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US Doctor Comments on Single-Payer "Medicare for All" Proposal


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2015 Jan 4, 2:18am   17,253 views  74 comments

by Mish   ➕follow (3)   💰tip   ignore  

US Doctor Comments on Single-Payer "Medicare for All" Proposal
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2015/01/us-doctor-comments-on-single-payer.html
Mish

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23   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 12:55pm  

indigenous says

AussieGothamite says

That wasn't too hard.

Maybe because it is not a citation to Einvestor's comments?

You want a citation for the "it works" part? An analysis of that claim is going to depend strongly on what metrics you pick. Cost? Mortality rates? Patient satisfaction? And of course, there are artefacts and anomalies with any of this data. Some private healthcare advocates will point to the differing"survival rates" for prostate surgery in the US and UK as proof of the US superiority, neglecting to acknowledge that the evidence suggests far more medically unnecessary surgeries are performed in the US, rendering a direct comparison impossible (and that the incidence of death from prostate cancer is virtually identical in the two locations).

24   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 12:57pm  

mell says

AussieGothamite says

The Oz system has been going, in some form, for about forty years. Who are you hearing about the UK system from?

I don't know about the OZ systems' performance, but the UK system is very poor, this notion has been accepted not only by Americans, but also by their European peers. Most other northern European countries have better healthcare.

Now it's time for me to ask for a citation.

25   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 1:04pm  

indigenous says

The aggregate financial cost of healthcare is going to depend heavily on demographics.

The US heathcare system went FUBAR with LBJ's dellusions, it is nothing but cronyism.

I'm entirely willing to admit I don't understand what point you're making here.

26   mell   2015 Jan 4, 1:10pm  

AussieGothamite says

mell says

AussieGothamite says

The Oz system has been going, in some form, for about forty years. Who are you hearing about the UK system from?

I don't know about the OZ systems' performance, but the UK system is very poor, this notion has been accepted not only by Americans, but also by their European peers. Most other northern European countries have better healthcare.

Now it's time for me to ask for a citation.

I don't have one. Growing up in Europe and having many friends over there this is simply my and their observation. You could go by life expectancy where it is at the bottom of European countries, although the differences are very slim and there could be other reasons. Two more reasons I could give is that they don't deal well with chronic, not yet well-understood conditions and have a very strong influence of the "psycho-babble" lobby, i.e. psychologists who know jack shit meddling with severely ill patients by promoting quack "therapies" such as CBT/GET instead of admitting that they simply have no clue about some conditions. By the way, even Australia has been very poor at this by - for a long time - simply denying the existence of Lyme disease. This is a severe flip-side of government-mandated medicine. Nobody in their right mind and without malicious intent would make such a stupid claim as denying the existence of Lyme disease.

27   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 1:13pm  

mell says

AussieGothamite says

The Oz system has been going, in some form, for about forty years. Who are you hearing about the UK system from?

I don't know about the OZ systems' performance, but the UK system is very poor, this notion has been accepted not only by Americans, but also by their European peers. Most other northern European countries have better healthcare.

I know it's from the oft-derided Wikipedia, but those references have to come from somewhere.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Health_Service_(England)#Public_satisfaction_and_criticism

28   indigenous   2015 Jan 4, 1:16pm  

AussieGothamite says

You want a citation for the "it works" part? An analysis of that claim is going to depend strongly on what metrics you pick. Cost? Mortality rates? Patient satisfaction? And of course, there are artefacts and anomalies with any of this data. Some private healthcare advocates will point to the differing"survival rates" for prostate surgery in the US and UK as proof of the US superiority, neglecting to acknowledge that the evidence suggests far more medically unnecessary surgeries are performed in the US, rendering a direct comparison impossible (and that the incidence of death from prostate cancer is virtually identical in the two locations)

Fair enough, but from a common sense point of view, if you make something free the demand is going to skyrocket. The only solution to this is to ration. Not that you have produced any numbers, but if they do not reflect this they are bullshit.

