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Shall I start the site whatdidyoubid.com?


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2017 Mar 29, 1:14pm   26,874 views  90 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (59)   💰tip   ignore  

It would be the place where people list their losing bid on a house, to try to catch realtor fraud.

Realtors routinely block bids which don't give their own agency both sides of the commission. This would be a way to expose that practice. Sellers would be able to easily see the real bids without their realtor being in the way. And rejected buyers would get a little bit of power to get around the seller's agent, at least after the sale is done.

But maybe the psychology is bad. Consider that people don't necessarily want anyone to know how much they can bid on a house. It might attract realtors, jealous relatives, or other unwanted attention. Maybe buyers just wants to move on after the sale is over and they lost, and sellers want to move on and take the money they did get.

Is this worth the, say, one month of effort it would take to get it going? If no one uses it, the effort is wasted.

#housing

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26   Dan8267   2017 Mar 29, 4:36pm  

BlueSardine says

i see

All good points and problems Patrick would have to deal with. There will always be some assholes trying to scam and game the system. You'd have to build a fraud-proof system.

27   SuperBuyer   2017 Mar 29, 4:49pm  

Patrick says

Anything with "losing" in the name is negative to begin with.

Bingo. Don't you think this site contains enough negativity already?

28   curious2   2017 Mar 29, 5:08pm  

rando says

all patrick.net users will automatically also be on losingbids.com!

Good idea, ppl can print&post flyers where it's legal, and you might consider electronic copies of The Housing Trap to users whose flyer QR codes generate enough traffic to the new site.

29   MisdemeanorRebel   2017 Mar 29, 7:42pm  

"WikiBids"

"EstateLeaks"

"OpenHousing" (probably taken)

30   Patrick   2017 Mar 29, 8:05pm  

WaPoIsHitler Lipsovitch says

"WikiBids"

"EstateLeaks"

"OpenHousing" (probably taken)

Wow, wikibids.com and openhousing.com are taken.

estateleaks.com is available, but I think losingbids.com has better punch.

31   RealEstateIsBetterThanStocks   2017 Mar 29, 8:34pm  

this is too difficult and troublesome to get it right.

forget it.

32   Strategist   2017 Mar 29, 8:51pm  

Patrick says

It would be the place where people list their losing bid on a house, to try to catch realtor fraud.

Realtors routinely block bids which don't give their own agency both sides of the commission. This would be a way to expose that practice. Sellers would be able to easily see the real bids without their realtor being in the way. And rejected buyers would get a little bit of power to get around the seller's agent, at least after the sale is done.

There is too much fraud and corruption in the residential real estate market. Exposing real estate fraud would be a great service.
How about......ExposeRealEstateFraud.com

33   Dan8267   2017 Mar 29, 9:01pm  

Piggy's attempt at humor is just sad.

34   Patrick   2017 Mar 29, 9:09pm  

Strategist says

How about......ExposeRealEstateFraud.com

It's available, but it's very long. Though very clear too.

35   Patrick   2017 Mar 29, 9:55pm  

These are available:

bidclarity.com
visiblebid.com
offerhonesty.com

or bidsexposed.com which has sex in it!

The main thing is that it should be perfectly clear how to type it when I get it mentioned on Marketplace!

36   Patrick   2017 Mar 29, 10:26pm  

After mulling it over for an hour, I think perhaps ExposeRealEstateFraud.com is actually best.

It's perfectly clear on the radio, and it allows me to expand into exposing other kinds of real estate fraud, like underpricing, hiding listings, faking comps, rewriting MLS history, etc.

37   c1561490   2017 Mar 29, 10:30pm  

Dan made some excellent points that I agree with.

Maybe market it to the seller? convince them that making their home sale participate in your transparency system reduces likeliness of fraud and "mistakes". also, they have the option to reveal bids to participants (maybe in real time), which can be argued that it may help drive more bid competition (cite ebay to convince them - we have all gotten into a stupid bid war on it).

after the seller registers his home sale w/ you, you generate a unique url for him, which he gives to prospective buyers. I don't know how buyers normally submit a formal bid, but whatever it is, make it part of the submission process that they also record their bid in your web app. Maybe that means the sellers agent needs to told that it is his contractual duty to inform all bidders that a bid is invalid until they submit on your site. Maybe the agent also hands out unique buyer id tokens to go along w/ your unique url, of which you generate a list of them so they can print it and cross them off the list as they use them. or also make it easy for the sellers agent to send an invite to the buyer via their email. these "exclusive participator" aspects I feel would help reduce fake bids.

you might even be able to get the buyer to pay a small fee. you might also be able to use appropriately sized fees (for both buyers and sellers) as a fraud deterrent. however, fees, and making people pay you, is more difficult as a small untrusted web site, so it may need to wait.

