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Is the Stock Market Near Collapse?


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2014 Jul 19, 10:38pm   19,842 views  61 comments

by smaulgld   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  

Is the Stock Market Ready to Collapse?

Housing Market is Dead

4:14-11:49 Even though interest rates are low and the weather is fine, the housing market is not improving. House prices are too expensive, sales volume is down and the labor market is poor.

The housing "recovery' has been a media event ever since it never happened.

13:56-18:26 discussion of the tenuous position of the stock market with sky high valuations and no underlying fundamentals to support them.

The stock market could do down on a moment’s notice and stay down because the companies are not doing that well and will do worse after a stock market crash, so a swift rebound may not happen even if the Fed attempts to reflate. The Fed appears to be trying to talk down the market a little perhaps to avoid a larger correction or crash.

Ron Paul and Elizabeth Warren vs. The Fed

30:20-35:48 Discussion of the difference between REAL questioning of the Fed, like Ron Paul vs the faux populism fake theater questioning of Elizabeth Warren.

See Ms. Warren and Janet yuck it up after the hearing.

Breaking Point for the Stock Market

41:22-46:10 Market participants certainly know they are participating in a farce. When does the market stop playing along. When is "dot bomb!" called? What happens to the economy when the market crashes? Will investors dive back in expecting a quick rebound?

What Happens after the Next Stock Market Crash?

The stock market is at an all time high but the US economy is nowhere near its all time peak. Sales are down and its not the weather.

Massive Stock Market Collapse?

51:00 prospects for a market collapse are discussed. Bubble companies with no earnings can not be blown back up especially in a post crash economy. Companies will fall to fair value and drift lower as their prospects decline. The Fed would like to ease some froth out of the market to avoid a larger crash. Discussion of central planning and their involvement in the stock market which is close to price fixing.

A Stock Market Crash Ends the Economic "Recovery"

Podcast Summary

http://smaulgld.com/stock-market-ready-to-collapse/

http://www.youtube.com/embed/AoVXakF3qwM

#housing

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41   John Bailo   2014 Aug 26, 10:12am  

smaulgld says

Is the Stock Market Ready to Collapse?

One of the big factors for this, I think, is the short-circuiting of the "Asian Market".

The only place that big cap stock companies expected to expand to was Asia...specifically China. Yet, as I read the business press, the Chinese seem like they are ready to fulfill their own needs "in-house". Examples are COMAC, building their own 737. And just yesterday they announced their own PC operating system that will be their Windows. Where exactly is the expansion justifying these high valuations for traditional stocks coming from any way?

43   MAGA   2014 Aug 26, 12:58pm  

I just need the market to hold up another six months and then I'll be out of it, 100%. I'm debt free and have cash in the bank.

Realtor's need not call me.

44   Analyzer   2014 Aug 26, 1:47pm  

jvolstad says

I just need the market to hold up another six months and then I'll be out of it, 100%. I'm debt free and have cash in the bank.


Realtor's need not call me.


Watch out, you are prime prey for realtors.

45   smaulgld   2014 Aug 28, 5:23am  

Seems our house goose has changed his tune
http://patrick.net/?p=1248503

46   smaulgld   2014 Oct 14, 11:31pm  

Looks like it is...

47   smaulgld   2014 Oct 15, 12:01am  

Market opened down 300 pts, rebounding now down 165 will it recovery of fall again later? http://finance.yahoo.com/news/markets-slammed-economic-fears-u-133630171.html

48   Blurtman   2014 Oct 15, 12:10am  

All is well. All is well.

49   smaulgld   2014 Oct 15, 12:17am  

Blurtman says

All is well. All is well.

Singin in the Rain!

50   smaulgld   2014 Oct 15, 1:10am  

Call it Crazy says

It's just a bear trap, didn't you get the memo?

Like housing always goes up and the Fed has nothing to do with it!

51   smaulgld   2014 Oct 15, 2:26am  

Call it Crazy says

smaulgld says

Call it Crazy says

It's just a bear trap, didn't you get the memo?

Like housing always goes up and the Fed has nothing to do with it!

and gold is going to drop to $1000.

Of course it is! CNBC says so
http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000319553&play=1

52   Blurtman   2014 Oct 15, 2:53am  

Volatility is a good thing. An always rising market and expectations of such are unhealthy. The herd will be thinned and eventually emerge stronger. If you are in dollars, you should have some in US equities.

Here is my near term strategy, and keep in mind, I have an MBA from UC Berkeley.

Going long in short duration, higher yielding bonds. Will hold to the end. 1- 1.5 years out. For example, a 6% BAC bond that matures in Dec. 2015. The bet is that the company doesn't go belly up during that time.

This is an early idea without a whole lot of thought. Either that or buy another property. A nice home has real value.

53   siklidkid   2014 Oct 15, 3:31am  

Just heard my boss tell someone "Typical year end profit taking" lol

54   smaulgld   2014 Oct 15, 3:33am  

siklidkid says

Just heard my boss tell someone "Typical year end profit taking" lol

Nice one.

55   MisdemeanorRebel   2014 Oct 15, 4:20am  

siklidkid says

Just heard my boss tell someone "Typical year end profit taking" lol

ha!

56   Blurtman   2014 Oct 15, 6:03am  

it's over.

57   exfatguy   2014 Oct 15, 6:05am  

They made a rule that trading is suspended if the indexes drop too much in one day.

Why not just beef up the rule and not let any stocks go down at all?

58   HydroCabron   2014 Oct 15, 6:17am  

exfatguy says

Why not just beef up the rule and not let any stocks go down at all?

Decreasing house prices are now effectively illegal.

Why should real estate be special? Extend this same protection to all asset classes.

59   smaulgld   2014 Oct 15, 6:19am  

WaterGoat says

exfatguy says

Why not just beef up the rule and not let any stocks go down at all?

Decreasing house prices are now effectively illegal.

Why should real estate be special? Extend this same protection to all asset classes.

Mandate home purchases!

60   Ceffer   2014 Oct 15, 6:24am  

With Ebola, you don't have to worry about liquidating since you are already liquidating.

61   HEY YOU   2014 Oct 15, 3:26pm  

The only thing that will save the economy & stop pandemics is voting Democrat or Republican.

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