The US system is jacked up as well, it is just that what you endorse, I can't see working for a much bigger country, that is exponentially more diverse. One thing that has been proven over and over is that when you introduce central planning into something it creates imbalances.

If you have more young people in Australia then it is much easier to make public healthcare pencil out.

29   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 1:21pm  

I'm pretty sure it's the concept of "chronic Lyme disease" that's up for debate, and not just in Australia. That's probably not a useful point for criticism of single-payer healthcare. If you don't like psychologists, I'm not sure either system is going to be particularly appealing, but I think you're going to find more of them in the US, per capita.

30   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 1:27pm  

Indigenous, we've got the same aging baby boomer issue as the US. I'm not sure there's a significant difference there.

The healthcare is not always free here, but it's certainly cheap. There are some waiting lists for certain elective procedures, is that the kind of rationing you're thinking of? I didn't have to wait long for my hernia operation a few years ago. I think the surgery was scheduled and completed within a month of diagnosis. Seemed fair enough. I was out of pocket about two hundred bucks, all up. The bed I slept in after the surgery WAS extremely uncomfortable. I will give you that.

31   indigenous   2015 Jan 4, 3:17pm  

Sooner this has to fall within the law of averages:

If you make something free the demand is going to skyrocket. The only solution to this is to ration. Not that you have produced any numbers, but if they do not reflect this they are bullshit.

Or the law of averages has not caught up to them yet but will.

33   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:39pm  

Doth mine eye deceive me, or have a number of comments mysteriously disappeared?

34   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:42pm  

For shame, Mish. Cheap and intellectually dishonest.

35   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:43pm  

Here's one I saved earlier.....

"But seriously, to get away from egregious bodily violence. If you had to pay 100 dollars for a prostate exam, but they made you a deal when you went in that you could have one every week for the same price, how many times would you go back that year?"

36   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:43pm  

indigenous says

AussieGothamite says

As I said, indigenous. I have some free kicks to the genitals to deliver. How many do you want? By your logic it should be an infinite number.

An assertion like this is, like the Laffer curve, superficially logical but not robust enough to hold up under scrutiny.

Back at ya, the logic holds up fine, unless I'm arguing with a liberal.

I'm not the one arguing that free=appealing. A kick to the genitals is not something I'm after, whether offered gratis or for a fee.

37   indigenous   2015 Jan 4, 3:44pm  

Bill deleted them, because he realized I would scold him for his specious comments on economics.

38   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:44pm  

One complaint I do hear about is wait lists for hip replacement surgery, which is a growing issue with the baby boomer demographic. Low urgency cases can and do face extended waits. Here's some information about that:

http://www.health.vic.gov.au/oahks/background.htm

http://performance.health.vic.gov.au/Home/Report.aspx?ReportKey=41

Looks like the median wait time is a little over a hundred days. That might seem barbaric to an advocate of private systems.

39   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:45pm  

Not that the above are in the correct order, at this point. Neither do we have the original comments to which they are a response. Will they remain this time?

40   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:47pm  

Bill deleted comments I made? How is this so?

41   indigenous   2015 Jan 4, 3:47pm  

Mish

Doesn't care what we say.

42   AussieGothamite   2015 Jan 4, 3:50pm  

In which way does Mish not care? Doesn't care about my criticism of the deletions? Or doesn't care about the direction in which the discussion is going?

43   indigenous   2015 Jan 4, 4:59pm  

I think the problem is pointed out here:

/?p=1275124

44   zzyzzx   2015 Jan 4, 6:54pm  

EInvestor says

ALL developed countries have single-payer system and it works at 8% of their GDPs vs 17% of GDP in USA

Yeah, but if implemented here, a single payer system would somehow manage to spend more that 17% of GDP.

45   bob2356   2015 Jan 4, 7:48pm  

indigenous says

Fair enough, but from a common sense point of view, if you make something free the demand is going to skyrocket. The only solution to this is to ration. Not that you have produced any numbers, but if they do not reflect this they are bullshit.