I would choose a neutral domain name and headlines etc. many people are timid and dont like social friction, and so will feel uncomfortable "accusing" their realtors of fraud, making them avoid your system. not an issue for the bidders because they have no choice, but the sellers are the ones who need to INSIST that their sale uses your system , so you must think of them. make them brand it like "this home sale is a real-estate-transparency.com sale" or something like that makes people feel good and trusting. the realtors will fight you on this.

38   Dan8267   2017 Mar 29, 10:38pm  

rando says

bidsexposed.com

BidsExposed.com or BidSexPosed.com. I'll take The Penis Mightier for $200.

40   CBOEtrader   2017 Mar 30, 6:03am  

Patrick says

It would be the place where people list their losing bid on a house, to try to catch realtor fraud.

Realtors routinely block bids which don't give their own agency both sides of the commission. This would be a way to expose that practice. Sellers would be able to easily see the real bids without their realtor being in the way. And rejected buyers would get a little bit of power to get around the seller's agent, at least after the sale is done.

But maybe the psychology is bad. Consider that:

* People don't necessarily want anyone to know how much they can bid on a house. It might attract realtors, jealous relatives, or other unwanted attention.

* Anything with "losing" in the name is negative to begin with.

* Maybe buyers just wants to move on after the sale is over and they lost, and sellers want to move on and take the money they did get.

Questions:

1. Is this worth the, say, one month of effort it would take to get it going? If no one uses i...

Why does it have to be a website? I'd set it up as a facebook page with a chatbot to accept bid information, as well as query existing databases and offer "comps". Simple. Done in 10 days. Immediate access to 2 billion FB users.

41   Y   2017 Mar 30, 6:33am  

I was thinking about this. It is key to making this system work.
The question is how would realtors react to it being part of the realtor contract?
Also the realtor could show the house without telling the seller so the seller isn't even aware there are bidders.
Unless there was some way of tracking who is coming and going into the house, maybe a spycam uploading to the cloud immediately every movement induced picture it takes, not giving the realtor time to disable the fuckin thing?

c1561490 says

Maybe that means the sellers agent needs to told that it is his contractual duty to inform all bidders that a bid is invalid until they submit on your site.

42   Shaman   2017 Mar 30, 7:14am  

What if the site actually works to catch a fraudulent realtor? What could the losing bidders do about it?

43   Strategist   2017 Mar 30, 7:20am  

Quigley says

What if the site actually works to catch a fraudulent realtor? What could the losing bidders do about it?

The seller would have lost out too, and no doubt a lawsuit would follow.

44   Patrick   2017 Mar 30, 8:38am  

CBOEtrader says

as well as query existing databases

Which databases and how to get access?

BlueSardine says

The question is how would realtors react to it being part of the realtor contract?

Also the realtor could show the house without telling the seller so the seller isn't even aware there are bidders.

I'm sure realtors would not like it at all, and would strongly advise the seller not to track bids, but not for the real reason: it takes away the realtor's ability to hide bids.

Even if I get the seller to make it part of the realtor contract, the realtor could still simply forget to mention this system to certain bidders and still "lose" or "forget" about those bids. So I think bidders must also have the ability to log their bids even if the realtor does not give them a ticket number or other ID. But that opens the system up to anyone entering any bid. In that case, they would probably have to include contact info for the seller to see.

Could any of this be construed as "practicing real estate without a license"? That's one way they could shut it down. And if I did it with a license, I'm sure I'd quickly lose that license for some bogus reason.

45   FortWayne   2017 Mar 30, 8:51am  

How will you get people to show up to the site?

46   BayArea   2017 Mar 30, 8:52am  

Patrick, few things:

First, I like the idea, it's a good starting point despite some of the concerns you raised above about people being apprehensive to participate and share financial information.

