about real estate?
by Peter P on 24 Sep 2006   50 comments, latest 16 years ago
What does the "real" in real estate mean? "Real" as in " the real thing"? "Real" as in "El Camino Real"? Probably most people think it is the first ...
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