Ridiculous even for you. People go to the doctor because they are sick, not because it's free. It's not free in any of the public health systems anyway. There's a charge everywhere I know of. No one is getting gall bladder surgery or hip replacements they don't need just because it's free. What a stupid idea. Being libertarian rots your brain.

Maybe a little rationing might not be such a bad thing in the states. Look at how much surgery with very dubious necesity is performed. Especially on very old, very sick people who are frequently terminally ill already. Please, please do everything for grandma, she's only 98. Other places don't have that. People are allowed to die quietly in comfort with dignity. It's not considered rationing. I've lived in there and seen it. They think the US system is barbaric.

46   indigenous   2015 Jan 4, 8:09pm  

bob2356 says

Ridiculous even for you. People go to the doctor because they are sick, not because it's free. It's not free in any of the public health systems anyway. There's a charge everywhere I know of. No one is getting gall bladder surgery or hip replacements they don't need just because it's free. What a stupid idea.

Right, you can't be that ignorant. Here is an excerpt from the first story in a google search:

And that story is about a safety-net hospital bursting at the seams trying to care for people with no insurance and, often, the kinds of ailments that could be managed or treated with the kind of regular medical care none of them can afford.

http://ripr.org/post/waiting-room-system-broken-so-many-places

The other anecdotal was from a Mexican I know who did just what I said costing at that time $60,000.00.

47   bob2356   2015 Jan 4, 8:53pm  

indigenous says

And that story is about a safety-net hospital bursting at the seams trying to care for people with no insurance and, often, the kinds of ailments that could be managed or treated with the kind of regular medical care none of them can afford.

What does this have to do with the price of tea in china? They went for medical care because they were SICK. They didn't go just because the ER was free. The only place they could get treated in the states was at an ER because in the states they couldn't afford any other option. If everyone had basic medical care they would have went to a doctors office not an ER. The same number of sick people will exist and be treated no matter what. How exactly will demand skyrocket? There won't be millions more sick people if the US went single payer tommorrow. Your libertarian mind just can't grasp that rather simple concept.

indigenous says

The other anecdotal was from a Mexican I know who did just what I said costing at that time $60,000.00.

WTF does that mean? You've babbled a lot of nonsense, which part is your mythical mexican referring to?

48   indigenous   2015 Jan 4, 9:53pm  

bob2356 says

They didn't go just because the ER was free.

Sure they did, they could have gone to a low cost care place.

bob2356 says

How exactly will demand skyrocket?

Because the cost is almost zero for low income people who will then act as with any commons they will abuse it. Which will result in rationing.

bob2356 says

WTF does that mean? You've babbled a lot of nonsense, which part is your mythical mexican referring to?

Nothing mythical about it, he got 60 k worth of surgery for free.

49   bob2356   2015 Jan 4, 11:55pm  

?indigenous says

bob2356 says

They didn't go just because the ER was free.

Sure they did, they could have gone to a low cost care place.

and where is this mythical low cost place at? obviously you've never been to an immedicare center. they were still treated. someone would have treated them no matter what. there wasn't any increase in demand, never mind your skyrocket. if everyone were covered under a public health system then the demand would be exactly the same. people wouldn't nned to go to er's for routine care. thanks again for proving my point.

indigenous says

bob2356 says

How exactly will demand skyrocket?

Because the cost is almost zero for low income people who will then act as with any commons they will abuse it. Which will result in rationing.

Because they will get sick more often or just go to the doctor when they have nothing else to do that day? How does that work? I'm still waiting for an explanation. Not that I'll ever get one from you.

indigenous says

bob2356 says

WTF does that mean? You've babbled a lot of nonsense, which part is your mythical mexican referring to?

Nothing mythical about it, he got 60 k worth of surgery for free.

and how did this still mytical mexican get 60k worth of free surgery.

50   indigenous   2015 Jan 5, 12:04am  

bob2356 says

and where is this mythical low cost place at? obviously you've never been to an immedicare center. they were still treated. someone would have treated them no matter what. there wasn't any increase in demand, never mind your skyrocket. if everyone were covered under a public health system then the demand would be exactly the same. people wouldn't nned to go to er's for routine care. thanks again for proving my point.

