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Call it Crazy says

You forgot to put your text in BOLD and your FORWARD in italics...

Will I lose my membership card?

Remember this one? http://patrick.net/?p=1227086

One thing about Japan is that their central government spending is shockingly small compared to ours.

E.g. their defense budget is a rounding error on ours ($50B/yr).

Their much-maligned "Keynesian" government works projects were similarly of small scale -- $50B or so.

The reason the Japanese are quadrillion yen in debt to themselves is that they've given themselves tax cuts since the 1990s and called it savings.

What also happened was that their former high domestic growth regime hit the wall in 1990.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/JPNRGDPR

this was correlated with running out of new people:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/LFAC64TTJPQ647S

and also the rise of E Asia and China as labor competitors. In a lot of ways, Japan Inc has benefitted immensely from these new markets, but Japanese workers, NOT SO MUCH!

After reading this thread I'm 110% certain that the Republicans have the moral high ground here and are absolutely doing the courageous and correct actions.

egads101 says

is a LIE

Bob, this is another dead thread. Engaging you is a lost cause.

Like I have said a dozen times Bob, tell us about your investments one more time, because it never gets old, or is that Roberto's investments?

egads101 says

as expected

Egads!!!!

Bob, Bob, Bob, I call all of you guys Bob now.

OK, one more time: It's a $30K condo. The bank sold it to get out of it, and invest money elsewhere.

So now it's your problem.

The renter is paying a lot of money in rent, all renters are paying a premium for the investments banks are making.

So your renter is giving you a gift, each month, until they find a cheaper place.

If it gets sold for $90K that is another problem. Price spikes are bad for the consumer, especially if the consumer is tapped, and hoping to get a return similar to yours on that $90K purchase price.

Will that condo ever be worth $180K? or $270K? to match your wind fall. I think not.

I think assets, like housing units, are over priced, and have caused a debt trap for the buyers.

The Real Estate market needs to be able to correct, on it's own, without this Affordability, Consumer Confidence crap.

You own a $30K condo, best of luck with that, but it has never been my choice.

So what I will continue to do is make money, and pay off debt.

egads101 says

So, it is just a gift. Not a good investment. got it!

It is a gift Bob. It's what it's all about, all the QE, and bail outs, they are all for you.

So, enjoy, and stop bothering everybody.

I answered you for the sixth, seventh, or eighth time, and once again you don't like the answer, go figure.

freak80 says

sbh says

If Ted Cruz pulled a Cleavon Little and put a gun to his own head ("Everybody stand back or I'll shoot the idiot")

Reminds me of a scene from Blazing Saddles.

You beat me to it.

http://www.youtube.com/embed/Z_JOGmXpe5I

ja says

During the last 10 years, medical costs increased as crazy. It looks they are getting stable now.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/DHLCRC1A027NBEA

ja says

So I'm sceptically about this view.

The baby boom has yet to turn 70. Median boomer was born in 1955 so in 2020 the pig will be halfway through the snake as far as Medicare enrollment goes.

Medicare beneficiaries get more expensive each year they age of course (age 75+ are 40% of the beneficiaries but 50% of the expenses)

http://www.medpac.gov/documents/Jun12DataBookEntireReport.pdf

The baby boom was made to pay 2.9% in Medicare insurance premiums from 1984 on and are only now are beginning to draw down on this (notional) savings.

Here's the population of age 55+:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=mC0

looks like just what it is -- a tsunami of old people coming our way . . .

and what's odd is that Japan *doesn't* have this tsunami coming -- their baby boom was just 1947-49, then in the 1950s their live births fell to below prewar levels even.

This means they're about 80% into their induction of old people.

We're just getting started, about 1/3 in now:

http://www.intellectualtakeout.org/library/chart-graph/projected-number-medicare-beneficiaries-2001-2030

The only difference between sub-Sahara Africa and America today is our top 1% income producers. Unfortunately, those top 1% producers are also leaving America today in droves. When they are all gone, reality will be upon all of us.

carrieon says

The only difference between sub-Sahara Africa and America today is our top 1% income producers. Unfortunately, those top 1% producers are also leaving America today in droves. When they are all gone, reality will be upon all of us.

Droves? Name 5.

Good job on slamming the door shut on one of the only appealing and correct tennents of your ideology!

This "debt ceiling" bullshit is not an area that I have managed to pay any attention to.
Could someone explain to me what the point of a debt ceiling is if not to LIMIT DEFICIT SPENDING.
Let's just do away with the fucking thing so that we can get busy spending all the fucking money that we can conjure up.

If Obama was smart, he'd let them shut down the government, but make sure they own everything that happens as a result.

Iwag says

SubOink says

LOL. Did I strike a nerve there?

no, besides being an annoying dull asshole, youre a good guy

ok, angry bird

egads101 says

In your prior post, the tenants paying rent are giving a gift...

one post later, it is Q.E. and bailouts that are my gifts...

Bob, it's a gift, you got a gift, enjoy it.

Dead thread.

