patrick.net

Rew says

Forecast bot on 538 is going to be cool. Essentially, as States call the elections for one candidate or the other, it adjusts its predictions more. Initially it might be a little swingy as the first states are called, but as the night goes on it should be pretty good.

Is this going to be updated as states are called? I am not getting any updates since the election started.

VA -- Trump with 53% with 3% in. That's kind of unexpected.

turtledove says

Someone should sue. Just kidding. This is so exciting.

Trump campaign already is! :)

It is exciting. Cannot wait to get home and start drinking. I got myself something sufficiently American last night: Indiana Rye Whiskey ... freaking state just went MAGA TDove! ;)

Cheers All ... and even to you, you true deplorables I have on ignore. :)

KY & IN already called for Trump. Not really a surprise.

Thunderlips Russian Agent 0069 says

Florida is swinging back and forth like a pendulum.

Wow. Drudge can't even keep up its ping ponging so much.

Trump 49.3% in FL with 43% in.

Cannot wait to get home and start drinking.
=====================

Best part of having your own business. Though it was an insane morning... I HAD to be out of the office by 3:30 cuz I'm not missing a moment.

I took "Make America Great Again" day off.

OOooo ... there is the 538 state by state call and graph ... hot!

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-night-forecast-2016/

You can scrub this back and forth and watch the odds change. Trump ticked up 1%.

OOOooooo ... this is fun too:

https://twitter.com/i/live/790686278350102528

So far, looks like Trump is out performing Romney

zzyzzx is deplorable says

Will be interesting to see how many votes Deez Nuts gets.

http://www.elect-deez-nuts.com/

http://knowyourmeme.com/memes/deez-nuts

He's getting at least one vote from me for California senate. I was considering Elmer Fudd but I decided he's too much like Lorettta Snatchez so I'm with Deez.

turtledove says

Cannot wait to get home and start drinking.

Trying to decide if I like the boob shot or this sentence more...

Trump's got this if he can win Florida.
That damn Florida AGAIN!

junkmail says

Trump's got this if he can win Florida.
That damn Florida AGAIN!

It's gonna go back and forth a shitload and whatever happens it'll be by 1-2 pts methinks.

I'm stopping the coffee, and gonna have my semi-annual drink. 7&7

WTF with Virginia?

If it was 1-5% reporting, I'd say just rural. But now around 20% with some urban zones. She's gotta shoot up at some point.

Edit: Over 30%? And still double digit Trump?!

Question on early voting; Are the early votes usually the first to be counted? or not necessarily?

Clinton crushing in Ohio?

I just saw them call a state with 1% of the vote in, and at least one more with less than 10% of the vote in.

Otherwise no surprises so far.

errc says

Clinton crushing in Ohio?

No, I think Columbus counted first (heavily Black).

Same in Texas, San Antonio results, less than 1% reporting. Very democrat town

Trump is now only down 0.2% in Florida with 52% reporting and Broward, Miami-Dade reporting total initial results. So Hillary's key area is all in now - but the Panhandle is still counting, so is Tampa and other Central FL counties.

D.C. burbs area not reported in yet for Virginia. I think Clinton country hasn't weighed in yet in that state. Could be closer than expected though.

Marco Rubio is projected winner for Florida Senate seat. No surprise there either. I figured the name recognition alone would do it.

Rew says

D.C. burbs area not reported in yet for Virginia. I think Clinton country hasn't weighed in yet in that state. Could be closer than expected though.

It's the shock of the night so far. Surprised but I doubt goes to Trump.

zzyzzx is deplorable says

As if ?

YOu're so fucking confused. Lincoln was a liberal progressive. You would have been cheering his assassination. Get serious man !

Florida 28 votes difference with around 8 million votes cast!

Wow. Trump is up by like 20-30 votes in FL right now. Insane.

The CIA vote:

Rew says

OOooo ... there is the 538 state by state call and graph ... hot!

Neat graphics, but the methodology is pretty simple. He's not updating with poll results at all, so it's pretty useless at calling states. It would be sweet if he had a live county by county feed to work with.

If Clinton takes Florida before I get home to get my drink on ... :/

She likes a quickie I see.

NH is making me nervous, but only ~10% counted. I have that as my pivot state.

Every state is different. OH and TX report a lot of urban areas first; VA is the opposite.

NC also the urbans are in, lots of suburbs and rurals to count.

They just called Alabama, with only 1100 total votes counted.

zzyzzx is deplorable says

They just called Alabama, with only 1100 total votes counted.

Let me guess, it went to Hillary!

Rashomon says

Let me guess, it went to Hillary!

No. But I still think it's pretty irresponsible to call a state with that low a vote count and/or percentage. I was making fun of that.

Ha, two whole votes in Maine, both for Trump. I mean 2 in the whole state. Must be one tiny precinct!

VA narrowing. People still voting in one spot MD, even though polls are closed.

zzyzzx is deplorable says

No. But I still think it's pretty irresponsible to call a state with that low a vote count and/or percentage. I was making fun of that.

Pretty safe bet before any votes were counted.

Thunderlips Russian Agent 0069 says

Ha, two whole votes in Maine, both for Trump. I mean 2 in the whole state. Must be one tiny precinct!

1 out of 71 Aroostock Precincts. hahaha.

Up overall in Maine, but way to early.

The time Trump was winning by double digits, but the state called for Hillary:

(Not that this is likely to end up being wrong, but come on, don't fucking call it yet)

Trump up by 100,000 in Florida right now!