Not true they would have not gone to the ER for a cold if they had to pay.

I have used urgent care places plenty of times, they are quite common.

bob2356 says

Because they will get sick more often or just go to the doctor when they have nothing else to do that day? How does that work? I'm still waiting for an explanation. Not that I'll ever get one from you.

The people go because it is free. This is called the tragedy of the commons:

"The tragedy of the commons is a dilemma arising from the situation in which multiple individuals, acting independently and rationally consulting their own self-interest, will ultimately deplete a shared limited resource even when it is clear that it is not in anyone's long-term interest for this to happen."

bob2356 says

and how did this still mytical mexican get 60k worth of free surgery.

He went to the ER and got diagnosed and operated on. Upon seeing my disgust he said hey "I did not make the rules."

51   bob2356   2015 Jan 5, 6:30am  

indigenous says

bob2356 says

and how did this still mytical mexican get 60k worth of free surgery.

He went to the ER and got diagnosed and operated on. Upon seeing my disgust he said hey "I did not make the rules."

Total bullshit. Unless he was hit by a bus or was about to die from a heart attack he didn't get diagnosed and operated on in the ER He got diagnosed and referred and the operation wasn't free. Very convenient to have this "mexican" friend that shared his experiences with you. Do you have lots of imaginary friends?

Still waiting for any sort of explanation of why there would be an explosian of health care under a single payer system. Lets' say god clicked his fingers and america woke up tommorrow with the australian system for example where you just go to the doctor and pay your 20 bucks (sorry about your continuing delusion seeing a doctor is free everywhere else, perhaps a phsych consult is in order) and that's it. Go to the hospital if you need to and just get treated. No insurance premiums, deductables, paperwork, etc.,etc.

How exactly would there be this alleged explosion? Are you saying people would pack up the kids and spend the day at the doctors rather than hitting the beach? Lots more entertainment at 20 bucks a head I would think. Instead of hitting the bars for a couple drinks after work people would go to the doctors instead? After all 20 bucks is only 4 drinks. A rectal exam would be so much more fun for the money. oh right I forgot (warning delusion alert)

indigenous says

The people go because it is free.

not because they are actually sick. why didn't I think of that? After all it is only after rationally consulting their own self interest that people decide to go to the doctor.

Don't let facts interfere with it's true because I believe it should be true. The US has the second highest number of doctor visits per person in first world. http://www.nationmaster.com/country-info/stats/Health/Consultation-with-doctors Going back to australia, the us has twice as many hospital admission for asthma, copd, diabeties, heart failure, and hyertension per capita. Five times as many mri's machines and 3 times as many scans. Etc. etc., etc. Yep those free health care systems sure to have an explosion of services don't they? Not at all like fee for service where doctors are never influenced (ok maybe a just a little teeny tiny bit) by what they would be paid.

52   indigenous   2015 Jan 5, 8:19am  

No they go because it was cheaper, i.e. free, than the care facility that was cheap.

The Mexican may be bullshitting but what motive would have to do that.

54   gsr   2015 Jan 5, 10:56am  

mell says

A base single-payer system with a voluntary opt-in for advanced private services and MDs may be a decent model, or a real free-market model if that can be achieved at this point (doubtful). A pure single-payer system without alternatives (i.e. prevented by law) I think is harmful.

This is a decent compromise and it in fact exists in many European countries. In some ways, it is more free-market driven than our fascistic healthcare.

55   indigenous   2015 Jan 5, 12:01pm  

gsr says

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2jijuj1ysw

This is brilliant, none of the mutts will critique it i'm sure...

56   bob2356   2015 Jan 5, 2:42pm  

indigenous says

gsr says

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q2jijuj1ysw

This is brilliant, none of the mutts will critique it i'm sure...

