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2005 Apr 11, 5:00pm   191,459 views  117,730 comments

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82857   Peter P   2017 Apr 25, 3:27pm  

Ironman says

Dinosaurs riding around in SUV's??

Goddamned Flintstone people!

82858   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:32pm  

Ironman says

So, you marked that humans entered the picture roughly 2 million years ago, right?

What have the temps and CO2 levels been like for those 2 million years? What is CO2 and temp trending at now? What ARE the scientific desired targets for CO2 in ppm?

(hint: If it was me, call me crazy, I'd try and make the purple bar be flat down at the level it was throughout most of human history ... as THAT is the ideal CO2 level.)

82859   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:35pm  

Ironman says

Hater, is that you???

It's 350 ppm. That gets us the "optimistic" line on the XKCD graphic.

82860   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:36pm  

Ironman says

Are you done yet promoting that FAKE narrative?

2nd to last refuge of the defeated. Name calling is next.

82861   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:38pm  

Ironman says

have been historically much higher without humans even being around

Right. But could those Earth conditions even support human life?

82862   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:41pm  

Ironman says

Want to try again?

You are talking about levels of CO2 that hinder respiration. (laughing my ass off) You have no idea the meaning of what you are posting.

Are you arguing that CO2 levels are completely devoid from a correlation in temperature rise because of the historical previous graphic? :) LOL

82863   NDrLoR   2017 Apr 25, 3:44pm  

Ironman says

MASSIVE BRAWL

They're just acting the way they do in the 'hood.

82864   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:46pm  

Ironman says

Who knows, humans weren't around then.

Oh, Science knows. The atmosphere for most of that was completely unbreathable.

82865   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:48pm  

Ironman says

So, CO2 ppm levels (chemical makeup) inside are different than CO2 ppm levels outside?? Can plants tell the difference inside or outside?

Does CO2 change in form from inside to outside?

You are saying respiration and gaseous exchange is the same as trapping heat radiation?
We aren't talking breathing, we are talking heat energy in the planetary engine, driving weather.

82866   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:49pm  

Ironman says

So, since the science is settled NOW, are we there yet?

We have moved past it, by a degree and at-leats 50ppm.

82867   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:58pm  

Ironman says

Let me know when it gets pass 1500 ppm

At that level no human will be able to do any strenuous activity. A brisk walk up a hill will cause you to pass out.
Further, the long term climate trend would be to temperatures that wouldn't sustain most life on the planet. A new dominant species would rise. Humanity would end.

82868   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 3:59pm  

Hater says

Why are you alarmists always manipulating graphs?

Because skeptics cannot read them to begin with.

82869   Peter P   2017 Apr 25, 4:04pm  

Hater says

Why are you alarmists always manipulating graphs?

Just like polls, graphs and statistics are there to influence, not to inform.

Alarmists will manipulate graphs because they are definitely trying to influence.

82870   anonymous   2017 Apr 25, 4:13pm  

Peter P says

I suspect those "climate scientists" are hedge-fund rejects. I doubt they can even survive in the sell-side.

We should stop listening to people with no skin in the game.

So you're saying we should stop listening to those of you that don't have children? Or even elderly people that will be dead soon?

It doesn't take a climate scientist, or even some lowly hedge fund turd, to understand that polluting the environment has adverse effects. What do you have against people who desire to protect the environment so that it can be enjoyed into the future?

82871   Strategist   2017 Apr 25, 4:18pm  

They were probably prostitutes fighting over territory.

82872   Peter P   2017 Apr 25, 4:22pm  

errc says

It doesn't take a climate scientist, or even some lowly hedge fund turd, to understand that polluting the environment has adverse effects. What do you have against people who desire to protect the environment so that it can be enjoyed into the future?

Pollution is bad. But what is pollution?

Why is CO2 considered a pollutant? Without those crappy climate models the whole CO2 argument falls apart.

Yes, global temperature is rising. So what?

82873   Peter P   2017 Apr 25, 4:24pm  

Hater says

Nothing! Pollution and overpopulation are the problems to be solved!

The beauty is that IF those climate models are right "climate change" might solve overpopulation. See, we don't need to do anything.

82875   anonymous   2017 Apr 25, 4:38pm  

What is the ideal Human population of Earth? How do you know that overpopulation is a problem ?

82876   joeyjojojunior   2017 Apr 25, 4:51pm  

Strategist says

This is called an economic recovery. Not the phony recovery that went on for years under Obama.

Trump did in less than a 100 days, what Obama could not do in 8 years.