1% income threshold was $1.5M/yr in 2010.

Don't let the door . . .

thunderlips11 says

but make sure they own everything that happens as a result.

hard to do when the right owns 80%+ of the media.

Don't believe me, listen to KGO sometime. The token lefty is on after midnight, LOL.

Robert Sproul says

is it not more accurate to say that it is EXACTLY like hitting your credit card limit and then asking for more credit to be extended, not coincidentally enabling your spree to continue?

Yes, if your name is American Express or Discover.

Robert Sproul says

Let's just do away with the fucking thing so that we can get busy spending all the fucking money that we can conjure up.

You say that like it's a bad thing. Without all the bullshit since 2008, we'd be in 1933 conditions.

Cut taxes a lot, then launch two expensive wars ($1.5T and counting), of course the nation's finances are going to be fucked ten years on.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=mCE

is real per-capita total government spending.

Reagan takes it from $9000 to $12,000 and then W takes it from $13,000 to $16,000 and they're conservatives in error. Obama takes it from $16,000 to $17,000 and he's the next Karl Marx.

Whatevs.

The real lesson of 1994-96 was never raise taxes on the middle class.

They don't like that.

hmm, $1T / 313M is . . . $3200.

Yup, I'd buy an iPhone 5S, iPad Mini, and Macbook Pro . . .

I'm afraid that if they can't kill Obamacare then the US might one day lose its enviable position as the the envy of the world when it comes to high end medical care.

I was hoping that one day the super rich could buy life extending procedures that regular people can't afford, and that these wonderful miracles of modern medicine would only be available in America.

A billionaire can dream right ?

To any billionaire worth his salt, the idea that regular people and rich people should receive essentially the same quality of medical care is repugnant. Because obviously that might mean a lower quality of care for the rich than what they can conveniently get now.

Or the money would end up in China.

Oracle are u Roberto ?

cloud15 says

Oracle are u Roberto ?

Yeah he is and for a while he was pretty mellow. It was like Bobby had finally discovered peyote out in the desert where he lives and thought he could communicate with the real estate gods through patnet. Unfortunately, this persona is gone and he is back to his normal doache level.

egads101 says

an article about dipshits like you, that waste everyone's time giving crap advice:

Roberto, you're so dumb that you don't even read your own articles which you post. This article clearly explains the difference between crap advice and bad advice. So, by the definition presented in the article, David wasn't even giving any advice, but, by no means crap advice. If David had said: blah, blah, blah, and BTW, did you know that you can write off all gifts as a tax deduction; that would have been crap advice. Roberto, the fact that a thinker and an analyst of your caliber can actually be a professor at an institution of higher learning, is a perfect epitome of the sorry state our university system is, today.

sbh says

I want them by this time next year to make this batch of idiots look like limp
wristed pussies. It's the best way to purge them from government. People keep
re-electing them, so only if it backfires on the electorate will it finally go
away.

LOL. more-crazy won't work any better than their early stages of dumbass/crazy.

It's way overdue for them to be flushed out of office, and the insane morons that vote for them time and again, to retake their status of irrelevant kooks that nobody ever took serious.

Tim Aurora says

I think you just redefined business

You don't see the problem?

Great, why would I care.

The doubling of the price of housing is just another thing that the consumer has to contend with.

The consumer has a budget that will need to be met.

If you can't see that housing is a very simple thing for everyone to promote as a way to economic stability then you aren't paying attention.

The Fed is attempting to create inflation without job creation. The idea under Bush was that construction provided good paying jobs. This time around the workers are taking what they can get, and there are wage increases begrudgingly.

So what do you think will give first? Do you see hyper inflation, because I don't, do you see job creation? What is it that will support the price of housing?

$1000 a month is a big portion of the consumer budget no matter what. How about $1200, or $2000?

I own property, and want to sell now, rather than wait. Will I buy more? Maybe, but my focus will be on commercial rather than residential.

If you want to discuss the benefits, and draw backs of Real Estate, fine, but you are like Bob here in this thread without a point.

Tim Aurora says

Every transaction in this world is somebody selling and somebody buying

and that is always true about Real Estate, there is a deal every day, you just have to find it.

Anyone up for an "ignore this thread" option on PatNet?

egads101 says

Obama walked in as we lost 700,000 jobs a month into the great recession

yup:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=mE9

finehoe says

The new CBO long-term budget projections are out, and while they’re not good, they don’t show crisis levels of debt even looking out a quarter-century.

btw, those CBO projections are UTTER CRAP.

If you dig behind the numbers, you'll see they are predicting 5.4% wage growth next year, and 5.8% growth the following two years.

When you juice the denominator like that the deb-to-GDP ratio looks a lot better than it will actually be.

Plus there's another $4.8T of intragovermental debt they're not counting, but is going to be needing to be liquidated over the next 30-years (these are trust accounts to pay off the various boomer retirement funds).

Good point. But those little "unread comment" icons suck me in.

I'm afflicted by SIWOTI syndrome.