Pretty cool. This guy just happens to have 2 canadian buds who despite being born and raised in canada don't have a doctor, are totally unaware they need to be signed up with a doctor and are totally clueless how to sign up with a doctor. I wonder if he has mexican friends also. Then it just happens that a totally random person in a parking lot just happens to be someone who claims that her mothers legs were cut off because of bad health care. Then it just happens that, oh never mind.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/07/01/everything-you-ever-wanted-to-know-about-canadian-health-care-in-one-post/ A 2011 Gallup Poll found that 57 percent of Canadians felt "satisfied" or "very satisfied" with their access to health care services (in the United States, that number stood at just 25 percent).

57   indigenous   2015 Jan 5, 3:23pm  

bob2356 says

Pretty cool. This guy just happens to have 2 canadian buds who despite being born and raised in canada don't have a doctor, are totally unaware they need to be signed up with a doctor and are totally clueless how to sign up with a doctor. I wonder if he has mexican friends also. Then it just happens that a totally random person in a parking lot just happens to be someone who claims that her mothers legs were cut off because of bad health care. Then it just happens that, oh never mind.

Yet you deny that it is inevitable without price discovery for the who thing to end up in rationing, which is apparently happening in a very young Canadian system.

Get real.

58   bob2356   2015 Jan 8, 6:32am  

indigenous says

Yet you deny that it is inevitable without price discovery for the who thing to end up in rationing, which is apparently happening in a very young Canadian system.

Waiting isn't rationing. Rationing means some get and some don't or everyone gets less. There is rationing in every health care system in the world. Especially the USA. There will always be rationing in health care. There can't be unlimited treatment no matter how slim the odds of success. Why would you think otherwise? In what ideological alternative reality do you actually believe that if we had price discovery this would be possible?

So give us an real world (as opposed to libertarian fantasy world of it will work because I say it should work) example of a working free market health care system based on price discovery. It hast to be one where you would send your kids to be treated. Third world world poverty hellholes don't count.

59   indigenous   2015 Jan 8, 7:07am  

bob2356 says

Waiting isn't rationing.

Sure it is, in the OP article the American Dr states: "This is an amusing variant of "Rationing by Queue" which is a prevalent device in all such government programs in the developed nations."

bob2356 says

So give us an real world (as opposed to libertarian fantasy world of it will work because I say it should work) example of a working free market health care system based on price discovery.

I read where India and a few other countries do offer great services for a lot less money with great accommodations and skilled Doctors.

Also in the Video GSR posted they state it is very common for Canadians to come to the US for procedures.

60   indigenous   2015 Jan 8, 8:06am  

sbh says

But, but, but that's the libertarian proving ground!

Even the Wogster wants to retire to Chile

61   bob2356   2015 Jan 8, 9:29am  

indigenous says

bob2356 says

So give us an real world (as opposed to libertarian fantasy world of it will work because I say it should work) example of a working free market health care system based on price discovery.

I read where India and a few other countries do offer great services for a lot less money with great accommodations and skilled Doctors.

Yep, 70% of the population in India doesn't have access to a doctor or hospital. Makes it real cheap if you can't have it. Is this your example of medical care without rationing? Nice.

You are talking about medical tourism, not medical services. It's cheap relative to the US, not to citizens of India.

indigenous says

Also in the Video GSR posted they state it is very common for Canadians to come to the US for procedures.

Someone actually did a pretty extensive study of that and couldn't find where the mythical Canadian got their health care in the US. But of course actually doing research and presenting the numbers certainly isn't nearly as solid proof as someone said so on youtube. http://www.pnhp.org/news/2012/june/5-myths-about-canada%E2%80%99s-health-care-system Let's see, 20 people out of 18,000 went the US specifically for health care. I don't consider .1% to be all that very common, but I'm not a libertarian. You guys have some very different definitions from the rest of the world.

62   bob2356   2015 Jan 8, 9:30am  

indigenous says

sbh says

But, but, but that's the libertarian proving ground!

Even the Wogster wants to retire to Chile

If you consider Chile a third world hellhole then you need to start travelling further than the state fair.

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