Thank You President Trump. America loves you.

Great-please show me the difference. With data and analysis.

82877   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 5:03pm  

Ironman says

So tell me in the following graph, which temperature is inhabitable in your area?

Average temperature is the thing we are measuring. Think of it as net total energy in the system. We will still be living with 2-4 degree average temp rise. There will just be some major climate and life impacting changes for billions of people.

82878   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 5:08pm  

Hater says

Just to confirm, you think the ideal temp is one degree cooler and the ideal CO2 ppm is 350?

I think that because the majority of the scientific world thinks that. Yes. We are at 400ppm, and growing by 2ppm per year, due to human fossil fuel use.

Peter P says

The beauty is that IF those climate models are right "climate change" might solve overpopulation.

Mass deaths due to climate extremes is beautiful?

We have the collective capacity as human to ensure an amazing lifestyle to the majority of the planet. We don't have the will to do it. Current social constructs don't work that way.

82879   Strategist   2017 Apr 25, 5:39pm  

joeyjojojunior says

Strategist says

This is called an economic recovery. Not the phony recovery that went on for years under Obama.


Trump did in less than a 100 days, what Obama could not do in 8 years.


Thank You President Trump. America loves you.

Great-please show me the difference. With data and analysis.

Spring housing: 'Strongest seller's market ever'.
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/24/spring-housing-strongest-sellers-market-ever.html

Stocks extend gains, Dow rises 250 points on strong earnings; Nasdaq above 6,000
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/25/us-markets.html
-

-

Border rancher: Illegal crossings down 90% since Trump became president
http://www.theamericanmirror.com/border-rancher-illegal-crossings-90-since-trump-became-president/

82880   Peter P   2017 Apr 25, 6:02pm  

Rew says

We have the collective capacity as human to ensure an amazing lifestyle to the majority of the planet.

That is an idealized vision of humanity. It is not part of our nature.

82881   Peter P   2017 Apr 25, 6:05pm  

I propose a global one-child policy. In particular, each person is allotted the credit to have half a child. Such reproduction credits can be traded freely. Those who want to have many children can buy more credits from the open market. Those who do not want kids can sell their credits.

Here. CAP-AND-TRADE.

82882   anonymous   2017 Apr 25, 6:11pm  

I propose a global one-child policy. In particular, each person is allotted the credit to have half a child.

-----------

That is an idealized vision of humanity. It is not part of our nature.

82883   HEY YOU   2017 Apr 25, 7:39pm  

Difference between Trump & an accordion,
the accordion is not full of HOT AIR!

82884   HEY YOU   2017 Apr 25, 7:39pm  

or BULLSHIT!

82885   HEY YOU   2017 Apr 25, 7:40pm  

or LIES!

82886   Rew   2017 Apr 25, 8:52pm  

Ironman says

OK, so if it's average temperatures that matter, and a 2 - 4 degree rise will be catastrophic to humans, please explain this phenomena

Over the past 10,000+ years the average temperature has fluctuated about 1 degree or less. That small fluctuation is the difference between "fire and ice".

How much heat does it take to boil a cup of water? How much does it take to boil an ocean of water? Do you understand the amount of energy 1 degree is in a huge system like our climate?

With 2 to 4 degrees of warming the Earth experiences massive shifts in weather, catastrophic storms, mega droughts, the coastlines are forever changed, mass migrations and climate refugees occur, and then there is the disruptions to food chains. Crops that survive will experience yields drops of over 10%. An estimated 25% of plant species will lose in excess of half their current habitat coverage. Water stress for the US alone will affect 1.5 billion people or greater. It's Mad Max time.

82887   FNWGMOBDVZXDNW   2017 Apr 25, 10:01pm  

Hater says

anthropomorphic

It's anthropogenic.

82888   0d2e   2017 Apr 25, 11:22pm  

Each day our great president is doing something to make our country great again. And, all the fake "antifa" news outlets can do is spread traitorous lies about his approval ratings, how he hasn't lived up to his campaign promises, how he let his supporters down, etc... For the record, all the patriots I spoke to are thrilled to have Trump as President. Just look at the economy in the past 4 months. Thank God for Trump. All of Hillary's supporters are mob rule, communist, terrorist, traitors. That pig would never have had this kind of recovery in this short period of time, if ever. Go trump. Build that wall. Next, he needs to sign an executive order getting rid of all Latin anchor babies. USA!

82889   Shaman   2017 Apr 26, 5:35am  

Tim Aurora says

You also are a paid bot

I'm glad you finally admit that's what you are, Tim. Now I can stop paying any attention to you.