Next, we should all be aware of the arguments that can be used to explain why the closing price may be less than previously rejected offer, which we sometimes hear from realtors if they are willing to talk:

- The accepted lower offer had more cash and the owner didn't want to worry about the buyer's financing approvals.
- The highest offer was accepted originally, but there was a termite/roofing/structural issue that was found in the inspection. Therefore the price was lowered to keep the buyer and make the sale.
- The seller wanted to sell to a family that they thought would take care of the house as it had sentimental value to the seller.
- The seller has no obligation to accept the higher offer.

I say the above because it's an additional element that makes things harder to prove that fraud was involved. The way to prove it is that you have to have the rejected buyer and the seller corroborate on the story (or price misalignment). Otherwise you have nothing. And connecting those two parties is no easy task given the circumstances.

If there's a potential buyer that showed an offer higher than the published closing price, that's the lead that needs to be investigated. And there lies the challenge for connecting those people to your new site.

Interesting problem and I'm thrilled that there are some capable brains here thinking about it.

Here is what's in our favor. The people thinking about this problem are unquestionably smarter and more capable than the realtors committing the fraud. That tells me that it's only a matter of time before a solution is figured out if the foot remains on the gas pedal.

47   Patrick   2017 Mar 30, 9:31am  

FortWayne says

How will you get people to show up to the site?

Just this morning in the shower I had the idea that I could simply mail postcards to the address of houses for sale with registration codes.

This would be good advertising, and it would validate the seller's identity to some degree. Of course, by the time I find out that a house is for sale, it's too late for the seller to add to his contract with the realtor, but the seller could still make it known that he wants this kind of disclosure of bids.

BayArea says

The way to prove it is that you have to have the buyer with the rejected offer and the seller corroborate on the story. Otherwise you have nothing.

True, so that's another good reason to contact sellers.

CBOEtrader says

I'd set it up as a facebook page with a chatbot

I don't have a lot of faith that Facebook would fight to keep the chatbot going in the face of realtor pressure. Look how quickly they took down "blasphemous" material in Pakistan: https://patrick.net/1304431/2017-03-28-facebook-complying-with-pakistan-blasphemy-laws-3-bloggers-arrested

48   Patrick   2017 Mar 30, 9:33am  

@"A Good Realtor" what do you think of this idea?

49   anonymous   2017 Apr 1, 8:13am  

Why not simply get your own Real Estate license, and then create your own website specializing in Internet Only Auctions for Real Estate sales? There's already Ebay to do this with any type of crap you want to sell. Ebay Motors for specifically autos.

So be an American Capitalist and offer a website as service for what you see is a need /want/desire not currently being offered in the marketplace

@patrick

50   Strategist   2017 Apr 1, 8:22am  

rando says

FortWayne says

How will you get people to show up to the site?

Just this morning in the shower I had the idea that I could simply mail postcards to the address of houses for sale with registration codes.

Postcards will be very expensive. You could try and advertise on web sites that buyers and sellers of homes frequent. You will end up with a lot of hate mail from realtors, but that would be a sign of success.

51   Patrick   2017 Apr 1, 8:39am  

errc says

Why not simply get your own Real Estate license

Three reasons:
1. Once you start to play by their rules, you are one of them.
2. Having a license means the license can be revoked as soon as I challenge the powers that be.
3. It might get good publicity to get attacked for not having a license when doing something as simple as recording bids.

Maybe eventually I'll have to do that, but sure don't want to start calling myself a realtor yet.

Strategist says

Postcards will be very expensive.

Yes, but if I start with say, just 100 in one area, then I will have a good idea of the site's viability. Ultimately I'd have to advertise like you say.

52   Strategist   2017 Apr 1, 10:33am  

Patrick, you will be creating a more informed buyer and seller.
More communication between buyers and sellers.
Less control by Realtors, leading to less rip offs.
It will go a long way towards creating a system where the realtor is mostly dealing with the paperwork involved in a transaction, leading to more efficiency and lower costs for the buyers and sellers. The average realtor only does 2 to 4 transactions a year. You can't be an expert in real estate with such little volume. We need a system where a realtor does 2 to 4 transactions a month, gets paid a lot less per transaction, but makes up in volume.

53   Dan8267   2017 Apr 1, 11:36am  

rando says

It might get good publicity to get attacked for not having a license when doing something as simple as recording bids.

I don't see why you would need a real estate license to record bids. If you are not acting as a broker of any sort and just recording data for the record, then your actions should count as freedom of the press. You are simply keeping and publishing records. That does not make you a realtor, but a bookkeeper and publisher.

54   Patrick   2017 Apr 1, 2:45pm  

I agree, but laws are made to protect profits. Call me cynical, but I expect that if I manage to do something that benefits the public instead of realtor profits, they will find some way to call it illegal.

55   Strategist   2017 Apr 1, 2:51pm  

Patrick will find this particularly interesting.

Is my realtor committing fraud? What do I do? | Zillow
https://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/Is-my-realtor-committing-fraud.../584475/
Apr 27, 2015 - I just sold my house using the same realtor I used when I bought it. He was ... I am still relying on this agent to close my current house. April 27 ...

56   Dan8267   2017 Apr 1, 2:52pm  

rando says

I agree, but laws are made to protect profits. Call me cynical, but I expect that if I manage to do something that benefits the public instead of realtor profits, they will find some way to call it illegal.

Unfortunate, but true. The solution to that is called The Pacman Defense. You attack your attackers by suing or counter-suing them. They have far more to lose, and you have far more to gain. Just make sure your incorporated first. That places the upper limit on what you can lose as your company's almost non-existent assets.

58   Patrick   2017 Apr 1, 3:38pm  

Yes, some good stories there:

Then there was the real estate agent who bragged to our agent that he had counseled the seller to keep our $3,000 deposit after we pulled out within the first 10-day contingency period, because he does it "all the time and always get[s] away with it." This was the sort of thing we could have gone to court for, but it would have cost about $10,000 in legal fees if we had lost, and the pressures of my personal life made the prospect of a legal battle over $3,000 seem unbearable. Instead, we hired a lawyer, who wrote a letter to the seller, who agreed to give us $1,500.

In the world of real estate, the seller and the buyer are always kept at a distance, and it's difficult to know what information actually gets conveyed.

When the agent announced to the seller (against the lawyer's explicit written instructions not to) that Pera was now working with a lawyer, Pera fired the agent.
"The day after I fired her, I found red nail polish all over my car," she said. Later, Pera learned, from talking to other area real estate agents, that the agent had a reputation for being a "hatchet woman," someone who would push through a sale at all costs.

Her advice for prospective home buyers has the hardened taint of a veteran soldier: "Don't depend on your agent to represent your interest. The agent represents the sale. They want the highest commission possible with the least amount of effort. Go in cynical, and let them know you're watching, and know what they are supposed to be doing.

he also encountered unethical behavior on the part of the selling agent, who demanded an "exclusive listing" -- meaning he would not work with another agent, because he wanted a full 6 percent commission from the sale. After not getting a response to two offers, So approached the seller directly and discovered that the agent, in an effort to drive up the price, had never delivered the earlier offers.

"It's like the vampire guarding the blood bank," said Pera of the Board of Realtors' ethical hearings. But most people seemed too overwhelmed and emotionally undone to continue the fight. "Devastated" was the word that popped up in every account.

59   Patrick   2017 Apr 1, 3:40pm  

And from the Zillow article:

However we had established a relationship that neither of our agents knew about and talked 1-2 times/day about the property.
I called to tell him what my offer was and that it was coming in. We discussed the terms. 2 days later he still had not received it so he called his agent, who apparently had "missed the email".

60   Patrick   2017 Apr 1, 5:02pm  

Got a better name: whatdidyoubid.com

Less negative. Another $11 spent! Burning through my cash. :-)

Updated the original post to reflect the new domain name.

61   Dan8267   2017 Apr 1, 5:42pm  

rando says

whatdidyoubid.com

watubid.com

Sounds more trendy.

62   Patrick   2017 Apr 1, 5:54pm  

But will the public be able to type it correctly after hearing it pronounced, once, on the radio?

63   Dan8267   2017 Apr 1, 9:41pm  

rando says

But will the public be able to type it correctly after hearing it pronounced, once, on the radio?

flickr, pinterest, grindr, tumblr, blendr, wikipedia, reddit

I think you're good. People will just Google it. Put in keywords with all possible spelling variations.

64   Patrick   2017 Apr 2, 10:14am  

Went through some React tutorials and hated its obscurity, ridiculously complex build process, and the fact that "Hello World" creates a megabyte of javascript which the user has to download and parse to see anything at all.

So instead I'm going to do a minimal PHP framework and site, taking some of the ideas from React, like components. I'll make it its own github project.

65   MisdemeanorRebel   2017 Apr 2, 11:31am  

Dan8267 says

watubid.com

Catchy.

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