82890   CBOEtrader   2017 Apr 26, 6:25am  

YesYNot says

Science is settled by theory and experiment. It is not settled by debate. Debate is just what you have before science is settled, before people become aware of the speed science, and to a lesser extent when some new evidence comes along that seems to contradict known theories. Occasionally it does contradict and change things, but usually it just needs an explanation.

Real science is never settled. Science always leave a room for skepticism, otherwise its religion not science.

The assuredness w which climate activists state ridiculous predictions (An Inconvenient Truth) is religion. Its usually an expression of faith, not science.

For those of you who have researched this, please recommend an intellectually honest reading list.

82891   FNWGMOBDVZXDNW   2017 Apr 26, 7:02am  

CBOEtrader says

For those of you who have researched this, please recommend an intellectually honest reading list.

Start with the IPCC report. Follow the references. Draw your own conclusions.

As for settled science, settled is a relative term. Things settle. Sometimes, they get disrupted. You can say that the theory of gravity is not settled. It's quite possible that someone will come along with another theory that puts gravity inside a larger theory. It's often possible that what works fine within some wide set of conditions (Newtonian physics) cannot be extrapolated. That doesn't mean that Newtonian physics is proved wrong. If we get into distracted about the meaning of settled and set a really high bar for something being settled, that is meaningless. What we should focus on is quantifying risk.

When most scientists state that parts of climate change theory are settled, that does not mean that they know what the temperature is going to be next year with a high degree of accuracy. It also doesn't mean that they can predict what the temperature is going to be in 50 years. It means that they can run various scenarios and determine within a given range what the average temperature is likely to be (by average I mean global average temperature over a 10 year period). If you want to see the scenarios (how much pollution we emit going forward) that are being used, and the estimates of global average temperature and risk, look at the IPCC reports.

CBOEtrader says

which climate activists state ridiculous predictions (An Inconvenient Truth) is religion

Like many 'documentary' films, an inconvenient truth was a heavily narrative laden movie by an activist. If you want to say that the scientists had it wrong, go look at what the scientists said. Don't refute part of a movie by an activist and claim that the science was wrong. That's just tragically bad logic. Here is a quote from the first page of the executive summary of the first IPCC report:

Based on current model results, we predict:
* under the IPCC Business-as-Usual (Scenario A)
emissions of greenhouse gases, a rate of increase of
*global mean temperature during the next century of
about 0.3°C per decade (with an uncertainty range of
0.2°C to 0.5°C per decade), this is greater than that
seen over the past 10,000 years. This will result in a
likely increase in global mean temperature of about
1°C above the present value by 2025 and 3°C before
the end of the next century The rise will not be
steady because of the influence of other factors

Note that even back in 1990, the IPCC report was pretty accurate. They didn't know how fast China's or India's economy would grow. They had to predict what fossil fuel emissions would be as well as how the earth's climate would respond. They stated right up front that the rise would not be steady (there is a high noise to signal ratio). How did they do?

https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

82892   anonymous   2017 Apr 26, 7:04am  

Tell your friends and family, come to Patrick.net. Where you will be beaten into submission by stupidity and negativity! It's highly contagious 😷

82893   anonymous   2017 Apr 26, 7:17am  

What we should focus on is quantifying risk.

-----------

The lost Art of a once great Capitalist Nation. nowadays people just buy more insurance and oddly bitch about taxes, regardless of how terrible a deal it is, and defer that which made them Capitalist in the first place. As evidenced here over and over, the education system needs to teach people how to do a cost benefit analysis, because they've lost that skill over time.

82894   zzyzzx   2017 Apr 26, 7:42am  

Democrat leadership baffled as massive number of voters leave the party.

82895   marcus   2017 Apr 26, 7:54am  

YesYNot says

What we should focus on is quantifying risk.

That would make too much sense. We need to debate the risk. If the 97% of climate scientists are wrong, maybe there is no risk.

Funny, a bank or clearing firms risk manager would get fired instantly for such stupid rationalizations (unless it was the risk that his boss was taking on that he argued was debatable).

82896   anonymous   2017 Apr 26, 7:57am  

marcus says

YesYNot says

What we should focus on is quantifying risk.

That would make too much sense. We need to debate the risk. If the 97% of climate scientists are wrong, maybe there is no risk.

Funny, a bank or clearing firms risk manager would get fired instantly for just stupid rationalizations (unless it was the risk that his boss was taking on that he argued was debatable).

We need to start only listening to people with skin in the game

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